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HARD QUESTIONS OF LAW AND REGULATION OF
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI)
Future Law – Budapest, 27 September 2018
Prof Nicolas Petit, ULiege (BE) and UniSA (AU)
www.lcii.eu
 EU Commission High Level
Expert Group on AI
 Communication on AI
 HLG: 2 subgroups
 One tasked with drafting of
ethical guidelines on AI
 The other tasked with
recommendations for policy
an investment in AI
 Through mid 2019 + EU AI
Alliance:
https://ec.europa.eu/futuriu
m/en/eu-ai-alliance
Appetite for regulation?
 Parliament resolution, 16 Feb
2017, Civil Law Rules on
Robotics
 “Shortcomings” of legal framework
 “questions whether the ordinary rules
on liability are sufficient or whether
it calls for new principles and rules
to provide clarity on the legal
liability”
 Supports the “designation of a
European Agency for Robotics and
Artificial Intelligence in order to
provide the technical, ethical and
regulatory expertise needed to support
the relevant public actors”
www.lcii.eu
Hard questions of law & AI
1. AI in a nutshell
2. Ex ante v ex post regulation?
3. Normative issues: illustration from ALE
4. Ethics (before law): selected issues
5. Proposed framework: who, when and how to
regulate?
www.lcii.eu
1. AI in a nutshell
Core ideas
 Any physical process
including the mind process
can be modelized as a
computable algorithm
(Church Turing thesis)
 Machines can learn:
“Learning is any process by
which a system improves
performance from
experience” (Herbert
Simon)
Today
 Brute force computational
power now available (due to
Moore’s law)
 Zettabytes (or Yottabytes) of
data now available, and
distributed, and pre labelled
(cloud)
 « End of theory »
 Deep learning, neural networks, etc.
 Use cases: autonomous
vehicles, predictive justice,
predictive medicine,
automated law enforcement
www.lcii.eu
 Reactive
 Mostly common law process
 By courts
 Standards (content of law
unspecified ex ante)
 Preemptive
 Mostly civil law process
 By technocratic or
democratic
 By expert or non expert
organs
 Rules (content of law
specified ex ante)
2. Ex ante v ex post regulation of AI?
 « Collingridge paradox »
 Too early too late
quandary?
www.lcii.eu
Paradoxes of ex ante regulation
Disciplinary approach
 Lawyers need frictional case studies
to apply deductive reasoning
 One problem:
 End up looking at sci-fi to generate
case studies (EP, 2017)
 Or end-up looking at the past to
generate case studies
 Techno-speculation: driverless cars
not the dominant hypo in 1970s to
2000s Sci-Fi, but flying cars
 Human-speculation:
teleconferencing v conferencing
 Risk of irrelevant law
Technological approach
 Emergent behavior hypothesis of
AIs
 Inevitable assumption that there
are gaps in the legal system. New
law is needed. Law of the horse.
 Two problems:
 Specificity of AI and robots
emergent conduct is to emulate
human level intelligence (Minsky,
1984) + emergent behavior
relates to human conduct =>
existing law OK
 Tendency “to attribute programs far
more intelligence than they actually
possess” (Yazdani, 1986)
 Risk of redundant or extreme law
www.lcii.eu
 Can the law ever be agile?
 5 to 10 years to regulate
tech that’s already 5 to 10
years old
Paradoxes of ex post regulation
 « Treacherous turn »
(Bostrom)
 Dominant design problem
www.lcii.eu
3. Normative issues
 AI generates hard normative problems
 « Should » questions
www.lcii.eu
Case study: Automated Law Enforcement
 “any computer-based system that
uses input from unattended sensors
to algorithmically determine that a
crime has been, or is about to be,
committed and then takes some
responsive action, such as to
prevent the crime to inform the
appropriate law-enforcement
agency or to impose some form of
punishment” (Shay et al.)
 Surveillance, analysis, aggregation
and action
 Police (telemetric policing) but
other applications
 UK: Connect (tax); US: Loomis
case
www.lcii.eu
Should « full enforcement » be the goal?
 «Full enforcement » means perfect surveillance and punishment
of infringements + perfect pre-emption
 Legal: undercover criminality by law enforcement; civil
disobedience; whistleblowing
 Logical: paradox of disappearance of crime, and relaxation of
social consensus against crime
 Economics: imperfect enforcement is useful (Stigler, 1970)
 Sociological: acceptability of technology is driven by context. Full
enforcement more desirable in countries with endemic crime and
corruption (Honduras v Greece)
 Psychological: offender wishes to “to 'have his say' on the matter”
www.lcii.eu
 Human dignity
 Transparency and
informed consent
 Democracy
 Autonomy and self-
determination
 Safety and Cybersecurity
 Transparency, legibility
and explainability
 Non bias
 Responsibility and
accountability
 Compliance with HRs
 Red lines? But red rights?
4. Ethics
 Artificial ethics:
hardwired by design in
robots
 Natural ethics: rules
that apply to
researchers
www.lcii.eu
Ongoing developments
 Private ordering
 Standardization: data practices certification
 Unilateral products:
 IBM just launched a software service that scans AI systems
as they work in order to detect bias and provide explanations
 Works with Watson tech, as well as Tensorflow, SparkML,
AWS SageMaker, and AzureML
 Public ordering: soft law and guidelines
www.lcii.eu
5. Proposed framework
 Discrete externality (micro; personal)
 Negative: harm
 Positive: benefits
 For harms, ex post resolution, abstract standards, impact assessment
 Systemic externality (macro; societal)
 Negative
 Substitution effect in jobs
 Privacy
 Positive
 Complementarity effect
 Generative or General Purpose technologies
 For harms, more ex ante, prescriptive, impact assessment
 « Existernality »
 Negative: existential risk (Terminator)
 Positive: pure human enhancement
 For harms, more ex ante, proscriptive, deontological (no impact assessment or fat
tail risks)
More at https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2931339
Liege Competition and Innovation Institute (LCII)
University of Liege (ULg)
Quartier Agora | Place des Orateurs, 1, Bât. B 33, 4000 Liege, BELGIUM
Thank you
Nicolas.petit@uliege.be
Twitter: @CompetitionProf

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Nicolas Petit 27 september 18 - Hard Questions of Law and AI

  • 1. HARD QUESTIONS OF LAW AND REGULATION OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI) Future Law – Budapest, 27 September 2018 Prof Nicolas Petit, ULiege (BE) and UniSA (AU)
  • 2. www.lcii.eu  EU Commission High Level Expert Group on AI  Communication on AI  HLG: 2 subgroups  One tasked with drafting of ethical guidelines on AI  The other tasked with recommendations for policy an investment in AI  Through mid 2019 + EU AI Alliance: https://ec.europa.eu/futuriu m/en/eu-ai-alliance Appetite for regulation?  Parliament resolution, 16 Feb 2017, Civil Law Rules on Robotics  “Shortcomings” of legal framework  “questions whether the ordinary rules on liability are sufficient or whether it calls for new principles and rules to provide clarity on the legal liability”  Supports the “designation of a European Agency for Robotics and Artificial Intelligence in order to provide the technical, ethical and regulatory expertise needed to support the relevant public actors”
  • 3. www.lcii.eu Hard questions of law & AI 1. AI in a nutshell 2. Ex ante v ex post regulation? 3. Normative issues: illustration from ALE 4. Ethics (before law): selected issues 5. Proposed framework: who, when and how to regulate?
  • 4. www.lcii.eu 1. AI in a nutshell Core ideas  Any physical process including the mind process can be modelized as a computable algorithm (Church Turing thesis)  Machines can learn: “Learning is any process by which a system improves performance from experience” (Herbert Simon) Today  Brute force computational power now available (due to Moore’s law)  Zettabytes (or Yottabytes) of data now available, and distributed, and pre labelled (cloud)  « End of theory »  Deep learning, neural networks, etc.  Use cases: autonomous vehicles, predictive justice, predictive medicine, automated law enforcement
  • 5. www.lcii.eu  Reactive  Mostly common law process  By courts  Standards (content of law unspecified ex ante)  Preemptive  Mostly civil law process  By technocratic or democratic  By expert or non expert organs  Rules (content of law specified ex ante) 2. Ex ante v ex post regulation of AI?  « Collingridge paradox »  Too early too late quandary?
  • 6. www.lcii.eu Paradoxes of ex ante regulation Disciplinary approach  Lawyers need frictional case studies to apply deductive reasoning  One problem:  End up looking at sci-fi to generate case studies (EP, 2017)  Or end-up looking at the past to generate case studies  Techno-speculation: driverless cars not the dominant hypo in 1970s to 2000s Sci-Fi, but flying cars  Human-speculation: teleconferencing v conferencing  Risk of irrelevant law Technological approach  Emergent behavior hypothesis of AIs  Inevitable assumption that there are gaps in the legal system. New law is needed. Law of the horse.  Two problems:  Specificity of AI and robots emergent conduct is to emulate human level intelligence (Minsky, 1984) + emergent behavior relates to human conduct => existing law OK  Tendency “to attribute programs far more intelligence than they actually possess” (Yazdani, 1986)  Risk of redundant or extreme law
  • 7. www.lcii.eu  Can the law ever be agile?  5 to 10 years to regulate tech that’s already 5 to 10 years old Paradoxes of ex post regulation  « Treacherous turn » (Bostrom)  Dominant design problem
  • 8. www.lcii.eu 3. Normative issues  AI generates hard normative problems  « Should » questions
  • 9. www.lcii.eu Case study: Automated Law Enforcement  “any computer-based system that uses input from unattended sensors to algorithmically determine that a crime has been, or is about to be, committed and then takes some responsive action, such as to prevent the crime to inform the appropriate law-enforcement agency or to impose some form of punishment” (Shay et al.)  Surveillance, analysis, aggregation and action  Police (telemetric policing) but other applications  UK: Connect (tax); US: Loomis case
  • 10. www.lcii.eu Should « full enforcement » be the goal?  «Full enforcement » means perfect surveillance and punishment of infringements + perfect pre-emption  Legal: undercover criminality by law enforcement; civil disobedience; whistleblowing  Logical: paradox of disappearance of crime, and relaxation of social consensus against crime  Economics: imperfect enforcement is useful (Stigler, 1970)  Sociological: acceptability of technology is driven by context. Full enforcement more desirable in countries with endemic crime and corruption (Honduras v Greece)  Psychological: offender wishes to “to 'have his say' on the matter”
  • 11. www.lcii.eu  Human dignity  Transparency and informed consent  Democracy  Autonomy and self- determination  Safety and Cybersecurity  Transparency, legibility and explainability  Non bias  Responsibility and accountability  Compliance with HRs  Red lines? But red rights? 4. Ethics  Artificial ethics: hardwired by design in robots  Natural ethics: rules that apply to researchers
  • 12. www.lcii.eu Ongoing developments  Private ordering  Standardization: data practices certification  Unilateral products:  IBM just launched a software service that scans AI systems as they work in order to detect bias and provide explanations  Works with Watson tech, as well as Tensorflow, SparkML, AWS SageMaker, and AzureML  Public ordering: soft law and guidelines
  • 13. www.lcii.eu 5. Proposed framework  Discrete externality (micro; personal)  Negative: harm  Positive: benefits  For harms, ex post resolution, abstract standards, impact assessment  Systemic externality (macro; societal)  Negative  Substitution effect in jobs  Privacy  Positive  Complementarity effect  Generative or General Purpose technologies  For harms, more ex ante, prescriptive, impact assessment  « Existernality »  Negative: existential risk (Terminator)  Positive: pure human enhancement  For harms, more ex ante, proscriptive, deontological (no impact assessment or fat tail risks) More at https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2931339
  • 14. Liege Competition and Innovation Institute (LCII) University of Liege (ULg) Quartier Agora | Place des Orateurs, 1, Bât. B 33, 4000 Liege, BELGIUM Thank you Nicolas.petit@uliege.be Twitter: @CompetitionProf