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The Housing Bust and Housing Affordability:  Where do we stand? Robert Clifford, Policy Analyst New England Public Policy Center Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Bringing Workers Home  2011 Regional Forum on Workforce Housing in Boston National Association REALTORS and National Housing Conference July 28, 2011 *The views expressed in this presentation are mine and not necessarily  those of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston or Federal Reserve System
Real Housing Prices versus Real Household Incomes, 1995-2010
Perceived Positive of the Housing Crisis ,[object Object],“Houses in the United States are now more affordable than at any time in the last 40 years, when compared with personal income.” ~ New York Times, March 6, 2009. ,[object Object]
 However, most households in New England and the United States entered the housing downturn facing cost burdens from housing and few are able to take advantage of declining house prices.,[object Object]
Ratio of Real Annual Median Households Income to  Real Annual Income Needed to Purchase the Median-Priced House:  All Households
Ratio of Real Annual Median Household Income to Real Annual Income Needed to Afford the Gross Rent:  All Households
Boston versus Competitor MSAs Ratio of Real Annual Median Households Income to Real Annual Income Needed to Purchase the Median-Priced House: All Households
Measure of Affordability:Housing Burden Calculates the actual percentage of income that households spend on housing costs Tracks similar data to income adequacy ratio but is based on survey data. Captures the experience of those currently owning and renting. Households are categorized as experiencing a housing burden if housing costs exceed 30 percent of household income.  	Severely burdened if costs exceed 50 percent.
Percentage of Households Experiencing Moderate or Serve Burdens All Households
Percentage of Households Experiencing Moderate or  Severe Housing Burden: Homeowners versus Renters
Percentage of "Middle-Income" Households Experiencing Moderate or Severe Housing Burden: Homeowners versus Renters
Percentage of "Very-Low-Income" Households Experiencing Severe Housing Burdens: Homeowners versus Renters
Where we are: The housing downturn has resulted in increased affordability for those able to buy. However, very few households are in a position to buy as they are facing high cost burdens from housing. Particularly low- and moderate-income households. The problem is particularly acute in the Massachusetts housing market.

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Robert Clifford BWH Boston 2011

  • 1. The Housing Bust and Housing Affordability: Where do we stand? Robert Clifford, Policy Analyst New England Public Policy Center Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Bringing Workers Home 2011 Regional Forum on Workforce Housing in Boston National Association REALTORS and National Housing Conference July 28, 2011 *The views expressed in this presentation are mine and not necessarily those of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston or Federal Reserve System
  • 2. Real Housing Prices versus Real Household Incomes, 1995-2010
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. Ratio of Real Annual Median Households Income to Real Annual Income Needed to Purchase the Median-Priced House: All Households
  • 6. Ratio of Real Annual Median Household Income to Real Annual Income Needed to Afford the Gross Rent: All Households
  • 7. Boston versus Competitor MSAs Ratio of Real Annual Median Households Income to Real Annual Income Needed to Purchase the Median-Priced House: All Households
  • 8. Measure of Affordability:Housing Burden Calculates the actual percentage of income that households spend on housing costs Tracks similar data to income adequacy ratio but is based on survey data. Captures the experience of those currently owning and renting. Households are categorized as experiencing a housing burden if housing costs exceed 30 percent of household income. Severely burdened if costs exceed 50 percent.
  • 9. Percentage of Households Experiencing Moderate or Serve Burdens All Households
  • 10. Percentage of Households Experiencing Moderate or Severe Housing Burden: Homeowners versus Renters
  • 11. Percentage of "Middle-Income" Households Experiencing Moderate or Severe Housing Burden: Homeowners versus Renters
  • 12. Percentage of "Very-Low-Income" Households Experiencing Severe Housing Burdens: Homeowners versus Renters
  • 13. Where we are: The housing downturn has resulted in increased affordability for those able to buy. However, very few households are in a position to buy as they are facing high cost burdens from housing. Particularly low- and moderate-income households. The problem is particularly acute in the Massachusetts housing market.