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CAISR
Vessel Path Identification
in Short-Sea Shipping
iHelm Project
2023
CAISR
Buro
MarineTraffic: Global Ship Tracking Intelligence | AIS Marine Traffic
Vessel Type:Passenger Ship
Size:(Length by Breadth) 19m * 6.41m;
MMSI: 265513810
Area: BALTIC - Kattegat
Gross Tonnage: 68
Average Speed recorded 8.2 knots(4.2 m/s)
Draught (Reported/Max): 2.5 m
Flag:Sweden (SE)
Clustering of Ship Paths
The data has been gathered over 15months, 2020 and 2021
CetaSol AB ." [Online]. Available: https://cetasol.com/ https://www.marinetraffic.com/
The onboard data have been received from our industry partner CetaSol AB in Gothenburg.
39193 Datapoints
1754 Trips
Buro_cluster_minmax_fuel_time_dist_sog_v1
Buro’s Data
CAISR
Clustering of Ship Paths Buro’s Data
CAISR
Clustering of Ship Paths
To Three Clusters with Gaussian in Six Segments
Statistics Precision Recall F1-Score Support
Direct 1.0 1.0 1.0 62.0
East_Canal 1.0 1.0 1.0 122.0
West_Canal 1.0 1.0 1.0 1571.0
accuracy 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
macro avg 1.0 1.0 1.0 1755.0
weighted avg 1.0 1.0 1.0 1755.0
Confusion matrix:
Direct East_Canal West_Canal
Direct 62 0 0
East_Canal 0 122 0
West_Canal 0 0 1571
Statistics Precision Recall F1-Score Support
Direct 1.000 1.000 1.000 62.000
East_Canal 0.917 1.000 0.957 122.000
West_Canal 1.000 0.993 0.996 1571.000
accuracy 0.994 0.994 0.994 0.994
macro avg 0.972 0.998 0.984 1755.000
weighted avg 0.994 0.994 0.994 1755.000
Direct East_Canal West_Canal
Direct 62 0 0
East_Canal 0 122 0
West_Canal 0 11 1560
Using GMM To Three Clusters by Distance Matrix
Confusion matrix:
Buro’s Data
CAISR
Plots_Cruising_Local_Global_Eff_F1_scores_fuel_time_distance_Hists_v2
39193 Datapoints
1754 sequences (Routes)
Clustering of Ship Paths Buro’s Data
CAISR
Cinderella II
MarineTraffic: Global Ship Tracking Intelligence | AIS Marine Traffic
Vessel Type:
Passenger Ship
Length × Breadth:
41.76x7.68
MMSI: 265609540
Gross Tonnage: 324
Speed recorded (Max / Average): 20.2 knots / 10.4 knots
Draught (Reported/Max): 1.2 m
Flag:Sweden (SE)
Clustering of Ship Paths
The data has been gathered over 5months, 2022
The onboard data have been received from our industry partner CetaSol AB in Gothenburg.
243688 Datapoints
124 Trips
CetaSol AB ." [Online]. Available: https://cetasol.com/ https://www.marinetraffic.com/ Cinderella_cluster_Analysis_v1
Let’s cluster ship paths
with a new data
CAISR
Cinderella_cluster_Weathers_Preprocessing_v1
Vessel name: Cinderella II
Ports are Vaxhom and Sodra (East of Stockholm, Baltic Sea)
From July 1 to November 6th, 2022.
Temporal Resolution 1second
Clustering of Ship Paths
243688 Datapoints
124 Trips
Cluster ship paths
with a new data
Cinderella
CAISR
Clustering of Ship Paths
Cinderella_cluster_Analysis_v1
Cluster ship paths
with a new data
Cinderella
CAISR
Cinderella_cluster_Analysis_v1
Clustering of Ship Paths
Statistics of Path Segments
Cluster ship paths
with a new data
Cinderella
CAISR
Clustering of Ship Paths
Distance = (Pi – NN(PJ))
Clustering
by Distance Matrix
Buro’s Data
Buro’s Data
CAISR
Cinderella_cluster_by_distance_v4
Clustering of Ship Paths
Precision Recall F1-score Support
North_East 0.700 1.000 0.824 14.000
North_Middle 1.000 0.850 0.919 40.000
North_West 1.000 1.000 1.000 16.000
South 1.000 1.000 1.000 52.000
South_West 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000
accuracy 0.952 0.952 0.952 0.952
macro avg 0.940 0.970 0.948 124.000
weighted avg 0.966 0.952 0.954 124.000
K-Means
Confusion
Matrix
Pred.
North_
East
Pred.
North_
Middle
Pred.
North_
West
Pred.
South
Pred.
South_
West
North_
East 14 0 0 0 0
North_
Middle 6 34 0 0 0
North_
West 0 0 16 0 0
South
0 0 0 52 0
South_
West 0 0 0 0 2
Clustering
by Distance Matrix
To Five Clusters
Cinderella
CAISR
Cinderella_cluster_by_distance_v4
Clustering of Ship Paths
Precision Recall F1-score Support
North_East 0.700 1.000 0.824 14.000
North_Middle 1.000 0.850 0.919 40.000
North_West 1.000 1.000 1.000 16.000
South 1.000 1.000 1.000 52.000
South_West 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000
accuracy 0.952 0.952 0.952 0.952
macro avg 0.940 0.970 0.948 124.000
weighted avg 0.966 0.952 0.954 124.000
GMM
Confusion
Matrix
Pred.
North_
East
Pred.
North_
Middle
Pred.
North_
West
Pred.
South
Pred.
South_
West
North_
East 14 0 0 0 0
North_
Middle 6 34 0 0 0
North_
West 0 0 16 0 0
South
0 0 0 52 0
South_
West 0 0 0 0 2
Clustering
by Distance Matrix
To Five Clusters
Cinderella
CAISR
Clustering of Ship Paths
Actual Paths
Predicted Paths from (K-means and GMM)
Cinderella_cluster_by_distance_v4
Clustering
by Distance Matrix
To Five Clusters
Cinderella
CAISR
Clustering of Ship Paths
K-Means and GMM
Cinderella_cluster_by_distance_v4
PDF for correct-clustered paths
PDF for misclustered paths
Clustering
by Distance Matrix
To Five Clusters
Cinderella
CAISR
Clustering of Ship Paths
Cinderella_cluster_by_distance_v4
Hierarchical Clustering
Clustering
by Distance Matrix
To Five Clusters
Cinderella
CAISR
Cinderella_cluster_by_distance_v4
Clustering of Ship Paths
Precision Recall F1-score Support
North_East 1.0 1.0 1.0 14.0
North_Middle 1.0 1.0 1.0 40.0
North_West 1.0 1.0 1.0 16.0
South 1.0 1.0 1.0 52.0
South_West 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0
accuracy 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
macro avg 1.0 1.0 1.0 124.0
weighted avg 1.0 1.0 1.0 124.0
Confusion
Matrix
Pred.
North_
East
Pred.
North_
Middle
Pred.
North_
West
Pred.
South
Pred.
South_
West
North_
East 14 0 0 0 0
North_
Middle 0 40 0 0 0
North_
West 0 0 16 0 0
South
0 0 0 52 0
South_
West 0 0 0 0 2
Hierarchical Clustering
Clustering
by Distance Matrix
To Five Clusters
Cinderella
CAISR
index segment
Latitude
_mean
Latitude
_std
Longitude
_mean
Longitude
_std
1 North 59.4390 0.0035 18.4474 0.0269
2 North_East 59.4260 0.0018 18.3920 0.0059
3 North_Lower 59.4180 0.0006 18.5135 0.0014
4 North_Middle 59.4249 0.0027 18.3730 0.0013
5 North_Upper 59.4167 0.0010 18.5260 0.0023
6 North_West 59.4245 0.0025 18.3571 0.0053
7 South 59.4243 0.0008 18.4450 0.0145
8 Other 59.4154 0.0089 18.4270 0.0740
Statistics of Path Segments
Cinderella_cluster_by_Gaussian_8segments_v2
Clustering
by Gaussians
To Five Clusters
with 8 segments
Clustering of Ship Paths Cinderella
CAISR
Statistics of the Clustering Results
Cinderella_cluster_by_Gaussian_8segments_v2
Clustering of Ship Paths
Clustering
by Gaussians
To Five Clusters
with 8 segments
Cinderella
CAISR
Cinderella_cluster_by_Gaussian_8segments_v2
Clustering of Ship Paths
Clustering
by Gaussians
To Five Clusters
with 8 segments
Cinderella
CAISR
Cinderella_cluster_by_Gaussian_8segments_v2
Clustering of Ship Paths
Precision Recall F1-score Support
North_East 1.0 1.0 1.0 14.0
North_Middle 1.0 1.0 1.0 40.0
North_West 1.0 1.0 1.0 16.0
South 1.0 1.0 1.0 52.0
South_West 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0
accuracy 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
macro avg 1.0 1.0 1.0 124.0
weighted avg 1.0 1.0 1.0 124.0
Confusion
Matrix
Pred.
North_
East
Pred.
North_
Middle
Pred.
North_
West
Pred.
South
Pred.
South_
West
North_
East 14 0 0 0 0
North_
Middle 0 40 0 0 0
North_
West 0 0 16 0 0
South
0 0 0 52 0
South_
West 0 0 0 0 2
Clustering
by Gaussians
To Five Clusters
with 8 segments
Cinderella
CAISR
Cinderella_Classification_v2 Shap Value
Classification of Ship Paths
To 5 Classes
Cinderella
CAISR
Precision Recall F1-score Support
North_East 1.0 1.0 1.0 5263.0
North_Middle 1.0 1.0 1.0 2282.0
North_West 1.0 1.0 1.0 752.0
South 1.0 1.0 1.0 13062.0
South_West 1.0 1.0 1.0 436.0
accuracy 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
macro avg 1.0 1.0 1.0 21795.0
weighted avg 1.0 1.0 1.0 21795.0
Confusion
Matrix
Pred.
North_
East
Pred.
North_
Middle
Pred.
North_
West
Pred.
South
Pred.
South_
West
North_East 5263 0 0 0 0
North_Middle 0 2282 0 0 0
North_West 0 0 752 0 0
South 0 0 0 13062 0
South_West 0 0 0 0 436
Cinderella_Classification_v2
Classification of Ship Paths
Random Random Forest with Balanced Subsampling
Size(y_test)=21793
out of 108963
To 5 Classes
Cinderella
CAISR
Class North_East: Mean=1.0000, StdDev=0.0009, Median=1.0000, Min=0.9600, Max=1.0000
Class North_Middle: Mean=0.9998, StdDev=0.0064, Median=1.0000, Min=0.7000, Max=1.0000
Class North_West: Mean=0.9999, StdDev=0.0022, Median=1.0000, Min=0.9400, Max=1.0000
Class South: Mean=1.0000, StdDev=0.0003, Median=1.0000, Min=0.9900, Max=1.0000
Class South_West: Mean=1.0000, StdDev=0.0000, Median=1.0000, Min=1.0000, Max=1.0000
Uncertainty Analysis
Random Random Forest with Balanced Subsampling
Cinderella_Classification_v2
Classification of Ship Paths
Precision Recall F1-score Support
North_East 1.0 1.0 1.0 5263.0
North_Middle 1.0 1.0 1.0 2282.0
North_West 1.0 1.0 1.0 752.0
South 1.0 1.0 1.0 13062.0
South_West 1.0 1.0 1.0 436.0
accuracy 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
macro avg 1.0 1.0 1.0 21795.0
weighted avg 1.0 1.0 1.0 21795.0
Confusion
Matrix
Pred.
North_
East
Pred.
North_
Middle
Pred.
North_
West
Pred.
South
Pred.
South_
West
North_East 5263 0 0 0 0
North_Middle 0 2282 0 0 0
North_West 0 0 752 0 0
South 0 0 0 13062 0
South_West 0 0 0 0 436
Size(y_test)=21793
out of 108963
To 5 Classes
Cinderella
CAISR
Thanks for your listening
Any Qs?

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Vessel Path Identification in Short-Sea Shipping

  • 1. CAISR Vessel Path Identification in Short-Sea Shipping iHelm Project 2023
  • 2. CAISR Buro MarineTraffic: Global Ship Tracking Intelligence | AIS Marine Traffic Vessel Type:Passenger Ship Size:(Length by Breadth) 19m * 6.41m; MMSI: 265513810 Area: BALTIC - Kattegat Gross Tonnage: 68 Average Speed recorded 8.2 knots(4.2 m/s) Draught (Reported/Max): 2.5 m Flag:Sweden (SE) Clustering of Ship Paths The data has been gathered over 15months, 2020 and 2021 CetaSol AB ." [Online]. Available: https://cetasol.com/ https://www.marinetraffic.com/ The onboard data have been received from our industry partner CetaSol AB in Gothenburg. 39193 Datapoints 1754 Trips Buro_cluster_minmax_fuel_time_dist_sog_v1 Buro’s Data
  • 3. CAISR Clustering of Ship Paths Buro’s Data
  • 4. CAISR Clustering of Ship Paths To Three Clusters with Gaussian in Six Segments Statistics Precision Recall F1-Score Support Direct 1.0 1.0 1.0 62.0 East_Canal 1.0 1.0 1.0 122.0 West_Canal 1.0 1.0 1.0 1571.0 accuracy 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 macro avg 1.0 1.0 1.0 1755.0 weighted avg 1.0 1.0 1.0 1755.0 Confusion matrix: Direct East_Canal West_Canal Direct 62 0 0 East_Canal 0 122 0 West_Canal 0 0 1571 Statistics Precision Recall F1-Score Support Direct 1.000 1.000 1.000 62.000 East_Canal 0.917 1.000 0.957 122.000 West_Canal 1.000 0.993 0.996 1571.000 accuracy 0.994 0.994 0.994 0.994 macro avg 0.972 0.998 0.984 1755.000 weighted avg 0.994 0.994 0.994 1755.000 Direct East_Canal West_Canal Direct 62 0 0 East_Canal 0 122 0 West_Canal 0 11 1560 Using GMM To Three Clusters by Distance Matrix Confusion matrix: Buro’s Data
  • 6. CAISR Cinderella II MarineTraffic: Global Ship Tracking Intelligence | AIS Marine Traffic Vessel Type: Passenger Ship Length × Breadth: 41.76x7.68 MMSI: 265609540 Gross Tonnage: 324 Speed recorded (Max / Average): 20.2 knots / 10.4 knots Draught (Reported/Max): 1.2 m Flag:Sweden (SE) Clustering of Ship Paths The data has been gathered over 5months, 2022 The onboard data have been received from our industry partner CetaSol AB in Gothenburg. 243688 Datapoints 124 Trips CetaSol AB ." [Online]. Available: https://cetasol.com/ https://www.marinetraffic.com/ Cinderella_cluster_Analysis_v1 Let’s cluster ship paths with a new data
  • 7. CAISR Cinderella_cluster_Weathers_Preprocessing_v1 Vessel name: Cinderella II Ports are Vaxhom and Sodra (East of Stockholm, Baltic Sea) From July 1 to November 6th, 2022. Temporal Resolution 1second Clustering of Ship Paths 243688 Datapoints 124 Trips Cluster ship paths with a new data Cinderella
  • 8. CAISR Clustering of Ship Paths Cinderella_cluster_Analysis_v1 Cluster ship paths with a new data Cinderella
  • 9. CAISR Cinderella_cluster_Analysis_v1 Clustering of Ship Paths Statistics of Path Segments Cluster ship paths with a new data Cinderella
  • 10. CAISR Clustering of Ship Paths Distance = (Pi – NN(PJ)) Clustering by Distance Matrix Buro’s Data Buro’s Data
  • 11. CAISR Cinderella_cluster_by_distance_v4 Clustering of Ship Paths Precision Recall F1-score Support North_East 0.700 1.000 0.824 14.000 North_Middle 1.000 0.850 0.919 40.000 North_West 1.000 1.000 1.000 16.000 South 1.000 1.000 1.000 52.000 South_West 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000 accuracy 0.952 0.952 0.952 0.952 macro avg 0.940 0.970 0.948 124.000 weighted avg 0.966 0.952 0.954 124.000 K-Means Confusion Matrix Pred. North_ East Pred. North_ Middle Pred. North_ West Pred. South Pred. South_ West North_ East 14 0 0 0 0 North_ Middle 6 34 0 0 0 North_ West 0 0 16 0 0 South 0 0 0 52 0 South_ West 0 0 0 0 2 Clustering by Distance Matrix To Five Clusters Cinderella
  • 12. CAISR Cinderella_cluster_by_distance_v4 Clustering of Ship Paths Precision Recall F1-score Support North_East 0.700 1.000 0.824 14.000 North_Middle 1.000 0.850 0.919 40.000 North_West 1.000 1.000 1.000 16.000 South 1.000 1.000 1.000 52.000 South_West 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000 accuracy 0.952 0.952 0.952 0.952 macro avg 0.940 0.970 0.948 124.000 weighted avg 0.966 0.952 0.954 124.000 GMM Confusion Matrix Pred. North_ East Pred. North_ Middle Pred. North_ West Pred. South Pred. South_ West North_ East 14 0 0 0 0 North_ Middle 6 34 0 0 0 North_ West 0 0 16 0 0 South 0 0 0 52 0 South_ West 0 0 0 0 2 Clustering by Distance Matrix To Five Clusters Cinderella
  • 13. CAISR Clustering of Ship Paths Actual Paths Predicted Paths from (K-means and GMM) Cinderella_cluster_by_distance_v4 Clustering by Distance Matrix To Five Clusters Cinderella
  • 14. CAISR Clustering of Ship Paths K-Means and GMM Cinderella_cluster_by_distance_v4 PDF for correct-clustered paths PDF for misclustered paths Clustering by Distance Matrix To Five Clusters Cinderella
  • 15. CAISR Clustering of Ship Paths Cinderella_cluster_by_distance_v4 Hierarchical Clustering Clustering by Distance Matrix To Five Clusters Cinderella
  • 16. CAISR Cinderella_cluster_by_distance_v4 Clustering of Ship Paths Precision Recall F1-score Support North_East 1.0 1.0 1.0 14.0 North_Middle 1.0 1.0 1.0 40.0 North_West 1.0 1.0 1.0 16.0 South 1.0 1.0 1.0 52.0 South_West 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 accuracy 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 macro avg 1.0 1.0 1.0 124.0 weighted avg 1.0 1.0 1.0 124.0 Confusion Matrix Pred. North_ East Pred. North_ Middle Pred. North_ West Pred. South Pred. South_ West North_ East 14 0 0 0 0 North_ Middle 0 40 0 0 0 North_ West 0 0 16 0 0 South 0 0 0 52 0 South_ West 0 0 0 0 2 Hierarchical Clustering Clustering by Distance Matrix To Five Clusters Cinderella
  • 17. CAISR index segment Latitude _mean Latitude _std Longitude _mean Longitude _std 1 North 59.4390 0.0035 18.4474 0.0269 2 North_East 59.4260 0.0018 18.3920 0.0059 3 North_Lower 59.4180 0.0006 18.5135 0.0014 4 North_Middle 59.4249 0.0027 18.3730 0.0013 5 North_Upper 59.4167 0.0010 18.5260 0.0023 6 North_West 59.4245 0.0025 18.3571 0.0053 7 South 59.4243 0.0008 18.4450 0.0145 8 Other 59.4154 0.0089 18.4270 0.0740 Statistics of Path Segments Cinderella_cluster_by_Gaussian_8segments_v2 Clustering by Gaussians To Five Clusters with 8 segments Clustering of Ship Paths Cinderella
  • 18. CAISR Statistics of the Clustering Results Cinderella_cluster_by_Gaussian_8segments_v2 Clustering of Ship Paths Clustering by Gaussians To Five Clusters with 8 segments Cinderella
  • 19. CAISR Cinderella_cluster_by_Gaussian_8segments_v2 Clustering of Ship Paths Clustering by Gaussians To Five Clusters with 8 segments Cinderella
  • 20. CAISR Cinderella_cluster_by_Gaussian_8segments_v2 Clustering of Ship Paths Precision Recall F1-score Support North_East 1.0 1.0 1.0 14.0 North_Middle 1.0 1.0 1.0 40.0 North_West 1.0 1.0 1.0 16.0 South 1.0 1.0 1.0 52.0 South_West 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 accuracy 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 macro avg 1.0 1.0 1.0 124.0 weighted avg 1.0 1.0 1.0 124.0 Confusion Matrix Pred. North_ East Pred. North_ Middle Pred. North_ West Pred. South Pred. South_ West North_ East 14 0 0 0 0 North_ Middle 0 40 0 0 0 North_ West 0 0 16 0 0 South 0 0 0 52 0 South_ West 0 0 0 0 2 Clustering by Gaussians To Five Clusters with 8 segments Cinderella
  • 21. CAISR Cinderella_Classification_v2 Shap Value Classification of Ship Paths To 5 Classes Cinderella
  • 22. CAISR Precision Recall F1-score Support North_East 1.0 1.0 1.0 5263.0 North_Middle 1.0 1.0 1.0 2282.0 North_West 1.0 1.0 1.0 752.0 South 1.0 1.0 1.0 13062.0 South_West 1.0 1.0 1.0 436.0 accuracy 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 macro avg 1.0 1.0 1.0 21795.0 weighted avg 1.0 1.0 1.0 21795.0 Confusion Matrix Pred. North_ East Pred. North_ Middle Pred. North_ West Pred. South Pred. South_ West North_East 5263 0 0 0 0 North_Middle 0 2282 0 0 0 North_West 0 0 752 0 0 South 0 0 0 13062 0 South_West 0 0 0 0 436 Cinderella_Classification_v2 Classification of Ship Paths Random Random Forest with Balanced Subsampling Size(y_test)=21793 out of 108963 To 5 Classes Cinderella
  • 23. CAISR Class North_East: Mean=1.0000, StdDev=0.0009, Median=1.0000, Min=0.9600, Max=1.0000 Class North_Middle: Mean=0.9998, StdDev=0.0064, Median=1.0000, Min=0.7000, Max=1.0000 Class North_West: Mean=0.9999, StdDev=0.0022, Median=1.0000, Min=0.9400, Max=1.0000 Class South: Mean=1.0000, StdDev=0.0003, Median=1.0000, Min=0.9900, Max=1.0000 Class South_West: Mean=1.0000, StdDev=0.0000, Median=1.0000, Min=1.0000, Max=1.0000 Uncertainty Analysis Random Random Forest with Balanced Subsampling Cinderella_Classification_v2 Classification of Ship Paths Precision Recall F1-score Support North_East 1.0 1.0 1.0 5263.0 North_Middle 1.0 1.0 1.0 2282.0 North_West 1.0 1.0 1.0 752.0 South 1.0 1.0 1.0 13062.0 South_West 1.0 1.0 1.0 436.0 accuracy 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 macro avg 1.0 1.0 1.0 21795.0 weighted avg 1.0 1.0 1.0 21795.0 Confusion Matrix Pred. North_ East Pred. North_ Middle Pred. North_ West Pred. South Pred. South_ West North_East 5263 0 0 0 0 North_Middle 0 2282 0 0 0 North_West 0 0 752 0 0 South 0 0 0 13062 0 South_West 0 0 0 0 436 Size(y_test)=21793 out of 108963 To 5 Classes Cinderella
  • 24. CAISR Thanks for your listening Any Qs?

Notas do Editor

  1. I’ll briefly talk about different CAISR+ subprojects.
  2. I’ll briefly talk about different CAISR+ subprojects.