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Economic Analysis and Evidence in
Predatory Pricing Case
-Note by Chinese Taipei
Specialist Hsing-Yuan Wang
Chinese Taipei Fair Trade Commission
Tuesday, 7 December, 2021
OECD Competition Committee
Theory of predatory pricing
Predatory pricing features:
 Predator’s negative profit, or loss, in the
short run
 Predatory pricing needs to be
implemented by a firm with the ability to
subsequently raise prices
 Rivals are likely to be excluded by
predatory pricing
 Below-cost pricing signifies that a firm
with market power engages in predatory
pricing
How to determine predatory pricing
1) Price-cost test: Below-cost prices may
indicate that the firm is attempting to exclude
its competitors by charging low prices instead
of pursing profits.
2) Recoupment test: This is used to ascertain
whether a firm is able to limit or prevent
competition and subsequently earn excess
profits to recoup losses incurred after engaging
in predatory pricing.
predatory pricing:cost
measures
Price-cost test: Marginal cost (MC) is argued to
be an ideal cost measure in the economic theory of
predatory pricing. But it is not easy to measure
and calculate in practice.
Another cost measures:
• Average variable cost (AVC)
• Average avoidable cost (AAC)
• Average incremental cost (AIC)
• Average cost (AC)
The cable TV industry in Chinese Taipei
Before 2012 the cable TV operating areas is 51.
In 2012 the areas change from 51 to 22.
After 2012, the incumbent operators and new
operators to provide services beyond their
previous operating areas with aggressive price-
cutting strategies.
from 2013 to 2021, 10 cases involving
predatory pricing complaints, of which 3 cases
impose penalties.
The Cable TV case:YJL V.S.
DCTV
Incumbent operator:Yeong Jia Leh Cable TV Co.,
Ltd (YJL).
New entrant:DigiDom Cable TV Co., Ltd (DCTV)
The CTFTC received a complaint from DCTV,
alleging that YJL offered DCTV’s subscribers an
annual plan at a zero price from July 2016.
subscription numbers market share
YJL 125,352 86%
DCTV 19,324 14%
Product market definition
Cable TV
Digital TV
Multimedia on Demand services (MOD)
Over-The-Top media services(OTT)Ex: YouTube,
cable
TV:71%
digital
TV:13%
MOD:11
%
OTT:5%
the proportion of viewers
Sample size:1090 Viewers of cable TV :
771
Average operating profit margin: 15.84%
Actual loss: 26.72% (206/771*100%=26.72%)
Critical loss:38.70% (10% / (10%+15.84%) =
38.7%)
actual loss (26.72%) ﹤critical loss (38.70%)
Product market :cable TV
The prices for cable TV been 10% higher Unit: number of
respondents, %
Product market definition- SSNIP test
Unchanged
after the
price
increase
Switched to other distribution channels
after the price increase
Actual
loss
Critica
l loss
Total MOD
Internet -
based
platforms
Digital TV
broadcasting
Not
watching
TV
565 206 114 38 37 17 26.72% 38.70%
Price-cost test
• The CTFTC used AVC (average variable cost) to do the
price-cost test.
• Variable costs for a cable TV operator would include total
costs dependent on the number of subscribing households.
• YJL’s correlation coefficients (with the number of viewers)
license fees for copyrighted programs : 0.9485
installation and maintenance costs for subscribers: 0.5110
transmission costs of programs :0.0234
• ‘license fees for copyrighted programs’ and ‘installation and
maintenance costs for subscribers’ are variable costs.
• the calculated monthly AVC for YLJ :NTD 366 per month
• YJL charged NTD 500 per month for basic cable packages,
and DCTV charged from NTD 193 to NTD 386 per month.
Correlation coefficient Unit: household, NTD
Year
Number of
subscribing
households
A
License fees
for copyrighted
programs
B
Installation and
maintenance
costs
for subscribers
C
Transmission
costs
of programs
D
Monthly AVC
per household
(B+C)/A/12
2006 90,954 222,661,000 50,374,000 107,947,000 250
2007 96,267 282,163,000 44,747,000 116,910,000 283
2008 123,354 325,323,000 59,551,000 128,600,000 260
2009 153,374 388,009,000 81,403,000 153,544,000 255
2010 160,031 438,024,000 97,764,000 132,826,000 279
2011 163,256 449,909,000 102,823,000 102,537,000 282
2012 150,148 444,164,000 112,907,000 99,861,000 309
2013 144,049 429,039,000 147,959,000 103,004,000 334
2014 144,424 419,902,000 183,933,000 105,511,000 348
2015 145,837 425,376,000 214,392,000 99,708,000 366
2016 143,978 431,820,000 200,973,000 86,208,000 366
Correlation
coefficient
0.9485 0.5110 0.234
Factors for consideration in non-infringement
decisions
Setting prices to a level below a firm’s own costs is not
necessarily considered predatory.
Low prices, even at below-cost can sometimes reflect
legitimate business choices in a competitive market.
The following pricing strategies are generally determined legal
by the CTFTC in most cases:
short-term promotional pricing
low prices charged by a multiproduct firm for only one
type of product
a price war among rival companies
seasonal discounts or price reduction in response to
economic fluctuations.
Factors for consideration in non-infringement
decisions
From 2013 to 2021, the CTFTC investigated 10 cases concerning
predatory pricing in the cable TV industry, of which 7 cases came
to non-infringement decisions.
The factors taken into account in the 7 cases included (but were not
limited to):
Where the number of consumers who switched services to the
firm that engaged in predatory pricing was very low.
Where a new entrant in question offers short-term promotions at
cheap prices to enter a new market.
Where the alleged predatory pricing strategies implemented by
the firm in question targeted its current subscribers instead of
subscribers of its competitors.
The discounted prices at issue were comparable with
competitors’ promotional prices. No evidence showed the intent
to prevent competitors from participating in competition.

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Economic analysis and evidence in abuse cases – Break-out Session 3 – Techniques and evidence for assessing predatory pricing, margin squeeze and exploitative abuses – CHINESE TAIPEI – December 2021 OECD discussion

  • 1. Economic Analysis and Evidence in Predatory Pricing Case -Note by Chinese Taipei Specialist Hsing-Yuan Wang Chinese Taipei Fair Trade Commission Tuesday, 7 December, 2021 OECD Competition Committee
  • 2. Theory of predatory pricing Predatory pricing features:  Predator’s negative profit, or loss, in the short run  Predatory pricing needs to be implemented by a firm with the ability to subsequently raise prices  Rivals are likely to be excluded by predatory pricing  Below-cost pricing signifies that a firm with market power engages in predatory pricing
  • 3. How to determine predatory pricing 1) Price-cost test: Below-cost prices may indicate that the firm is attempting to exclude its competitors by charging low prices instead of pursing profits. 2) Recoupment test: This is used to ascertain whether a firm is able to limit or prevent competition and subsequently earn excess profits to recoup losses incurred after engaging in predatory pricing.
  • 4. predatory pricing:cost measures Price-cost test: Marginal cost (MC) is argued to be an ideal cost measure in the economic theory of predatory pricing. But it is not easy to measure and calculate in practice. Another cost measures: • Average variable cost (AVC) • Average avoidable cost (AAC) • Average incremental cost (AIC) • Average cost (AC)
  • 5. The cable TV industry in Chinese Taipei Before 2012 the cable TV operating areas is 51. In 2012 the areas change from 51 to 22. After 2012, the incumbent operators and new operators to provide services beyond their previous operating areas with aggressive price- cutting strategies. from 2013 to 2021, 10 cases involving predatory pricing complaints, of which 3 cases impose penalties.
  • 6. The Cable TV case:YJL V.S. DCTV Incumbent operator:Yeong Jia Leh Cable TV Co., Ltd (YJL). New entrant:DigiDom Cable TV Co., Ltd (DCTV) The CTFTC received a complaint from DCTV, alleging that YJL offered DCTV’s subscribers an annual plan at a zero price from July 2016. subscription numbers market share YJL 125,352 86% DCTV 19,324 14%
  • 7. Product market definition Cable TV Digital TV Multimedia on Demand services (MOD) Over-The-Top media services(OTT)Ex: YouTube, cable TV:71% digital TV:13% MOD:11 % OTT:5% the proportion of viewers
  • 8. Sample size:1090 Viewers of cable TV : 771 Average operating profit margin: 15.84% Actual loss: 26.72% (206/771*100%=26.72%) Critical loss:38.70% (10% / (10%+15.84%) = 38.7%) actual loss (26.72%) ﹤critical loss (38.70%) Product market :cable TV The prices for cable TV been 10% higher Unit: number of respondents, % Product market definition- SSNIP test Unchanged after the price increase Switched to other distribution channels after the price increase Actual loss Critica l loss Total MOD Internet - based platforms Digital TV broadcasting Not watching TV 565 206 114 38 37 17 26.72% 38.70%
  • 9. Price-cost test • The CTFTC used AVC (average variable cost) to do the price-cost test. • Variable costs for a cable TV operator would include total costs dependent on the number of subscribing households. • YJL’s correlation coefficients (with the number of viewers) license fees for copyrighted programs : 0.9485 installation and maintenance costs for subscribers: 0.5110 transmission costs of programs :0.0234 • ‘license fees for copyrighted programs’ and ‘installation and maintenance costs for subscribers’ are variable costs. • the calculated monthly AVC for YLJ :NTD 366 per month • YJL charged NTD 500 per month for basic cable packages, and DCTV charged from NTD 193 to NTD 386 per month.
  • 10. Correlation coefficient Unit: household, NTD Year Number of subscribing households A License fees for copyrighted programs B Installation and maintenance costs for subscribers C Transmission costs of programs D Monthly AVC per household (B+C)/A/12 2006 90,954 222,661,000 50,374,000 107,947,000 250 2007 96,267 282,163,000 44,747,000 116,910,000 283 2008 123,354 325,323,000 59,551,000 128,600,000 260 2009 153,374 388,009,000 81,403,000 153,544,000 255 2010 160,031 438,024,000 97,764,000 132,826,000 279 2011 163,256 449,909,000 102,823,000 102,537,000 282 2012 150,148 444,164,000 112,907,000 99,861,000 309 2013 144,049 429,039,000 147,959,000 103,004,000 334 2014 144,424 419,902,000 183,933,000 105,511,000 348 2015 145,837 425,376,000 214,392,000 99,708,000 366 2016 143,978 431,820,000 200,973,000 86,208,000 366 Correlation coefficient 0.9485 0.5110 0.234
  • 11. Factors for consideration in non-infringement decisions Setting prices to a level below a firm’s own costs is not necessarily considered predatory. Low prices, even at below-cost can sometimes reflect legitimate business choices in a competitive market. The following pricing strategies are generally determined legal by the CTFTC in most cases: short-term promotional pricing low prices charged by a multiproduct firm for only one type of product a price war among rival companies seasonal discounts or price reduction in response to economic fluctuations.
  • 12. Factors for consideration in non-infringement decisions From 2013 to 2021, the CTFTC investigated 10 cases concerning predatory pricing in the cable TV industry, of which 7 cases came to non-infringement decisions. The factors taken into account in the 7 cases included (but were not limited to): Where the number of consumers who switched services to the firm that engaged in predatory pricing was very low. Where a new entrant in question offers short-term promotions at cheap prices to enter a new market. Where the alleged predatory pricing strategies implemented by the firm in question targeted its current subscribers instead of subscribers of its competitors. The discounted prices at issue were comparable with competitors’ promotional prices. No evidence showed the intent to prevent competitors from participating in competition.