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21st Century EatRite: Fresh Strategy | 2017 Deloitte Case Competition
Fresh Seniority | Miles Wood, Alexandra Van Den Heuvel, Scott Moore, Robert Ryan III
Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion
“Fresh Seniority” is a team of
two first-years and two seniors
EatRite needs a 21st century strategy
to maintain its market position
Context
• Family owned, locally-sourced grocery store
• Strong focus on local community
• Decades of moderate regional growth
Problem
• Recent decline in market share
• Steady drop in profitability
• Ineffective business model
Solution
• Identify root causes of market share loss and low profits
• Evaluate options in the 21st Century grocery market
• Recommend solutions to revitalize the organization
Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion
To boost profits, EatRite will need an
innovative, data-driven brand
Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion
Inability to Establish
Data-Driven Direction
Disparate Information
Systems
Minimal Integration of
Data Sources
Lacking Holistic
Perspective
Underdeveloped Private
Label
Distribution Model
Scaling Operations is not
Decreasing Costs
Dependent on Fading
Brand Loyalty
Aging Customer Base
Absence of In-Store
Technology Integration
Outdated
Checkout/Delivery
Model
Lack of Innovation Falling Margins
Intuitive Decision
Making
Outdated and
Unattractive Brand
Traditional and Slow
Company Culture
Aging Employees
Weak Performance
Management
High Employee Turnover
Talent Acquisition
and Retention
Ineffective Operating Model Human Capital
NOW: Next-Gen Private Label,
Organize Data, Win Fresh Talent
Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion
• Career Performance Roadmap
• Promote talent
retention
• Attract Young Talent
• Incentivize Performance
• Data Integration Plan
• Develop Website and App
• Account-based Loyalty
Program
• Integrate Technology In-store
• Build relationships with
suppliers and manufacturers
• Launch Private Label to 100-
400 new, high-margin products
Impact
Heightened market share and
reduced margins generate
$85 – $360 MM in profits
over five years
Construct high quality brand
through private label
$
Data efficiency will lead to
$105 – $225 MM in profits
over five years
External (app, self-checkout)
and internal (predictive
analytics)
Ineffective Operating Model Human Capital
Technology Initiative Revitalize OrganizationPrivate Label Expansion
Human capital investment
will produce $75 – $120 MM
in profits over five years
Long term advantage of
injecting fresh talent into the
enterprise!
$ $
Private Label plays an essential role in
any 21st century grocery enterprise
Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion
• Private label grows to 27% of store sales
• Total sales grow 15% by 2020
• Private label margins exceed brand margins
by 5.5 percentage points in 2020
• Initial and Long-term costs: $30 and $20 MM
• Return on Investment: 2016 (T + 1 year)
• Private label grows to 27% of store sales
• Total sales grow 5% by 2020
• Private label margins exceed brand margins
by 4 percentage points in 2020
• Initial and Long-term costs: $30 and $20 MM
• Return on Investment: 2017 (T + 2 years)
Aggressive – Profits up $360 MMConservative – Profits up $85 MM
• Debate rages within EatRite regarding private label expansion
• In our view, EatRite’s private label is underdeveloped
• Important strategy in a market of brand loyalty
• Sales growth and margin expansion for all products
• Expand private label to new categories and products
• Build new relationships and heavily market the label
Now
Why PL?
Logistics
Internal and external technological
solutions will drive future growth
• Work with CIO
and frontline
managers
• Define who can
access what data
• Goal: Analyzing
and predicting the
major drivers of
revenue and profits
Brainstorm
Determine Meaningful Data
EatRite Labs
Strengthen IT Department
• Hire an IT team
• Develop website
(2016) and mobile
app (2018)
• Design internal
training materials for
regional managers
Integrate
Data, Analytics, and Tools
• Define data-driven
objectives for all staff
• Preserve existing
software
infrastructure
• Implement
integrated data
visualization tools
Modern Stores
Technological Infrastructure
• Expand loyalty
program using
personal accounts
• Pilot self-checkout
across 120 stores (4-
5 per store)
• Pilot shelf-sensors
and beacon
technology
Monitor
Ongoing Data Collection
• Use dashboards to
track customer
activity, engagement,
and retention
• Utilize insight from
pilot programs to
inform strategic
decisions
• Knowledge
management
Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion
Modern companies need technology to
make smarter business decisions
Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion
Collect Integrate Analyze Monitor
• Initial same store sales growth of 6.8%
• Continuous improvement of data tools yields
1.6 - 3 percentage points of sales growth YOY
• Self-checkout adopted by 15% of customers
• Mobile app adopted by 15% of customers
• Mobile marketing goes viral, increasing
sales 5 percentage points by 2020
• Initial same store sales growth of 4.9%
• Continuous improvement of data tools yields
0.5 percentage points of sales growth YOY
• Self-checkout adopted by 2.5% of customers
• Mobile app adopted by 5% of customers
• Growth in mobile increases sales by 0.1
percentage points by 2020
Aggressive – Profits up $225 MMConservative – Profits up $105 MM
The future of EatRite ultimately lies in
its people, so developing talent is key
Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion
1
2
3
Personalized Development Resources
• Career and Performance Roadmap
• SWOT Analysis
Talent Recruitment
• Establishing a Company Purpose
• Networking for Business Growth
• Social Media Presence
Performance Incentivizing
• Money
• Promotion Potential
• Flexibility
Impact – Profits up $75 MM +
Turnover costs
decline 4%
Performance Pay induces same
store sales growth of 4-6%
Enhances
attractiveness to
new hires by 35%
$
Outlining a tailored roadmap aligns
expectations and promotes retention
Business Analyst
(BA)
BA Project
Lead
BA Program
Lead
BA Practice
Lead
Relations
Manager
BA Manager
Requirements
Analyst
Process
Analyst
Decision
Analyst
Systems
Analyst
Systems
Functions
Service
Request
Agile
SWOT Analysis Career and Performance Roadmap
Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion
The future of EatRite ultimately lies in
its people, so developing talent is key
Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion
1
2
3
Personalized Development Resources
• Career and Performance Roadmap
• SWOT Analysis
Talent Recruitment
• Establishing a Company Purpose
• Networking for Business Growth
• Social Media Presence
Performance Incentivizing
• Money
• Promotion Potential
• Flexibility
Impact – Profits up $75 MM +
Turnover costs
decline 4%
Performance Pay induces same
store sales growth of 4-6%
Enhances
attractiveness to
new hires by 35%
$
By 2020, EatRite can double its profits
and achieve its 3% margin goals
Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion
Year Base Case Conservative Aggressive
Mkt.
Share
Margin
Profit
($MM)
Mkt.
Share
Margin
Profit
($MM)
Mkt.
Share
Margin
Profit
($MM)
2015 0.98% 1.50% 86 0.98% 1.50% 86 0.98% 1.50% 86
2016 0.95% 1.60% 90 1.07% 1.28% 79 1.08% 1.56% 103
2017 0.95% 1.60% 91 1.11% 1.92% 122 1.13% 2.44% 172
2018 0.95% 1.60% 92 1.14% 2.17% 141 1.18% 2.97% 223
2019 0.95% 1.60% 92 1.18% 2.58% 175 1.25% 3.74% 304
2020 0.95% 1.60% 93 1.24% 2.89% 203 1.35% 4.03% 366
Net Profit (2015 excluded) 458 720 1,168
Increase over Base Case 0 262 710
Addressing potential risks will smooth
the execution of EatRite’s initiatives
Strategy Specific
Risks
External Internal
Cyber
Security
Brand
Perception
Damaging
Relationships
Scope Creep
Employee
Burnout
Resistance to
Change
Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion
Within five years, EatRite can transform
itself into a leading 21st century grocer
Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion
Successful Implementation
Grow market share, expand margins,
energize employees, retain customers
2016
Website and Self
Check-Out Pilot
Complete
Invest $30 MM in
Private Label
Data Assessment &
Begin Building
2017 Mobile App
Complete
Data Building
Complete, Begin
Monitoring
Employee
Development Plan
Launched
2018
Data Monitoring
Shifts to Continuous
Improvement
Precision Marketing
of New / Loyal
Customers
University Recruiting
Expansion
2019
Data-Driven
Performance
Objectives Set
Social Media Goals:
Go Viral
Target Increased
Private Label Pricing
Power
Summary of Solution
Introduction Problem Identification Analysis Recommendation Conclusion
Expand EatRite’s Signature Private Label
Launch Data and Technology Initiatives
Actively Invest in Human Capital
Thank You!
Introduction Problem Identification Analysis Recommendation Conclusion
Appendix A –
Base Revenue Model
Year Revenue ($MM) Net Profit Margin Net Profits ($MM) Market Share Total Market ($BN)
2010 $5,075 1.65% 84 1.50% $338,333
2011 $5,039 1.60% 81 1.29% $391,790
2012 $5,033 1.70% 86 1.11% $453,693
2013 $5,150 1.68% 87 0.98% $525,510
2014 $5,225 1.63% 85 0.94% $555,990
2015 $5,750 1.50% 86 0.98% $588,485
2016 $5,636 1.60% 90 0.95% $593,231
2017 $5,681 1.60% 91 0.95% $598,015
2018 $5,727 1.60% 92 0.95% $602,838
2019 $5,773 1.60% 92 0.95% $607,699
2020 $5,820 1.60% 93 0.95% $612,600
Appendix B –
Private Label Impact
Year Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Proportion Private 5.0% 10.0% 13.9% 17.6% 24.5% 27.3%
Private Margin 3.5% 3.8% 4.3% 4.8% 5.3% 5.8%
Proportion Branded 95.0% 90.0% 86.1% 82.4% 75.5% 72.7%
Branded Margin 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8%
Weighted Average 1.6% 1.8% 2.0% 2.2% 2.6% 2.8%
Year Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Proportion Private 5.0% 10.0% 13.9% 17.6% 24.5% 27.3%
Private Margin 3.5% 4.5% 5.5% 6.5% 7.5% 8.0%
Proportion Branded 95.0% 90.0% 86.1% 82.4% 75.5% 72.7%
Branded Margin 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% 2.3% 2.5% 2.5%
Weighted Average 1.6% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.7% 4.0%
Year Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Market Size 100% 100% 100% 101% 103% 105%
Year Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Market Size 100% 101% 102% 105% 109% 115%
Year Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Revenues $5,750 $5,636 $5,681 $5,784 $5,946 $6,111
Margin 1.6% 1.8% 2.0% 2.2% 2.6% 2.8%
Profits $92 $100 $112 $127 $153 $174
Costs $30 $18 $20 $25 $30
Net Profits $70 $94 $107 $128 $144
Net Margins 1.24% 1.66% 1.85% 2.15% 2.35%
Base Profits $90 $91 $91 $92 $93
Private Label Profits $70 $94 $107 $128 $144
Increase ($20) $3 $16 $36 $51
Cumulative Change $85
Year Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Revenues $5,750 $5,692 $5,795 $6,013 $6,293 $6,693
Margin 1.6% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.7% 4.0%
Profits $92 $115 $144 $180 $234 $268
Costs $30 $18 $20 $25 $30
Net Profits $85 $127 $160 $209 $238
Net Margins 1.50% 2.18% 2.67% 3.33% 3.55%
Base Profits $90 $91 $92 $92 $93
Private Label Profits $85 $127 $160 $209 $238
Increase ($5) $36 $69 $117 $145
Cumulative Change $361
Conservative Aggressive
Appendix C –
Technology Initiative Impact
Sales Growth Adoption Total Impact 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Self Checkout 40.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
Data 7.5% 65.0% 4.9% 4.9% 5.4% 5.9% 6.5% 7.1%
Mobile App 15.0% 5.0% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9%
Engage Staff 10.0% 40.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.4% 4.8% 5.3% 5.9%
TOTAL 10.1% 11.6% 12.6% 13.7% 14.9%
Sales Growth Adoption Total Impact 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Self Checkout 40.0% 15.0% 6.0% 3.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0%
Data 7.5% 90.0% 6.8% 6.8% 8.4% 10.5% 13.2% 16.5%
Mobile App 15.0% 15.0% 2.3% 2.3% 2.7% 3.5% 4.9% 7.4%
Engage Staff 10.0% 40.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.4% 4.8% 5.3% 5.9%
TOTAL 16.0% 21.5% 24.9% 29.4% 35.7%
Private Label Profits $70 $94 $107 $128 $144
New Profits $79 $122 $141 $175 $203
Increase $9 $28 $34 $47 $59
Cumulative Change $176
Private Label Profits $85 $127 $160 $209 $238
New Profits $103 $172 $223 $304 $366
Increase $18 $45 $63 $95 $128
Cumulative Change $350
Conservative
Aggressive
Appendix D –
Total Investment Costs
Private Label ($MM) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
30 18 20 25 30
Data and Talent Costs ($MM) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Talent 2 2.1 2.2 2.315 2.43
Internal Brand 1 5 5 5 5
Technologies 1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Web and App 5 2 2 2 2
Self Checkout 2 2 2 2 2
Total 38 11.5 11.6 11.715 11.83
Savings ($MM) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Profits 125.52 147.74 172.50 221.91 267.98
Turnover Costs 175.73 206.83 241.50 310.68 375.17
4% Reduction 7.03 8.27 9.66 12.43 15.01
9% Reduction 15.82 18.61 21.74 27.96 33.77
14% Reduction 24.60 28.96 33.81 43.49 52.52

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Deloitte Consulting Case Competition

  • 1. 21st Century EatRite: Fresh Strategy | 2017 Deloitte Case Competition Fresh Seniority | Miles Wood, Alexandra Van Den Heuvel, Scott Moore, Robert Ryan III
  • 2. Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion “Fresh Seniority” is a team of two first-years and two seniors
  • 3. EatRite needs a 21st century strategy to maintain its market position Context • Family owned, locally-sourced grocery store • Strong focus on local community • Decades of moderate regional growth Problem • Recent decline in market share • Steady drop in profitability • Ineffective business model Solution • Identify root causes of market share loss and low profits • Evaluate options in the 21st Century grocery market • Recommend solutions to revitalize the organization Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion
  • 4. To boost profits, EatRite will need an innovative, data-driven brand Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion Inability to Establish Data-Driven Direction Disparate Information Systems Minimal Integration of Data Sources Lacking Holistic Perspective Underdeveloped Private Label Distribution Model Scaling Operations is not Decreasing Costs Dependent on Fading Brand Loyalty Aging Customer Base Absence of In-Store Technology Integration Outdated Checkout/Delivery Model Lack of Innovation Falling Margins Intuitive Decision Making Outdated and Unattractive Brand Traditional and Slow Company Culture Aging Employees Weak Performance Management High Employee Turnover Talent Acquisition and Retention Ineffective Operating Model Human Capital
  • 5. NOW: Next-Gen Private Label, Organize Data, Win Fresh Talent Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion • Career Performance Roadmap • Promote talent retention • Attract Young Talent • Incentivize Performance • Data Integration Plan • Develop Website and App • Account-based Loyalty Program • Integrate Technology In-store • Build relationships with suppliers and manufacturers • Launch Private Label to 100- 400 new, high-margin products Impact Heightened market share and reduced margins generate $85 – $360 MM in profits over five years Construct high quality brand through private label $ Data efficiency will lead to $105 – $225 MM in profits over five years External (app, self-checkout) and internal (predictive analytics) Ineffective Operating Model Human Capital Technology Initiative Revitalize OrganizationPrivate Label Expansion Human capital investment will produce $75 – $120 MM in profits over five years Long term advantage of injecting fresh talent into the enterprise! $ $
  • 6. Private Label plays an essential role in any 21st century grocery enterprise Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion • Private label grows to 27% of store sales • Total sales grow 15% by 2020 • Private label margins exceed brand margins by 5.5 percentage points in 2020 • Initial and Long-term costs: $30 and $20 MM • Return on Investment: 2016 (T + 1 year) • Private label grows to 27% of store sales • Total sales grow 5% by 2020 • Private label margins exceed brand margins by 4 percentage points in 2020 • Initial and Long-term costs: $30 and $20 MM • Return on Investment: 2017 (T + 2 years) Aggressive – Profits up $360 MMConservative – Profits up $85 MM • Debate rages within EatRite regarding private label expansion • In our view, EatRite’s private label is underdeveloped • Important strategy in a market of brand loyalty • Sales growth and margin expansion for all products • Expand private label to new categories and products • Build new relationships and heavily market the label Now Why PL? Logistics
  • 7. Internal and external technological solutions will drive future growth • Work with CIO and frontline managers • Define who can access what data • Goal: Analyzing and predicting the major drivers of revenue and profits Brainstorm Determine Meaningful Data EatRite Labs Strengthen IT Department • Hire an IT team • Develop website (2016) and mobile app (2018) • Design internal training materials for regional managers Integrate Data, Analytics, and Tools • Define data-driven objectives for all staff • Preserve existing software infrastructure • Implement integrated data visualization tools Modern Stores Technological Infrastructure • Expand loyalty program using personal accounts • Pilot self-checkout across 120 stores (4- 5 per store) • Pilot shelf-sensors and beacon technology Monitor Ongoing Data Collection • Use dashboards to track customer activity, engagement, and retention • Utilize insight from pilot programs to inform strategic decisions • Knowledge management Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion
  • 8. Modern companies need technology to make smarter business decisions Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion Collect Integrate Analyze Monitor • Initial same store sales growth of 6.8% • Continuous improvement of data tools yields 1.6 - 3 percentage points of sales growth YOY • Self-checkout adopted by 15% of customers • Mobile app adopted by 15% of customers • Mobile marketing goes viral, increasing sales 5 percentage points by 2020 • Initial same store sales growth of 4.9% • Continuous improvement of data tools yields 0.5 percentage points of sales growth YOY • Self-checkout adopted by 2.5% of customers • Mobile app adopted by 5% of customers • Growth in mobile increases sales by 0.1 percentage points by 2020 Aggressive – Profits up $225 MMConservative – Profits up $105 MM
  • 9. The future of EatRite ultimately lies in its people, so developing talent is key Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion 1 2 3 Personalized Development Resources • Career and Performance Roadmap • SWOT Analysis Talent Recruitment • Establishing a Company Purpose • Networking for Business Growth • Social Media Presence Performance Incentivizing • Money • Promotion Potential • Flexibility Impact – Profits up $75 MM + Turnover costs decline 4% Performance Pay induces same store sales growth of 4-6% Enhances attractiveness to new hires by 35% $
  • 10. Outlining a tailored roadmap aligns expectations and promotes retention Business Analyst (BA) BA Project Lead BA Program Lead BA Practice Lead Relations Manager BA Manager Requirements Analyst Process Analyst Decision Analyst Systems Analyst Systems Functions Service Request Agile SWOT Analysis Career and Performance Roadmap Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion
  • 11. The future of EatRite ultimately lies in its people, so developing talent is key Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion 1 2 3 Personalized Development Resources • Career and Performance Roadmap • SWOT Analysis Talent Recruitment • Establishing a Company Purpose • Networking for Business Growth • Social Media Presence Performance Incentivizing • Money • Promotion Potential • Flexibility Impact – Profits up $75 MM + Turnover costs decline 4% Performance Pay induces same store sales growth of 4-6% Enhances attractiveness to new hires by 35% $
  • 12. By 2020, EatRite can double its profits and achieve its 3% margin goals Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion Year Base Case Conservative Aggressive Mkt. Share Margin Profit ($MM) Mkt. Share Margin Profit ($MM) Mkt. Share Margin Profit ($MM) 2015 0.98% 1.50% 86 0.98% 1.50% 86 0.98% 1.50% 86 2016 0.95% 1.60% 90 1.07% 1.28% 79 1.08% 1.56% 103 2017 0.95% 1.60% 91 1.11% 1.92% 122 1.13% 2.44% 172 2018 0.95% 1.60% 92 1.14% 2.17% 141 1.18% 2.97% 223 2019 0.95% 1.60% 92 1.18% 2.58% 175 1.25% 3.74% 304 2020 0.95% 1.60% 93 1.24% 2.89% 203 1.35% 4.03% 366 Net Profit (2015 excluded) 458 720 1,168 Increase over Base Case 0 262 710
  • 13. Addressing potential risks will smooth the execution of EatRite’s initiatives Strategy Specific Risks External Internal Cyber Security Brand Perception Damaging Relationships Scope Creep Employee Burnout Resistance to Change Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion
  • 14. Within five years, EatRite can transform itself into a leading 21st century grocer Introduction Problem Identification Recommendation Next Steps Conclusion Successful Implementation Grow market share, expand margins, energize employees, retain customers 2016 Website and Self Check-Out Pilot Complete Invest $30 MM in Private Label Data Assessment & Begin Building 2017 Mobile App Complete Data Building Complete, Begin Monitoring Employee Development Plan Launched 2018 Data Monitoring Shifts to Continuous Improvement Precision Marketing of New / Loyal Customers University Recruiting Expansion 2019 Data-Driven Performance Objectives Set Social Media Goals: Go Viral Target Increased Private Label Pricing Power
  • 15. Summary of Solution Introduction Problem Identification Analysis Recommendation Conclusion Expand EatRite’s Signature Private Label Launch Data and Technology Initiatives Actively Invest in Human Capital
  • 16. Thank You! Introduction Problem Identification Analysis Recommendation Conclusion
  • 17. Appendix A – Base Revenue Model Year Revenue ($MM) Net Profit Margin Net Profits ($MM) Market Share Total Market ($BN) 2010 $5,075 1.65% 84 1.50% $338,333 2011 $5,039 1.60% 81 1.29% $391,790 2012 $5,033 1.70% 86 1.11% $453,693 2013 $5,150 1.68% 87 0.98% $525,510 2014 $5,225 1.63% 85 0.94% $555,990 2015 $5,750 1.50% 86 0.98% $588,485 2016 $5,636 1.60% 90 0.95% $593,231 2017 $5,681 1.60% 91 0.95% $598,015 2018 $5,727 1.60% 92 0.95% $602,838 2019 $5,773 1.60% 92 0.95% $607,699 2020 $5,820 1.60% 93 0.95% $612,600
  • 18. Appendix B – Private Label Impact Year Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Proportion Private 5.0% 10.0% 13.9% 17.6% 24.5% 27.3% Private Margin 3.5% 3.8% 4.3% 4.8% 5.3% 5.8% Proportion Branded 95.0% 90.0% 86.1% 82.4% 75.5% 72.7% Branded Margin 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% Weighted Average 1.6% 1.8% 2.0% 2.2% 2.6% 2.8% Year Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Proportion Private 5.0% 10.0% 13.9% 17.6% 24.5% 27.3% Private Margin 3.5% 4.5% 5.5% 6.5% 7.5% 8.0% Proportion Branded 95.0% 90.0% 86.1% 82.4% 75.5% 72.7% Branded Margin 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% 2.3% 2.5% 2.5% Weighted Average 1.6% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.7% 4.0% Year Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Market Size 100% 100% 100% 101% 103% 105% Year Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Market Size 100% 101% 102% 105% 109% 115% Year Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Revenues $5,750 $5,636 $5,681 $5,784 $5,946 $6,111 Margin 1.6% 1.8% 2.0% 2.2% 2.6% 2.8% Profits $92 $100 $112 $127 $153 $174 Costs $30 $18 $20 $25 $30 Net Profits $70 $94 $107 $128 $144 Net Margins 1.24% 1.66% 1.85% 2.15% 2.35% Base Profits $90 $91 $91 $92 $93 Private Label Profits $70 $94 $107 $128 $144 Increase ($20) $3 $16 $36 $51 Cumulative Change $85 Year Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Revenues $5,750 $5,692 $5,795 $6,013 $6,293 $6,693 Margin 1.6% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.7% 4.0% Profits $92 $115 $144 $180 $234 $268 Costs $30 $18 $20 $25 $30 Net Profits $85 $127 $160 $209 $238 Net Margins 1.50% 2.18% 2.67% 3.33% 3.55% Base Profits $90 $91 $92 $92 $93 Private Label Profits $85 $127 $160 $209 $238 Increase ($5) $36 $69 $117 $145 Cumulative Change $361 Conservative Aggressive
  • 19. Appendix C – Technology Initiative Impact Sales Growth Adoption Total Impact 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Self Checkout 40.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% Data 7.5% 65.0% 4.9% 4.9% 5.4% 5.9% 6.5% 7.1% Mobile App 15.0% 5.0% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% Engage Staff 10.0% 40.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.4% 4.8% 5.3% 5.9% TOTAL 10.1% 11.6% 12.6% 13.7% 14.9% Sales Growth Adoption Total Impact 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Self Checkout 40.0% 15.0% 6.0% 3.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% Data 7.5% 90.0% 6.8% 6.8% 8.4% 10.5% 13.2% 16.5% Mobile App 15.0% 15.0% 2.3% 2.3% 2.7% 3.5% 4.9% 7.4% Engage Staff 10.0% 40.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.4% 4.8% 5.3% 5.9% TOTAL 16.0% 21.5% 24.9% 29.4% 35.7% Private Label Profits $70 $94 $107 $128 $144 New Profits $79 $122 $141 $175 $203 Increase $9 $28 $34 $47 $59 Cumulative Change $176 Private Label Profits $85 $127 $160 $209 $238 New Profits $103 $172 $223 $304 $366 Increase $18 $45 $63 $95 $128 Cumulative Change $350 Conservative Aggressive
  • 20. Appendix D – Total Investment Costs Private Label ($MM) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 30 18 20 25 30 Data and Talent Costs ($MM) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Talent 2 2.1 2.2 2.315 2.43 Internal Brand 1 5 5 5 5 Technologies 1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Web and App 5 2 2 2 2 Self Checkout 2 2 2 2 2 Total 38 11.5 11.6 11.715 11.83 Savings ($MM) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Profits 125.52 147.74 172.50 221.91 267.98 Turnover Costs 175.73 206.83 241.50 310.68 375.17 4% Reduction 7.03 8.27 9.66 12.43 15.01 9% Reduction 15.82 18.61 21.74 27.96 33.77 14% Reduction 24.60 28.96 33.81 43.49 52.52

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