This presentation by Eileen Kane from the US State Department was given at the expert learning session during the 7th Multi-Stakeholder Forum on Responsible Mineral Supply Chains held on 26-28 May 2014 in Paris. Find out more at: http://mneguidelines.oecd.org/icglr-oecd-un-forum-paris-may-2014.htm

1. LEARNING FROM THE USAID CONFLICT
ASSESSMENT FRAMEWORK
EILEEN KANE
ECONOMIC POLICY OFFICER
BUREAU OF ECONOMIC AND BUSINESS AFFAIRS
U. S. DEPARTMENT OF STATE
EXPERT LEARNING SESSION ON CONFLICT-
AFFECTED AND HIGH RISK AREAS
7TH ICGLR-OECD- UN GoE FORUM ON RESPONSIBLE
MINERAL SUPPLY CHAINS
PARIS, MAY 26, 2014

2. USAID CONFLICT ASSESSMENT
FRAMEWORK
CAF 2012
http://www.usaid.gov/what-we-
do/working-crises-and-conflict/technical-
publications

3. THE CAF PROVIDES A BROAD
FRAMEWORK THAT CAN BE
UNIFORMLY APPLIED
TWO STAGES OF CONFLICT
ASSESSMENT:
• DIAGNOSIS
• FORMULATION OF
RESPONSE
RECOMMENDATIONS

4. FOUR DEFINITIONS
• CONFLICT SENSITIVITY
• CONFLICT MANAGEMENT
• CONFLICT MITIGATION
• CONFLICT PREVENTION
LEADS TO A CONFLICT
RESPONSE WHICH INCLUDES
CONFLICT SENSITIVE
PROGRAMMING AND
PEACEBUILDING ACTIVITIES

5. IDENTIFYING RISK FACTORS FROM A
GOVERNMENT PERSPECTIVE INVOLVES AN
INTERAGENCY OR “WHOLE OF
GOVERNMENT” APPROACH.
IN THE EXTRACTIVES SECTOR, THIS CAN
INCLUDE EXAMINING ISSUES SUCH AS
• INSECURE LAND TENURE AND PROPERTY
RIGHTS
• VARIABLE ECONOMINC PERFORMANCE WITH
MARKET DISTORTIONS/BARRIERS
• WEAK GOVERNMENT AUTHORITY AND
CONTROL
• MARGINALIZATION OF VULNERABLE GROUPS

6. APPENDIX A – DIAGNOSTIC QUESTIONS
FROM THE USAID CAF
1. CONTEXT
2. IDENTITY GROUPS
3. INSTITUTIONAL PERFORMANCE
4. SOCIETAL PATTERNS
5. KEY MOBILIZERS
6. TRAJECTORIES
APPENDIX B – KEY MOBILIZERS

7. DIAGNOSTIC QUESTIONS
CONTEXT
- HISTORICAL
- INTERNATIONAL
- GEOGRAPHIC
- ECONOMIC
- DEMOGRAPHIC
- INSTITUTIONAL
IDENTITY GROUPS

8. DIAGNOSTIC QUESTIONS
INSTITUTIONAL PERFORMANCE
- GOVERNANCE
- Formal Government
- Elections and Political Parties
- Judicial
- Traditional Systems and Leaders
- Civil Society and Human Rights
- SECURITY
- Law Enforcement
- Armed Forces
- Non-State Security Actors

9. DIAGNOSTIC QUESTIONS
INSTITUTIONAL PERFORMANCE
- ECONOMIC
- Macro-Environment
- Fiscal Policy
- Sectoral
- Finance
- SOCIAL
- Media
- Service Delivery
- Non-Formal Structures

10. DIAGNOSTIC QUESTIONS
SOCIETAL PATTERNS
KEY MOBILIZERS – APPENDIX B
- Key Mobilizer: Who mobilizes?
- Motivation: Why do they mobilize?
- Means: Can they initiate and sustain mobilization?
- Methods: How do they mobilize and to do what?

11. DIAGNOSTIC QUESTIONS
TRAJECTORIES
- TRIGGERS
- TRAJECTORIES