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Modern Times Group
MTG

Fourth Quarter & FY 2012
Financial Results




                           CHAPTER NAME
  1
Forward looking statements

Forward-looking information and Safe Harbour Statement under the U.S. Private Securities Litigation
Reform Act of 1995


This report contains forward-looking information based on the current expectation of MTG management.
Although management deems that the expectations presented by such forward-looking information are
reasonable, such forward-looking information is subject to risks and uncertainties and no guarantee can be
given that these expectations will prove correct. Accordingly, the actual future outcome could vary considerably
when compared to what is stated in the forward-looking information, due to such factors as described above in
the Risks & Uncertainties section.




 2
3
Q4 2012

    • Sales stable y-o-y at constant FX                           SEK mn
          • Sales up 4% y-o-y at constant FX when excluding        4,000                                          40%
            discontinued or sold operations                                   3,711                 3,620
    • OPEX up y-o-y at constant FX                                 3,500                                          35%

          • Following investments in the Nordic and Emerging       3,000                                          30%
            Markets pay-TV businesses, and up even more when
            excluding discontinued or sold operations              2,500                                          25%
    • EBIT before associated company income of
      SEK 514 (551) mn                                             2,000                                          20%

          • Total EBIT of SEK 476 (-2,515) mn including            1,500                                          15%
            SEK -38 (116) mn of associated company income &
            SEK -3,182 mn of non-recurring items in 2011           1,000                                          10%
    • PTP of SEK 467 (-2,519) mn                                                      551                   514
                                                                    500                                           5%
          • Including SEK -7 (43) mn negative non-cash
            impact of change in value of option element of CDON       0                                           0%
            convertible bond                                                   Q4 2011               Q4 2012

    • Net income of SEK 378 (-2,564) mn & basic EPS of SEK                    Revenue       EBIT*   EBIT margin
      5.25 (-38.87)
                                                                  * EBIT excluding associated income
    • Key executive management changes to strengthen team
    • Cash flow from operations up 12% y-o-y to
      SEK 583 (519) mn
4   • Net debt down to SEK 1 mn from SEK 634 mn in Q3
FY 2012

• Sales up 1% y-o-y at constant FX
                                                              SEK mn
       • Up 3% y-o-y at constant FX when excluding
                                                              16,000                                               40%
         discontinued or sold operations
• OPEX up y-o-y at constant FX                                14,000     13,473                   13,336           35%

       • Up even more when excluding discontinued or sold     12,000                                               30%
         operations during 2012
• EBIT before associated company income of                    10,000                                               25%
  SEK 1,695 (1,933) mn
                                                               8,000                                               20%
       • Total EBIT of SEK 2,124 (-615) mn, including
         SEK 429 (634) of associated company income &          6,000                                               15%
         non-recurring items of SEK -3,182 mn
• PTP of SEK 2,034 (-727) mn                                   4,000                                               10%
                                                                                  1,933                    1,695
       • Including SEK -15 (14) negative non-cash impact of    2,000                                               5%
         change in value of option element of CDON
         convertible bond                                         0                                                0%
                                                                           FY 2011                  FY 2012
• Net income of SEK 1,594 (-1,289) mn & basic EPS of
  SEK 22.93 (-19.98)                                                     Revenue          EBIT*   EBIT margin

• Received SEK 208 (319) mn of dividends from CTC Media       * EBIT excluding associated income
• Cash flow from operations of SEK 1,655 (1,853) mn
• Board of Directors to propose 11% increase in annual
  ordinary dividend to SEK 10.00 (9.00) to AGM in May 2013
   5
Forward Expectations

As previously announced, the Group continues to expect its Nordic pay-TV business to
grow its revenues at constant exchange rates in 2013, and to report an operating (EBIT)
margin of approximately 10-12% for the full year 2013. The segment margin is expected
to increase in 2014.

The Group also continues to expect the previously announced investments in its
Emerging Market pay-TV operations to result in lower profitability levels in 2013 and
expects rising profitability levels in 2014. However, when combining the Group’s
decision to reduce its investments in its Ukrainian pre-paid satellite service, as the
package and pricing structures are reviewed in the context of a highly competitive
market environment, with higher ingoing mini-pay subscription balances at the
beginning of the year, the segment is expected to achieve a breakeven EBIT result for
the full year 2013. This compares with the Group’s previous expectations for the
segment to report an operating (EBIT) loss of less than SEK 50 million for the full year
2013.




6
7
Free-TV Scandinavia
  Financial Highlights
                                                        SEK mn
                                                        1,400                                          50%
• Sales down 6% y-o-y at constant FX in Q4 & down                1,240
                                                                                         1,147         45%
  4% in 2012                                            1,200
                                                                                                       40%
      • Decline in Danish TV advertising market         1,000                                          35%
                                                         800                                           30%
      • Lower audience shares and high sold out
                                                                                                       25%
        ratios for the Group’s combined channels in      600                                           20%
        each country
                                                         400             282                           15%
      • Norwegian & Swedish TV ad markets                                                        250
                                                                                                       10%
        expected to have grown in Q4                     200
                                                                                                       5%
                                                           0                                           0%
                                                                   Q4 2011                 Q4 2012
• OPEX down 6% y-o-y in Q4 & up 1% for FY
                                                        SEK mn       Revenue     EBIT   EBIT margin
      • OPEX was down slightly less y-o-y in the
                                                        5,000                                          50%
        quarter at constant FX, but up more y-o-y for            4,393
                                                        4,500                           4,157          45%
        FY at constant FX
                                                        4,000                                          40%
      • The underlying y-o-y development in the         3,500                                          35%
        quarter followed the deferral of certain        3,000                                          30%
        programming investments into 2013               2,500                                          25%
                                                        2,000                                          20%
                                                        1,500            1,077                         15%
• EBIT margin of 21.8% (22.7%) in Q4 &                  1,000                                    793   10%
  19.1% (24.5%) for FY                                    500                                          5%
                                                            0                                          0%
  8                                                                FY 2011                 FY 2012
Free-TV Scandinavia
    Operating Highlights
    Sweden                                                           Commercial Audience Share (15-49)
    • Higher y-o-y ratings for the TV8 and TV10 channels
      but lower viewing shares for TV6 and for TV3             50%
    • TV3’s prime time target audience share was up y-o-y in
                                                               45%
      Q4 following scheduling improvements
                                                               40%

                                                               35%
    Denmark
    • Lower ratings for the TV3 and TV3+ channels, but         30%
      higher ratings for TV3 PULS
    • Both TV3+ and TV3 PULS reported higher y-o-y             25%
      prime time ratings in Q4
                                                               20%

                                                               15%
    Norway
    • Lower ratings for both TV3 and Viasat4 following         10%
      weaker than anticipated performance of a number of
      certain local productions
    • Combined CSOV up y-o-y in December & in prime-time
                                                                         Sweden    Norway   Denmark




9
Free-TV Scandinavia
     Operating highlights
     Sweden
     • Prime-time CSOV up y-o-y in Q4 as a result of strenghtened schedules
     • Spring schedules have been launched & feature both successful formats from 2012 and new acquired &
       locally produced content
     • Up-front negotiations on-going & gross rate card prices are up
     • New distribution agreements signed with Telenor for TV10 to be included in basic package in
       Bredbandsbolaget IPTV and Canal Digital Cable from mid-year 2013 – to drive channel penetration from
       approximately 73% in Q4 2012 to approximately 77% later in 2013


     Denmark
     • TV 3 ratings up in key prime-time slots in Q4
     • Recent channel distribution agreements with Boxer and Canal Digital Satellite to push penetration of TV3 to
       79% in Feb and TV3 PULS to 57% in July, from 67% and 46% respectively today & to drive audience and
       market shares
           • TV3 available on Boxer DTT platform from January 2013 & TV3 PULS to be available from July
     • Sales cooperation to sell advertising airtime on Viacom’s MTV and VH1 channels as part of MTG media
       house


     Norway
     • Launch of TV3 HD & Viasat4 HD in Canal Digital’s cable TV offering
     • Signed agreement with Canal Digital to make a third, yet to be launched, free-TV channel available to Canal
       Digital’s large installed cable TV customer base later in the year – enables implementation of multi-channel
       media strategy in Norway

10
Pay-TV Nordic
Financial Highlights
                                                       SEK mn
• Sales up 2% y-o-y in Q4 & up 4% for FY               1,400                                        50%
                                                                1,221                 1,244
                                                                                                    45%
      • Up 3% y-o-y at constant FX in Q4 & up 5%       1,200
        for FY                                                                                      40%
                                                       1,000                                        35%
      • Positive FX movements, higher HD and
        Viaplay subscriber intake & one-off pay-per-    800                                         30%
        view revenues from boxing title fight in                                                    25%
        Denmark                                         600                                         20%

• OPEX up 7% y-o-y for both periods                     400                                         15%
                                                                        246
                                                                                              198   10%
      • Up more at constant FX for both periods         200
                                                                                                    5%
      • Investments in premium movie and sports           0                                         0%
        content and Viaplay platform, as well as                  Q4 2011               Q4 2012
                                                       SEK mn
        Viasat Film rebranding & launch of                         Revenue    EBIT   EBIT margin
                                                       6,000                                        50%
        additional HD and catch-up channels
                                                                                      4,925         45%
• EBIT margin of 15.9% (20.1%) in Q4 & 16.9%           5,000    4,730
                                                                                                    40%
  (19.5%) for FY
                                                                                                    35%
                                                       4,000
• As previously announced, the Group continues to                                                   30%
  expect its Nordic pay-TV business to grow its        3,000                                        25%
  revenues at constant exchange rates in 2013, and
                                                                                                    20%
  to report an operating (EBIT) margin of              2,000
                                                                                                    15%
  approximately 10-12% for the full year 2013. The
                                                                        923                   834   10%
  segment margin is expected to increase in 2014       1,000
                                                                                                    5%
11                                                        0                                         0%
                                                                  FY 2011                FY 2012
Pay-TV Nordic
     Operating Highlights
                                                                                              Premium subscribers
                                                                          1,200
     • Overall subscriber base up when including
       Viaplay                                                            1,000

     • New Viaplay apps launched on Apple iOS &                            800




                                                             Thousands
       Android platforms, & Viaplay now available on                       600
       Microsoft Xbox 360 & Sony PlayStation3
                                                                           400
     • Overall premium subscriber base, when
       excluding the undisclosed and growing Viaplay                       200
       online subscriber base, was lower q-o-q                               0
       and y-o-y as anticipated
           • 3’rd party subscriber base up both q-o-q
             and y-o-y & added 7,000 net new
                                                                                  Satellite subscribers    3'rd party network subscribers
             subscribers in the quarter, but did not fully
             compensate for the decline in the satellite                                      Value added services
             subscriber base                                                400
                                                                            350
     • Strengthened Danish offering by signing a                            300
                                                              Thousands




       number of channel distribution agreements to                         250
       carry all free-TV channels on the Danish platform                    200
       & C More Entertainment channels                                      150
                                                                            100
     • Premium satellite ARPU up 4% y-o-y in Q4 and
                                                                             50
       up 1% q-o-q                                                            0
           • Positive y-o-y and q-o-q development due
             to price increases and ongoing HD
12           subscriber intake
                                                                                              ViasatPlus   HDTV      Multi-room
Content Leadership
   TV & Movies…




1’st
Pay                      International titles

          Local titles




2’nd
Pay
Content Leadership
…And Premium Sports


   *                  **




                      *    In Sweden & Denmark
                      **   In Denmark & Norway
Free-TV Emerging Markets
        Financial Highlights
     • Total sales up 8% y-o-y in Q4 & 3% for FY at constant SEK mn            Free-TV Emerging Markets
       FX
                                                                2,500
           • Continued sales growth and increased                                                  2,073        2,035
             advertising market shares in almost all operating 2,000
             territories
                                                                1,500
     • OPEX down y-o-y in Q4 but up at constant FX &
       down for FY at both reported & constant FX
                                                                1,000                675
                                                                         655
     • Improved operating profit y-o-y for both periods &
       substantially increased operating margins of 15.4% for    500
                                                                                           104                          156
       Q4 and 7.7% for FY                                                      67                          32
                                                                   0
                                                                         Q4 2011    Q4 2012         FY 2011     FY 2012
                                                                                     Revenue      EBIT
     • Baltics, Czech & Bulgarian sales up 7% y-o-y in Q4
       & up 2% for FY                                           SEK mn   Baltics, Czech Republic & Bulgaria
                                                        2,000                                      1,845        1,874
           • Up 12% in Q4 & up 7% for FY at constant FX 1,800
     • Combined OPEX up 2% y-o-y in Q4 & down 2% for FY 1,600
       & up at constant FX                              1,400
                                                        1,200
           • Consolidation of the LNT operations and    1,000
              investments in the Czech Republic           800            591         630
                                                          600
     • EBIT up 35% y-o-y in Q4 & up 50% for FY, with      400
                                                                                                                    186
       increased EBIT margins of 16.9% (13.4%) and 9.9%   200                  79          106         124
       (6,7%) for FY                                        0
                                                                         Q4 2011    Q4 2012         FY 2011     FY 2012
15                                                                                  Revenue      EBIT
Free-TV Emerging Markets
     Operating Highlights
     Baltics                                                                  Commercial Audience Share
                                                                 70%
     • Sales up 39% y-o-y in Q4 at constant FX and up 16%
       for the year                                              60%
            • Consolidation of LNT in Latvia & higher sales in
              Lithuania, with stable y-o-y sales                 50%
              in Estonia
                                                                 40%
     • Pan-Baltic commercial target audience share of 48.5%
       (42.6%)                                                   30%
     Czech Republic
                                                                 20%
     • Sales up 4% y-o-y in Q4 at constant FX and up 5% for
       the year                                                  10%
     • CSOV up y-o-y following higher ratings for Prima Cool
       and Prima Love
     • Launch of Prima Zoom
                                                                          Estonia (15-49)                   Latvia (15-49)*
     • Launch of sales cooperation with Barrandov
                                                                          Lithuania (15-49)                 Czech Republic (15-54)
     Bulgaria                                                             Bulgaria (18-49)
     • Sales up 5% y-o-y in Q4 at constant FX and up 1% for
       FY
     • Combined CSOV up significantly both y-o-y & q-o-q
                                                                       * MTG has included the LNT channels in its reported combined CSOV in
       following increased investments in successful locally           Latvia with effect from Q3 2012
       produced programming
     • Launch of sales cooperation to sell TV ad air time on a
16
       number of channels
Pay-TV Emerging Markets
     Financial Highlights
 • Sales up 14% y-o-y in Q4 & 15% for FY                            SEK mn
       • Up 19% y-o-y at constant FX both in the quarter &           300                                              50%
                                                                                                      271
          up15% for FY                                                                                                45%
          OPEX up 15% y-o-y in Q4 & up 5% for FY                     250     237                                      40%
       • Lower than anticipated y-o-y increase in segment                                                             35%
                                                                     200
          OPEX in Q4 primarily reflected general &                                                                    30%
          administrative cost savings and renegotiation of
          content rights, which to some extent offset the            150                                              25%
          previously announced investments in Russian &                                                               20%
          Ukrainian pay-TV content, HD channels & pre-paid           100
                                                                                                                      15%
          satellite service in Ukraine
                                                                                                                      10%
 • EBIT of SEK 5 (7) y-o-y in the quarter, and SEK 144 (49) for       50
                                                                                                                      5%
   FY & EBIT margin of 1.9% (2.8%) in Q4 & 13.6% (5.3%) for                             7                         5
   FY                                                                  0                                              0%
                                                                               Q4 2011                  Q4 2012

 • The Group also continues to expect the previously                SEK mn         Revenue   EBIT   EBIT margin
   announced investments in its Emerging Market pay-TV              1,200                                             50%
   operations to result in lower profitability levels in 2013 and                                     1,062           45%
   expects rising profitability levels in 2014. However, when       1,000    922                                      40%
   combining the Group’s decision to reduce its investments in
   its Ukrainian pre-paid satellite service, as the package and                                                       35%
                                                                     800
   pricing structures are reviewed in the context of a highly                                                         30%
   competitive market environment, with higher ingoing mini-         600                                              25%
   pay subscription balances at the beginning of the year, the
   segment is expected to achieve a breakeven EBIT result for                                                         20%
                                                                     400
   the full year 2013. This compares with the Group’s previous                                                        15%
   expectations for the segment to report an operating (EBIT)                                                         10%
                                                                     200                                      144
   loss of less than SEK 50 million for the full year 2013                                                            5%
                                                                                       49
17
                                                                       0                                              0%
                                                                               FY 2011                  FY 2012
Pay-TV Emerging Markets
   Operating Highlights
                                                                                        Satellite subscribers
                                                                     600
• 52,000 net new subscribers added y-o-y &
  41,000 q-o-q, following seasonally high subscriber




                                                         Thousands
  intake on the Russian and Ukrainian satellite
  platforms                                                          500


• Wholesale channel business added over 19 mn
  subscriptions y-o-y & over 8 million subscriptions
  q-o-q                                                              400

      • Particularly high growth in the Russian base

• The Group has been selling a premium package of                                          Satellite subscribers
  five HD channels (including its three newly launched
  HD movie channels) in Russia, Ukraine and the CIS                               Mini-pay TV subscriptions
                                                                     90,000
  since the beginning of December & 2 major Russian
  cable TV networks have already signed contracts to
                                                                     80,000
                                                         Thousands




  distribute the new HD channel package
                                                                     70,000

                                                                     60,000

                                                                     50,000

                                                                     40,000
    18                                                                        Q4 2011    Q1 2012    Q2 2012        Q3 2012   Q4 2012
Russia & Ukraine
         Set for continued growth
                     Russia – Pay-TV Satellite                                                                      Ukraine – Pay-TV Satellite
Millions                                                                                      Thousands
                           Households1                                                                                     Households1
 16                                                                                             1,200
 14
                                                                                                 1,000
 12
 10                                                                                                 800
    8                                                                                               600
    6
                                                                                                    400
    4
    2                                                                                               200
    0                                                                                                  0




            Russia - Cable & IPTV Households2                                                              Ukraine - Cable & IPTV Households2
Millions                                                                                      Thousands
 30
                                                                                                 5,000
 25
                                                                                                 4,000
 20
                                                                                                 3,000
 15
 10                                                                                              2,000
     5                                                                                           1,000
     0
                                                                                                      0


19
           Source: Screen Digest 2013 data; 1: Including low-ARPU satellite lik e Tricolor; in Russia 2: Including social cable
Wholesale Channel Business
     Evolution with channel package
                                      • Channels available in Russia,
                                        Ukraine & CIS
                                      • Approximately 1.3 million potential HD
                                        enabled households potentially
                                        addressable
                                      • Rapid expansion of HD expected
                                      • Already signed deals with two major
                                        Russian networks



        Exclusive Premium Content from major Hollywood Studios




20
Other Businesses
   Highlights
• Comprises MTG’s Radio operations in Norway &             SEK mn
  Sweden and MTG Studios content production                 500
  businesses                                                        450
                                                            450
                                                            400
• Sales down 2% y-o-y in the quarter & up 1% for FY at      350                                   316
  constant FX when excluding the contribution of the        300
  Bet24 operations                                          250
                                                            200
                                                            150
• The y-o-y development in the quarter reflected a
                                                            100
  decline in Swedish radio advertising sales as the                         32
  Group’s operation of 20 NRJ licenses in Sweden             50
                                                                                                              0
  came to an end                                              0
                                                                       Q4 2011                          Q4 2012
                                                           SEK mn
                                                                                 Revenue   EBIT
                                                           1,800    1,674
• Profits substantially down y-o-y in Q4 and for FY
                                                           1,600
                                                                                              1,418
        • The y-o-y development in the quarter reflected   1,400
          increased production costs for the MTG           1,200
          Studios operations, which were offset to an      1,000
          extent by the lower costs for the Radio           800
                                                            600
• Paprika Latino consolidated from 17 September 2012        400
                                                            200             114
                                                                                                              6
                                                              0
   21                                                                  FY 2011                      FY 2012
22
Income Statement

•    Depreciation & amortisation charges of
     SEK 57 (38) mn in Q4 & 147 (183) for the                                           Q4       Q4      FY       FY
                                                     (SEK mn)                         2012     2011    2012     2011
     year
                                                     Net sales                        3,620   3,711 13,336 13,473
•    Net interest charges down y-o-y to
     SEK 0 (-15) mn in Q4 & SEK -34 (-59) mn         EBIT before associated
     for FY                                                                            514      551    1,695   1,933
                                                     company income
•    Y-o-y change in other financial items
                                                     Associated company income          -38     116     429      634
     included SEK -7 (43) mn non-cash financial
     impact in Q4 & SEK -15 (14) mn for the year     Non-recurring items                  -   -3,182       -   -3,182
     from the change in value of the option
     element of the SEK 250 mn CDON Group            EBIT                              476    -2,515   2,124    -615
     convertible bond between the balance sheet
     dates                                           Net interest & other financial
                                                                                         -8       -4     -90    -112
                                                     items
•    Effective tax rate of 19% in Q4 & 23%
                                                     Income before tax                 467    -2,519   2,034    -727
     for the year
                                                     Tax                                -89     -46     -440    -561
       •   Revaluation of deferred tax liabilities
           in Sweden due to change in                Net income                        378    -2,564   1,594   -1,289
           corporate tax from 1 Jan 2013
                                                     Basic EPS                         5.25   -38.87   22.93   -19.98
       •   Positive effects from prior years
                                                     Diluted EPS                       5.24   -38.88   22.87   -20.01



23
Cash Flow

• Cash flow from operations included receipt of SEK
  included the receipt of SEK 51 (90) million and
  SEK 208 (319) million of dividend payments from                              Q4     Q4       FY       FY
  CTC Media for the respective periods                (SEK mn)               2012   2011     2012     2011

                                                      Cash flow from
                                                                             583     519    1,655    1,853
                                                      operations
• Investment in shares amounted to SEK 41 (-) in
  Q4 & SEK 315 (-) mn for the year & comprised the
                                                      Changes in working
  acquisition of Paprika Latino content production                            238    588      261      -56
                                                      capital
  business, the LNT free-TV business in Latvia &
  communications operator Zitius                      Net cash flow from
                                                                              821   1,107   1,915    1,797
                                                      operations

• CAPEX equivalent to 1% of Group net sales for       Cash flow used in
                                                                             -115     -29    -351     -115
  the FY                                              investing activities

                                                      Cash flow used in
                                                                             -411    -966   -1,274   -1,737
                                                      financing activities
• Cash flow from investing activities of SEK -115
  (-29) mn in Q4 & SEK -351 (-115) mn for the year    Net change in
                                                      cash & cash             294    112      291      -55
                                                      equivalents




24
Financial Position
     • Total borrowings of SEK 953 (1,566) mn as at                                             31 Dec   31 Dec
       31 Dec 2012 & cash & cash equivalents of                    (SEK mn)                       2012     2011
       SEK 748 (470) mn
                                                                   Non-current assets            6,098    5,612
     • Net debt of SEK 1 (797) mn as at 31 Dec 2012
                                                                   Current assets                5,595    5,668
       & available liquid funds of SEK 6,448 (5,528)
       mn                                                                                       11,692   11,281
                                                                   Total assets
     • SEK 1,903 (1,878) mn book value of 37.9%
       shareholding in CTC media & public equity
                                                                   Shareholders’ equity          5,134    4,350
       market value of 3,035 mn as at the last
       business day of 2012                                                                      1,751    2,168
                                                                   Long-term liabilities

                                                                   Current liabilities           4,808    4,763
           Net debt / EBITDA ratio
                                                                   Total equity & liabilities   11,692   11,281
     1.2 1.2
               1.1

                     0.8
                           0.7         0.7
                                 0.6

                                             0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3

                                                               0

     Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
25
     10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12
26




CHAPTER NAME
Summary

• Emerging Markets operations on track & performing strongly with
  audience & market share gains
• Positive revisions to forward expectations for Emerging Markets pay-TV
  business
• Viaplay online pay-TV service continues to grow strongly
• Focused on challenges in Scandinavian free-TV to re-take audience &
  market shares
• Strengthened the executive management team
• Continued strong cash generation enables strong financial position of
  almost zero net debt at year end
• Proposing increased ordinary dividend of SEK 10.00 krona to AGM in May
  2013
• Reviewing both organic investment projects & acquisition opportunities in
  both existing & new markets



27
For further information, please visit www.mtg.se or contact:

                       MTG Investor Relations

               Tel: +44 7768 440 414 / +44 7590 098 188
                  Email: investor.relations@mtg.se




28

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MTG Q4 and FY 2012 Results Show Revenue Stability and Profit Growth

  • 1. Modern Times Group MTG Fourth Quarter & FY 2012 Financial Results CHAPTER NAME 1
  • 2. Forward looking statements Forward-looking information and Safe Harbour Statement under the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 This report contains forward-looking information based on the current expectation of MTG management. Although management deems that the expectations presented by such forward-looking information are reasonable, such forward-looking information is subject to risks and uncertainties and no guarantee can be given that these expectations will prove correct. Accordingly, the actual future outcome could vary considerably when compared to what is stated in the forward-looking information, due to such factors as described above in the Risks & Uncertainties section. 2
  • 3. 3
  • 4. Q4 2012 • Sales stable y-o-y at constant FX SEK mn • Sales up 4% y-o-y at constant FX when excluding 4,000 40% discontinued or sold operations 3,711 3,620 • OPEX up y-o-y at constant FX 3,500 35% • Following investments in the Nordic and Emerging 3,000 30% Markets pay-TV businesses, and up even more when excluding discontinued or sold operations 2,500 25% • EBIT before associated company income of SEK 514 (551) mn 2,000 20% • Total EBIT of SEK 476 (-2,515) mn including 1,500 15% SEK -38 (116) mn of associated company income & SEK -3,182 mn of non-recurring items in 2011 1,000 10% • PTP of SEK 467 (-2,519) mn 551 514 500 5% • Including SEK -7 (43) mn negative non-cash impact of change in value of option element of CDON 0 0% convertible bond Q4 2011 Q4 2012 • Net income of SEK 378 (-2,564) mn & basic EPS of SEK Revenue EBIT* EBIT margin 5.25 (-38.87) * EBIT excluding associated income • Key executive management changes to strengthen team • Cash flow from operations up 12% y-o-y to SEK 583 (519) mn 4 • Net debt down to SEK 1 mn from SEK 634 mn in Q3
  • 5. FY 2012 • Sales up 1% y-o-y at constant FX SEK mn • Up 3% y-o-y at constant FX when excluding 16,000 40% discontinued or sold operations • OPEX up y-o-y at constant FX 14,000 13,473 13,336 35% • Up even more when excluding discontinued or sold 12,000 30% operations during 2012 • EBIT before associated company income of 10,000 25% SEK 1,695 (1,933) mn 8,000 20% • Total EBIT of SEK 2,124 (-615) mn, including SEK 429 (634) of associated company income & 6,000 15% non-recurring items of SEK -3,182 mn • PTP of SEK 2,034 (-727) mn 4,000 10% 1,933 1,695 • Including SEK -15 (14) negative non-cash impact of 2,000 5% change in value of option element of CDON convertible bond 0 0% FY 2011 FY 2012 • Net income of SEK 1,594 (-1,289) mn & basic EPS of SEK 22.93 (-19.98) Revenue EBIT* EBIT margin • Received SEK 208 (319) mn of dividends from CTC Media * EBIT excluding associated income • Cash flow from operations of SEK 1,655 (1,853) mn • Board of Directors to propose 11% increase in annual ordinary dividend to SEK 10.00 (9.00) to AGM in May 2013 5
  • 6. Forward Expectations As previously announced, the Group continues to expect its Nordic pay-TV business to grow its revenues at constant exchange rates in 2013, and to report an operating (EBIT) margin of approximately 10-12% for the full year 2013. The segment margin is expected to increase in 2014. The Group also continues to expect the previously announced investments in its Emerging Market pay-TV operations to result in lower profitability levels in 2013 and expects rising profitability levels in 2014. However, when combining the Group’s decision to reduce its investments in its Ukrainian pre-paid satellite service, as the package and pricing structures are reviewed in the context of a highly competitive market environment, with higher ingoing mini-pay subscription balances at the beginning of the year, the segment is expected to achieve a breakeven EBIT result for the full year 2013. This compares with the Group’s previous expectations for the segment to report an operating (EBIT) loss of less than SEK 50 million for the full year 2013. 6
  • 7. 7
  • 8. Free-TV Scandinavia Financial Highlights SEK mn 1,400 50% • Sales down 6% y-o-y at constant FX in Q4 & down 1,240 1,147 45% 4% in 2012 1,200 40% • Decline in Danish TV advertising market 1,000 35% 800 30% • Lower audience shares and high sold out 25% ratios for the Group’s combined channels in 600 20% each country 400 282 15% • Norwegian & Swedish TV ad markets 250 10% expected to have grown in Q4 200 5% 0 0% Q4 2011 Q4 2012 • OPEX down 6% y-o-y in Q4 & up 1% for FY SEK mn Revenue EBIT EBIT margin • OPEX was down slightly less y-o-y in the 5,000 50% quarter at constant FX, but up more y-o-y for 4,393 4,500 4,157 45% FY at constant FX 4,000 40% • The underlying y-o-y development in the 3,500 35% quarter followed the deferral of certain 3,000 30% programming investments into 2013 2,500 25% 2,000 20% 1,500 1,077 15% • EBIT margin of 21.8% (22.7%) in Q4 & 1,000 793 10% 19.1% (24.5%) for FY 500 5% 0 0% 8 FY 2011 FY 2012
  • 9. Free-TV Scandinavia Operating Highlights Sweden Commercial Audience Share (15-49) • Higher y-o-y ratings for the TV8 and TV10 channels but lower viewing shares for TV6 and for TV3 50% • TV3’s prime time target audience share was up y-o-y in 45% Q4 following scheduling improvements 40% 35% Denmark • Lower ratings for the TV3 and TV3+ channels, but 30% higher ratings for TV3 PULS • Both TV3+ and TV3 PULS reported higher y-o-y 25% prime time ratings in Q4 20% 15% Norway • Lower ratings for both TV3 and Viasat4 following 10% weaker than anticipated performance of a number of certain local productions • Combined CSOV up y-o-y in December & in prime-time Sweden Norway Denmark 9
  • 10. Free-TV Scandinavia Operating highlights Sweden • Prime-time CSOV up y-o-y in Q4 as a result of strenghtened schedules • Spring schedules have been launched & feature both successful formats from 2012 and new acquired & locally produced content • Up-front negotiations on-going & gross rate card prices are up • New distribution agreements signed with Telenor for TV10 to be included in basic package in Bredbandsbolaget IPTV and Canal Digital Cable from mid-year 2013 – to drive channel penetration from approximately 73% in Q4 2012 to approximately 77% later in 2013 Denmark • TV 3 ratings up in key prime-time slots in Q4 • Recent channel distribution agreements with Boxer and Canal Digital Satellite to push penetration of TV3 to 79% in Feb and TV3 PULS to 57% in July, from 67% and 46% respectively today & to drive audience and market shares • TV3 available on Boxer DTT platform from January 2013 & TV3 PULS to be available from July • Sales cooperation to sell advertising airtime on Viacom’s MTV and VH1 channels as part of MTG media house Norway • Launch of TV3 HD & Viasat4 HD in Canal Digital’s cable TV offering • Signed agreement with Canal Digital to make a third, yet to be launched, free-TV channel available to Canal Digital’s large installed cable TV customer base later in the year – enables implementation of multi-channel media strategy in Norway 10
  • 11. Pay-TV Nordic Financial Highlights SEK mn • Sales up 2% y-o-y in Q4 & up 4% for FY 1,400 50% 1,221 1,244 45% • Up 3% y-o-y at constant FX in Q4 & up 5% 1,200 for FY 40% 1,000 35% • Positive FX movements, higher HD and Viaplay subscriber intake & one-off pay-per- 800 30% view revenues from boxing title fight in 25% Denmark 600 20% • OPEX up 7% y-o-y for both periods 400 15% 246 198 10% • Up more at constant FX for both periods 200 5% • Investments in premium movie and sports 0 0% content and Viaplay platform, as well as Q4 2011 Q4 2012 SEK mn Viasat Film rebranding & launch of Revenue EBIT EBIT margin 6,000 50% additional HD and catch-up channels 4,925 45% • EBIT margin of 15.9% (20.1%) in Q4 & 16.9% 5,000 4,730 40% (19.5%) for FY 35% 4,000 • As previously announced, the Group continues to 30% expect its Nordic pay-TV business to grow its 3,000 25% revenues at constant exchange rates in 2013, and 20% to report an operating (EBIT) margin of 2,000 15% approximately 10-12% for the full year 2013. The 923 834 10% segment margin is expected to increase in 2014 1,000 5% 11 0 0% FY 2011 FY 2012
  • 12. Pay-TV Nordic Operating Highlights Premium subscribers 1,200 • Overall subscriber base up when including Viaplay 1,000 • New Viaplay apps launched on Apple iOS & 800 Thousands Android platforms, & Viaplay now available on 600 Microsoft Xbox 360 & Sony PlayStation3 400 • Overall premium subscriber base, when excluding the undisclosed and growing Viaplay 200 online subscriber base, was lower q-o-q 0 and y-o-y as anticipated • 3’rd party subscriber base up both q-o-q and y-o-y & added 7,000 net new Satellite subscribers 3'rd party network subscribers subscribers in the quarter, but did not fully compensate for the decline in the satellite Value added services subscriber base 400 350 • Strengthened Danish offering by signing a 300 Thousands number of channel distribution agreements to 250 carry all free-TV channels on the Danish platform 200 & C More Entertainment channels 150 100 • Premium satellite ARPU up 4% y-o-y in Q4 and 50 up 1% q-o-q 0 • Positive y-o-y and q-o-q development due to price increases and ongoing HD 12 subscriber intake ViasatPlus HDTV Multi-room
  • 13. Content Leadership TV & Movies… 1’st Pay International titles Local titles 2’nd Pay
  • 14. Content Leadership …And Premium Sports * ** * In Sweden & Denmark ** In Denmark & Norway
  • 15. Free-TV Emerging Markets Financial Highlights • Total sales up 8% y-o-y in Q4 & 3% for FY at constant SEK mn Free-TV Emerging Markets FX 2,500 • Continued sales growth and increased 2,073 2,035 advertising market shares in almost all operating 2,000 territories 1,500 • OPEX down y-o-y in Q4 but up at constant FX & down for FY at both reported & constant FX 1,000 675 655 • Improved operating profit y-o-y for both periods & substantially increased operating margins of 15.4% for 500 104 156 Q4 and 7.7% for FY 67 32 0 Q4 2011 Q4 2012 FY 2011 FY 2012 Revenue EBIT • Baltics, Czech & Bulgarian sales up 7% y-o-y in Q4 & up 2% for FY SEK mn Baltics, Czech Republic & Bulgaria 2,000 1,845 1,874 • Up 12% in Q4 & up 7% for FY at constant FX 1,800 • Combined OPEX up 2% y-o-y in Q4 & down 2% for FY 1,600 & up at constant FX 1,400 1,200 • Consolidation of the LNT operations and 1,000 investments in the Czech Republic 800 591 630 600 • EBIT up 35% y-o-y in Q4 & up 50% for FY, with 400 186 increased EBIT margins of 16.9% (13.4%) and 9.9% 200 79 106 124 (6,7%) for FY 0 Q4 2011 Q4 2012 FY 2011 FY 2012 15 Revenue EBIT
  • 16. Free-TV Emerging Markets Operating Highlights Baltics Commercial Audience Share 70% • Sales up 39% y-o-y in Q4 at constant FX and up 16% for the year 60% • Consolidation of LNT in Latvia & higher sales in Lithuania, with stable y-o-y sales 50% in Estonia 40% • Pan-Baltic commercial target audience share of 48.5% (42.6%) 30% Czech Republic 20% • Sales up 4% y-o-y in Q4 at constant FX and up 5% for the year 10% • CSOV up y-o-y following higher ratings for Prima Cool and Prima Love • Launch of Prima Zoom Estonia (15-49) Latvia (15-49)* • Launch of sales cooperation with Barrandov Lithuania (15-49) Czech Republic (15-54) Bulgaria Bulgaria (18-49) • Sales up 5% y-o-y in Q4 at constant FX and up 1% for FY • Combined CSOV up significantly both y-o-y & q-o-q * MTG has included the LNT channels in its reported combined CSOV in following increased investments in successful locally Latvia with effect from Q3 2012 produced programming • Launch of sales cooperation to sell TV ad air time on a 16 number of channels
  • 17. Pay-TV Emerging Markets Financial Highlights • Sales up 14% y-o-y in Q4 & 15% for FY SEK mn • Up 19% y-o-y at constant FX both in the quarter & 300 50% 271 up15% for FY 45% OPEX up 15% y-o-y in Q4 & up 5% for FY 250 237 40% • Lower than anticipated y-o-y increase in segment 35% 200 OPEX in Q4 primarily reflected general & 30% administrative cost savings and renegotiation of content rights, which to some extent offset the 150 25% previously announced investments in Russian & 20% Ukrainian pay-TV content, HD channels & pre-paid 100 15% satellite service in Ukraine 10% • EBIT of SEK 5 (7) y-o-y in the quarter, and SEK 144 (49) for 50 5% FY & EBIT margin of 1.9% (2.8%) in Q4 & 13.6% (5.3%) for 7 5 FY 0 0% Q4 2011 Q4 2012 • The Group also continues to expect the previously SEK mn Revenue EBIT EBIT margin announced investments in its Emerging Market pay-TV 1,200 50% operations to result in lower profitability levels in 2013 and 1,062 45% expects rising profitability levels in 2014. However, when 1,000 922 40% combining the Group’s decision to reduce its investments in its Ukrainian pre-paid satellite service, as the package and 35% 800 pricing structures are reviewed in the context of a highly 30% competitive market environment, with higher ingoing mini- 600 25% pay subscription balances at the beginning of the year, the segment is expected to achieve a breakeven EBIT result for 20% 400 the full year 2013. This compares with the Group’s previous 15% expectations for the segment to report an operating (EBIT) 10% 200 144 loss of less than SEK 50 million for the full year 2013 5% 49 17 0 0% FY 2011 FY 2012
  • 18. Pay-TV Emerging Markets Operating Highlights Satellite subscribers 600 • 52,000 net new subscribers added y-o-y & 41,000 q-o-q, following seasonally high subscriber Thousands intake on the Russian and Ukrainian satellite platforms 500 • Wholesale channel business added over 19 mn subscriptions y-o-y & over 8 million subscriptions q-o-q 400 • Particularly high growth in the Russian base • The Group has been selling a premium package of Satellite subscribers five HD channels (including its three newly launched HD movie channels) in Russia, Ukraine and the CIS Mini-pay TV subscriptions 90,000 since the beginning of December & 2 major Russian cable TV networks have already signed contracts to 80,000 Thousands distribute the new HD channel package 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 18 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012
  • 19. Russia & Ukraine Set for continued growth Russia – Pay-TV Satellite Ukraine – Pay-TV Satellite Millions Thousands Households1 Households1 16 1,200 14 1,000 12 10 800 8 600 6 400 4 2 200 0 0 Russia - Cable & IPTV Households2 Ukraine - Cable & IPTV Households2 Millions Thousands 30 5,000 25 4,000 20 3,000 15 10 2,000 5 1,000 0 0 19 Source: Screen Digest 2013 data; 1: Including low-ARPU satellite lik e Tricolor; in Russia 2: Including social cable
  • 20. Wholesale Channel Business Evolution with channel package • Channels available in Russia, Ukraine & CIS • Approximately 1.3 million potential HD enabled households potentially addressable • Rapid expansion of HD expected • Already signed deals with two major Russian networks Exclusive Premium Content from major Hollywood Studios 20
  • 21. Other Businesses Highlights • Comprises MTG’s Radio operations in Norway & SEK mn Sweden and MTG Studios content production 500 businesses 450 450 400 • Sales down 2% y-o-y in the quarter & up 1% for FY at 350 316 constant FX when excluding the contribution of the 300 Bet24 operations 250 200 150 • The y-o-y development in the quarter reflected a 100 decline in Swedish radio advertising sales as the 32 Group’s operation of 20 NRJ licenses in Sweden 50 0 came to an end 0 Q4 2011 Q4 2012 SEK mn Revenue EBIT 1,800 1,674 • Profits substantially down y-o-y in Q4 and for FY 1,600 1,418 • The y-o-y development in the quarter reflected 1,400 increased production costs for the MTG 1,200 Studios operations, which were offset to an 1,000 extent by the lower costs for the Radio 800 600 • Paprika Latino consolidated from 17 September 2012 400 200 114 6 0 21 FY 2011 FY 2012
  • 22. 22
  • 23. Income Statement • Depreciation & amortisation charges of SEK 57 (38) mn in Q4 & 147 (183) for the Q4 Q4 FY FY (SEK mn) 2012 2011 2012 2011 year Net sales 3,620 3,711 13,336 13,473 • Net interest charges down y-o-y to SEK 0 (-15) mn in Q4 & SEK -34 (-59) mn EBIT before associated for FY 514 551 1,695 1,933 company income • Y-o-y change in other financial items Associated company income -38 116 429 634 included SEK -7 (43) mn non-cash financial impact in Q4 & SEK -15 (14) mn for the year Non-recurring items - -3,182 - -3,182 from the change in value of the option element of the SEK 250 mn CDON Group EBIT 476 -2,515 2,124 -615 convertible bond between the balance sheet dates Net interest & other financial -8 -4 -90 -112 items • Effective tax rate of 19% in Q4 & 23% Income before tax 467 -2,519 2,034 -727 for the year Tax -89 -46 -440 -561 • Revaluation of deferred tax liabilities in Sweden due to change in Net income 378 -2,564 1,594 -1,289 corporate tax from 1 Jan 2013 Basic EPS 5.25 -38.87 22.93 -19.98 • Positive effects from prior years Diluted EPS 5.24 -38.88 22.87 -20.01 23
  • 24. Cash Flow • Cash flow from operations included receipt of SEK included the receipt of SEK 51 (90) million and SEK 208 (319) million of dividend payments from Q4 Q4 FY FY CTC Media for the respective periods (SEK mn) 2012 2011 2012 2011 Cash flow from 583 519 1,655 1,853 operations • Investment in shares amounted to SEK 41 (-) in Q4 & SEK 315 (-) mn for the year & comprised the Changes in working acquisition of Paprika Latino content production 238 588 261 -56 capital business, the LNT free-TV business in Latvia & communications operator Zitius Net cash flow from 821 1,107 1,915 1,797 operations • CAPEX equivalent to 1% of Group net sales for Cash flow used in -115 -29 -351 -115 the FY investing activities Cash flow used in -411 -966 -1,274 -1,737 financing activities • Cash flow from investing activities of SEK -115 (-29) mn in Q4 & SEK -351 (-115) mn for the year Net change in cash & cash 294 112 291 -55 equivalents 24
  • 25. Financial Position • Total borrowings of SEK 953 (1,566) mn as at 31 Dec 31 Dec 31 Dec 2012 & cash & cash equivalents of (SEK mn) 2012 2011 SEK 748 (470) mn Non-current assets 6,098 5,612 • Net debt of SEK 1 (797) mn as at 31 Dec 2012 Current assets 5,595 5,668 & available liquid funds of SEK 6,448 (5,528) mn 11,692 11,281 Total assets • SEK 1,903 (1,878) mn book value of 37.9% shareholding in CTC media & public equity Shareholders’ equity 5,134 4,350 market value of 3,035 mn as at the last business day of 2012 1,751 2,168 Long-term liabilities Current liabilities 4,808 4,763 Net debt / EBITDA ratio Total equity & liabilities 11,692 11,281 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 25 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12
  • 27. Summary • Emerging Markets operations on track & performing strongly with audience & market share gains • Positive revisions to forward expectations for Emerging Markets pay-TV business • Viaplay online pay-TV service continues to grow strongly • Focused on challenges in Scandinavian free-TV to re-take audience & market shares • Strengthened the executive management team • Continued strong cash generation enables strong financial position of almost zero net debt at year end • Proposing increased ordinary dividend of SEK 10.00 krona to AGM in May 2013 • Reviewing both organic investment projects & acquisition opportunities in both existing & new markets 27
  • 28. For further information, please visit www.mtg.se or contact: MTG Investor Relations Tel: +44 7768 440 414 / +44 7590 098 188 Email: investor.relations@mtg.se 28