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Rural Universal Service Jerry Ellig Senior Research Fellow [email_address]
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How’s it work? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
 
 
 
Who is eligible for what? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How’d we get here? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
 
 
 
Outcomes ,[object Object],[object Object]
What do we know about outcomes? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
GAO Report (June 2008) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Texas PUC study 2007 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Independent economic research ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Effects of the contribution mechanism ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Hidden cost of contribution mechanism ,[object Object],[object Object]
When is the hidden cost large? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Effect of a 1% price change > 1.0% Wireless minutes 0.57% Wireless subscription 0.7% Long-Distance minutes 0.01-0.026% (0.05% for low-income) Wireline subscription
Explicit + Hidden Costs Source: Jerry Ellig, “Costs and Consequences of Federal Telecommunications Regulation,” 58  Federal Communications Law Journal  37 (Jan. 2006).  $2.7 billion $978 million $1.76 billion Wireless 2004 $3.86 billion $1.16 billion $2.7 billion Long Distance 2002 Total Cost Hidden Cost (DW loss) U Service Revenue
Hidden Cost as a % of Revenues Raised Source: Jerry Ellig, “Costs and Consequences of Federal Telecommunications Regulation,” 58  Federal Communications Law Journal  37 (Jan. 2006).  25-40% (OMB “rule of thumb” – 25%) General Taxation 56% Wireless USF Contributions 43% Long-Distance USF Contributions
Costliest Federal Telecom Regulations Source: Jerry Ellig, “Costs and Consequences of Federal Telecommunications Regulation,” 58  Federal Communications Law Journal  37 (Jan. 2006).  $568 million 5. Wireless number portability $693 million 4. Wireless E-911 $1.5 billion 3. L-D Access Charges $2.14 billion 2. USF Contributions $30 billion 1. Spectrum Allocation Annual Hidden Cost
Major issues ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Interim cap and “identical support”
Reverse auctions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Expanded list of services (FCC proposed Jan. 2008) ,[object Object],[object Object]
USF contributions from broadband ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Intercarrier compensation
Effects of intercarrier compensation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Intercarrier compensation options ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Numbers-based USF contribution Source of last figure:   Jerry Ellig & James N. Taylor, “The Irony of Transparency: Unintended Consequences of Wireless Truth-in-Billing,”  Loyola Consumer Law Review  19:1 (2006), pp. 43-69. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Caveats around the edges ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Accountability for outcomes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
For more information … ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Ellig Rural Universal Service August 2008

  • 1. Rural Universal Service Jerry Ellig Senior Research Fellow [email_address]
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  • 22. Effect of a 1% price change > 1.0% Wireless minutes 0.57% Wireless subscription 0.7% Long-Distance minutes 0.01-0.026% (0.05% for low-income) Wireline subscription
  • 23. Explicit + Hidden Costs Source: Jerry Ellig, “Costs and Consequences of Federal Telecommunications Regulation,” 58 Federal Communications Law Journal 37 (Jan. 2006). $2.7 billion $978 million $1.76 billion Wireless 2004 $3.86 billion $1.16 billion $2.7 billion Long Distance 2002 Total Cost Hidden Cost (DW loss) U Service Revenue
  • 24. Hidden Cost as a % of Revenues Raised Source: Jerry Ellig, “Costs and Consequences of Federal Telecommunications Regulation,” 58 Federal Communications Law Journal 37 (Jan. 2006). 25-40% (OMB “rule of thumb” – 25%) General Taxation 56% Wireless USF Contributions 43% Long-Distance USF Contributions
  • 25. Costliest Federal Telecom Regulations Source: Jerry Ellig, “Costs and Consequences of Federal Telecommunications Regulation,” 58 Federal Communications Law Journal 37 (Jan. 2006). $568 million 5. Wireless number portability $693 million 4. Wireless E-911 $1.5 billion 3. L-D Access Charges $2.14 billion 2. USF Contributions $30 billion 1. Spectrum Allocation Annual Hidden Cost
  • 26.
  • 27. Interim cap and “identical support”
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