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Mainstreaming
Climate Change
into Planning
Dr. Pradeep Kurukulasuriya
Head, Climate Change Adaptation
UNDP-GEF
Laos/LDCF
• 15+ years of Supporting Adaptation
• More than $1 billion of grants from multiple sources
• More than 160 programmes/projects in over 90 countries
• Leveraging Finance and Partnerships
Resilience to Climate Change – a necessity
Scale of Damage in Thailand (2011)
Estimated Losses: $15-20 billion (Swiss Re/Munich Re)
$21 billion (prop. damage); $22 billion (opp. costs) (World Bank)
Scale of Finance for Adaptation
Malawi- The National Climate
Change Investment Plan (2014) and
includes a USD 5 bliion investment
over next 5 years in adaptation,
mitigation, capacity development
and research & technology.
Bangladesh - $5b over next 5 years
to address current climate change
with costs rising each year
1. Countries have established foundations for integrating
climate change into medium- and long-term planning
2. Adaptation finance from multiple sources
3. Critical to focus on “whole of government” approach
that supports iterative planning and budgeting that
takes climate change into account
Take away messages
i) To reduce vulnerability to the impacts of climate change, by
building adaptive capacity and resilience;
ii) To facilitate the integration of climate change adaptation, in a
coherent manner, into relevant new and existing policies,
programmes and activities, in particular development planning
processes and strategies, within all relevant sectors and at
different levels, as appropriate.
Ref: Decision 5/CP.17, paragraph 1
Objectives
of the NAP
process
A number of challenges to overcome...
• Making National Policy and Planning more coherent
• Strengthening governance and institutional capacity
• Co-ordination and Accountability – National and sub-national for a
• Transparency, Tracking and MRV - Links with national budget and
reporting systems
• Supply driven vs. demand led – Getting communities more involved
• Programmatic vs. strategic approach
• Sectoral vs. National mainstreaming approach
• Evaluation
1. Countries have established foundations for integrating
climate change into medium- and long-term planning
2. adaptation finance will be from multiple sources
3. Requires “whole of government” approach that
supports iterative planning and budgeting that takes
climate change into account
1. The NAPA Process
- Going beyond urgent and immediate -
Foundations for integrating climate change
into medium- and long-term planning
Source: K. Sundstrom, GEF Sec, 2014
Rwanda
Vision
2020
Foundations for integrating climate change
into medium- and long-term planning
2. Through poverty reduction strategies
and development strategies
3. Targeted capacity building initiatives
Foundations for integrating climate change
into medium- and long-term planning
Capacity building on
Climate Information
Systems in Africa
1. Countries have established foundations for integrating
climate change into medium- and long-term planning
2. Adaptation finance will be from multiple sources
1. Requires “whole of government” approach that
supports iterative planning and budgeting that takes
climate change into account
Catalyzing Adaptation Finance: Key Drivers
 Source of finance for adaptation - numerous
 Public finance – internal (domestic) and external (donor)
 Public finance alone is not currently sufficient; Public
finance alone is not going to be sufficient
 Private Sector (Domestic, international)
 Innovative finance
Catalyzing
Adaptation
Finance
Catalyzing
Adaptation
Finance
Adaptation Finance is unlikely to be at the scale required without an
effort to remove a few key barriers
 Need to create conditions that attract finance without
compromising development goals and sharing cost burden on end-
users.
 Multiple stakeholders (investors, end-users, policy makers, supply
chains, etc)
 Broad spectrum of policies, incentives and support mechanisms to
(a) reduce risks (i.e. lower cost of capital)
(b) increase rewards (i.e. premium prices, credits, etc)
•
•
•
• Assess needs
and priorities,
and identify
barriers to
investment
• Identify policy
mix and sources
of financing
• Multiple access
channels
• Blend and
combine finance
• Formulate
project,
progamme,
sector-wide
approaches to
access finance
• Implement and
execute project,
programme,
sector-wide
approaches
• Build local
supply of
expertise and
skills
• Coordinate
implementation
• Monitor, report,
and verify flows
of results and
funding
• Performance-
based payments
Financial
Planning
Accessing
Finance
Delivering
Finance
Monitor,
Report & Verify
Capital
Market
Private
Sector
Integrated Model ‘Blended Finance’
Source: UN-MPTF, 2014
Blend
Funding
Sources
Account
For
Collect
Domestic Sources International Sources
1. Countries have established foundations for integrating
climate change into medium- and long-term planning
2. Adaptation finance will be from multiple sources
3. Requires “whole of government” approach that
supports iterative planning and budgeting that takes
climate change into account
National Planning and Budgeting Cycle: Country X
Entry points and Tools for Addressing Climate Risk
National Plan and medium term budget
or expenditure framework
Sectoral Plans
Medium Term
Annual
Implementation
(Priority sectors
for Climate
Adaptation)
Annual Monitoring
(Sectors)
Annual sectoral
budgets
Mid Term Review
of National Plan/
Sectoral Plan
Reviews
Plan adjustments/course
correction for
Implementation
Final
Evaluation
Climate risk assessment/
Valuationof costs and
benefits –
estimate of additional
adaptationbudgetneeds.
Prioritizationbased on climate
risk analysis
Evidence based results
on impact of
adaptation
expenditures
Valueadded of
adaptationprogrammes
reviewed –
Adjustments to
sectoral plansand
valuationestimates in
adaptationpriority
sectors
Evaluation of economic and
social benefitsfrom
additionalityof adaptation
Source: GIZ adapted from Uandela (2010)
A Defining Framework for Medium and Long-Term
Climate Change Adaptation Challenge
Key Barriers to Adaptation Finance
Catalyzing
Adaptation
Finance
25
Cambodia/LDCF Guatemala/SPA
Vanuatu/SCCF Laos/SCCF
Strengthening Country Systems
Catalyzing
Adaptation
Finance
Some lessons to bear in mind
Focus on the process – Inclusive national dialogue and strong ownership from
multiple stakeholders
– Establish institutional structures and mechanisms that are demand led
and enable innovation, accountability and transparency
– Strengthen capacities of national institutions to plan, budget, track and
monitor climate finance
– Build public capacity to design and implement national programmes and
projects that are results (benefit) based and sustainable
– Establish robust M&E systems to track and measure climate finance
effectiveness
• National Climate Change Policies need to clearly link to development
planning and finance. (CC Fiscal Frameworks, national co-ordination
mechanisms and national capacity building initiatives)
• Innovative Instruments and financing modalities need to be explored
• Challenging political economy as discussion starts to involve non
traditional stakeholders e.g. Private sector, Ministries of Finance and
planning
• Priority setting is lengthy & complex due to competing agendas
among sectoral ministries
• Opportunity for South-South learning – How do we get this right?
• Use of country systems and effective institutions – Key issues to
address also through the development effectiveness platform
• Technical capacities for iterative climate considerations in planning and
budget required (to assess finance needs, first need to understand
costs/benefits of adaptation over different time scales)
• Elements are not one-size-fits-all - Different configurations of these
four components can exist within institutions, between institutions, or
across national or sectoral systems.
• Not starting from scratch – Many countries have parts of these
systems in place. The challenge is identifying them and organizing
them to produce an effective system at the national level.
• Readiness is an ongoing process – requires long-term engagement
and nurturing.
Some Early Insights
Catalyzing
Adaptation
Finance
30
Focusof UNDP’sWorkon ClimateFinanceReadiness
Catalyzing
Adaptation
Finance
ACTION ON THE
GROUND
CAPACITY
ENHANCEMENT
BARRIER
REMOVAL
POLICY
DIALOGUE
• Policy development: How is CC policy formulated?
Are national CC strategies developed?
• Provide a framework for sector-wide approaches &
to incentivise private investments
• Institutional structures: What are roles &
responsibilities of institutions involved in managing
CC response & their interaction?
• Public financial management: How to quantify &
track CC-related expenditures in the budget?
• Developing bankable adaptation projects including
training on the economics of adaptation
www.undp-alm.org
Laos/LDCF

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Pradeep Kurukulasuriya, UNDP-GEF: Mainstreaming climate change into planning

  • 1. Mainstreaming Climate Change into Planning Dr. Pradeep Kurukulasuriya Head, Climate Change Adaptation UNDP-GEF Laos/LDCF
  • 2. • 15+ years of Supporting Adaptation • More than $1 billion of grants from multiple sources • More than 160 programmes/projects in over 90 countries • Leveraging Finance and Partnerships
  • 3. Resilience to Climate Change – a necessity Scale of Damage in Thailand (2011) Estimated Losses: $15-20 billion (Swiss Re/Munich Re) $21 billion (prop. damage); $22 billion (opp. costs) (World Bank)
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  • 6. Scale of Finance for Adaptation Malawi- The National Climate Change Investment Plan (2014) and includes a USD 5 bliion investment over next 5 years in adaptation, mitigation, capacity development and research & technology. Bangladesh - $5b over next 5 years to address current climate change with costs rising each year
  • 7. 1. Countries have established foundations for integrating climate change into medium- and long-term planning 2. Adaptation finance from multiple sources 3. Critical to focus on “whole of government” approach that supports iterative planning and budgeting that takes climate change into account Take away messages
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  • 9. i) To reduce vulnerability to the impacts of climate change, by building adaptive capacity and resilience; ii) To facilitate the integration of climate change adaptation, in a coherent manner, into relevant new and existing policies, programmes and activities, in particular development planning processes and strategies, within all relevant sectors and at different levels, as appropriate. Ref: Decision 5/CP.17, paragraph 1 Objectives of the NAP process
  • 10. A number of challenges to overcome... • Making National Policy and Planning more coherent • Strengthening governance and institutional capacity • Co-ordination and Accountability – National and sub-national for a • Transparency, Tracking and MRV - Links with national budget and reporting systems • Supply driven vs. demand led – Getting communities more involved • Programmatic vs. strategic approach • Sectoral vs. National mainstreaming approach • Evaluation
  • 11. 1. Countries have established foundations for integrating climate change into medium- and long-term planning 2. adaptation finance will be from multiple sources 3. Requires “whole of government” approach that supports iterative planning and budgeting that takes climate change into account
  • 12. 1. The NAPA Process - Going beyond urgent and immediate - Foundations for integrating climate change into medium- and long-term planning Source: K. Sundstrom, GEF Sec, 2014
  • 13. Rwanda Vision 2020 Foundations for integrating climate change into medium- and long-term planning 2. Through poverty reduction strategies and development strategies
  • 14. 3. Targeted capacity building initiatives Foundations for integrating climate change into medium- and long-term planning Capacity building on Climate Information Systems in Africa
  • 15. 1. Countries have established foundations for integrating climate change into medium- and long-term planning 2. Adaptation finance will be from multiple sources 1. Requires “whole of government” approach that supports iterative planning and budgeting that takes climate change into account
  • 16. Catalyzing Adaptation Finance: Key Drivers  Source of finance for adaptation - numerous  Public finance – internal (domestic) and external (donor)  Public finance alone is not currently sufficient; Public finance alone is not going to be sufficient  Private Sector (Domestic, international)  Innovative finance Catalyzing Adaptation Finance
  • 17. Catalyzing Adaptation Finance Adaptation Finance is unlikely to be at the scale required without an effort to remove a few key barriers  Need to create conditions that attract finance without compromising development goals and sharing cost burden on end- users.  Multiple stakeholders (investors, end-users, policy makers, supply chains, etc)  Broad spectrum of policies, incentives and support mechanisms to (a) reduce risks (i.e. lower cost of capital) (b) increase rewards (i.e. premium prices, credits, etc)
  • 18. • • • • Assess needs and priorities, and identify barriers to investment • Identify policy mix and sources of financing • Multiple access channels • Blend and combine finance • Formulate project, progamme, sector-wide approaches to access finance • Implement and execute project, programme, sector-wide approaches • Build local supply of expertise and skills • Coordinate implementation • Monitor, report, and verify flows of results and funding • Performance- based payments Financial Planning Accessing Finance Delivering Finance Monitor, Report & Verify
  • 19. Capital Market Private Sector Integrated Model ‘Blended Finance’ Source: UN-MPTF, 2014 Blend Funding Sources Account For Collect Domestic Sources International Sources
  • 20. 1. Countries have established foundations for integrating climate change into medium- and long-term planning 2. Adaptation finance will be from multiple sources 3. Requires “whole of government” approach that supports iterative planning and budgeting that takes climate change into account
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  • 22. National Planning and Budgeting Cycle: Country X Entry points and Tools for Addressing Climate Risk National Plan and medium term budget or expenditure framework Sectoral Plans Medium Term Annual Implementation (Priority sectors for Climate Adaptation) Annual Monitoring (Sectors) Annual sectoral budgets Mid Term Review of National Plan/ Sectoral Plan Reviews Plan adjustments/course correction for Implementation Final Evaluation Climate risk assessment/ Valuationof costs and benefits – estimate of additional adaptationbudgetneeds. Prioritizationbased on climate risk analysis Evidence based results on impact of adaptation expenditures Valueadded of adaptationprogrammes reviewed – Adjustments to sectoral plansand valuationestimates in adaptationpriority sectors Evaluation of economic and social benefitsfrom additionalityof adaptation
  • 23. Source: GIZ adapted from Uandela (2010)
  • 24. A Defining Framework for Medium and Long-Term Climate Change Adaptation Challenge Key Barriers to Adaptation Finance Catalyzing Adaptation Finance
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  • 27. Strengthening Country Systems Catalyzing Adaptation Finance Some lessons to bear in mind Focus on the process – Inclusive national dialogue and strong ownership from multiple stakeholders – Establish institutional structures and mechanisms that are demand led and enable innovation, accountability and transparency – Strengthen capacities of national institutions to plan, budget, track and monitor climate finance – Build public capacity to design and implement national programmes and projects that are results (benefit) based and sustainable – Establish robust M&E systems to track and measure climate finance effectiveness
  • 28. • National Climate Change Policies need to clearly link to development planning and finance. (CC Fiscal Frameworks, national co-ordination mechanisms and national capacity building initiatives) • Innovative Instruments and financing modalities need to be explored • Challenging political economy as discussion starts to involve non traditional stakeholders e.g. Private sector, Ministries of Finance and planning • Priority setting is lengthy & complex due to competing agendas among sectoral ministries • Opportunity for South-South learning – How do we get this right? • Use of country systems and effective institutions – Key issues to address also through the development effectiveness platform
  • 29. • Technical capacities for iterative climate considerations in planning and budget required (to assess finance needs, first need to understand costs/benefits of adaptation over different time scales) • Elements are not one-size-fits-all - Different configurations of these four components can exist within institutions, between institutions, or across national or sectoral systems. • Not starting from scratch – Many countries have parts of these systems in place. The challenge is identifying them and organizing them to produce an effective system at the national level. • Readiness is an ongoing process – requires long-term engagement and nurturing. Some Early Insights Catalyzing Adaptation Finance
  • 30. 30 Focusof UNDP’sWorkon ClimateFinanceReadiness Catalyzing Adaptation Finance ACTION ON THE GROUND CAPACITY ENHANCEMENT BARRIER REMOVAL POLICY DIALOGUE • Policy development: How is CC policy formulated? Are national CC strategies developed? • Provide a framework for sector-wide approaches & to incentivise private investments • Institutional structures: What are roles & responsibilities of institutions involved in managing CC response & their interaction? • Public financial management: How to quantify & track CC-related expenditures in the budget? • Developing bankable adaptation projects including training on the economics of adaptation