Monthly Employment Summary

GREATER ST. LOUIS
EMPLOYMENT
SUMMARY
October 2016 Preliminary Data
Prepared
November 30, 2016

Unemployment Rate | PEOPLE
Seasonally adjusted
October 2016 September 2016 August 2016
St. Louis MSA 4.7%  5.0%  4.9%
Illinois 5.6%  5.5%  5.5%
Missouri 5.1%  5.2%  5.1%
United States 4.9%  5.0%  4.9%
Payroll Employment | JOBS
Seasonally adjusted
October 2016
Job Change
Over-the-Month
Percent Change
Over-the-Month
St. Louis MSA 1,388,600 3,500 0.3% 
Illinois 6,022,600 2,200 0.0% 
Missouri 2,838,500 9,300 0.3% 
United States 144,952,000 161,000 0.1% 
OVERVIEW
Monthly Employment Summary | page 2
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics1
The nation’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 4.9 percent in October, slightly down from
September. The region’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 4.7 percent, slightly down from
September. The region’s unemployment levels are currently tracking the nation’s.
Nationally, the preliminary seasonally adjusted nonfarm employment numbers for October saw the ad-
dition of 161,000 jobs. The region’s seasonally adjusted payroll employment increased by 3,500 jobs
for an over-the-month increase of 0.3 percent.
The region’s not-seasonally adjusted payroll employment data series points to continued strength in
the job market. Over-the-year unadjusted job data from October 2015 to October 2016 shows that total
employment in the region rose by 32,700 jobs, a 2.4 percent increase. At the same time, the nation’s
employment grew by 1.6 percent.
This summary is available on the Economic Overview page of the St. Louis Regional Chamber website.
http://www.stlregionalchamber.com/regional-data/economy. The next summary will be available December 30, 2016.
Please note that the preliminary data presented in this summary is subject to change. This month, the regional unemployment
data is provisional and subject to change. One month’s data does not necessarily indicate a trend. Please refer to page 4 to
see long term unemployment trends and page 7 to look at nonfarm employment trends since 1990.

ST. LOUIS, MO-IL MSA LABOR FORCE
Not seasonally adjusted
MONTHLY ANNUAL AVERAGE
October
2016 (P)
October
2015
Percent
Change 2015 2014 Percent
Change
Total Civilian Labor
Force
1,512,457 1,487,365 1.7% 1,481,423 1,457,491 1.6%
Total Employed 1,447,981 1,421,950 1.8% 1,406,552 1,366,121 3.0%
Total Unemployed 64,476 65,415 -1.4% 74,871 91,370 -18.1%
Unemployment Rate 4.3% 4.4% -- 5.1% 6.3% --
UNITED STATES LABOR FORCE
Not seasonally adjusted
Total Civilian Labor
Force
159,783,000 157,313,000 1.6% 157,130,000 155,922,000 0.8%
Total Employed 152,335,000 149,716,000 1.7% 148,834,000 146,305,000 1.7%
Total Unemployed 7,447,000 7,597,000 -2.0% 8,296,000 9,617,000 -13.7%
Unemployment Rate 4.7% 4.8% -- 5.3% 6.2% --
Labor Force & Unemployment Rates | PEOPLE
Snapshot
ST. LOUIS UNEMPLOYMENT
From October 2015 to October 2016, the number of employed persons in the St. Louis region
increased by more than 26,000 while the labor force increased by more than 25,000.
MONTHLY ANNUAL AVERAGE
October
2016 (P)
October
2015
Percent
Change 2015 2014 Percent
Change

U.S. Metros
RATE CHANGE
October 2016
unemployment
rate compared to
October 2015
387 metropolitan areas total
Lower 231
Unchanged 29
Higher 127
JOBLESS RATE
Thirty areas registered
rates of less than 3
percent
Three areas registered
rates of at least 10
percent
Note: Monthly data are not seasonally adjusted and October 2016 rates are preliminary
Unemployment Trends | PEOPLE
Snapshot
NATIONAL
COMPARISON
The region’s
unemployment rate
continues to track
closely with the national
unemployment rate.
Unemployment by Peer Markets | PEOPLE
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
St. Louis MSA U.S.
5.5%
5.5%
4.9%
4.7%
4.5%
4.4%
4.3%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
3.6%
3.6%
3.1%
2.9%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
Pittsburgh
Chicago
Atlanta
U.S.
Charlotte
Baltimore
St.Louis
KansasCity
Cincinnati
ResearchTriangle
Dallas
Indianapolis
Minneapolis
Denver

Geographic Distribution of Unemployment Rates | PEOPLE
and Illinois Department of Employment Security8
October 2016

Civilian Labor Force | PEOPLE
AREA
CURRENT MONTH - October 2016 (P) YEAR AGO - October 2015
Labor Force Employment
Unemployment
Labor Force Employment
Unemployment
Number Rate Number Rate
United States 159,783,000 152,335,000 7,447,000 4.7% 157,313,000 149,716,000 7,597,000 4.8%
Illinois 6,561,428 6,197,403 364,025 5.5% 6,529,418 6,163,320 366,098 5.6%
Missouri 3,148,836 3,018,677 130,159 4.1% 3,116,491 2,990,937 125.554 4.0%
St. Louis, MO-IL 1,512,457 1,447,981 64,476 4.3% 1,487,365 1,421,950 65,415 4.4%
Missouri Counties
Franklin 53,901 51,983 2,008 3.7% 53,088 51,066 2,022 3.8%
Jefferson 120,720 116,126 4,594 3.8% 118,689 114,129 4,470 3.8%
Lincoln 27,499 26,481 1,018 3.7% 27,132 26,065 1,067 3.9%
St. Charles 222,075 214,812 7,263 3.3% 218,241 211,221 7,020 3.2%
St. Louis County 552,157 530,385 21,772 3.9% 542,202 521,615 20,587 3.8%
Warren 17,775 17,114 661 3.7% 17,511 16,847 664 3.8%
St. Louis City 166,133 157,414 8,719 5.2% 163,038 154,779 8,259 5.1%
Illinois Counties
Bond 8,187 7,810 377 4.6% 8,032 7,614 418 5.2%
Calhoun 2,429 2,292 137 5.6% 2,392 2,236 156 6.5%
Clinton 20,775 19,941 834 4.0% 20,351 19,464 887 4.4%
Jersey 11,436 10,837 599 5.2% 11,278 10,591 687 6.1%
Macoupin 23,833 22,596 1,237 5.2% 23,543 22,063 1,480 6.3%
Madison 136,939 129,643 7,296 5.3% 134,895 126,704 8,191 6.1%
Monroe 18,541 17,852 689 3.7% 18,250 17,440 810 4.4%
St. Clair 130,057 122,785 7,272 5.6% 128,723 120,026 8,697 6.8%
Missouri Cities of 25,000 or more
Ballwin 17,646 17,196 450 2.6% 17,414 16,912 502 2.9%
Chesterfield 25,873 25,128 745 2.9% 25,419 24,713 706 2.8%
Florissant 29,512 28,269 1,243 4.2% 28,987 27,802 1,185 4.1%
Hazelwood 14,494 13,833 661 4.6% 14,245 13,604 641 4.5%
Kirkwood 16,388 15,960 428 2.6% 16,148 15,696 452 2.8%
Maryland Hgts. 16,945 16,353 592 3.5% 16,633 16,083 550 3.3%
O'Fallon 48,927 47,486 1,441 2.9% 47,992 46,693 1,299 2.7%
St. Charles 39,125 37,838 1,287 3.3% 38,497 37,205 1,292 3.4%
St. Louis 166,133 157,414 8,719 5.2% 163,038 154,779 8,259 5.1%
St. Peters 34,664 33,579 1,085 3.1% 34,125 33,018 1,107 3.2%
University City 19,762 18,939 823 4.2% 19,348 18,626 722 3.7%
Wentzville 18,936 18,426 510 2.7% 18,595 18,118 477 2.6%
Wildwood 19,776 19,257 519 2.6% 19,508 18,938 570 2.9%
Illinois Cities of 25,000 or more
Alton 11,981 11,103 878 7.3% 11,910 10,851 1,059 8.9%
Belleville 23,040 21,717 1,323 5.7% 22,784 21,229 1,555 6.8%
Collinsville 13,204 12,537 667 5.1% 13,028 12,253 775 5.9%
East St. Louis 9,255 8,315 940 10.2% 9,301 8,128 1,173 12.6%
Edwardsville 13,524 12,916 608 4.5% 13,233 12,623 610 4.6%
Granite City 13,711 12,776 935 6.8% 13,626 12,486 1,140 8.4%
O'Fallon 14,058 13,408 650 4.6% 13,881 13,107 774 5.6%
and Illinois Department of Employment Security10

ST . LO UI S M S A U N IT ED ST AT E S
Year
Nonfarm
Employment
Change
Percent
Change
Nonfarm
Employment
Change
Percent
Change
1992 1,160,900 2,700 0.2% 108,802,000 375,000 0.3%
1993 1,177,400 16,500 1.4% 110,935,000 2,133,000 2.0%
1994 1,209,600 32,200 2.7% 114,398,000 3,463,000 3.1%
1995 1,229,500 19,900 1.6% 117,407,000 3,009,000 2.6%
1996 1,250,400 20,900 1.7% 119,836,000 2,429,000 2.1%
1997 1,274,700 24,300 1.9% 122,951,000 3,115,000 2.6%
1998 1,295,700 21,000 1.6% 126,157,000 3,206,000 2.6%
1999 1,312,300 16,600 1.3% 129,240,000 3,083,000 2.4%
2000 1,327,000 14,700 1.1% 132,024,000 2,784,000 2.2%
2001 1,328,400 1,400 0.1% 132,087,000 63,000 0.0%
2002 1,321,600 (6,800) -0.5% 130,649,000 (1,438,000) -1.1%
2003 1,312,500 (9,100) -0.7% 130,347,000 (302,000) -0.2%
2004 1,312,100 (400) 0.0% 131,787,000 1,440,000 1.1%
2005 1,328,100 16,000 1.2% 134,051,000 2,264,000 1.7%
2006 1,341,800 13,700 1.0% 136,453,000 2,402,000 1.8%
2007 1,350,900 9,100 0.7% 137,999,000 1,546,000 1.1%
2008 1,347,300 (3,600) -0.3% 137,242,000 (757,000) -0.5%
2009 1,290,700 (56,600) -4.2% 131,313,000 (5,929,000) -4.3%
2010 1,281,300 (9,400) -0.7% 130,361,000 (952,000) -0.7%
2011 1,293,600 12,300 1.0% 131,932,000 1,571,000 1.2%
2012 1,294,300 700 0.1% 134,175,000 2,243,000 1.7%
2013 1,303,900 9,600 0.7% 136,381,000 2,206,000 1.6%
2014 1,319,700 15,800 1.2% 138,958,000 2,577,000 1.9%
2015 1,343,700 24,000 1.8% 141,865,000 2,907,000 2.1%
1992 - 2015 Total Change 182,800 15.7% Total Change 33,063,000 30.4%
Compound Average Growth Rate 0.64% Compound Average Growth Rate 1.16%
monthly employment summary | page 7
Over the Year Change
Nonfarm Employment | JOBS
ST . LO UI S M S A U N IT ED ST AT E S
Year October (P) Change
Percent
Change
October (P) Change
Percent
Change
2015 1,365,900 25,600 1.9% 143,689,000 2,823,000 2.0%
2016 1,398,600 32,700 2.4% 145,928,000 2,239,000 1.6%
Nonfarm Employment | JOBS

U.S. Metro
RATE CHANGE
October 2016
nonfarm employment
compared to
October 2015
387 metropolitan areas total
Increased 311
Unchanged 8
Decreased 68
Employment Growth by Peer Markets| JOBS
Source: ADP National Employment Report13
Looking Ahead - National Employment - November
JOBS
National Total Nonfarm
Private Job Growth
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA
OCTOBER 2016 - NOVEMBER 2016
TOTAL JOBS +216,000
BY COMPANY SIZE
SMALL BUSINESSES
1 - 19 EMPLOYEES
20-49 EMPLOYEES
37,000
9,000
28,000
MEDIUM BUSINESSES
50-499 EMPLOYEES
LARGE BUSINESSES
500-999 EMPLOYEES
1,000+ EMPLOYEES
89,000
89,000
90,000
14,000
76,000
Industry Growth
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA
OCTOBER 2016 - NOVEMBER 2016
GOODS-PRODUCING -11,000
MANUFACTURING -10,000
SERVICE-PRODUCING 228,000
PROFESSIONAL &
BUSINESS SERVICES
68,000
FINANCIAL
ACTIVITIES
12,000
0.2%
0.8%
1.1%
1.4%
1.5%
1.6%
1.7%
1.9%
2.4%
2.5%
2.5%
2.7%
3.3%
3.6%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
Pittsburgh
Chicago
KansasCity
Minneapolis
Indianapolis
UnitedStates
Baltimore
Cincinnati
St.Louis
ResearchTriangle
Charlotte
Atlanta
Dallas
Denver

Employment Trends by Industry Sector| JOBS
PERCENT CHANGE IN NONFARM EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR
ST. LOUIS MSA AND U.S. OCTOBER 2015 TO OCTOBER 2016
CHANGE IN NONFARM EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR
ST. LOUIS MSA OCTOBER 2015 TO OCTOBER 2016
2.4%
4.5%
-1.9%
1.6%
-2.5%
2.3%
3.8%
3.1%
1.6%
8.6%
0.8% 0.6%
1.6%
1.0%
-0.5%
1.3%
0.3%
2.1%
2.7%
2.7% 2.6%
1.9%
1.4%
0.9%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
Total
Non-Farm
Mining,
Logging.&
Construction
Manufacturing
Trade,
Transportation&
Utilities
Information
Financial
Activities
Professional
&Business
Services
Education
HealthCare
Leisure&
Hospitality
OtherServices
Government
St. Louis U.S.
32,700
3,000
(2,100)
4,100
(700)
2,000
8,100
1,200
3,300
12,400
400 1,000
(5,000)
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
Total
Non-Farm
Mining,
Logging&
Construction
Manufacturing
Trade,
Transportation&
Utilities
Information
Financial
Activities
Professional
&Business
Services
Education
HealthCare
Leisure&
Hospitality
OtherServices
Government

Forecast Month
More than 60 economists participate
in a monthly, national economic
forecast published by the Wall Street
Journal; this monthly consensus
forecast shows expectations for
modest economic growth through
2018.
Source: Wall Street Journal Economic Survey16
Snapshot
U.S. GDP is forecasted to grow
1.8 percent in 2016 and pick up
to 2.2 percent in 2017 and 2.3
percent in 2018.
The nation’s unemployment rate
is expected to stay below 5.0
percent through the end of
2018.
Economists continue to expect
employment growth over the
next 12 months. The forecast
for jobs-per-month in November
was 159,883, a level that would
add about 1.9 million jobs over
the next 12 months or an
annual growth rate of about
1.3%.
YEAR END UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
MONTHLY PAYROLL GROWTH FORECASTS
NEXT 12 MONTHS
National Forecasts
ANNUAL GDP FORECASTS
193,264
199,414
190,610
179,285
190,162
185,376
179,788
154,953
164,498
173,943
175,229
164,619
159,883
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
Nov'15
Dec'15
Jan'16
Feb'16
Mar'16
Apr'16
May'16
June'16
July'16
Aug'16
Sept'16
Oct'16
Nov'16
4.9%
4.6%
4.6%
4.5%
4.6%
4.7%
4.8%
4.9%
5.0%
Dec 2016 Dec 2017 Dec 2018
1.8%
2.2% 2.3%
0%
1%
2%
3%
2016 2017 2018

Each month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases current
employment data in the Employment Situation. The data comes from two
different surveys: the Current Population Survey (CPS), also known as the
household survey, and the Current Employment Statistics (CES) survey,
also known as the establishment or payroll survey.
While both surveys measure employment, they have different samples,
employment definitions, estimation procedures and concepts. These two
series track well together over long periods but, in the short term, do occa-
sionally diverge.
CURRENT
POPULATION SURVEY
CURRENT EMPLOYMENT
STATISTICS SURVEY
MONTHLY SAMPLE Approximately 60,000
households
160,000 businesses &
government agencies; firms
of all sizes are included
MEASUREMENT
Unemployment &
employment with significant
demographic detail
Employment, earnings,
& hours with significant
industrial
& geographic detail
REFERENCE PERIOD Week that includes
the 12th
of the month
Pay period that includes
the 12th
of the month
WORK FORCE Only workers
aged 16 and older
Employees of all
ages are included
EXHIBITS The number of
employed persons
The number of
nonfarm payroll jobs
MULTIPLE JOB HOLDERS Counted once Counted for each payroll job
SELF-EMPLOYED
PERSONS Included Excluded
AGRICULTURE SECTOR Included Excluded
PRIVATE HOUSEHOLD
WORKERS Included Excluded
UNPAID FAMILY
WORKERS Included Excluded
WORKERS ON LEAVE Included Excluded
Source: BLS, Monthly Labor Review17
monthly employment summary | page 11
Survey Comparison

Source: Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development18
Current Employment
Statistics Survey
Local Area Unemployment
Statistics Survey
DESCRIPTION
DATA SOURCE
DEFINITION
PROVISIONS
Monthly survey of nonfarm
business establishments for
the estimation of industry
employment, hours and earnings,
for the 50 states and 250
metropolitan statistical areas
surveyed.
The program is a federal-state
cooperative program between the
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
and State agencies. The national
sample Consists of 400,000
businesses and is the largest
survey of its kind.
The count of jobs by place of work
rather than of employed persons.
Industry employment time series
Total number of non-
supervisory/production
workers
One of the earliest monthly
economic indicators released by
the government; usually causes
immediate reaction in the stock
and bond market
Average weekly hours
earnings
View of the nation’s economic
health through employment
numbers; earnings trends and
wage push inflation through
average hourly earnings; and
short term fluctuations in demand
through average weekly hours of
work
Monthly estimates of labor force,
employment and unemployment
for state and local areas. The local
unemployment estimates are the
basis for determining area eligibility
for benefits under the Workforce
Invest Act and other federal programs.
Cooperative effort between the U.S.
Bureau of Labor Statistics & State
agencies. Models use both current
and historical data from the Current
Population Survey, Current
Employment Statistics program,
and Unemployment Insurance
statistics program to provide
estimates of employment and
unemployment.
Persons age 16 or older who, in the
survey week, worked for pay or
profit, or worked unpaid in a family
operated business, or were
temporarily absent from their regular
jobs.
Labor force, employment and
unemployment rates
Comparative rates
Monthly date from 1990 to present
Insight into state and local governments’
planning and budgetary
decisions
Aids in the determination of need for
employment and training services
Determination of eligibility for federal
programs and formula funding

1 “Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS)” , “Smoothed Seasonally Adjusted Metropolitan Area Esti-
mates” and “Labor Force Statistics from the Current Population Survey” U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics,
http://www.bls.gov/lau/home.htm#TABLES, Accessed 11/30/16.
2
“Employment, Hours, and Earnings (CES)” U.S Bureau of Labor Statistics, http://www.bls.gov/data/
#employment, Accessed 11/30/16.
3
“Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS)” and “Labor Force Statistics from the Current Population
Survey” U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, http://www.bls.gov/data/#unemployment, Accessed 8/30/16.
“Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) Missouri Economic Research and Information Center,
http://www.missourieconomy.org/indicators/laus/default.aspx, Accessed 11/30/16.
4
5
6
“Metropolitan Area Employment and Unemployment - October 2016” U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/metro.pdf, Accessed 11/30/16.
7
8
“Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS)” Illinois Department of Employment Security”, http://
www.ides.illinois.gov/LMI/Pages/Local_Area_Unemployment_Statistics.aspx, Accessed 11/30/16
9
10
“Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS)” Illinois Department of Employment Security”, http://
www.ides.illinois.gov/LMI/Pages/Local_Area_Unemployment_Statistics.aspx, Accessed 11/30/16
11
“Employment, Hours, and Earnings (CES)” U.S Bureau of Labor Statistics, http://data.bls.gov/pdq/
querytool.jsp?survey=sm , Accessed 11/30/16.
12
13
14
“ADP National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment November 2016” ADP, http://
www.adpemploymentreport.com/, Accessed 11/30/2016
15
16
“Wall Street Journal Economic Survey: November 2016” http://online.wsj.com/public/page/economic-
forecasting.html, Accessed 11/30/16.
17 “Understanding the Employment Measures from the CPS and CES Survey” Monthly Labor Review,
March 2006, http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2006/02/art2full.pdf, Accessed 5/1/09.
18
Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development, http://www.deed.state.mn.us/lmi/
Home.htm, Accessed 5/1/09.
Sources

ST. LOUIS REGIONAL CHAMBER
O N E ME T R O P O L I T A N S Q U A R E ◦ S U I T E 1 3 0 0 ◦ S T . L O U I S , M O 6 3 1 0 2 ◦ 3 1 4 . 2 3 1 . 5 5 5 5 ◦ W W W . S T L R E G I O N A L C H A MB E R . C O M
THE ST. LOUIS REGIONAL CHAMBER IS THE CHAMBER OF COMMERCE AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATION FOR GREATER ST. LOUIS,
W HICH INCLUDES 15 COUNTIES IN MISSOURI & ILLINOIS.
COMPILED BY
RUTH SERGENIAN
DIRECTOR, ECONOMIC RESEARCH & ANALYSIS
JASON WHITELEY
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH INTERN
PREPARED November 30, 2016
NEXT RELEASE December 30, 2016
NEXT UPDATES • November 2016 data
BLS U.S. Level ◦ December 2
BLS State Level ◦ December 16
MO & IL State Labor Market Release ◦ December 13 & November 17
BLS Metro Level ◦ December 29
ST. LOUIS, MO-IL MSA

Monthly Employment Summary

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