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National End of Life
Care Programme
Improving end of life care

Deaths from liver disease

Implications for end of life care in England

March 2012

www.endoflifecare-intelligence.org.uk
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

Foreword
The number of people who die from liver disease in England is rising. There was a 25%
increase in liver disease deaths between 2001 and 2009. This is in contrast to other major
causes of death, which have been declining.
Although numbers of deaths due to cancer, vascular or respiratory disease are still much
greater, liver disease kills people at a much younger age – a striking 90% of people who
die from liver disease are under 70 years old. When measured as 'years of life lost', liver
disease is therefore much more prominent. This report makes for stark reading on this
subject.
There are a number of reasons why end of life care for people with liver disease is
particularly challenging. Patients tend to be younger and often come from either isolated or
ethnically diverse subcultures. They are more likely to have come to healthcare attention
by circuitous routes of access. They may feel great stigma associated with their disease,
the progress of which is punctuated by acute exacerbations. Most of all, perhaps, it is
challenging because the cause of their death may have been preventable.
With over 70% of people with liver disease dying in hospital, this report is timely in helping
us understand the challenges in managing end of life care for this patient group.
The key drivers for the growth in burden and mortality from liver disease are all
preventable: alcohol, obesity, hepatitis C and hepatitis B. The outcomes frameworks which
have followed on from the government White Papers Liberating the NHS and Healthy
Lives, Healthy People both set an ambition for reduction of mortality in people under 75
years. Addressing the underlying causes and consequences of liver disease will therefore
be important in efforts to achieve this reduction.
Even if policy and public health measures were one hundred percent effective, we know
that the long 'gestation' period for progression of liver disease will result in the continued
presentation of liver disease to health service providers for years to come.

Professor Martin Lombard
National Clinical Director for Liver Disease

1
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

Contents
Foreword .............................................................................................................................. 1
Summary .............................................................................................................................. 3
1

Introduction .................................................................................................................. 4
1.1

2

Aims .................................................................................................................... 4

Methodological notes .................................................................................................. 5
2.1
2.2

Analysis .............................................................................................................. 5

2.3

Liver disease categories ..................................................................................... 5

2.4

Cause of death ................................................................................................... 6

2.5

Place of death..................................................................................................... 6

2.6
3

Source of data .................................................................................................... 5

Analysis by deprivation quintile .......................................................................... 7

Results .......................................................................................................................... 8
3.1

The number of deaths from liver disease ........................................................... 8

3.2

Regional variation ............................................................................................... 9

3.3

Variation with sex ............................................................................................. 12

3.4

Variation with age at death ............................................................................... 13

3.5

Variations with age at death and sex ............................................................... 16

3.6

Variation with deprivation ................................................................................. 17

3.7

Deaths with any mention of liver disease ......................................................... 19

3.8

Place of death................................................................................................... 21

4

Conclusions and recommendations ........................................................................ 26

5

Future investigations ................................................................................................. 26

References ......................................................................................................................... 27
Appendix 1: Trends in deaths from alcoholic liver disease, including deaths
in 2010 ................................................................................................................................ 28
Appendix 2: Distribution of place of death by age at death for each underlying
cause .................................................................................................................................. 29

2
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

Summary
This report presents key facts about deaths from liver disease in England. It highlights
differences in place and cause of death by age, sex and deprivation. It is aimed at
commissioners and providers of end of life care, clinicians caring for patients with liver
disease, and others concerned with providing quality end of life care for this patient group,
including patients themselves and their carers.
Key findings:



Liver disease causes approximately 2% of all deaths.



The number of people who die from liver disease in England is rising (from
9,231 in 2001 to 11,575 in 2009).



More men than women die from liver disease (60% are men, 40% women).



Liver disease disproportionately affects younger age groups:



90% of people who die from liver disease are under 70 years old



more than 1 in 10 of deaths of people in their 40s are from liver
disease, most of them from alcoholic liver disease.



Alcoholic liver disease accounts for well over a third (37%) of liver disease
deaths.



There are three times as many deaths from alcoholic liver disease in the
most deprived areas as in the least deprived.



People dying from liver disease often have complex end of life care needs
and over 70% die in hospital.

Death from liver disease is often associated with stigma. Many but by no means all of the
people dying from liver disease come from deprived socioeconomic backgrounds. Those
dying of alcoholic liver disease may have mental health problems and/or drug dependence
problems which complicate their social circumstances such that they have little family or
social support.
The course of advanced liver disease is also complicated, with acute and sometimes near
fatal exacerbations necessitating hospital admission, but from which patients can make a
good recovery.
For these reasons, end of life care discussions and planning are challenging. This report
gives the first summary of high level statistics on deaths from liver disease on which future
discussions can be built.

3
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

1

Deaths from Liver Disease

Introduction
In England, 2% of deaths between 2001 and 2009 were from liver disease (that is, an
average of 10,544 people each year had a liver disease recorded as the underlying cause
of death on their death certificate).
The proportion of deaths in England with a mention of liver disease (that is, either as the
underlying cause or a contributory cause) on the death certificate, in the same time period,
was 3%.

1.1 Aims
The aim of this report is to analyse and present the latest data on place of death for those
with liver disease and to show how this varies with sex, age, region, socioeconomic
deprivation and place.
It will help inform decisions by end of life care policy makers, commissioners and providers,
and inform patients, their carers and the non-statutory bodies who support them.
The report was commissioned by the National End of Life Care Intelligence Network to
support national end of life care service planning and development.
National strategy and policy supporting this work includes:



The National End of Life Care Strategy (Department of Health, 2008)



Improving Liver health and Outcomes in Liver disease (National Liver Plan,
2009)



Reducing Alcoholic Harm: Health Service in England for Alcoholic misuse
(National Audit Office: Department of Health, 2008)



Public Health Outcomes Framework (Department of Health, 2012)



The NHS Transparency in Outcomes Impact Assessment (Department of
Health, 2010).

Also, a national strategy for liver disease is currently being produced by the Department of
Health.

4
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

2

Deaths from Liver Disease

Methodological notes

2.1 Source of data
All data presented in this report are from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) mortality
files. The mortality files contain extracts from death certificates. Key data items used for
this analysis include place of death, postcode of „normal‟ place of residence, date of birth,
sex and cause of death.

2.2 Analysis
Data in this report are presented as absolute numbers and proportions, as well as some
age-standardised rates, to support service planning.

2.3 Liver disease categories
The following liver disease categories, approved by the National Clinical Director for liver
disease, were used. Definitions draw on information from The British Liver Trust
(www.britishlivertrust.org.uk):



alcoholic liver disease



fatty liver disease
There should be little or no fat in a healthy liver. Fatty liver is the name
given to a condition in which you have too much fat in your liver. Today it is
one of the most common forms of liver disease and is known to lead to
advanced conditions. The effects of having fat in the liver over a long
period may lead to inflammation causing swelling and tenderness
(hepatitis) and then to scarring (fibrosis). This condition can be caused by
excess alcohol, and is then called alcoholic liver disease, or it can have
other causes, for example diabetes, and is then called fatty liver disease.



liver cancer
In this report, liver cancer is only primary malignant tumours of the liver.
Benign tumours and tumours resulting from spread of cancer from other
organs of the body also occur in the liver, but deaths from these conditions
have not been included.



other chronic liver disease
Deaths from conditions in this group are dominated by fibrosis and
cirrhosis of the liver. Cirrhosis is the result of long-term, continuous
damage to the liver and may be due to many different causes. The
damage leads to scarring, known as fibrosis. Irregular bumps (nodules)
replace the smooth liver tissue and the liver becomes harder. Together, the
scarring and the nodules are called cirrhosis.



hepato pancreatic biliary (HPB) (Pancreatitis) patients likely to
present with abnormal liver function tests (LFTs) or jaundice
This category is defined quite broadly; as alcohol is a major cause of
pancreatitis, a proportion of patients with HPB will also have liver disease.
Also, it can be difficult to discern whether jaundice and abnormal liver
function tests have their cause in the liver, biliary tract or pancreas.



viral liver disease
Includes acute and chronic viral hepatitis.
5
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

2.4 Cause of death
The single „underlying‟ cause of death is determined from the death certificate by the ONS
and coded using the ICD-10 system (International Classification of Disease, tenth issue).
This coding system was used to categorise cause of death in this report as follows:
Alcoholic liver disease

K70*

Fatty liver disease

K76*

Liver cancer

C22*

Other chronic liver disease

B581,D868, I820 ,J632, K770, O226, O904, Q446,
T391, T864, Z944, Y830, I81, K71, K72*, K73*, K74*,
K75*, K76*, I85*

Hepato pancreatic biliary (HPB)
(pancreatitis) patients likely to present with
abnormal liver function tests (LFTs) or
jaundice

K85, K830, K831, K838, K839, K86*

Viral liver disease

B008, B251,B15*,B16*,B17*,B18*,B19*

Note: * indicates the inclusion of 4-digit ICD-10 codes

While it is acknowledged that the information on death certificates is not completely
reliable, they are, however, a valuable source of information.
The ‘underlying cause’ of death is defined by the World Health Organisation as “the
disease or injury that initiated the train of events directly linked to death; or the
circumstances of the accident or violence that produced the fatal injury”. It is the cause of
death recorded on a death certificate.
Death certificates also record ‘contributory cause’ of death where a disease or condition
has contributed to the death but is not part of the causal sequence; and also up to 15
diseases or conditions which were part of the causal sequence of events leading to death.
For the purpose of this report ‘mentions’ refer to those deaths where liver disease is
recorded as either the underlying or contributory cause of death.

2.5 Place of death
The ONS describes place of death as one of 84 communal establishment types or „own
residence‟ or „elsewhere‟. These are categorised further by ONS in their DH1 General
Mortality Statistics publication:



Hospital: NHS or non-NHS, acute, community or psychiatric
hospitals/units.



Own residence: the death occurred in the place of usual residence where
this is not a communal establishment.



Old people‟s home: Local Authority or private residential home.



Nursing home: NHS or private nursing home.



Hospice: many hospices are „free standing‟ but some are found within NHS
hospitals. At present ONS classifies the place of death as hospice only
when the event occurred in a free standing hospice premises. These data
will therefore under-report deaths in hospices as some will be recorded as
a death in hospital.



Elsewhere: other communal establishment or a private address other than
normal place of residence or outdoor location or nil recorded.

6
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

2.6 Analysis by deprivation quintile
Lower Super Output Areas (LSOAs) are small geographical areas specifically devised to
improve the reporting and comparison of local statistics. In England, there are 32,482
LSOAs (minimum population 1,000). The Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD 2007) is a
measure of how deprived each LSOA is, based on income, employment, health,
deprivation, education, skills, training and geographical access to services. LSOAs are
grouped into quintiles according to the rank of their deprivation score such that each
quintile has an equal resident population.
The residential postcode recorded on the death certificate was used to place each
deceased person in an LSOA and assign that death to the deprivation quintile of the LSOA.

7
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

3

Deaths from Liver Disease

Results

3.1 The number of deaths from liver disease
In England, 2% of deaths (an average of 10,544 deaths each year for the period 2001–09)
were recorded as having an underlying cause of liver disease.
The number of liver disease deaths has been steadily increasing. Figure 1 shows the rise
from 9,231 deaths in 2001 to 11,575 in 2009.
Figure 1: Number of deaths with underlying cause of liver disease, England, 2001–09
14,000

12,000

Number of deaths

10,000

8,000

6,000

4,000

2,000

0
2001

2002

2003

2004

2005
Year

2006

2007

2008

2009

Source: ONS mortality data

Figure 2 shows the average annual number and proportion of deaths by liver disease type
(underlying cause). It shows that:



The most common cause of liver disease death is „alcoholic liver disease‟
(0.8% of all deaths in England; 3,880 deaths annually).



Liver cancer accounts for about 0.5% of all deaths in England (2,360
deaths annually).



Other chronic liver disease accounts for about 0.4% of all deaths in
England (2,000 deaths annually).



Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice accounts for 0.3% of all deaths in England
(1,446 deaths annually).



Fatty liver disease accounts for around 0.1% of all deaths in England (648
deaths annually).



Viral liver disease accounts for less than 0.1% of all deaths in England
(191 deaths annually).

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National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

Figure 2: Cause of death (underlying cause): number and proportion of all deaths, England,
2001–09
0.9
N=3,880
0.8

Percentage of deaths

0.7
0.6
N=2,360
0.5

N=2,018
0.4
N=1,446

0.3
0.2

N=648

0.1
N=191
0.0

Alcoholic liver
disease

Liver cancer

Other chronic Pancreatitis
liver disease LFTs or jaundice

Fatty liver
disease

Viral liver
disease

Cause of death

Source: ONS mortality data

3.2 Regional variation


Deaths from liver disease vary by former Government Office Region,
ranging from 800 to 1,900 liver disease deaths each year. Figure 3 shows
that the regions with the highest number of liver disease deaths are the
North West (1,899), South East (1,503) and London (1,424).



The regions with the highest average annual number of alcoholic liver
disease deaths are North West (809), South East (504), and West
Midlands (501).

Figure 3: Cause of death (underlying cause) by Government Office Region in England:
average annual number of deaths, 2001–09
2,000

1,800
1,600

Number of deaths

1,400

1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
East
East of
Midlands England

London North East

North
West

South East South
West

West Yorkshire
Midlands and the
Humber

Government Office Region
Alcoholic liver disease
Other chronic liver disease

Fatty liver disease
Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice

Source: ONS mortality data
9

Liver cancer
Viral liver disease
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease



This variation is partly explained by variation in the population of each
region. The South East has the largest population (8,436,000 in 2009) and
the North East the smallest (2,584,262).



To better compare „how common‟ death from liver disease is in each
region, Figures 4a and 4b, and Tables 1 and 2, show age-standardised
mortality rates (ASMR) for males and females respectively. The ASMR is
the number of deaths for each 100,000 of the population adjusted for a
standard age distribution. That is, it accounts, for example, for the effect of
the South West having a relatively older population and London a relatively
younger population.



The regions with the highest ASMR for liver disease are the North West
and North East, for both males and females, although the rate in males is
almost double that in females. The third highest ASMR for males is in
London but for females it is in the West Midlands.



The regions with the lowest ASMR for liver disease are the East of
England, South West and South East, for both males and females.



For both males and females the highest ASMR (North West) is
approximately double the lowest (East of England).



ASMRs for alcoholic liver disease follow a similar pattern to that for all liver
disease, except in London where the rate is lower than that West Midlands
and Yorkshire and Humber.



The regional deaths from liver disease show some correlation with data
presented in the Local Alcohol Profiles for England (North West Public
Health Observatory, www.lape.org.uk) which shows that in 2010/11 the
highest rates of alcohol attributable hospital admissions were in the North
East, North West and Yorkshire and the Humber, while the lowest rates
were in the South East, East of England and South West.

Figure 4a: Cause of death (underlying cause) by Government Office Region in England:
age-standardised rate for males, 2001–09
Age-standardised rate per 100,000 population

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0
East
Midlands

East of
England

London

North
East

North
West

South
East

South
West

West
Yorkshire
Midlands and the
Humber

Government Office Region

Alcoholic liver disease
Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice

Liver cancer
Fatty liver disease

Source: ONS mortality data

10

Other chronic liver disease
Viral liver disease
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

Table 1: Age-standardised rates (per 100,000) of liver disease in males by former Government
Office Region, 2001–09
Government Office Region

Alcoholic
Other
Pancreatitis
liver
Fatty liver Liver chronic liver
LFTs or
Viral liver All liver
disease
disease cancer
disease
jaundice
disease disease

East Midlands

9.0

1.1

3.9

3.4

2.4

0.3

20.1

East of England

6.4

0.9

3.7

3.1

2.0

0.3

16.5

London

9.5

2.5

6.4

6.2

2.2

1.1

27.8

North East

13.4

1.6

5.6

4.4

3.0

0.2

28.3

North West

14.9

2.2

5.3

4.9

2.7

0.5

30.5

South East

7.9

1.1

4.1

3.6

2.0

0.5

19.2

South West

8.8

0.7

4.2

2.8

2.0

0.3

18.9

West Midlands

12.3

1.3

4.7

3.7

2.5

0.5

25.0

Yorkshire and the Humber

10.5

1.5

4.4

3.4

2.5

0.4

22.6

England

10.1

1.4

4.6

4.0

2.3

0.5

22.9

Source: ONS mortality data

Figure 4b: Cause of death (underlying cause) by Government Office Region in England:
age-standardised rate in females, 2001–09

Age-standardised rate per 100,000 population

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0
East
Midlands

East of
England

London

North
East

North
West

South
East

South
West

West
Yorkshire
Midlands and the
Humber

Government Office Region

Alcoholic liver disease
Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice

Liver cancer
Fatty liver disease

Other chronic liver disease
Viral liver disease

Source: ONS mortality data

Table 2: Age-standardised rates (per 100,000) of liver disease in females by former
Government Office Region in England, 2001–09

Government Office Region

Alcoholic
liver
disease

Fatty liver
disease

Liver
cancer

Other
Pancreatitis
chronic liver
LFTs or
Viral liver
disease
jaundice
disease

All liver
disease

East Midlands

4.7

0.8

2.3

2.5

1.7

0.2

East of England

3.3

0.6

2.0

2.2

1.2

0.1

9.4

London

3.5

1.1

2.7

3.3

1.4

0.5

12.6

North East

6.8

1.0

2.6

2.9

2.1

0.1

15.5

North West

8.0

1.3

2.7

3.3

2.0

0.2

17.5

South East

3.6

0.7

2.0

2.5

1.4

0.1

10.3

South West

4.0

0.5

2.0

1.9

1.3

0.1

9.8

West Midlands

5.8

0.8

2.5

2.6

1.8

0.2

13.6

Yorkshire and the Humber

4.9

0.8

2.5

2.3

1.7

0.2

12.3

England

4.8

1.6

0.8

2.3

2.6

0.2

12.4

Source: ONS mortality data

11

12.0
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

3.3 Variation with sex


Figures 5 and 6 indicate that more deaths from „alcoholic liver disease‟
occurred amongst males (2,588 deaths, 41% of liver disease deaths
annually) compared to females (1,292 deaths, 30% of liver disease deaths
annually).



For each cause of death, except pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice, deaths in
males exceeded deaths in females.

Figure 5: Cause of death (underlying cause) by sex: Average annual number of liver disease
deaths in males and females in England, 2001–09
3,000

Number of deaths

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000

500

0
Alcoholic liver
disease

Liver cancer

Other chronic Pancreatitis
liver disease LFTs or jaundice

Fatty liver
disease

Viral liver
disease

Cause of death
Male

Female

Source: ONS mortality data

Figure 6: Cause of death (underlying cause) by sex: proportion of liver disease deaths in
males and females in England, 2001–09
45
40

Percentage of deaths

35
30
25

20
15
10

5
0
Alcoholic liver
disease

Liver cancer

Other chronic
liver disease

Cause of death
Male

Female

Source: ONS mortality data

12

Pancreatitis
LFTs or
jaundice

Fatty liver
disease

Viral liver
disease
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

3.4 Variation with age at death


Figure 7 shows that, the average annual number of liver disease deaths is
greatest in the 50–59 age group (2,250 deaths), followed by 60–69 (2,185
deaths) and 70–79 (2,110 deaths).



The average annual number of alcoholic liver disease deaths is greatest in
the 50–59 age group (1,267 deaths), 40–49 (981 deaths), and 60–69 (865
deaths).



Figure 8 and Table 3 show the proportion of deaths caused by liver
disease. These proportions vary considerably by age group for each
underlying cause of death. They are lowest for deaths at age 80+ years for
each cause of death and highest for deaths at age 40–49 for each cause,
except viral liver disease.



Death from liver disease as a proportion of all deaths is greatest among
40–49 year-olds. In this age group, more than one death in ten is caused
by liver disease, mostly alcoholic liver disease.



Figures 9 and 10 show a rising trend in deaths from „alcoholic liver disease‟
in the 40–49, 50–59 and 60–69 age groups respectively. See Appendix 1
for trend charts which include 2010 data.

Figure 7: Cause of death (underlying cause) by age: Average annual number of liver disease
deaths in each age group in England, 2001–09
2,500

Number of deaths

2,000

1,500

1,000

500

0

0-39

40-49

50-59

60-69

70-79

80+

Age group

Alcoholic liver disease
Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice

Liver cancer
Fatty liver disease

Source: ONS mortality data

13

Other chronic liver disease
Viral liver disease
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

Figure 8: Cause of death (underlying cause) by age: proportion of all deaths in each age
group in England, 2001–09
12

Percentage of all deaths

10

8

6

4

2

0

0-39

40-49

50-59

60-69

70-79

80+

Age group

Alcoholic liver disease
Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice

Liver cancer
Fatty liver disease

Other chronic liver disease
Viral liver disease

Source: ONS mortality data

Table 3: Liver disease as a percentage of all deaths by age, England 2001–09
0-39
%

Underlying cause

40-49
%

50-59
%

60-69
%

70-79
%

80+
%

Alcoholic liver disease

2.3

7.3

4.3

1.5

0.3

0.0

Liver cancer

0.3

0.6

0.9

0.9

0.7

0.3

Other chronic liver disease

0.6

1.7

1.3

0.8

0.4

0.1

Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice

0.3

0.6

0.4

0.3

0.3

0.3

Fatty liver disease

0.3

0.8

0.5

0.2

0.1

0.0

Viral liver disease

0.1

0.3

0.2

0.1

0.0

0.0

All liver disease

4.0

11.4

7.7

3.8

1.8

0.7

Source: ONS mortality data

Figure 9: Trends in number of deaths from alcoholic liver disease (underlying cause), by age,
England, 2001–09
1,600

Number of deaths

1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Year
0-39

40-49

50-59

Source: ONS mortality data
14

60-69

70-79

80+
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

Percentage of deaths from liver disease

Figure 10: Trends in deaths from alcoholic liver disease (underlying cause) as a percentage of
all liver disease deaths, England, 2001–09
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Year
0-39

40-49

50-59

Source: ONS mortality data

15

60-69

70-79

80+
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

3.5 Variations with age at death and sex


Deaths from liver disease in males exceed those in females for all age
groups except the oldest, 80+. Figure 11 shows that male deaths are
approximately double female deaths up to the age of 60, above which the
gender difference reduces and eventually reverses for the oldest group.



Figure 12 shows the same data as proportions of all recorded deaths from
each cause. The proportion of deaths was higher in males than females for
all age groups except the 0–39 age group, which had equal proportions of
male and female deaths.



The proportion of all deaths that are caused by alcoholic liver disease is
highest in the 40–49 and 50–59 age groups (8% of 40–49 year-olds and
5% of 50–59 year-olds for males; 6% of 40–49 year-olds and 4% of 50–59
year-olds for females).

Figure 11: Cause of death (underlying cause) by age and sex: average annual number of liver
disease deaths in males and females, by age group, in England, 2001–09
1,600

1,400

Number of deaths

1,200
1,000
800
600
400

200
0
Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female

0-39

40-49

50-59

60-69

70-79

80+

Age group
Alcoholic liver disease
Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice

Liver cancer
Fatty liver disease

Source: ONS mortality data

16

Other chronic liver disease
Viral liver disease
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

Figure 12: Cause of death (underlying cause) by age and sex: proportion of all deaths in
males and females, by age, in England, 2001–09
14

Percentage of deaths

12
10
8
6
4
2
0
Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male

0-39

40-49

50-59

60-69

70-79

Female

80+

Age group
Alcoholic liver disease
Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice

Liver cancer
Fatty liver disease

Other chronic liver disease
Viral liver disease

Source: ONS mortality data

3.6 Variation with deprivation


Figure 13 shows that the number of patients dying from liver disease was
greatest in the most deprived quintiles, with a clear gradient from most to
least deprived. For alcoholic liver disease, 1,345 deaths occurred annually
in people who lived in the most deprived quintile in England, 3.4 times
more than the 393 deaths in the least deprived quintile.



For each liver disease type there is a deprivation gradient, with most
deaths in the most deprived quintile.



Figure 14 shows that alcoholic liver disease accounted for a much higher
proportion of all liver disease deaths in the most deprived quintile (44%)
compared with the least deprived (28%).

17
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

Figure 13: Cause of death (underlying cause) by deprivation quintile: average annual number
of liver disease deaths, England, 2001–09
1,600
1,400
1,200

Number of deaths

1,000
800
600
400
200
0
Alcoholic liver
disease

Liver cancer

Other chronic Pancreatitis
liver disease LFTs or jaundice

Fatty liver
disease

Viral liver
disease

Cause of death
Most deprived

Least deprived

Note: IMD=Index of Multiple Deprivation
Source: ONS mortality data

Figure 14: Cause of death (underlying cause) by deprivation quintile: proportion of all liver
disease deaths in each deprivation quintile, England, 2001–09
50
45

Percentage of liver disease deaths

40

35
30
25
20
15

10
5
0

Alcoholic liver
disease

Liver cancer

Other chronic
Pancreatitis
liver disease LFTs or jaundice

Fatty liver
disease

Cause of death
Most deprived

Least deprived

Note: IMD=Index of Multiple Deprivation
Source: ONS mortality data

18

Viral liver
disease
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

3.7 Deaths with any mention of liver disease
Liver disease is a contributory cause of death for an average of 5,636 people each year
(England 2001–09). A contributory cause is one that is recorded on the death certificate as
a condition that contributed to the death. It is distinct from the underlying cause.
In this section, we present the number of deaths for which liver disease is recorded as the
i) the underlying cause, ii) a contributory cause and iii) these two combined to give the
number of „mentions‟ for that cause (see Section 2.4).
In England, approximately 16,000 people die each year with liver disease mentioned on
their death certificate (underlying or contributory cause). This represents 3.4% of all deaths
(Figure 15).
Figures 16a–f show the patterns by liver disease type. There is considerable variation.
Other chronic liver disease has the highest number of contributory cause deaths than any
of the other liver disease types (4,651 deaths per year). However, fatty liver disease, with
1,801 contributory cause deaths per year, has the highest proportion of contributory
cause deaths (277%) when calculated as a percentage of the number of underlying
deaths. This compares with 230% for other chronic liver disease and 199% for viral liver
disease.
Please note, some patients may have had more than one liver disease mentioned on their
death certificate. For example, they may have had an underlying cause of alcoholic liver
disease and a contributory cause of fatty liver disease. This means that the totals for
Figure 16 may not add up to the total in Figure 15.

Age group

Figure 15: Cause of death as ‘mentioned’ in any cause field (contributory and underlying):
numbers of deaths for all liver diseases, England, 2001–09
85+
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4

15,000

10,000

Male (underlying)

5,000

0
Number of deaths

Male (contributory)

5,000

Female (underlying)

Source: ONS mortality data

19

10,000

Female (contributory)

15,000
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

Figure 16: Cause of death as ‘mentioned’ in any cause field (contributory and underlying):
numbers of deaths by liver disease type, England, 2001–09
b) Liver cancer

85+
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4

Age group

Age group

a) Alcoholic liver disease

5,000

4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

85+
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4

5,000

4,000

3,000

2,000

Number of deaths
Male (underlying)

Male (contributory)

Female (underlying)

Female (contributory)

Male (underlying)

Age group

Age group
3,000

2,000

1,000

0

Male (contributory)

Male (contributory)

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

5,000

Female (contributory)

4,000

Male (underlying)

Age group

Age group
3,000

2,000

5,000

Female (underlying)

Female (contributory)

3,000

2,000

1,000

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

Male (contributory)

Female (underlying)

Female (contributory)

1,000

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

85+
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
5,000

5,000

4,000

Number of deaths
Male (underlying)

4,000

f) Viral liver disease

85+
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
4,000

3,000

Number of deaths

Female (underlying)

e) Fatty liver disease

5,000

2,000

85+
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4

Number of deaths
Male (underlying)

1,000

d) Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice

85+
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
4,000

0

Number of deaths

c) Other chronic liver disease

5,000

1,000

Male (contributory)

Female (underlying)

3,000

2,000

1,000

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

Number of deaths
Female (contributory)

Male (underlying)

Source: ONS mortality data

20

Male (contributory)

Female (underlying)

Female (contributory)
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

3.8 Place of death
Over two thirds of people whose death had an underlying cause of liver disease died in
hospital, compared to a little over half of all recorded deaths from any cause. Figure 17
shows that 73% of liver disease deaths occurred in hospital, and 19% in „own residence‟.
Figure 17: Distribution of liver disease deaths by place of death, England, 2001–09
80

Percentage of deaths

70
60
50
40

30
20
10
0
Hospital

Own residence

Hospice

Nursing homes

Old people's
homes

Elsewhere

Place of death

Source: ONS Mortality data

3.8.1 Place of death and cause of death


Figure 18 shows that of the 7,653 liver disease deaths in hospital each
year, 3,113 had an underlying cause of alcoholic liver disease.



Of the 2,013 liver disease deaths in „own residence‟, 664 had an
underlying cause of alcoholic liver disease.



Old people‟s homes and nursing homes are uncommon places for deaths
caused by liver disease. Alcoholic liver disease, despite being the most
common underlying cause of liver disease death, was a particularly rare
cause of death in old people‟s and nursing homes. Table 4 shows that liver
disease deaths in these places are primarily caused by liver cancer or
„other chronic liver disease‟.



Hospices care predominately for people with cancer. Very few liver disease
deaths in hospices are from a cause other than liver cancer.

21
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

Figure 18: Place of death by underlying cause: average annual number of liver disease deaths
in England, 2001–09
3,500

Number of deaths

3,000
2,500

2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
Hospital

Own residence

Hospice

Nursing homes

Old people's
homes

Elsewhere

Place of death
Alcoholic liver disease

Liver cancer

Other chronic liver disease

Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice

Fatty liver disease

Viral liver disease

Source: ONS mortality data

Table 4: Distribution of liver disease death types (underlying cause) by place of death,
England, 2001–09
Hospital
%

Underlying cause

Own
residence
%

Hospice
%

Nursing
homes
%

Old people's
homes
%

Elsewhere
%

Alcoholic liver disease

40.7

33.0

3.2

13.9

13.1

35.7

Liver cancer

15.7

29.5

90.0

47.0

41.1

25.0

Other chronic liver disease

19.2

21.3

4.1

24.6

23.2

19.5

Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice

16.3

7.0

1.3

10.1

18.1

9.0

Fatty liver disease

5.9

8.3

0.7

3.4

3.5

9.8

Viral liver disease

2.2

0.9

0.6

1.0

1.0

1.1

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

Total

Source: ONS mortality data



Figure 19 shows that, for each liver disease type, hospital is the most
common place of death.



The proportion of deaths in hospital is highest for pancreatitis LFT and
jaundice (86%) and viral liver disease (87%), and lowest for liver cancer
(50%).

22
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

Figure 19: Distribution of place of death by liver disease type (underlying cause), England,
2001–09
100
90

Percentage of deaths

80
70
60
50

40
30
20
10
0
Alcoholic liver
disease

Liver cancer

Other chronic Pancreatitis LFTs
liver disease
or jaundice

Fatty liver
disease

Viral liver disease

Cause of death

Hospital

Own residence

Hospice

Nursing homes

Old people's homes

Elsewhere

Note: Percentages add to 100% for each underlying cause.
Source: ONS mortality data

3.8.2 Place of death and age at death


The proportion of liver disease deaths that occur in hospital varies little by
age. Figure 20 shows that this proportion is between 71% and 74% in each
age group.



Non-hospital deaths from liver disease are most likely to be in „own
residence‟ for all age groups. However, death in own residence is least
common for the oldest (80+).



Nursing and old people‟s homes, often the usual place of residence for the
most elderly, is the most common place of death for the most elderly.



Hospices are the most common place of death in the 70–79 age group.



The proportion of liver disease deaths occurring „elsewhere‟ is highest for
the youngest (0–39) age group.

23
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

Figure 20: Distribution of liver disease deaths by place of death and age, England, 2001–09
80

Percentage of deaths

70
60
50

40
30
20
10
0

Hospital
N=68,880

Own residence
N=18,120

Hospice
N=3,909

Nursing homes
N=1,838

Old people's
homes
N=978

Elsewhere
N=1,172

Place of death
0-39

40-49

50-59

60-69

70-79

80+

Note: Percentages add to 100% for each age group.
Source: ONS mortality data

See Appendix 2 for charts of place of death broken down by both age and underlying
cause.



For each underlying cause, the pattern of place of death by age is broadly
similar to the all liver disease pattern. The strongest age effect is for deaths
with an underlying cause of fatty liver disease and „pancreatitis LFTs or
jaundice‟. For both of these causes, the proportion of deaths in hospital
increases with age and the proportion of deaths in own residence
decreases with age.

Figure 21 shows the distribution of age at death by place of death. It is clear that hospital
deaths in age groups over 50 are quite evenly spread.



Deaths in old people‟s homes are predominantly people aged 70 or over.



Liver disease deaths at home peak in the 50–59 age group.



Most hospice deaths are people aged over 60, with the highest proportion
aged 70–79 years.



More than half the liver disease deaths „elsewhere‟ (that is, public places,
other people‟s homes, or non-medical communal establishments) are aged
under 60.

24
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

Figure 21: Distribution of liver disease deaths by age at death and place, England,
2001–09
70

Percentage of deaths

60

50

40

30

20

10

0
Hospital

Own residence

Hospice

Nursing homes

Old people's
homes

Elsewhere

Place of death
0-39

40-49

50-59

60-69

70-79

80+

Note: Percentages add to 100% for each place of death.
Source: ONS mortality data

3.8.3 Place of death and region
There is little variation in the distribution of place of death between former Government
Office Regions. Figure 22 shows that, for each region, the proportion of liver disease
deaths in hospital is between 70% and 75%.
Figure 22: Distribution of liver disease deaths by place of death and Government Office
Region, England, 2001–09
80
70

Percentage of deaths

60
50
40
30
20

10
0

East
Midlands

East of
England

London

North
East

North
West

South
East

Government Office Region

South
West

West
Yorkshire
Midlands and the
Humber

Hospital

Own residence

Hospice

Nursing homes

Old people's homes

Elsewhere

Note: Percentages add to 100% for each Government Office Region.
Source: ONS mortality data

25
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

4

Deaths from Liver Disease

Conclusions and recommendations




The data on contributory cause recording highlights how important it is to
search the entire mortality record for mentions of these conditions to get a
clearer picture of deaths in which liver disease is involved.



People dying with liver disease recorded as either an underlying or
contributory cause of death are likely to have specific end of life care
needs related to these conditions.



Patient choice and need for those with alcoholic liver disease should be
prioritised, as alcoholic liver disease causes more deaths than the other
liver diseases.



Commissioners should review the prevalence of alcoholic liver disease and
number of deaths in their population for service planning.



5

This report is the first to provide a high-level overview of mortality data
from liver disease in England. It shows the absolute numbers of deaths by
underlying cause and by underlying and contributory cause combined
(„mentions‟).

End of life care needs to be considered within the broader spectrum of
„overall care‟ for individuals living with liver diseases. This could be
achieved through raising awareness and enhancing skills for clinical staff
working in liver medicine.

Future investigations
This report is the first in a series on end of life care for patients with liver disease. Future
analyses will examine the pattern of admissions and type of care received in hospital
during the last year of life for those dying both in and out of hospital.

26
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

References
Department of Health (2008). End of Life Care Strategy: promoting high quality care for all
adults at the end of life. Available from:
http://www.dh.gov.uk/en/Publicationsandstatistics/Publications/PublicationsPolicyAndGuida
nce/DH_086277
Department of Health (2012). Healthy Lives, Healthy People: Improving outcomes and
supporting transparency. Available from:
http://www.dh.gov.uk/en/Publicationsandstatistics/Publications/PublicationsPolicyAndGuida
nce/DH_132358
Department of Health (2010). Healthy Lives, Healthy People Transparency in outcomes - a
framework for the NHS: Impact Assessment. Available from:
http://www.dh.gov.uk/en/Consultations/Closedconsultations/DH_117583
Eileen Kaner, et al, (2007). A rapid review of liver disease epidemiology, treatment and
service provision in England. Available from:
http://www.ncl.ac.uk/ihs/assets/pdfs/liverreview.pdf

27
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

Appendix 1: Trends in deaths from
alcoholic liver disease, including deaths in
2010
Figure A1: Trends in number of deaths from alcoholic liver disease (underlying cause) by age,
England, 2001–10
1,600

Number of deaths

1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Year
0-39

40-49

50-59

60-69

70-79

80+

Source: ONS mortality data

Figure A2: Trends in deaths from alcoholic liver disease (underlying cause) as a percentage
of all liver disease deaths in England, 2001–10
80

Percentage of deaths

70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Year
0-39

40-49

50-59

Source: ONS mortality data

28

60-69

70-79

80+
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

Appendix 2: Distribution of place of death
by age at death for each underlying cause
Figure A3: Distribution of place of death for alcoholic liver disease, England, 2001–09
100

Percentage of deaths

90
80

70
60
50
40
30
20
10

0
Hospital
N=28,018

Own residence
N=5,975

Hospice
N=127

Nursing homes
N=255

Old people's
homes
N=128

Elsewhere
N=418

Place of death
0-39

40-49

50-59

60-69

70-79

80+

Note: Percentages add to 100% for each age group.
Source: ONS mortality data

Figure A4: Distribution of place of death for Liver cancer, England 2001-09
100
90

Percentage of deaths

80
70

60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Hospital
N=10,810

Own residence
N=5,354

Hospice
N=3,518

Nursing homes
N=865

Old people's
homes
N=402

Elsewhere
N=293

Place of death
0-39

40-49

50-59

60-69

Note: Percentages add to 100% for each age group.
Source: ONS mortality data

29

70-79

80+
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

Figure A5: Distribution of place of death for ‘other chronic liver disease’, England, 2001–09
100

Percentage of deaths

90
80
70

60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Hospital
N=13,229

Own residence
N=3,868

Hospice
N=161

Nursing homes
N=452

Old people's
homes
N=227

Elsewhere
N=228

Place of death
0-39

40-49

50-59

60-69

70-79

80+

Note: Percentages add to 100% for each age group.
Source: ONS mortality data

Figure A6: Distribution of place of death for pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice, England, 2001–09
100
90

Percentage of deaths

80
70

60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Hospital
N=11,233

Own residence
N=1, 261

Hospice
N=52

Nursing homes
N=185

Old people's
homes
N=177

Elsewhere
N=105

Place of death
0-39

40-49

50-59

60-69

Note: Percentages add to 100% for each age group.
Source: ONS mortality data

30

70-79

80+
National End of Life Care Intelligence Network

Deaths from Liver Disease

Figure A7: Distribution of place of death for fatty liver disease, England, 2001–09
100

90

Percentage of deaths

80
70
60

50
40
30
20

10
0
Hospital
N=4,095

Own residence
N=1,502

Hospice
N= 27

Nursing homes
N=63

Old people's
homes
N=34

Elsewhere
N= 115

Place of death
0-39

40-49

50-59

60-69

70-79

80+

Note: Percentages add to 100% for each age group.
Source: ONS mortality data

Figure A8: Distribution of place of death for viral liver disease, England, 2001–09
100
90

Percentage of deaths

80
70

60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Hospital
N=1,495

Own residence
N=160

Hospice
N=24

Nursing homes
N=18

Old people's
homes
N=10

Elsewhere
N=13

Place of death
0-39

40-49

50-59

60-69

Note: Percentages add to 100% for each age group.
Source: ONS mortality data

31

70-79

80+
National End of Life
Care Programme
Improving end of life care

If you would like to know more about the National End of Life Care
Intelligence Network:

•
•
•
•
•
•

Visit the website - www.endoflifecare-intelligence.org.uk
Keep up to date with the latest news
Sign up to receive email alerts
Browse end of life care resources
View end of life care data
Read our reports.

Further information
This report is available online at:
www.endoflifecare-intelligence.org.uk

Author contact details
Kufre Effiong, End of Life Care Analyst,
Ade Osinowo, Senior End of Life Care Analyst,
Andy Pring, Senior Analyst and Julia Verne, Director
South West Public Health Observatory
Grosvenor House
149 Whiteladies Road
Bristol BS8 2RA
T:	
F:	
E:	

0117 970 6474
0117 970 6481
info@swpho.nhs.uk

Publication details
Published by: National End of Life Care Intelligence
Network
Publication date: March 2012
ISBN 978-0-9570224-1-6

About the National End
of Life Care Intelligence
Network
The Department of Health’s National End of Life
Care Strategy, published in 2008, pledged to
commission a National End of Life Care Intelligence
Network (NEoLCIN). The Network was launched
in May 2010. It is tasked with collating existing
data and information on end of life care for adults
in England. This is with the aim of helping the
NHS and its partners commission and deliver high
quality end of life care, in a way that makes the
most efficient use of resources and responds to the
wishes of dying people and their families.
Key partners include the National Cancer
Intelligence Network (NCIN), which will work
closely with the Network to improve end of life care
intelligence; and the South West Public Health
Observatory, lead public health observatory for end
of life care, which hosts the NEoLCIN website. The
SWPHO has been commissioned to produce key
outputs and analyses for the Network, including the
national End of Life Care Profiles.
See www.endoflifecare-intelligence.org.uk
for more information about the Network and its
partners.
© Crown Copyright 2012

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Death from liver disease : Implications for end of life care in England

  • 1. National End of Life Care Programme Improving end of life care Deaths from liver disease Implications for end of life care in England March 2012 www.endoflifecare-intelligence.org.uk
  • 2.
  • 3. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease Foreword The number of people who die from liver disease in England is rising. There was a 25% increase in liver disease deaths between 2001 and 2009. This is in contrast to other major causes of death, which have been declining. Although numbers of deaths due to cancer, vascular or respiratory disease are still much greater, liver disease kills people at a much younger age – a striking 90% of people who die from liver disease are under 70 years old. When measured as 'years of life lost', liver disease is therefore much more prominent. This report makes for stark reading on this subject. There are a number of reasons why end of life care for people with liver disease is particularly challenging. Patients tend to be younger and often come from either isolated or ethnically diverse subcultures. They are more likely to have come to healthcare attention by circuitous routes of access. They may feel great stigma associated with their disease, the progress of which is punctuated by acute exacerbations. Most of all, perhaps, it is challenging because the cause of their death may have been preventable. With over 70% of people with liver disease dying in hospital, this report is timely in helping us understand the challenges in managing end of life care for this patient group. The key drivers for the growth in burden and mortality from liver disease are all preventable: alcohol, obesity, hepatitis C and hepatitis B. The outcomes frameworks which have followed on from the government White Papers Liberating the NHS and Healthy Lives, Healthy People both set an ambition for reduction of mortality in people under 75 years. Addressing the underlying causes and consequences of liver disease will therefore be important in efforts to achieve this reduction. Even if policy and public health measures were one hundred percent effective, we know that the long 'gestation' period for progression of liver disease will result in the continued presentation of liver disease to health service providers for years to come. Professor Martin Lombard National Clinical Director for Liver Disease 1
  • 4. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease Contents Foreword .............................................................................................................................. 1 Summary .............................................................................................................................. 3 1 Introduction .................................................................................................................. 4 1.1 2 Aims .................................................................................................................... 4 Methodological notes .................................................................................................. 5 2.1 2.2 Analysis .............................................................................................................. 5 2.3 Liver disease categories ..................................................................................... 5 2.4 Cause of death ................................................................................................... 6 2.5 Place of death..................................................................................................... 6 2.6 3 Source of data .................................................................................................... 5 Analysis by deprivation quintile .......................................................................... 7 Results .......................................................................................................................... 8 3.1 The number of deaths from liver disease ........................................................... 8 3.2 Regional variation ............................................................................................... 9 3.3 Variation with sex ............................................................................................. 12 3.4 Variation with age at death ............................................................................... 13 3.5 Variations with age at death and sex ............................................................... 16 3.6 Variation with deprivation ................................................................................. 17 3.7 Deaths with any mention of liver disease ......................................................... 19 3.8 Place of death................................................................................................... 21 4 Conclusions and recommendations ........................................................................ 26 5 Future investigations ................................................................................................. 26 References ......................................................................................................................... 27 Appendix 1: Trends in deaths from alcoholic liver disease, including deaths in 2010 ................................................................................................................................ 28 Appendix 2: Distribution of place of death by age at death for each underlying cause .................................................................................................................................. 29 2
  • 5. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease Summary This report presents key facts about deaths from liver disease in England. It highlights differences in place and cause of death by age, sex and deprivation. It is aimed at commissioners and providers of end of life care, clinicians caring for patients with liver disease, and others concerned with providing quality end of life care for this patient group, including patients themselves and their carers. Key findings:  Liver disease causes approximately 2% of all deaths.  The number of people who die from liver disease in England is rising (from 9,231 in 2001 to 11,575 in 2009).  More men than women die from liver disease (60% are men, 40% women).  Liver disease disproportionately affects younger age groups:  90% of people who die from liver disease are under 70 years old  more than 1 in 10 of deaths of people in their 40s are from liver disease, most of them from alcoholic liver disease.  Alcoholic liver disease accounts for well over a third (37%) of liver disease deaths.  There are three times as many deaths from alcoholic liver disease in the most deprived areas as in the least deprived.  People dying from liver disease often have complex end of life care needs and over 70% die in hospital. Death from liver disease is often associated with stigma. Many but by no means all of the people dying from liver disease come from deprived socioeconomic backgrounds. Those dying of alcoholic liver disease may have mental health problems and/or drug dependence problems which complicate their social circumstances such that they have little family or social support. The course of advanced liver disease is also complicated, with acute and sometimes near fatal exacerbations necessitating hospital admission, but from which patients can make a good recovery. For these reasons, end of life care discussions and planning are challenging. This report gives the first summary of high level statistics on deaths from liver disease on which future discussions can be built. 3
  • 6. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network 1 Deaths from Liver Disease Introduction In England, 2% of deaths between 2001 and 2009 were from liver disease (that is, an average of 10,544 people each year had a liver disease recorded as the underlying cause of death on their death certificate). The proportion of deaths in England with a mention of liver disease (that is, either as the underlying cause or a contributory cause) on the death certificate, in the same time period, was 3%. 1.1 Aims The aim of this report is to analyse and present the latest data on place of death for those with liver disease and to show how this varies with sex, age, region, socioeconomic deprivation and place. It will help inform decisions by end of life care policy makers, commissioners and providers, and inform patients, their carers and the non-statutory bodies who support them. The report was commissioned by the National End of Life Care Intelligence Network to support national end of life care service planning and development. National strategy and policy supporting this work includes:  The National End of Life Care Strategy (Department of Health, 2008)  Improving Liver health and Outcomes in Liver disease (National Liver Plan, 2009)  Reducing Alcoholic Harm: Health Service in England for Alcoholic misuse (National Audit Office: Department of Health, 2008)  Public Health Outcomes Framework (Department of Health, 2012)  The NHS Transparency in Outcomes Impact Assessment (Department of Health, 2010). Also, a national strategy for liver disease is currently being produced by the Department of Health. 4
  • 7. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network 2 Deaths from Liver Disease Methodological notes 2.1 Source of data All data presented in this report are from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) mortality files. The mortality files contain extracts from death certificates. Key data items used for this analysis include place of death, postcode of „normal‟ place of residence, date of birth, sex and cause of death. 2.2 Analysis Data in this report are presented as absolute numbers and proportions, as well as some age-standardised rates, to support service planning. 2.3 Liver disease categories The following liver disease categories, approved by the National Clinical Director for liver disease, were used. Definitions draw on information from The British Liver Trust (www.britishlivertrust.org.uk):  alcoholic liver disease  fatty liver disease There should be little or no fat in a healthy liver. Fatty liver is the name given to a condition in which you have too much fat in your liver. Today it is one of the most common forms of liver disease and is known to lead to advanced conditions. The effects of having fat in the liver over a long period may lead to inflammation causing swelling and tenderness (hepatitis) and then to scarring (fibrosis). This condition can be caused by excess alcohol, and is then called alcoholic liver disease, or it can have other causes, for example diabetes, and is then called fatty liver disease.  liver cancer In this report, liver cancer is only primary malignant tumours of the liver. Benign tumours and tumours resulting from spread of cancer from other organs of the body also occur in the liver, but deaths from these conditions have not been included.  other chronic liver disease Deaths from conditions in this group are dominated by fibrosis and cirrhosis of the liver. Cirrhosis is the result of long-term, continuous damage to the liver and may be due to many different causes. The damage leads to scarring, known as fibrosis. Irregular bumps (nodules) replace the smooth liver tissue and the liver becomes harder. Together, the scarring and the nodules are called cirrhosis.  hepato pancreatic biliary (HPB) (Pancreatitis) patients likely to present with abnormal liver function tests (LFTs) or jaundice This category is defined quite broadly; as alcohol is a major cause of pancreatitis, a proportion of patients with HPB will also have liver disease. Also, it can be difficult to discern whether jaundice and abnormal liver function tests have their cause in the liver, biliary tract or pancreas.  viral liver disease Includes acute and chronic viral hepatitis. 5
  • 8. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease 2.4 Cause of death The single „underlying‟ cause of death is determined from the death certificate by the ONS and coded using the ICD-10 system (International Classification of Disease, tenth issue). This coding system was used to categorise cause of death in this report as follows: Alcoholic liver disease K70* Fatty liver disease K76* Liver cancer C22* Other chronic liver disease B581,D868, I820 ,J632, K770, O226, O904, Q446, T391, T864, Z944, Y830, I81, K71, K72*, K73*, K74*, K75*, K76*, I85* Hepato pancreatic biliary (HPB) (pancreatitis) patients likely to present with abnormal liver function tests (LFTs) or jaundice K85, K830, K831, K838, K839, K86* Viral liver disease B008, B251,B15*,B16*,B17*,B18*,B19* Note: * indicates the inclusion of 4-digit ICD-10 codes While it is acknowledged that the information on death certificates is not completely reliable, they are, however, a valuable source of information. The ‘underlying cause’ of death is defined by the World Health Organisation as “the disease or injury that initiated the train of events directly linked to death; or the circumstances of the accident or violence that produced the fatal injury”. It is the cause of death recorded on a death certificate. Death certificates also record ‘contributory cause’ of death where a disease or condition has contributed to the death but is not part of the causal sequence; and also up to 15 diseases or conditions which were part of the causal sequence of events leading to death. For the purpose of this report ‘mentions’ refer to those deaths where liver disease is recorded as either the underlying or contributory cause of death. 2.5 Place of death The ONS describes place of death as one of 84 communal establishment types or „own residence‟ or „elsewhere‟. These are categorised further by ONS in their DH1 General Mortality Statistics publication:  Hospital: NHS or non-NHS, acute, community or psychiatric hospitals/units.  Own residence: the death occurred in the place of usual residence where this is not a communal establishment.  Old people‟s home: Local Authority or private residential home.  Nursing home: NHS or private nursing home.  Hospice: many hospices are „free standing‟ but some are found within NHS hospitals. At present ONS classifies the place of death as hospice only when the event occurred in a free standing hospice premises. These data will therefore under-report deaths in hospices as some will be recorded as a death in hospital.  Elsewhere: other communal establishment or a private address other than normal place of residence or outdoor location or nil recorded. 6
  • 9. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease 2.6 Analysis by deprivation quintile Lower Super Output Areas (LSOAs) are small geographical areas specifically devised to improve the reporting and comparison of local statistics. In England, there are 32,482 LSOAs (minimum population 1,000). The Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD 2007) is a measure of how deprived each LSOA is, based on income, employment, health, deprivation, education, skills, training and geographical access to services. LSOAs are grouped into quintiles according to the rank of their deprivation score such that each quintile has an equal resident population. The residential postcode recorded on the death certificate was used to place each deceased person in an LSOA and assign that death to the deprivation quintile of the LSOA. 7
  • 10. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network 3 Deaths from Liver Disease Results 3.1 The number of deaths from liver disease In England, 2% of deaths (an average of 10,544 deaths each year for the period 2001–09) were recorded as having an underlying cause of liver disease. The number of liver disease deaths has been steadily increasing. Figure 1 shows the rise from 9,231 deaths in 2001 to 11,575 in 2009. Figure 1: Number of deaths with underlying cause of liver disease, England, 2001–09 14,000 12,000 Number of deaths 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: ONS mortality data Figure 2 shows the average annual number and proportion of deaths by liver disease type (underlying cause). It shows that:  The most common cause of liver disease death is „alcoholic liver disease‟ (0.8% of all deaths in England; 3,880 deaths annually).  Liver cancer accounts for about 0.5% of all deaths in England (2,360 deaths annually).  Other chronic liver disease accounts for about 0.4% of all deaths in England (2,000 deaths annually).  Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice accounts for 0.3% of all deaths in England (1,446 deaths annually).  Fatty liver disease accounts for around 0.1% of all deaths in England (648 deaths annually).  Viral liver disease accounts for less than 0.1% of all deaths in England (191 deaths annually). 8
  • 11. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease Figure 2: Cause of death (underlying cause): number and proportion of all deaths, England, 2001–09 0.9 N=3,880 0.8 Percentage of deaths 0.7 0.6 N=2,360 0.5 N=2,018 0.4 N=1,446 0.3 0.2 N=648 0.1 N=191 0.0 Alcoholic liver disease Liver cancer Other chronic Pancreatitis liver disease LFTs or jaundice Fatty liver disease Viral liver disease Cause of death Source: ONS mortality data 3.2 Regional variation  Deaths from liver disease vary by former Government Office Region, ranging from 800 to 1,900 liver disease deaths each year. Figure 3 shows that the regions with the highest number of liver disease deaths are the North West (1,899), South East (1,503) and London (1,424).  The regions with the highest average annual number of alcoholic liver disease deaths are North West (809), South East (504), and West Midlands (501). Figure 3: Cause of death (underlying cause) by Government Office Region in England: average annual number of deaths, 2001–09 2,000 1,800 1,600 Number of deaths 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 East East of Midlands England London North East North West South East South West West Yorkshire Midlands and the Humber Government Office Region Alcoholic liver disease Other chronic liver disease Fatty liver disease Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice Source: ONS mortality data 9 Liver cancer Viral liver disease
  • 12. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease  This variation is partly explained by variation in the population of each region. The South East has the largest population (8,436,000 in 2009) and the North East the smallest (2,584,262).  To better compare „how common‟ death from liver disease is in each region, Figures 4a and 4b, and Tables 1 and 2, show age-standardised mortality rates (ASMR) for males and females respectively. The ASMR is the number of deaths for each 100,000 of the population adjusted for a standard age distribution. That is, it accounts, for example, for the effect of the South West having a relatively older population and London a relatively younger population.  The regions with the highest ASMR for liver disease are the North West and North East, for both males and females, although the rate in males is almost double that in females. The third highest ASMR for males is in London but for females it is in the West Midlands.  The regions with the lowest ASMR for liver disease are the East of England, South West and South East, for both males and females.  For both males and females the highest ASMR (North West) is approximately double the lowest (East of England).  ASMRs for alcoholic liver disease follow a similar pattern to that for all liver disease, except in London where the rate is lower than that West Midlands and Yorkshire and Humber.  The regional deaths from liver disease show some correlation with data presented in the Local Alcohol Profiles for England (North West Public Health Observatory, www.lape.org.uk) which shows that in 2010/11 the highest rates of alcohol attributable hospital admissions were in the North East, North West and Yorkshire and the Humber, while the lowest rates were in the South East, East of England and South West. Figure 4a: Cause of death (underlying cause) by Government Office Region in England: age-standardised rate for males, 2001–09 Age-standardised rate per 100,000 population 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 East Midlands East of England London North East North West South East South West West Yorkshire Midlands and the Humber Government Office Region Alcoholic liver disease Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice Liver cancer Fatty liver disease Source: ONS mortality data 10 Other chronic liver disease Viral liver disease
  • 13. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease Table 1: Age-standardised rates (per 100,000) of liver disease in males by former Government Office Region, 2001–09 Government Office Region Alcoholic Other Pancreatitis liver Fatty liver Liver chronic liver LFTs or Viral liver All liver disease disease cancer disease jaundice disease disease East Midlands 9.0 1.1 3.9 3.4 2.4 0.3 20.1 East of England 6.4 0.9 3.7 3.1 2.0 0.3 16.5 London 9.5 2.5 6.4 6.2 2.2 1.1 27.8 North East 13.4 1.6 5.6 4.4 3.0 0.2 28.3 North West 14.9 2.2 5.3 4.9 2.7 0.5 30.5 South East 7.9 1.1 4.1 3.6 2.0 0.5 19.2 South West 8.8 0.7 4.2 2.8 2.0 0.3 18.9 West Midlands 12.3 1.3 4.7 3.7 2.5 0.5 25.0 Yorkshire and the Humber 10.5 1.5 4.4 3.4 2.5 0.4 22.6 England 10.1 1.4 4.6 4.0 2.3 0.5 22.9 Source: ONS mortality data Figure 4b: Cause of death (underlying cause) by Government Office Region in England: age-standardised rate in females, 2001–09 Age-standardised rate per 100,000 population 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 East Midlands East of England London North East North West South East South West West Yorkshire Midlands and the Humber Government Office Region Alcoholic liver disease Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice Liver cancer Fatty liver disease Other chronic liver disease Viral liver disease Source: ONS mortality data Table 2: Age-standardised rates (per 100,000) of liver disease in females by former Government Office Region in England, 2001–09 Government Office Region Alcoholic liver disease Fatty liver disease Liver cancer Other Pancreatitis chronic liver LFTs or Viral liver disease jaundice disease All liver disease East Midlands 4.7 0.8 2.3 2.5 1.7 0.2 East of England 3.3 0.6 2.0 2.2 1.2 0.1 9.4 London 3.5 1.1 2.7 3.3 1.4 0.5 12.6 North East 6.8 1.0 2.6 2.9 2.1 0.1 15.5 North West 8.0 1.3 2.7 3.3 2.0 0.2 17.5 South East 3.6 0.7 2.0 2.5 1.4 0.1 10.3 South West 4.0 0.5 2.0 1.9 1.3 0.1 9.8 West Midlands 5.8 0.8 2.5 2.6 1.8 0.2 13.6 Yorkshire and the Humber 4.9 0.8 2.5 2.3 1.7 0.2 12.3 England 4.8 1.6 0.8 2.3 2.6 0.2 12.4 Source: ONS mortality data 11 12.0
  • 14. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease 3.3 Variation with sex  Figures 5 and 6 indicate that more deaths from „alcoholic liver disease‟ occurred amongst males (2,588 deaths, 41% of liver disease deaths annually) compared to females (1,292 deaths, 30% of liver disease deaths annually).  For each cause of death, except pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice, deaths in males exceeded deaths in females. Figure 5: Cause of death (underlying cause) by sex: Average annual number of liver disease deaths in males and females in England, 2001–09 3,000 Number of deaths 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 Alcoholic liver disease Liver cancer Other chronic Pancreatitis liver disease LFTs or jaundice Fatty liver disease Viral liver disease Cause of death Male Female Source: ONS mortality data Figure 6: Cause of death (underlying cause) by sex: proportion of liver disease deaths in males and females in England, 2001–09 45 40 Percentage of deaths 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Alcoholic liver disease Liver cancer Other chronic liver disease Cause of death Male Female Source: ONS mortality data 12 Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice Fatty liver disease Viral liver disease
  • 15. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease 3.4 Variation with age at death  Figure 7 shows that, the average annual number of liver disease deaths is greatest in the 50–59 age group (2,250 deaths), followed by 60–69 (2,185 deaths) and 70–79 (2,110 deaths).  The average annual number of alcoholic liver disease deaths is greatest in the 50–59 age group (1,267 deaths), 40–49 (981 deaths), and 60–69 (865 deaths).  Figure 8 and Table 3 show the proportion of deaths caused by liver disease. These proportions vary considerably by age group for each underlying cause of death. They are lowest for deaths at age 80+ years for each cause of death and highest for deaths at age 40–49 for each cause, except viral liver disease.  Death from liver disease as a proportion of all deaths is greatest among 40–49 year-olds. In this age group, more than one death in ten is caused by liver disease, mostly alcoholic liver disease.  Figures 9 and 10 show a rising trend in deaths from „alcoholic liver disease‟ in the 40–49, 50–59 and 60–69 age groups respectively. See Appendix 1 for trend charts which include 2010 data. Figure 7: Cause of death (underlying cause) by age: Average annual number of liver disease deaths in each age group in England, 2001–09 2,500 Number of deaths 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 0-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80+ Age group Alcoholic liver disease Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice Liver cancer Fatty liver disease Source: ONS mortality data 13 Other chronic liver disease Viral liver disease
  • 16. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease Figure 8: Cause of death (underlying cause) by age: proportion of all deaths in each age group in England, 2001–09 12 Percentage of all deaths 10 8 6 4 2 0 0-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80+ Age group Alcoholic liver disease Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice Liver cancer Fatty liver disease Other chronic liver disease Viral liver disease Source: ONS mortality data Table 3: Liver disease as a percentage of all deaths by age, England 2001–09 0-39 % Underlying cause 40-49 % 50-59 % 60-69 % 70-79 % 80+ % Alcoholic liver disease 2.3 7.3 4.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 Liver cancer 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.3 Other chronic liver disease 0.6 1.7 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 Fatty liver disease 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Viral liver disease 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 All liver disease 4.0 11.4 7.7 3.8 1.8 0.7 Source: ONS mortality data Figure 9: Trends in number of deaths from alcoholic liver disease (underlying cause), by age, England, 2001–09 1,600 Number of deaths 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year 0-39 40-49 50-59 Source: ONS mortality data 14 60-69 70-79 80+
  • 17. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease Percentage of deaths from liver disease Figure 10: Trends in deaths from alcoholic liver disease (underlying cause) as a percentage of all liver disease deaths, England, 2001–09 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year 0-39 40-49 50-59 Source: ONS mortality data 15 60-69 70-79 80+
  • 18. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease 3.5 Variations with age at death and sex  Deaths from liver disease in males exceed those in females for all age groups except the oldest, 80+. Figure 11 shows that male deaths are approximately double female deaths up to the age of 60, above which the gender difference reduces and eventually reverses for the oldest group.  Figure 12 shows the same data as proportions of all recorded deaths from each cause. The proportion of deaths was higher in males than females for all age groups except the 0–39 age group, which had equal proportions of male and female deaths.  The proportion of all deaths that are caused by alcoholic liver disease is highest in the 40–49 and 50–59 age groups (8% of 40–49 year-olds and 5% of 50–59 year-olds for males; 6% of 40–49 year-olds and 4% of 50–59 year-olds for females). Figure 11: Cause of death (underlying cause) by age and sex: average annual number of liver disease deaths in males and females, by age group, in England, 2001–09 1,600 1,400 Number of deaths 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female 0-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80+ Age group Alcoholic liver disease Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice Liver cancer Fatty liver disease Source: ONS mortality data 16 Other chronic liver disease Viral liver disease
  • 19. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease Figure 12: Cause of death (underlying cause) by age and sex: proportion of all deaths in males and females, by age, in England, 2001–09 14 Percentage of deaths 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male 0-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 Female 80+ Age group Alcoholic liver disease Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice Liver cancer Fatty liver disease Other chronic liver disease Viral liver disease Source: ONS mortality data 3.6 Variation with deprivation  Figure 13 shows that the number of patients dying from liver disease was greatest in the most deprived quintiles, with a clear gradient from most to least deprived. For alcoholic liver disease, 1,345 deaths occurred annually in people who lived in the most deprived quintile in England, 3.4 times more than the 393 deaths in the least deprived quintile.  For each liver disease type there is a deprivation gradient, with most deaths in the most deprived quintile.  Figure 14 shows that alcoholic liver disease accounted for a much higher proportion of all liver disease deaths in the most deprived quintile (44%) compared with the least deprived (28%). 17
  • 20. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease Figure 13: Cause of death (underlying cause) by deprivation quintile: average annual number of liver disease deaths, England, 2001–09 1,600 1,400 1,200 Number of deaths 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 Alcoholic liver disease Liver cancer Other chronic Pancreatitis liver disease LFTs or jaundice Fatty liver disease Viral liver disease Cause of death Most deprived Least deprived Note: IMD=Index of Multiple Deprivation Source: ONS mortality data Figure 14: Cause of death (underlying cause) by deprivation quintile: proportion of all liver disease deaths in each deprivation quintile, England, 2001–09 50 45 Percentage of liver disease deaths 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Alcoholic liver disease Liver cancer Other chronic Pancreatitis liver disease LFTs or jaundice Fatty liver disease Cause of death Most deprived Least deprived Note: IMD=Index of Multiple Deprivation Source: ONS mortality data 18 Viral liver disease
  • 21. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease 3.7 Deaths with any mention of liver disease Liver disease is a contributory cause of death for an average of 5,636 people each year (England 2001–09). A contributory cause is one that is recorded on the death certificate as a condition that contributed to the death. It is distinct from the underlying cause. In this section, we present the number of deaths for which liver disease is recorded as the i) the underlying cause, ii) a contributory cause and iii) these two combined to give the number of „mentions‟ for that cause (see Section 2.4). In England, approximately 16,000 people die each year with liver disease mentioned on their death certificate (underlying or contributory cause). This represents 3.4% of all deaths (Figure 15). Figures 16a–f show the patterns by liver disease type. There is considerable variation. Other chronic liver disease has the highest number of contributory cause deaths than any of the other liver disease types (4,651 deaths per year). However, fatty liver disease, with 1,801 contributory cause deaths per year, has the highest proportion of contributory cause deaths (277%) when calculated as a percentage of the number of underlying deaths. This compares with 230% for other chronic liver disease and 199% for viral liver disease. Please note, some patients may have had more than one liver disease mentioned on their death certificate. For example, they may have had an underlying cause of alcoholic liver disease and a contributory cause of fatty liver disease. This means that the totals for Figure 16 may not add up to the total in Figure 15. Age group Figure 15: Cause of death as ‘mentioned’ in any cause field (contributory and underlying): numbers of deaths for all liver diseases, England, 2001–09 85+ 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 15,000 10,000 Male (underlying) 5,000 0 Number of deaths Male (contributory) 5,000 Female (underlying) Source: ONS mortality data 19 10,000 Female (contributory) 15,000
  • 22. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease Figure 16: Cause of death as ‘mentioned’ in any cause field (contributory and underlying): numbers of deaths by liver disease type, England, 2001–09 b) Liver cancer 85+ 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 Age group Age group a) Alcoholic liver disease 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 85+ 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 Number of deaths Male (underlying) Male (contributory) Female (underlying) Female (contributory) Male (underlying) Age group Age group 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Male (contributory) Male (contributory) 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 5,000 Female (contributory) 4,000 Male (underlying) Age group Age group 3,000 2,000 5,000 Female (underlying) Female (contributory) 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 Male (contributory) Female (underlying) Female (contributory) 1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 85+ 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 5,000 5,000 4,000 Number of deaths Male (underlying) 4,000 f) Viral liver disease 85+ 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 4,000 3,000 Number of deaths Female (underlying) e) Fatty liver disease 5,000 2,000 85+ 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 Number of deaths Male (underlying) 1,000 d) Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice 85+ 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 4,000 0 Number of deaths c) Other chronic liver disease 5,000 1,000 Male (contributory) Female (underlying) 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 Number of deaths Female (contributory) Male (underlying) Source: ONS mortality data 20 Male (contributory) Female (underlying) Female (contributory)
  • 23. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease 3.8 Place of death Over two thirds of people whose death had an underlying cause of liver disease died in hospital, compared to a little over half of all recorded deaths from any cause. Figure 17 shows that 73% of liver disease deaths occurred in hospital, and 19% in „own residence‟. Figure 17: Distribution of liver disease deaths by place of death, England, 2001–09 80 Percentage of deaths 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Hospital Own residence Hospice Nursing homes Old people's homes Elsewhere Place of death Source: ONS Mortality data 3.8.1 Place of death and cause of death  Figure 18 shows that of the 7,653 liver disease deaths in hospital each year, 3,113 had an underlying cause of alcoholic liver disease.  Of the 2,013 liver disease deaths in „own residence‟, 664 had an underlying cause of alcoholic liver disease.  Old people‟s homes and nursing homes are uncommon places for deaths caused by liver disease. Alcoholic liver disease, despite being the most common underlying cause of liver disease death, was a particularly rare cause of death in old people‟s and nursing homes. Table 4 shows that liver disease deaths in these places are primarily caused by liver cancer or „other chronic liver disease‟.  Hospices care predominately for people with cancer. Very few liver disease deaths in hospices are from a cause other than liver cancer. 21
  • 24. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease Figure 18: Place of death by underlying cause: average annual number of liver disease deaths in England, 2001–09 3,500 Number of deaths 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 Hospital Own residence Hospice Nursing homes Old people's homes Elsewhere Place of death Alcoholic liver disease Liver cancer Other chronic liver disease Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice Fatty liver disease Viral liver disease Source: ONS mortality data Table 4: Distribution of liver disease death types (underlying cause) by place of death, England, 2001–09 Hospital % Underlying cause Own residence % Hospice % Nursing homes % Old people's homes % Elsewhere % Alcoholic liver disease 40.7 33.0 3.2 13.9 13.1 35.7 Liver cancer 15.7 29.5 90.0 47.0 41.1 25.0 Other chronic liver disease 19.2 21.3 4.1 24.6 23.2 19.5 Pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice 16.3 7.0 1.3 10.1 18.1 9.0 Fatty liver disease 5.9 8.3 0.7 3.4 3.5 9.8 Viral liver disease 2.2 0.9 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Total Source: ONS mortality data  Figure 19 shows that, for each liver disease type, hospital is the most common place of death.  The proportion of deaths in hospital is highest for pancreatitis LFT and jaundice (86%) and viral liver disease (87%), and lowest for liver cancer (50%). 22
  • 25. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease Figure 19: Distribution of place of death by liver disease type (underlying cause), England, 2001–09 100 90 Percentage of deaths 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Alcoholic liver disease Liver cancer Other chronic Pancreatitis LFTs liver disease or jaundice Fatty liver disease Viral liver disease Cause of death Hospital Own residence Hospice Nursing homes Old people's homes Elsewhere Note: Percentages add to 100% for each underlying cause. Source: ONS mortality data 3.8.2 Place of death and age at death  The proportion of liver disease deaths that occur in hospital varies little by age. Figure 20 shows that this proportion is between 71% and 74% in each age group.  Non-hospital deaths from liver disease are most likely to be in „own residence‟ for all age groups. However, death in own residence is least common for the oldest (80+).  Nursing and old people‟s homes, often the usual place of residence for the most elderly, is the most common place of death for the most elderly.  Hospices are the most common place of death in the 70–79 age group.  The proportion of liver disease deaths occurring „elsewhere‟ is highest for the youngest (0–39) age group. 23
  • 26. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease Figure 20: Distribution of liver disease deaths by place of death and age, England, 2001–09 80 Percentage of deaths 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Hospital N=68,880 Own residence N=18,120 Hospice N=3,909 Nursing homes N=1,838 Old people's homes N=978 Elsewhere N=1,172 Place of death 0-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80+ Note: Percentages add to 100% for each age group. Source: ONS mortality data See Appendix 2 for charts of place of death broken down by both age and underlying cause.  For each underlying cause, the pattern of place of death by age is broadly similar to the all liver disease pattern. The strongest age effect is for deaths with an underlying cause of fatty liver disease and „pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice‟. For both of these causes, the proportion of deaths in hospital increases with age and the proportion of deaths in own residence decreases with age. Figure 21 shows the distribution of age at death by place of death. It is clear that hospital deaths in age groups over 50 are quite evenly spread.  Deaths in old people‟s homes are predominantly people aged 70 or over.  Liver disease deaths at home peak in the 50–59 age group.  Most hospice deaths are people aged over 60, with the highest proportion aged 70–79 years.  More than half the liver disease deaths „elsewhere‟ (that is, public places, other people‟s homes, or non-medical communal establishments) are aged under 60. 24
  • 27. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease Figure 21: Distribution of liver disease deaths by age at death and place, England, 2001–09 70 Percentage of deaths 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Hospital Own residence Hospice Nursing homes Old people's homes Elsewhere Place of death 0-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80+ Note: Percentages add to 100% for each place of death. Source: ONS mortality data 3.8.3 Place of death and region There is little variation in the distribution of place of death between former Government Office Regions. Figure 22 shows that, for each region, the proportion of liver disease deaths in hospital is between 70% and 75%. Figure 22: Distribution of liver disease deaths by place of death and Government Office Region, England, 2001–09 80 70 Percentage of deaths 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 East Midlands East of England London North East North West South East Government Office Region South West West Yorkshire Midlands and the Humber Hospital Own residence Hospice Nursing homes Old people's homes Elsewhere Note: Percentages add to 100% for each Government Office Region. Source: ONS mortality data 25
  • 28. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network 4 Deaths from Liver Disease Conclusions and recommendations   The data on contributory cause recording highlights how important it is to search the entire mortality record for mentions of these conditions to get a clearer picture of deaths in which liver disease is involved.  People dying with liver disease recorded as either an underlying or contributory cause of death are likely to have specific end of life care needs related to these conditions.  Patient choice and need for those with alcoholic liver disease should be prioritised, as alcoholic liver disease causes more deaths than the other liver diseases.  Commissioners should review the prevalence of alcoholic liver disease and number of deaths in their population for service planning.  5 This report is the first to provide a high-level overview of mortality data from liver disease in England. It shows the absolute numbers of deaths by underlying cause and by underlying and contributory cause combined („mentions‟). End of life care needs to be considered within the broader spectrum of „overall care‟ for individuals living with liver diseases. This could be achieved through raising awareness and enhancing skills for clinical staff working in liver medicine. Future investigations This report is the first in a series on end of life care for patients with liver disease. Future analyses will examine the pattern of admissions and type of care received in hospital during the last year of life for those dying both in and out of hospital. 26
  • 29. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease References Department of Health (2008). End of Life Care Strategy: promoting high quality care for all adults at the end of life. Available from: http://www.dh.gov.uk/en/Publicationsandstatistics/Publications/PublicationsPolicyAndGuida nce/DH_086277 Department of Health (2012). Healthy Lives, Healthy People: Improving outcomes and supporting transparency. Available from: http://www.dh.gov.uk/en/Publicationsandstatistics/Publications/PublicationsPolicyAndGuida nce/DH_132358 Department of Health (2010). Healthy Lives, Healthy People Transparency in outcomes - a framework for the NHS: Impact Assessment. Available from: http://www.dh.gov.uk/en/Consultations/Closedconsultations/DH_117583 Eileen Kaner, et al, (2007). A rapid review of liver disease epidemiology, treatment and service provision in England. Available from: http://www.ncl.ac.uk/ihs/assets/pdfs/liverreview.pdf 27
  • 30. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease Appendix 1: Trends in deaths from alcoholic liver disease, including deaths in 2010 Figure A1: Trends in number of deaths from alcoholic liver disease (underlying cause) by age, England, 2001–10 1,600 Number of deaths 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year 0-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80+ Source: ONS mortality data Figure A2: Trends in deaths from alcoholic liver disease (underlying cause) as a percentage of all liver disease deaths in England, 2001–10 80 Percentage of deaths 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year 0-39 40-49 50-59 Source: ONS mortality data 28 60-69 70-79 80+
  • 31. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease Appendix 2: Distribution of place of death by age at death for each underlying cause Figure A3: Distribution of place of death for alcoholic liver disease, England, 2001–09 100 Percentage of deaths 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Hospital N=28,018 Own residence N=5,975 Hospice N=127 Nursing homes N=255 Old people's homes N=128 Elsewhere N=418 Place of death 0-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80+ Note: Percentages add to 100% for each age group. Source: ONS mortality data Figure A4: Distribution of place of death for Liver cancer, England 2001-09 100 90 Percentage of deaths 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Hospital N=10,810 Own residence N=5,354 Hospice N=3,518 Nursing homes N=865 Old people's homes N=402 Elsewhere N=293 Place of death 0-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 Note: Percentages add to 100% for each age group. Source: ONS mortality data 29 70-79 80+
  • 32. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease Figure A5: Distribution of place of death for ‘other chronic liver disease’, England, 2001–09 100 Percentage of deaths 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Hospital N=13,229 Own residence N=3,868 Hospice N=161 Nursing homes N=452 Old people's homes N=227 Elsewhere N=228 Place of death 0-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80+ Note: Percentages add to 100% for each age group. Source: ONS mortality data Figure A6: Distribution of place of death for pancreatitis LFTs or jaundice, England, 2001–09 100 90 Percentage of deaths 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Hospital N=11,233 Own residence N=1, 261 Hospice N=52 Nursing homes N=185 Old people's homes N=177 Elsewhere N=105 Place of death 0-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 Note: Percentages add to 100% for each age group. Source: ONS mortality data 30 70-79 80+
  • 33. National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Deaths from Liver Disease Figure A7: Distribution of place of death for fatty liver disease, England, 2001–09 100 90 Percentage of deaths 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Hospital N=4,095 Own residence N=1,502 Hospice N= 27 Nursing homes N=63 Old people's homes N=34 Elsewhere N= 115 Place of death 0-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80+ Note: Percentages add to 100% for each age group. Source: ONS mortality data Figure A8: Distribution of place of death for viral liver disease, England, 2001–09 100 90 Percentage of deaths 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Hospital N=1,495 Own residence N=160 Hospice N=24 Nursing homes N=18 Old people's homes N=10 Elsewhere N=13 Place of death 0-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 Note: Percentages add to 100% for each age group. Source: ONS mortality data 31 70-79 80+
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  • 36. National End of Life Care Programme Improving end of life care If you would like to know more about the National End of Life Care Intelligence Network: • • • • • • Visit the website - www.endoflifecare-intelligence.org.uk Keep up to date with the latest news Sign up to receive email alerts Browse end of life care resources View end of life care data Read our reports. Further information This report is available online at: www.endoflifecare-intelligence.org.uk Author contact details Kufre Effiong, End of Life Care Analyst, Ade Osinowo, Senior End of Life Care Analyst, Andy Pring, Senior Analyst and Julia Verne, Director South West Public Health Observatory Grosvenor House 149 Whiteladies Road Bristol BS8 2RA T: F: E: 0117 970 6474 0117 970 6481 info@swpho.nhs.uk Publication details Published by: National End of Life Care Intelligence Network Publication date: March 2012 ISBN 978-0-9570224-1-6 About the National End of Life Care Intelligence Network The Department of Health’s National End of Life Care Strategy, published in 2008, pledged to commission a National End of Life Care Intelligence Network (NEoLCIN). The Network was launched in May 2010. It is tasked with collating existing data and information on end of life care for adults in England. This is with the aim of helping the NHS and its partners commission and deliver high quality end of life care, in a way that makes the most efficient use of resources and responds to the wishes of dying people and their families. Key partners include the National Cancer Intelligence Network (NCIN), which will work closely with the Network to improve end of life care intelligence; and the South West Public Health Observatory, lead public health observatory for end of life care, which hosts the NEoLCIN website. The SWPHO has been commissioned to produce key outputs and analyses for the Network, including the national End of Life Care Profiles. See www.endoflifecare-intelligence.org.uk for more information about the Network and its partners. © Crown Copyright 2012