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OECD BUSINESS AND
FINANCE OUTLOOK
HIGHLIGHTS
24 June 2015
Adrian Blundell-Wignall
Thinking about over-investment - Companies’ capital expenditure
rate greater in emerging economies for general industry
Emerging markets’ ROEs falling versus the cost of equity
in general industry – opening a value creation gap
Productivity of sales versus value added in advanced and emerging
country infrastructure and general industrial companies
US general industrial companies:
Operating cash is rising and buybacks are huge
Low interest rates could persist for a long time
Changes in retirement income as interest rates change
Evolution of the present value of a hypothetical fixed cash flow
promise payable over 20 years when interest rates fall
Drop in interest rates increases exposure to longevity risk of mortality
tables across countries – average shortfall for females, age 65
Private funds versus regulated funds
Covenant Protection Index and
selected covenant frequency
Thank you
Find the OECD Business
and Finance Outlook online
www.oecd.org/finance/
oecd-business-finance-outlook.htm

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