1) The document calculates probabilities of death from various causes like car accidents, drunk driving accidents, airplane accidents, bicycle accidents, motorcycle accidents, bus accidents, and combinations of accidents by taking the population of the US and dividing it by the number of deaths from each cause.
2) It finds that the probability of dying from a car accident is about 1 in 20,000, from a drunk driving accident is about 1 in 43,000, from an airplane accident is about 1 in 500,000, and from a bicycle accident is about 1 in 70,000.
3) It also determines the probability of not dying from each cause by subtracting the probability of dying from 1.
2. How to Calculate Probability of Death To find probability of dying: 1. Find the number of deaths from a certain accident. 2. Find population of the United States 3. Calculate: Population ÷ Number of deaths To find probability of not dying: Subtract the probability of dying from the population :Population – Dying probability
3. Car Accidents Deaths caused by car accidents : 17,925 Population : 36,457,549 The probability of dying from a car accident is : 2033 .36,457,549
4. Car Accidents Since the probability of dying from a car accident is 2033 . 36,457,549 the probability of not dying is 36,455,516 36,457,549
5. Drunk Driving Accidents Deaths caused by drunk car accidents : 42,708 Population : 36,457,549 The probability of dying from a drunk driving car accident is : 853 .36,457,549
6. Drunk Driving Accidents Since the probability of dying from a drunk driving car accident is : 853 . 36,457,549the probability of not dying is 34,656,696 36,457,549
7. Airplane Accidents Deaths caused by airplane accidents : 50 Population : 36,457,549 The probability of dying from a airplane accident is729,150 . 36,457,549
8. Airplane Accidents Since the probability of dying from a plane crash is 729,150 . 36,457,549the probability of not dying is 35,728,399 . 36,457,549
9. Bicycle Accidents Deaths caused by bicycle accidents : 698 Population : 36,457,549 The probability of dying from a bicycle accident is 52231 . 36,457,549
10. Bicycle Accidents Since the probability of dying from riding your bike is 52231 .36,457,549 the probability of not dying is 36,405,318 . 36,457,549
11. Motorcycle Accidents Deaths caused by motorcycle accidents : 4387 Population : 36,457,549 The probability of dying from a motorcycle accident is 8310 .36,457,549
12. Motorcycle Accidents Since the probability of dying from a motorcycle accident is 8310 .36,457,549 the probability of not dying is 36,449,549 36,457,549
13. Bus Accidents Deaths caused by bus accidents : 27 Population : 36,457,549 The probability of dying from a bus accident is 1,350,279 .36,457,549
14. Bus Accidents Since the probability of dying from a bus accident is 1,350,279 36,457,549 the probability of not dying is 35107270 36,457,549.
15. Bus and Car Accidents Deaths caused by bus and car accidents : 17,952 Population : 36,457,549 The probability of dying from a bus and accident is 2030 .36,457,549
16. Drunk Driving and Regular Accidents Deaths caused by bus and car accidents : 17,952 Population : 36,457,549 The probability of dying from a car accident and a drunk driving accident is 601 .36,457,549