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Natural and Organic Foods and Beverages in the U.S., 3rd Edition
July 1, 2011
U.S. retail sales of natural and organic foods and beverages rose to nearly $39 billion in
2010, an increase of 9% over the previous year‟s sales of $35 billion, far outpacing
growth in conventional groceries, which crept ahead less than 2%. Despite the
continued sluggish economic recovery, Packaged Facts projects sales to more than
double by 2015, to exceed $78 billion. Growth will be jump-started in 2011, in great part
due to snack king Frito-Lay‟s switching half its snack portfolio to all-natural formulations.
In addition, attracted by the higher growth rates of natural/organic foods and beverages
and in response to consumer demand, other major consumer product companies are
becoming more deeply committed to natural and organic products, either through
acquisition or internal development. Such deep-pocketed marketers are in a good
position to fast-track their products into retail stores and onto consumer tables via their
massive product development capabilities, far-reaching distribution networks, and huge
advertising and marketing budgets.

This completely revised report, Natural and Organic Foods and Beverages in the
U.S., 3rd Edition, examines sales and growth potential, identifying key issues and
trends that will affect the marketplace through 2015. Extensive analysis via both
proprietary primary data from Packaged Facts‟ February 2011 Online Consumer Survey
and via Experian Simmons‟ national consumer panel data gauges consumer attitudes
and behaviors toward natural/organic foods and beverages, retail shopping patterns,
and media usage and preferences, both traditional and social. Also included is
comprehensive coverage of new product trends across dozens of categories, drawing
on new product data from Datamonitor‟s Product Launch Analytics database; dozens of
images of products and print ads; and profiles of trend-making marketers and retailers.
Interviews with industry experts round out this forward-looking market analysis, along
with the context of the broader social, economic and psychographic drivers of consumer
behavior and shopping preferences.


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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Chapter 1: Executive Summary
     Scope of Report
     Definition of “Natural”
     Definition of “Organic”
     Some Foodservice Crossover
     Report Methodology
     The Market
     Retail Sales of Natural/Organic Foods and Beverages Approach $39 Billion in
     2010
     Produce and Dairy Are the Largest Categories
Figure 1-1: Share of U.S. Retail Sales of Natural and Organic Foods and
     Beverages by Product Category, 2011 (percent)
     Mass-Market Channels Capture Almost Half of Retail Sales
     An Expanding Industry
     The Marketers
     Global Marketers, Investors Control Many Top Brands of Natural and Organic
     Foods and Beverages
     Recent Mergers and Acquisitions
     Mainstream Marketers Going Natural
     Organic Extensions of Mainstream Lines Not Very Successful
     Is Selling the Company Selling Out?
     The Gourmet/Natural Foods Synergy
     Selling Nutritional Benefits
     Selling Convenience
     Private-Label Natural and Organic Products Booming
     New Product Trends
     Overview
     Almost 2,900 Natural and Organic Products Launched in 2010
     Table 1-1: Number of Natural and Organic Food and Beverage Product
     Launches, 2006-2010
     “Natural” the Most Popular Product Tag
     Functional Drinks, Tea Top New Product Launches
     ALDI, Hain Celestial, Whole Foods Lead Product Introductions
     Natural and Organic Products Promote Ethical Causes
     Consumer Trends
     37% of Consumers Seek Out Natural/Organic Foods and Beverages
     Table 1-2: Percent of U.S. Adult Consumers by Level of Agreement with the
     Statement “I Seek Out Natural/Organic Foods and Beverages,” February 2011
     (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and consumers who buy
     packaged foods marketed as “all-natural”)
     Supermarkets the Most Popular Place to Get Natural/Organic Foods
     Fresh Fruit and Veggies Are the Most Popular Organic Categories
     High Socioeconomic Status Characterizes Organic/Natural Shoppers
     Attitudes Toward Food and Cooking
     Attitudes Toward Nutrition
     One Out of Three Households Use Organic Produce
     Attitudes and Opinions Toward Foodservice
     Internet Has Changed How Consumers Spend Free Time
     Consumers and Traditional Media
Chapter 2: The Market
     Market Overview
     Scope of Report
     Definition of “Natural”
     Definition of “Organic”
     Some Foodservice Crossover
     Controversies Over Organic and Natural Labeling
Market Size and Growth
Methodology for Sales Estimates
Quantifying Sales of Organic Foods and Beverages
Quantifying Sales of Natural Foods and Beverages
Retail Sales of Natural/Organic Foods and Beverages Approach $39 Billion in
2010
Table 2-1: U.S. Retail Sales of Natural and organic Foods and Beverages, 2006-
2015 (in billions of dollars)
Natural Foods and Beverages: A Larger Slice of a Bigger Pie
Figure 2-1: Share of U.S. Retail Sales of Natural and Organic Foods and
Beverages by Market Segment: Natural vs. Organic, 2010 vs. 2006 (percent)
Produce and Dairy Are the Largest Categories
Figure 2-2: Share of U.S. Retail Sales of Natural and Organic Foods and
Beverages by Product Category, 2011 (percent)
Mass-Market Channels Capture Almost Half of Retail Sales
Figure 2-3: Share of U.S. Retail Sales of Natural and Organic Foods and
Beverages by Retail Channel, 2011 (percent)
Market Outlook
The Economy and Its Impact
Organic vs. Natural
Brand Organic?
And Certify Natural?
The Consumer Component
Figure 2-4: Percent of U.S. Adult Consumers Who Agree with the Statement I
Seek Out Natural and Organic Foods and Beverages,” February 2011
Nearly 60% of Organic Grocery Shoppers Anticipate Increasing Organic/Natural
Purchases
Figure 2-5: Percent of U.S. Adult Grocery Shoppers Who Buy Organic Groceries
Who Agree or Disagree with the Statement “I Anticipate an Increasing Proportion
of the Groceries I Use Will Be Organic or “All-Natural,” February 2011
Figure 2-6: Percent of U.S. Adult Grocery Shoppers Who Buy Packaged Foods
Marketed as “All-Natural” (But Not Organic)
Who Agree or Disagree with the Statement “I Anticipate an Increasing Proportion
of the Groceries I Use Will Be Organic or “All-Natural,” February 2011
Organic Foods and Beverages Carry a Price Premium
How Willing Are Consumers to Pay More for Organics?
Organic Farming Takes Root
Table 2-2: U.S. Certified Organic Acreage, 1992, 2000, 2003, 2005, and 2008
Young Farmers Joining the Field
An Expanding Industry and Marketplace
Sometimes It‟s Difficult to Produce Organic or All-Natural Foods
Census 2010: Nation Is Older, More Ethnic
Table 2-3: Demographic Snapshot of the U.S. Population, 2010
Health Issues Continue to Drive Sales
New 2010 Dietary Guidelines
MyPlate Icon Replaces Food Pyramid
Illustration 2-1: The New MyPlate Food Icon, Introduced in June 2011
     Illustration 2-2: The Old MyPyramid Food Icon Introduced in 2005
     Reasons for Buying Natural/Organic Foods and Beverages
     The Fear Factor
     Overlap Between Natural/Organic and Gourmet/Premium Foods
     Table 2-4: Percent of U.S. Adult Consumers by Level of Agreement with the
     Statement “I Seek Out Gourmet Foods and Beverages,” February 2011 (overall,
     consumers who buy organic groceries, and consumers who buy packaged foods
     marketed as “all-natural”)
     Going Local
     Table 2-5: Percent of U.S. Adults by Level of Agreement with the Statement “I
     Seek Out Local and Seasonal Foods,” February 2011 (overall, consumers who
     buy organic groceries, and consumers who buy packaged foods marketed as
     “all-natural”)
     Artisan Foods
     Table 2-6: Percent of U.S. Adult Consumers by Level of Agreement with the
     Statement “I Like to Buy Products with Artisan or Hand-Made Appeal,” February
     2011 (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and consumers who buy
     packaged foods marketed as “all-natural”)
     Romancing the Products
     Many Natural/Organic Foods and Beverages Support Other Environmental and
     Social Issues
     Table 2-7: Percent of U.S. Adult Consumers by Level of Agreement with the
     Statement “Environmental and Ecological Issues Are Very Important to Me,”
     February 2011 (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and consumers
     who buy packaged foods marketed as “allnatural”)
     Table 2-8: Percent of U.S. Adult Consumers by Level of Agreement with the
     Statement “I Take Recycling Very Seriously,” February 2011 (overall, consumers
     who buy organic groceries, and consumers who buy packaged foods marketed
     as “all-natural”)
     Sustainable Packaging
     Humane Treatment of Animals and Sustainable Seafood
     The GMO Debate
     New Tests May Verify Organic Claims
     Projected Market Growth: U.S. Retail Sales Will Top $78.4 Billion by 2015
Chapter 3: The Marketers
     Marketer Overview
     Global Marketers, Investors Control Many Top Brands of Natural and Organic
     Foods and Beverages
     Recent Mergers and Acquisitions
     Mainstream Marketers Going Natural
     Organic Extensions of Mainstream Lines Not Very Successful
     Is Selling the Company Selling Out?
     The Gourmet/Natural Foods Synergy
     Figure 3-1: Number of Natural and Organic Food and Beverage Launches by
     “Upscale” or “Gourmet” Package Tag/Claim, 2006-2010
Selling Nutritional Benefits
Table 3-1: Number of Natural and Organic Food and Beverage Launches By
Selected “Nutritional” Package Tags/Claims, 2006-2010
Selling Convenience
Figure 3-2: Number of Natural and Organic Food and Beverage Launches By
Selected “Convenience” Package Tags/Claims, 2006-2010
Private-Label Natural and Organic Products Booming
Figure 3-3: Private-Label Natural and Organic Food and Beverage Launches,
2006-2010
Advertising and Marketing Trends
Marketers Ally Themselves with Social and Environmental Causes
Good Works
Newman‟s Own
Illustration 3-1: Newman‟s Own Ad Encourages Consumers to Volunteer
Clif Bar
Illustration 3-2: Clif Bar‟s 2 Mile Challenge Promotes Riding Bikes
Guerilla Marketing Techniques
Illustration 3-3: Stonyfield Farm Lids Tout Environmental and Social Causes
CEOs Rap to Promote Organic Food and Beverages
Illustration 3-4: Stonyfield CEO Gary Hirshberg Sings Out to Promote Eating
Organic
Illustration 3-5: Honest Tea CEO Seth Goldman‟s “Rethink What You Drink!” Rap
Targeting Kids Through Entertainment
Illustration 3-6: Disney Channel Commercial for Horizon Organic Milk
Making Use of Websites and Social Media
Table 3-2: Percent of U.S. Adult Consumers by Level of Agreement with the
Statement “I Am Active on Online or Mobile Social Networks (e.g., Facebook or
Twitter),” February 2011 (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and
consumers who buy packaged foods marketed as “all-natural”)
Websites and Social Media
Starbucks Savvy About Social Media
Illustration 3-7: Starbucks Mines its Facebook Fans for Data
PepsiCo‟s Near East Food Products Less of a Success
Illustration 3-8: Cooking Video on YouTube for Near East Couscous
Illustration 3-9: Near East‟s Couscous Caravan Offers Free Samples at Outdoor
Venues
Advertising and Marketing Positioning
Illustration 3-10: Ad for Campbell‟s Select Harvest Soup Conveys Multiple
Messages
Competitive Positioning
Illustration 3-11: Sierra Mist Natural Takes on Sprite
Illustration 3-12: A Wisconsin Family Accepts the “Silk for Milk 10-Day Challenge”
Consumer Testimonials
Illustration 3-13: Consumers Testimonials in Mezzetta Pasta Sauce Ad
Good Enough to Serve My Own Family
Illustration 3-14: Frito-Lay‟s Ingredients Buyer Selects All Natural Ingredients
Limited Edition
     Illustration 3-15: Muir Glen Reserve Tomatoes “Limited Edition” Ad
     Nutritional Benefits
     Illustration 3-16: Whole Grain Barilla Pasta Ad
     Illustration 3-17: Great Day All-Natural Eggs Ad
     Illustration 3-18: Sargento Reduced Sodium Cheese Ad
     Poetry in Motion
     Illustration 3-19: Fage Commercials: Poetry in Motion
     Illustration 3-20: Starbucks Natural Fusions Coffee Ad
     Real People
     Illustration 3-21: Chobani Yogurt‟s Campaign Uses Real People‟s Stories
     Simple Ingredients
     Illustration 3-22: Häagen-Dazs Five Ad
     Status
     Illustration 3-23: Green & Black‟s Organic Chocolate Ad
     Taste
     Illustration 3-24: Newman‟s Own Salad Dressings Ad
     Competitor Profiles
     Amy‟s Kitchen, Inc
     The Nation‟s Leading Organic Frozen Foods Brand
     Clif Bar & Company
     Raising the Ethical Bar
     Dole Food Co., Inc.
     Sustainable Organic Bananas
     Illustration 3-25: Dole Organic Lets Consumers Trace Bananas to the Farm
     Where They Were Grown
     EVOL Foods
     The EVOL Empire is Growing and Evolving
     Frito-Lay
     Going Natural
     The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.
     Growth Through Acquisitions
     Honest Tea
     Acquired by Coca-Cola
     Benefits for Both Sides
     Newman‟s Own, Inc.
     Wholly Dedicated to Philanthropy
     Organic Valley
     Owned by a Cooperative of Farmers
     Stonyfield Farm, Inc.
     A Model for Corporate Responsibility
Chapter 4: New Product Trends
     Overview
     Almost 2,900 Natural and Organic Products Launched in 2010
     Table 4-1: Number of Natural and Organic Food and Beverage Product
     Launches, 2006-2010
Table 4-2: Natural and Organic Percent of All New Product Launches, 2006-2010
(based on total number of new product reports)
“Natural” the Most Popular Product Tag
Table 4-3: Top 10 Product Claims on New Food and Beverage Products, 2006,
2008, and 2010
Functional Drinks, Tea Top New Product Launches
Table 4-4: Top 20 Product Categories for Natural and Organic Food and
Beverage Product Launches, 2006-2010
ALDI, Hain Celestial, Whole Foods Lead Product Introductions
Table 4-5: Top 15 U.S. Marketers of Natural and Organic Foods and Beverages
by Number of New Product Reports, 2006-2010
Macro Trends
Natural and Organic Products Promote Ethical Causes
Illustration 4-1: EarthGrains Bread, Made with 20% Eco-Grain Wheat
Illustration 4-2: Home Chef Kitchen Soup Is Certified Humane
More Dairies and Retailers Go Hormone-Free
Demand for Gluten-Free Foods Surging
Illustration 4-3: Gluten-Free Café Canned Soups (Natural)
Illustration 4-4: Rudi‟s Gluten-Free Bread (Natural)
Illustration 4-5: Amy‟s Kitchen Gluten-Free Frozen Pizza (Organic)
Superfoods
List of Superfruits Is Growing
Illustration 4-6: Celestial Seasonings‟ Kombucha—Exotic Flavors and Health
Benefits (Natural)
Moriheiya
Illustration 4-7: GreeNoodle Instant Noodles (Natural)
Chia Seeds
Illustration 4-8: Mary‟s Gone Crackers Pretzel Sticks with Chia Seeds (Organic)
Illustration 4-9: ChiaVie Superfruit Smoothie Combines Chia Seeds + Fruit
(Natural)
Going Coconuts
Competition Intensifying in Coconut Water
Illustration 4-10: Phenom Fortified Coconut Water (Natural)
Coconut Milk Becomes a Beverage
Illustration 4-11: Silk PureCoconut Milk (Natural)
Illustration 4-12: So Delicious Coconut Water Sorbet (Organic)
Next Up, Coconut Oil and Coconut Sugar
Illustration 4-13: Pamela‟s Products Cheesecake, Sweetened with Agave and
Coconut Sugar (Natural)
Stevia as a Natural Sweetener
Illustration 4-14: Honest Tea Stevia-Sweetened Tea (Organic)
Illustration 4-15: Stevia-Sweetened Rainforest Cola (Natural)
Illustration 4-16: Stevia-Sweetened R.W. Knudsen Light Juices (Natural)
Illustration 4-17: Stevia-Sweetened Breyer‟s YoCrunch Yogurt (Naturally
Sweetened)
Local Trend Continues to Grow
Baby and Kid-Targeted Foods Play Up Safety
Illustration 4-18: Earth‟s Best Whole Grain Rice Cereal (Organic)
Illustration 4-19: HappyBaby Organic Baby Food Comes in BPA-Free Pouches
Category Trends
Frozen Meals
Illustration 4-20: Amy‟s Light & Lean Frozen Meals (Natural/Organic)
Illustration 4-21: Amy‟s Sonoma Veggie Burger (Natural/Organic)
Illustration 4-22: Kashi Frozen Basil Pesto Pizza (Natural)
Illustration 4-23: Kashi Frozen Black Bean Enchilada (Natural)
Illustration 4-24: Michael Angelo‟s Frozen Italian-Style Pie (Natural)
Illustration 4-25: GoodHeart All Natural Cuisine Steam-in-Bag Frozen Meals
Illustration 4-26: GoodHeart All Natural Cuisine Frozen Kid‟s Meals
Illustration 4-27: Organic Bistro Frozen Bowl Meal
Illustration 4-28: Cube Artisan Foods Chimichurri Wild Pacific Salmon (Natural)
Illustration 4-29: Pineland Farms Natural Beef
Illustration 4-30: Tandoor Chef‟s Frozen Balanced Vegetarian Meals (Natural)
Illustration 4-31: Annie Chun‟s Frozen Potstickers (Organic)
Illustration 4-32: EVOL Frozen Flatbreads (Natural)
Side Dishes Go More Interesting
Illustration 4-33: Green Giant Healthy Colors Frozen Vegetables (Natural)
Illustration 4-34: Alexia Frozen Select Sides (Natural)
Illustration 4-35: Alexia Frozen Sweet Potato Puffs (Natural)
Illustration 4-36: Village Harvest Frozen Whole Grains (Natural)
Dairy Case
Milk: Organic Includes DHA and Omega-3 Fortification
Illustration 4-37: Horizon Organic DHA Omega-3 Milk
Illustration 4-38: Organic Valley Omega-3 Milk
Milk Alternatives: Almond Milk Wars
Illustration 4-39: Blue Diamond Almond Breeze Almond Milk (Natural)
Yogurt: It‟s All Greek to Me
Illustration 4-40: Chobani Champions Greek Yogurt (Natural)
Illustration 4-41: Fage Total 0% Yogurt, Now in Flavors (Natural)
Illustration 4-42: Stonyfield Farm‟s Oikos Organic Greek Yogurt
Illustration 4-43: Cascade Fresh Amande Almond Milk Yogurt (Natural)
Illustration 4-44: Straus Yogurt: Organic, Local, Sustainable
Illustration 4-45: Organic Valley Pourable Yogurt (Organic)
Illustration 4-46: DAHlicious Lassi Yogurt Smoothies (Natural)
Fresh Produce
Illustration 4-47: Earthbound Farm Organic Salad Kits
Illustration 4-48: Dole Natural Salad Kits
Cereals and Cereal Bars
Illustration 4-49: Kashi Berry Blossoms Cereal (Natural)
Illustration 4-50: F-Factor Cereals and Cereal Bars (Natural)
Illustration 4-51: Nature Valley Granola Thins (Natural)
Snacks Go More Natural
Illustration 4-52: Frito-Lay All Natural Tostitos (Natural)
Illustration 4-53: Frito-Lay Tostitos and Lay‟s Dip Creations (Natural)
     Illustration 4-54: Boulder Canyon Tortilla Chips with Hummus & Sesame
     (Natural)
     Illustration 4-55: Snyder‟s Eatsmart Naturals Snacks (Natural)
     Illustration 4-56: Pepperidge Farm Baked Naturals Cracker Chips (Natural)
     Illustration 4-57: New York Style Risotto Chips (Natural)
     Hale Kale Chips!
     Illustration 4-58: Earth Chips Kale Chips (Organic)
     Illustration 4-59: Rhythm Kale Chips (Natural)
     Desserts
     Cookies
     Illustration 4-60: Amy‟s Shortbread Cookies (Natural/Organic)
     Ice Cream and Frozen Desserts
     Illustration 4-61: Häagen-Dazs Five Ice Cream (Natural)
     Illustration 4-62: Raw IceCream Raw, Vegan Frozen Desserts (Organic)
     Illustration 4-63: Jamba Frozen Fruit Sorbet (Natural)
     Beverages
     Coffee
     Illustration 4-64: Starbucks Natural Fusions Coffee (Natural)
     Tea
     Illustration 4-65: Lipton 100% Natural Iced Tea
     Illustration 4-66: The Republic of Tea Raw Green Bush Tea (Natural)
     Chocolate Beverages
     Illustration 4-67: Honest Tea CocoaNova (Organic)
     Energy Drinks
     Illustration 4-68: Nestlé Jamba Energy Drinks (Natural)
     Sodas: Handcrafted and All-Natural
     Illustration 4-69: Waialua Soda Works Kona Red Soda (Natural)
     Illustration 4-70: Sipp Sparkling Eco Beverage (Organic)
Chapter 5: Retail Trends
     Types of Retail Outlets
     Competitive Situation
     Store-within-a-Store Merchandising vs. Integration
     Marketers Teach Conventional Retailers How to Sell Natural/Organic
     Private-Label Offerings Explode
     Figure 5-1: Number of Private-Label Natural and Organic Beverage Launches,
     2006-2010
     Retailers Spearhead Animal Welfare Standards
     Pushing for Sustainable Seafood
     Supermarkets vs. Foodservice: Blurring the Boundaries
     Really Local Farms
     Chef-Run Local Markets
     The World‟s First All-Natural/Organic Food Court
     Channel and Retailer Profiles
     Whole Food‟s Consolidation of Super Naturals and the Continued Growth of
     Trader Joe‟s
Conventional Retailers Develop Fresh Format Stores
Retailer Profile: Kroger
Retailer Profile: Safeway
Illustration 5-1: Safeway‟s O Organics Line of Over 300 Products
Illustration 5-2: Safeway Open Nature 100% Natural Private-Label Brand
Several Smaller Regional Chains Set Exemplary Examples
Central Market in Whole Foods‟ Backyard
Retailer Profile: Publix Super Markets, a Public Favorite
Retailer Profile: Wegmans Raises the Bar on Grocery Shopping
Illustration 5-3: Wegmans Food You Feel Good About Private-Label
Natural/Organic Line
Illustration 5-4: Wegmans Organic Research Farm in Canandaigua, NY
Natural Food Stores
Whole Foods: The Natural Leader Reemerges as a Growth Leader
Focusing on Value Yields Rewards
Strong Focus on Prepared Foods and In-Store Dining
Mission Driven Values and Aggressive PR Images
New Sustainable Seafood, Animal Welfare, and Healthy Eating Initiatives
A „Game Changer‟ in the Retail Food Business
Retailer Profile: The Secrets of Trader Joe‟s
Retailer Profile: Sprouts Farmers Market
Natural Co-ops Experiencing a Resurgence
Retailer Profile: PCC Natural Markets
Retailer Profile: Park Slope Food Coop
Retailer Profile: Rainbow Grocery
Small-Format Grocery Stores
Fresh & Easy: British Invasion Not So Easy Going
Gourmet/Specialty Food Stores
Mass Merchandisers and Supercenters
Retailer Profile: Walmart Forays into Healthier Foods
Groceries Grow to 54% of Walmart‟s Sales
Walmart Revamps Great Value Private-Label Brand…
… After Scaling Back Ambitious Organic Plans
Walmart Announces Healthier Foods Initiative
Walmart Shifts Seafood to Sustainable Sourcing
Retailer Profile: Target Corp. Is Targeting Foods
Target Pushing into Fresh Foods
Contest for National Warehouse Club Supremacy
Retailer Profile: Costco Wholesale Corp.
Retailer Profile: Sam‟s Club
Retailer Profile: BJ‟s Wholesale Club
Drugstores Making a Play for Food
Drugstores Fight Back as Retail Lines Blur
Drugstores Testing Fresh Foods
Retailer Profile: Walgreens
Retailer Profile: CVS Caremark
Can the Drugstore Channel Compete in Fresh Foods?
     Convenience Stores
     Farmers‟ Markets Chart Double-Digit Growth in 2010
     Figure 5-2: Growth in Number of Farmers‟ Markets, 1994-2010 (number)
     Two Types of Farmers‟ Markets
     Farmers‟ Markets Complain About Grocery Competition
     Community Supported Agriculture Programs (CSAs)
     Internet and Mail Order
     Retailer Profile: FreshDirect
Chapter 6: The Natural/Organic Foods Consumer
     Consumer Overview
     Methodology
     37% of Consumers Seek Out Natural/Organic Foods and Beverages
     Table 6-1: Percent of U.S. Adult Consumers by Level of Agreement with the
     Statement “I Seek Out Natural/Organic Foods and Beverages,” February 2011
     (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and consumers who buy
     packaged foods marketed as “all-natural”)
     Half Are Willing to Pay More for Higher-Quality Groceries
     Table 6-2: Percent of U.S. Grocery Shoppers Who Agree with the Statement “I
     Am Willing to Pay More for Higher-Quality Groceries,” February 2011 (overall,
     consumers who buy organic groceries, and consumers who buy packaged foods
     marketed as “all-natural”)
     Table 6-3: Percent of U.S. Grocery Shoppers by Level of Agreement with the
     Statement “I Am Willing to Pay More for Better-for-You Grocery Products,”
     February 2011 (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and consumers
     who buy packaged foods marketed as “all-natural”)
     Four Out of Five Think Organic Foods Are Overpriced
     Table 6-4: U.S. Adult Consumer Attitudes Toward Organic/Natural Foods and
     Beverages, February 2011 (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and
     consumers who buy packaged foods marketed as “allnatural”)
     Two out of Three Adults Have Changed Wellness Lifestyle
     Figure 6-1: Percent of U.S. Adult Consumers by Level of Agreement with the
     Statement “My Wellness Goals and Behaviors Make My Lifestyle Significantly
     Different Than It Was 10 Years Ago,” February 2011
     Table 6-5: Percent of U.S. Adult Grocery Shoppers by Level of Agreement with
     the Statement “The Groceries I Buy Are Determined In Part by Specific Wellness
     Goals,” February 2011 (overall, grocery shoppers who buy organic groceries,
     grocery shoppers who buy packaged foods marketed as “allnatural”)
     More Organic/Natural Consumers Seek Specific-Purpose Nutrition
     Organic/Natural Consumers Want Extra-High Nutrition Foods
     Table 6-6: Percent of U.S. Adult Consumers by Level of Agreement with the
     Statement “I Seek Out Foods and Grocery Products That Have Specific-Purpose
     Nutrition,” February 2011 (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and
     consumers who buy packaged foods marketed as “all-natural”)
     Table 6-6: Percent of U.S. Adults by Level of Agreement with the Statement “I
     Seek Out Foods and Grocery Products That Have Extra-High Nutrition,”
February 2011 (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and consumers
who buy packaged foods marketed as “all-natural”)
More Organic/Natural Shoppers Avoid Certain Foods
Table 6-7: Percent of Grocery Shoppers by Level of Agreement with the
Statement “Food Restrictions, Food Avoidances, or Food Allergies Play an
Important Role in What I Eat,” February 2011 (overall, grocery shoppers who buy
organic groceries, grocery shoppers who buy packaged foods marketed as “all-
natural”)
Fresh Fruit and Veggies Are the Most Popular Organic Categories
Almost One Out of Four Adults Looks for Organic/Natural Foods
Table 6-8: Percent of U.S. Adult Grocery Shoppers Who Usually Buy
Organic/Natural Foods and Beverages, by Product Category, February 2011
(overall, consumers who usually buy organic groceries, and consumers who
usually buy packaged foods marketed as “all-natural”)
Table 6-9: Number and Percentage of U.S. Adult Natural/Organic Consumers,
2006-2010 (consumers who look for organic/natural foods and consumers who
prefer foods without artificial additives)
Supermarkets the Most Popular Place to Get Natural/Organic Foods
Table 6-10: Percent of U.S. Adult Grocery Shoppers Who Shop for
Organic/Natural Foods and Beverages, by Retail Channel, February 2011
(overall, who shop for organic groceries, and who shop for “all-natural”)
Whole Foods and Trader Joe‟s
Table 6-11: Retail Shopping Patterns in the Past Month Among U.S. Adult
Consumers, 2010 (overall, consumers who look for organic/natural foods and
consumers who prefer foods without artificial additives)
Shopper Attitudes and Behavior
Table 6-12: U.S. Adult Consumer Attitudes/Behavior Toward Shopping, 2010
(overall, consumers who look for organic/natural foods and consumers who
prefer foods without artificial additives)
High Socioeconomic Status Characterizes Organic/Natural Shoppers
Table 6-13: Selected High-Index Demographics of U.S. Adult Consumers Who
Agree with the Statement “When I Shop for Food, I Look for Organic/Natural,
2010
Table 6-14: Demographic Overview of U.S. Adult Consumers Who Agree with
the Statement “When I Shop for Food, I Look for Organic/Natural,” 2010 (percent,
number and index of U.S. Adult consumers)
Upscale and Older Consumers Prefer No Artificial Additives
Table 6-15: Selected High-Index Demographics of U.S. Adult Consumers Who
Agree with the Statement “I Prefer Foods Without Artificial Additives,” 2010
Table 6-16: Demographic Overview of U.S. Adult Consumers Who Agree with
the Statement “I Prefer Foods Without Artificial Additives,” 2010 (percent, number
and index of U.S. Adult consumers)
Attitudes Toward Food and Cooking
Attitudes Toward Nutrition
Table 6-17: U.S. Adult Consumer Behavior/Attitudes Regarding Food and
     Cooking, 2010 (overall, consumers who look for organic/natural foods, and
     consumers who prefer foods without artificial additives)
     Table 6-18: U.S. Adult Consumer Behavior/Attitudes Regarding Nutrition, 2010
     (consumers who look for organic/natural foods and consumers who prefer foods
     without artificial additives)
     One Out of Three Households Use Organic Produce
     Table 6-19: Leading Organic Foods by Level of U.S. Household Penetration,
     2010 (percent of U.S. households)
     Milk Tops Organic List by Index
     Table 6-20: Leading Organic Foods by U.S. Adult Consumer Indexes, 2010
     (consumers who look for organic/natural foods and consumers who prefer foods
     without artificial additives)
     Natural Foods Consumers and Restaurant Use
     Table 6-21: Frequency of Eating at Restaurants that Feature Organic Foods
     Among U.S. Adult Consumers, February 2011 (overall, consumers who buy
     organic groceries, and consumers who buy packaged foods marketed as
     “allnatural”)
     Table 6-22: Frequency of Eating at Restaurants that Feature Distinctively “All-
     Natural,” Fresh or Locally Grown Menus Among U.S. Adult Consumers, February
     2011 (overall, consumers who shop for organic groceries, and consumers who
     shop for “all-natural”)
     Attitudes and Opinions Toward Foodservice
     Table 6-23: U.S. Adult Consumer Attitudes/Opinions Toward Foodservice, 2010
     (overall, consumers who look for organic/natural foods, and consumers who
     prefer foods without artificial additives)
     Consumers and Media
     Internet Has Changed How Consumers Spend Free Time
     Table 6-24: Internet-Related Lifestyle Changes Among U.S. Adult Consumers,
     2010 (overall, consumers who look for organic/natural foods, and consumers
     who prefer foods without artificial additives)
     Internet Has Changed How Consumers Shop
     Consumers and Traditional Media
     Consumer Attitudes Toward Advertising
     Table 6-25: Internet Usage Patterns Among U.S. Adult Consumers, 2010
     (overall, consumers who look for organic/natural foods, and consumers who
     prefer foods without artificial additives)
     Table 6-26: Use of Traditional Media by U.S. Adult Consumers, 2010 (overall,
     consumers who look for organic/natural foods, and consumers who prefer foods
     without artificial additives)
     Table 6-27: U.S. Adult Consumer Attitudes Toward Advertising, 2010 (overall,
     consumers who look for organic/natural foods, and consumers who prefer foods
     without artificial additives)
Appendix: Selected Industry Addesses


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Natural and Organic Foods and Beverages in the U.S., 3rd Edition

  • 1. Get more info on this report! Natural and Organic Foods and Beverages in the U.S., 3rd Edition July 1, 2011 U.S. retail sales of natural and organic foods and beverages rose to nearly $39 billion in 2010, an increase of 9% over the previous year‟s sales of $35 billion, far outpacing growth in conventional groceries, which crept ahead less than 2%. Despite the continued sluggish economic recovery, Packaged Facts projects sales to more than double by 2015, to exceed $78 billion. Growth will be jump-started in 2011, in great part due to snack king Frito-Lay‟s switching half its snack portfolio to all-natural formulations. In addition, attracted by the higher growth rates of natural/organic foods and beverages and in response to consumer demand, other major consumer product companies are becoming more deeply committed to natural and organic products, either through acquisition or internal development. Such deep-pocketed marketers are in a good position to fast-track their products into retail stores and onto consumer tables via their massive product development capabilities, far-reaching distribution networks, and huge advertising and marketing budgets. This completely revised report, Natural and Organic Foods and Beverages in the U.S., 3rd Edition, examines sales and growth potential, identifying key issues and trends that will affect the marketplace through 2015. Extensive analysis via both proprietary primary data from Packaged Facts‟ February 2011 Online Consumer Survey and via Experian Simmons‟ national consumer panel data gauges consumer attitudes and behaviors toward natural/organic foods and beverages, retail shopping patterns, and media usage and preferences, both traditional and social. Also included is comprehensive coverage of new product trends across dozens of categories, drawing on new product data from Datamonitor‟s Product Launch Analytics database; dozens of images of products and print ads; and profiles of trend-making marketers and retailers. Interviews with industry experts round out this forward-looking market analysis, along with the context of the broader social, economic and psychographic drivers of consumer behavior and shopping preferences. More Food & Beverage Reports by Packaged Facts Healthy 50+ Americans: Trends and Opportunities in the Emerging Wellness Market by Packaged Facts This Packaged Facts report focuses on the market potential of the 26 million “Healthy Consumers” who are 50 years old and over and who are ...
  • 2. Social Media and Technology in the U.S. Foodservice Industry: Trends and Opportunities for an Emerging Market by Packaged Facts The convergence of social media, mobile devices and consumer lifestyles is ushering in a new era of restaurant-consumer interaction, opening new doors for restaurant operators ... Trends in U.S. Corporate Foodservice by Packaged Facts Packaged Facts forecasts that corporate foodservice sales will drop more than 6% during 2011-12, driven primarily by continued high unemployment, restaurant encroachment into the corporate ... What's For Dinner 2011: Trends in Center of Plate Proteins by Packaged Facts Continuing behaviors adopted during the recession, American consumers are eating in more, which is beneficial to the fresh protein businesses of meat, poultry and seafood ... Latino Consumers: Demographic Patterns and Spending Trends among Hispanic Americans, 8th Edition by Packaged Facts The 48 million Latinos in the United States now wield buying power in excess of $1 trillion and represent an increasingly important consumer segment for ... See all reports like this >> More United States Food & Beverage Reports Healthy Dining Trends - US by Mintel International Group Ltd. Government mandates and consumer demands shape menus Although the government is pushing restaurants to disclose calories contents on menus, it‟s uncertain whether such information ... The U.S. Weight Loss & Diet Control Market (11th Edition) by Marketdata Enterprises Inc. This is a completely revised and updated analysis of Marketdata‟s best-selling biennial study about the $61 billion U.S. weight loss market. This is the most ... Non-alcoholic Beverages: The Market - US by Mintel International Group Ltd. As consumers have started to explore eating healthily, beverages that promise to help consumers achieve their health goals (e.g., managing weight, losing weight, managing chronic ... Non-alcoholic Beverage Trends at Restaurants - US by Mintel International Group Ltd. Diet and health trends are leading factors in usage of non-alcoholic beverage at restaurants (See Market Factors for in-depth discussion). Yet, the subjectivity of diet ... Demographics of Consumer Food Spending 2011 Edition by Food Institute Information
  • 3. and Research Center This book provides an easy-to-read breakdown of spending on food overall, food at- home (in 24 categories & sub-categories including beef, poultry, fruits & vegetables, dairy ... See all reports like this >> More United States Reports D&B Country RiskLine Report: The United States of America by Dun & Bradstreet Inc. This D&B Country RiskLine Report will help you analyze the risks, opportunities and likely payment delays when doing business in this country. It includes ... Drywall Installers in the US - Industry Risk Rating Report by IBISWorld IBISWORLD INDUSTRY RISK RATINGS REPORT This is the replacement for IBISWorld's January 2011 edition of Drywall Installers in the US Industry Risk Ratings Report. Industry Risk Ratings ... D&B Country Report: The United States of America by Dun & Bradstreet Inc. D&B Country Report. Comprehensive information for evaluating risks and opportunities when trading or investing in this country. Providing critical information and analysis on ... Country Report United States January 2011 by Economist Intelligence Unit Country Reports analyse political and economic trends in featured countries. They show you exactly how national, regional and global events will affect your business in ... Country Report United States December 2010 by Economist Intelligence Unit Country Reports analyse political and economic trends in featured countries. They show you exactly how national, regional and global events will affect your business in ... TABLE OF CONTENTS Chapter 1: Executive Summary Scope of Report Definition of “Natural” Definition of “Organic” Some Foodservice Crossover Report Methodology The Market Retail Sales of Natural/Organic Foods and Beverages Approach $39 Billion in 2010 Produce and Dairy Are the Largest Categories
  • 4. Figure 1-1: Share of U.S. Retail Sales of Natural and Organic Foods and Beverages by Product Category, 2011 (percent) Mass-Market Channels Capture Almost Half of Retail Sales An Expanding Industry The Marketers Global Marketers, Investors Control Many Top Brands of Natural and Organic Foods and Beverages Recent Mergers and Acquisitions Mainstream Marketers Going Natural Organic Extensions of Mainstream Lines Not Very Successful Is Selling the Company Selling Out? The Gourmet/Natural Foods Synergy Selling Nutritional Benefits Selling Convenience Private-Label Natural and Organic Products Booming New Product Trends Overview Almost 2,900 Natural and Organic Products Launched in 2010 Table 1-1: Number of Natural and Organic Food and Beverage Product Launches, 2006-2010 “Natural” the Most Popular Product Tag Functional Drinks, Tea Top New Product Launches ALDI, Hain Celestial, Whole Foods Lead Product Introductions Natural and Organic Products Promote Ethical Causes Consumer Trends 37% of Consumers Seek Out Natural/Organic Foods and Beverages Table 1-2: Percent of U.S. Adult Consumers by Level of Agreement with the Statement “I Seek Out Natural/Organic Foods and Beverages,” February 2011 (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and consumers who buy packaged foods marketed as “all-natural”) Supermarkets the Most Popular Place to Get Natural/Organic Foods Fresh Fruit and Veggies Are the Most Popular Organic Categories High Socioeconomic Status Characterizes Organic/Natural Shoppers Attitudes Toward Food and Cooking Attitudes Toward Nutrition One Out of Three Households Use Organic Produce Attitudes and Opinions Toward Foodservice Internet Has Changed How Consumers Spend Free Time Consumers and Traditional Media Chapter 2: The Market Market Overview Scope of Report Definition of “Natural” Definition of “Organic” Some Foodservice Crossover Controversies Over Organic and Natural Labeling
  • 5. Market Size and Growth Methodology for Sales Estimates Quantifying Sales of Organic Foods and Beverages Quantifying Sales of Natural Foods and Beverages Retail Sales of Natural/Organic Foods and Beverages Approach $39 Billion in 2010 Table 2-1: U.S. Retail Sales of Natural and organic Foods and Beverages, 2006- 2015 (in billions of dollars) Natural Foods and Beverages: A Larger Slice of a Bigger Pie Figure 2-1: Share of U.S. Retail Sales of Natural and Organic Foods and Beverages by Market Segment: Natural vs. Organic, 2010 vs. 2006 (percent) Produce and Dairy Are the Largest Categories Figure 2-2: Share of U.S. Retail Sales of Natural and Organic Foods and Beverages by Product Category, 2011 (percent) Mass-Market Channels Capture Almost Half of Retail Sales Figure 2-3: Share of U.S. Retail Sales of Natural and Organic Foods and Beverages by Retail Channel, 2011 (percent) Market Outlook The Economy and Its Impact Organic vs. Natural Brand Organic? And Certify Natural? The Consumer Component Figure 2-4: Percent of U.S. Adult Consumers Who Agree with the Statement I Seek Out Natural and Organic Foods and Beverages,” February 2011 Nearly 60% of Organic Grocery Shoppers Anticipate Increasing Organic/Natural Purchases Figure 2-5: Percent of U.S. Adult Grocery Shoppers Who Buy Organic Groceries Who Agree or Disagree with the Statement “I Anticipate an Increasing Proportion of the Groceries I Use Will Be Organic or “All-Natural,” February 2011 Figure 2-6: Percent of U.S. Adult Grocery Shoppers Who Buy Packaged Foods Marketed as “All-Natural” (But Not Organic) Who Agree or Disagree with the Statement “I Anticipate an Increasing Proportion of the Groceries I Use Will Be Organic or “All-Natural,” February 2011 Organic Foods and Beverages Carry a Price Premium How Willing Are Consumers to Pay More for Organics? Organic Farming Takes Root Table 2-2: U.S. Certified Organic Acreage, 1992, 2000, 2003, 2005, and 2008 Young Farmers Joining the Field An Expanding Industry and Marketplace Sometimes It‟s Difficult to Produce Organic or All-Natural Foods Census 2010: Nation Is Older, More Ethnic Table 2-3: Demographic Snapshot of the U.S. Population, 2010 Health Issues Continue to Drive Sales New 2010 Dietary Guidelines MyPlate Icon Replaces Food Pyramid
  • 6. Illustration 2-1: The New MyPlate Food Icon, Introduced in June 2011 Illustration 2-2: The Old MyPyramid Food Icon Introduced in 2005 Reasons for Buying Natural/Organic Foods and Beverages The Fear Factor Overlap Between Natural/Organic and Gourmet/Premium Foods Table 2-4: Percent of U.S. Adult Consumers by Level of Agreement with the Statement “I Seek Out Gourmet Foods and Beverages,” February 2011 (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and consumers who buy packaged foods marketed as “all-natural”) Going Local Table 2-5: Percent of U.S. Adults by Level of Agreement with the Statement “I Seek Out Local and Seasonal Foods,” February 2011 (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and consumers who buy packaged foods marketed as “all-natural”) Artisan Foods Table 2-6: Percent of U.S. Adult Consumers by Level of Agreement with the Statement “I Like to Buy Products with Artisan or Hand-Made Appeal,” February 2011 (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and consumers who buy packaged foods marketed as “all-natural”) Romancing the Products Many Natural/Organic Foods and Beverages Support Other Environmental and Social Issues Table 2-7: Percent of U.S. Adult Consumers by Level of Agreement with the Statement “Environmental and Ecological Issues Are Very Important to Me,” February 2011 (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and consumers who buy packaged foods marketed as “allnatural”) Table 2-8: Percent of U.S. Adult Consumers by Level of Agreement with the Statement “I Take Recycling Very Seriously,” February 2011 (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and consumers who buy packaged foods marketed as “all-natural”) Sustainable Packaging Humane Treatment of Animals and Sustainable Seafood The GMO Debate New Tests May Verify Organic Claims Projected Market Growth: U.S. Retail Sales Will Top $78.4 Billion by 2015 Chapter 3: The Marketers Marketer Overview Global Marketers, Investors Control Many Top Brands of Natural and Organic Foods and Beverages Recent Mergers and Acquisitions Mainstream Marketers Going Natural Organic Extensions of Mainstream Lines Not Very Successful Is Selling the Company Selling Out? The Gourmet/Natural Foods Synergy Figure 3-1: Number of Natural and Organic Food and Beverage Launches by “Upscale” or “Gourmet” Package Tag/Claim, 2006-2010
  • 7. Selling Nutritional Benefits Table 3-1: Number of Natural and Organic Food and Beverage Launches By Selected “Nutritional” Package Tags/Claims, 2006-2010 Selling Convenience Figure 3-2: Number of Natural and Organic Food and Beverage Launches By Selected “Convenience” Package Tags/Claims, 2006-2010 Private-Label Natural and Organic Products Booming Figure 3-3: Private-Label Natural and Organic Food and Beverage Launches, 2006-2010 Advertising and Marketing Trends Marketers Ally Themselves with Social and Environmental Causes Good Works Newman‟s Own Illustration 3-1: Newman‟s Own Ad Encourages Consumers to Volunteer Clif Bar Illustration 3-2: Clif Bar‟s 2 Mile Challenge Promotes Riding Bikes Guerilla Marketing Techniques Illustration 3-3: Stonyfield Farm Lids Tout Environmental and Social Causes CEOs Rap to Promote Organic Food and Beverages Illustration 3-4: Stonyfield CEO Gary Hirshberg Sings Out to Promote Eating Organic Illustration 3-5: Honest Tea CEO Seth Goldman‟s “Rethink What You Drink!” Rap Targeting Kids Through Entertainment Illustration 3-6: Disney Channel Commercial for Horizon Organic Milk Making Use of Websites and Social Media Table 3-2: Percent of U.S. Adult Consumers by Level of Agreement with the Statement “I Am Active on Online or Mobile Social Networks (e.g., Facebook or Twitter),” February 2011 (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and consumers who buy packaged foods marketed as “all-natural”) Websites and Social Media Starbucks Savvy About Social Media Illustration 3-7: Starbucks Mines its Facebook Fans for Data PepsiCo‟s Near East Food Products Less of a Success Illustration 3-8: Cooking Video on YouTube for Near East Couscous Illustration 3-9: Near East‟s Couscous Caravan Offers Free Samples at Outdoor Venues Advertising and Marketing Positioning Illustration 3-10: Ad for Campbell‟s Select Harvest Soup Conveys Multiple Messages Competitive Positioning Illustration 3-11: Sierra Mist Natural Takes on Sprite Illustration 3-12: A Wisconsin Family Accepts the “Silk for Milk 10-Day Challenge” Consumer Testimonials Illustration 3-13: Consumers Testimonials in Mezzetta Pasta Sauce Ad Good Enough to Serve My Own Family Illustration 3-14: Frito-Lay‟s Ingredients Buyer Selects All Natural Ingredients
  • 8. Limited Edition Illustration 3-15: Muir Glen Reserve Tomatoes “Limited Edition” Ad Nutritional Benefits Illustration 3-16: Whole Grain Barilla Pasta Ad Illustration 3-17: Great Day All-Natural Eggs Ad Illustration 3-18: Sargento Reduced Sodium Cheese Ad Poetry in Motion Illustration 3-19: Fage Commercials: Poetry in Motion Illustration 3-20: Starbucks Natural Fusions Coffee Ad Real People Illustration 3-21: Chobani Yogurt‟s Campaign Uses Real People‟s Stories Simple Ingredients Illustration 3-22: Häagen-Dazs Five Ad Status Illustration 3-23: Green & Black‟s Organic Chocolate Ad Taste Illustration 3-24: Newman‟s Own Salad Dressings Ad Competitor Profiles Amy‟s Kitchen, Inc The Nation‟s Leading Organic Frozen Foods Brand Clif Bar & Company Raising the Ethical Bar Dole Food Co., Inc. Sustainable Organic Bananas Illustration 3-25: Dole Organic Lets Consumers Trace Bananas to the Farm Where They Were Grown EVOL Foods The EVOL Empire is Growing and Evolving Frito-Lay Going Natural The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. Growth Through Acquisitions Honest Tea Acquired by Coca-Cola Benefits for Both Sides Newman‟s Own, Inc. Wholly Dedicated to Philanthropy Organic Valley Owned by a Cooperative of Farmers Stonyfield Farm, Inc. A Model for Corporate Responsibility Chapter 4: New Product Trends Overview Almost 2,900 Natural and Organic Products Launched in 2010 Table 4-1: Number of Natural and Organic Food and Beverage Product Launches, 2006-2010
  • 9. Table 4-2: Natural and Organic Percent of All New Product Launches, 2006-2010 (based on total number of new product reports) “Natural” the Most Popular Product Tag Table 4-3: Top 10 Product Claims on New Food and Beverage Products, 2006, 2008, and 2010 Functional Drinks, Tea Top New Product Launches Table 4-4: Top 20 Product Categories for Natural and Organic Food and Beverage Product Launches, 2006-2010 ALDI, Hain Celestial, Whole Foods Lead Product Introductions Table 4-5: Top 15 U.S. Marketers of Natural and Organic Foods and Beverages by Number of New Product Reports, 2006-2010 Macro Trends Natural and Organic Products Promote Ethical Causes Illustration 4-1: EarthGrains Bread, Made with 20% Eco-Grain Wheat Illustration 4-2: Home Chef Kitchen Soup Is Certified Humane More Dairies and Retailers Go Hormone-Free Demand for Gluten-Free Foods Surging Illustration 4-3: Gluten-Free Café Canned Soups (Natural) Illustration 4-4: Rudi‟s Gluten-Free Bread (Natural) Illustration 4-5: Amy‟s Kitchen Gluten-Free Frozen Pizza (Organic) Superfoods List of Superfruits Is Growing Illustration 4-6: Celestial Seasonings‟ Kombucha—Exotic Flavors and Health Benefits (Natural) Moriheiya Illustration 4-7: GreeNoodle Instant Noodles (Natural) Chia Seeds Illustration 4-8: Mary‟s Gone Crackers Pretzel Sticks with Chia Seeds (Organic) Illustration 4-9: ChiaVie Superfruit Smoothie Combines Chia Seeds + Fruit (Natural) Going Coconuts Competition Intensifying in Coconut Water Illustration 4-10: Phenom Fortified Coconut Water (Natural) Coconut Milk Becomes a Beverage Illustration 4-11: Silk PureCoconut Milk (Natural) Illustration 4-12: So Delicious Coconut Water Sorbet (Organic) Next Up, Coconut Oil and Coconut Sugar Illustration 4-13: Pamela‟s Products Cheesecake, Sweetened with Agave and Coconut Sugar (Natural) Stevia as a Natural Sweetener Illustration 4-14: Honest Tea Stevia-Sweetened Tea (Organic) Illustration 4-15: Stevia-Sweetened Rainforest Cola (Natural) Illustration 4-16: Stevia-Sweetened R.W. Knudsen Light Juices (Natural) Illustration 4-17: Stevia-Sweetened Breyer‟s YoCrunch Yogurt (Naturally Sweetened) Local Trend Continues to Grow
  • 10. Baby and Kid-Targeted Foods Play Up Safety Illustration 4-18: Earth‟s Best Whole Grain Rice Cereal (Organic) Illustration 4-19: HappyBaby Organic Baby Food Comes in BPA-Free Pouches Category Trends Frozen Meals Illustration 4-20: Amy‟s Light & Lean Frozen Meals (Natural/Organic) Illustration 4-21: Amy‟s Sonoma Veggie Burger (Natural/Organic) Illustration 4-22: Kashi Frozen Basil Pesto Pizza (Natural) Illustration 4-23: Kashi Frozen Black Bean Enchilada (Natural) Illustration 4-24: Michael Angelo‟s Frozen Italian-Style Pie (Natural) Illustration 4-25: GoodHeart All Natural Cuisine Steam-in-Bag Frozen Meals Illustration 4-26: GoodHeart All Natural Cuisine Frozen Kid‟s Meals Illustration 4-27: Organic Bistro Frozen Bowl Meal Illustration 4-28: Cube Artisan Foods Chimichurri Wild Pacific Salmon (Natural) Illustration 4-29: Pineland Farms Natural Beef Illustration 4-30: Tandoor Chef‟s Frozen Balanced Vegetarian Meals (Natural) Illustration 4-31: Annie Chun‟s Frozen Potstickers (Organic) Illustration 4-32: EVOL Frozen Flatbreads (Natural) Side Dishes Go More Interesting Illustration 4-33: Green Giant Healthy Colors Frozen Vegetables (Natural) Illustration 4-34: Alexia Frozen Select Sides (Natural) Illustration 4-35: Alexia Frozen Sweet Potato Puffs (Natural) Illustration 4-36: Village Harvest Frozen Whole Grains (Natural) Dairy Case Milk: Organic Includes DHA and Omega-3 Fortification Illustration 4-37: Horizon Organic DHA Omega-3 Milk Illustration 4-38: Organic Valley Omega-3 Milk Milk Alternatives: Almond Milk Wars Illustration 4-39: Blue Diamond Almond Breeze Almond Milk (Natural) Yogurt: It‟s All Greek to Me Illustration 4-40: Chobani Champions Greek Yogurt (Natural) Illustration 4-41: Fage Total 0% Yogurt, Now in Flavors (Natural) Illustration 4-42: Stonyfield Farm‟s Oikos Organic Greek Yogurt Illustration 4-43: Cascade Fresh Amande Almond Milk Yogurt (Natural) Illustration 4-44: Straus Yogurt: Organic, Local, Sustainable Illustration 4-45: Organic Valley Pourable Yogurt (Organic) Illustration 4-46: DAHlicious Lassi Yogurt Smoothies (Natural) Fresh Produce Illustration 4-47: Earthbound Farm Organic Salad Kits Illustration 4-48: Dole Natural Salad Kits Cereals and Cereal Bars Illustration 4-49: Kashi Berry Blossoms Cereal (Natural) Illustration 4-50: F-Factor Cereals and Cereal Bars (Natural) Illustration 4-51: Nature Valley Granola Thins (Natural) Snacks Go More Natural Illustration 4-52: Frito-Lay All Natural Tostitos (Natural)
  • 11. Illustration 4-53: Frito-Lay Tostitos and Lay‟s Dip Creations (Natural) Illustration 4-54: Boulder Canyon Tortilla Chips with Hummus & Sesame (Natural) Illustration 4-55: Snyder‟s Eatsmart Naturals Snacks (Natural) Illustration 4-56: Pepperidge Farm Baked Naturals Cracker Chips (Natural) Illustration 4-57: New York Style Risotto Chips (Natural) Hale Kale Chips! Illustration 4-58: Earth Chips Kale Chips (Organic) Illustration 4-59: Rhythm Kale Chips (Natural) Desserts Cookies Illustration 4-60: Amy‟s Shortbread Cookies (Natural/Organic) Ice Cream and Frozen Desserts Illustration 4-61: Häagen-Dazs Five Ice Cream (Natural) Illustration 4-62: Raw IceCream Raw, Vegan Frozen Desserts (Organic) Illustration 4-63: Jamba Frozen Fruit Sorbet (Natural) Beverages Coffee Illustration 4-64: Starbucks Natural Fusions Coffee (Natural) Tea Illustration 4-65: Lipton 100% Natural Iced Tea Illustration 4-66: The Republic of Tea Raw Green Bush Tea (Natural) Chocolate Beverages Illustration 4-67: Honest Tea CocoaNova (Organic) Energy Drinks Illustration 4-68: Nestlé Jamba Energy Drinks (Natural) Sodas: Handcrafted and All-Natural Illustration 4-69: Waialua Soda Works Kona Red Soda (Natural) Illustration 4-70: Sipp Sparkling Eco Beverage (Organic) Chapter 5: Retail Trends Types of Retail Outlets Competitive Situation Store-within-a-Store Merchandising vs. Integration Marketers Teach Conventional Retailers How to Sell Natural/Organic Private-Label Offerings Explode Figure 5-1: Number of Private-Label Natural and Organic Beverage Launches, 2006-2010 Retailers Spearhead Animal Welfare Standards Pushing for Sustainable Seafood Supermarkets vs. Foodservice: Blurring the Boundaries Really Local Farms Chef-Run Local Markets The World‟s First All-Natural/Organic Food Court Channel and Retailer Profiles Whole Food‟s Consolidation of Super Naturals and the Continued Growth of Trader Joe‟s
  • 12. Conventional Retailers Develop Fresh Format Stores Retailer Profile: Kroger Retailer Profile: Safeway Illustration 5-1: Safeway‟s O Organics Line of Over 300 Products Illustration 5-2: Safeway Open Nature 100% Natural Private-Label Brand Several Smaller Regional Chains Set Exemplary Examples Central Market in Whole Foods‟ Backyard Retailer Profile: Publix Super Markets, a Public Favorite Retailer Profile: Wegmans Raises the Bar on Grocery Shopping Illustration 5-3: Wegmans Food You Feel Good About Private-Label Natural/Organic Line Illustration 5-4: Wegmans Organic Research Farm in Canandaigua, NY Natural Food Stores Whole Foods: The Natural Leader Reemerges as a Growth Leader Focusing on Value Yields Rewards Strong Focus on Prepared Foods and In-Store Dining Mission Driven Values and Aggressive PR Images New Sustainable Seafood, Animal Welfare, and Healthy Eating Initiatives A „Game Changer‟ in the Retail Food Business Retailer Profile: The Secrets of Trader Joe‟s Retailer Profile: Sprouts Farmers Market Natural Co-ops Experiencing a Resurgence Retailer Profile: PCC Natural Markets Retailer Profile: Park Slope Food Coop Retailer Profile: Rainbow Grocery Small-Format Grocery Stores Fresh & Easy: British Invasion Not So Easy Going Gourmet/Specialty Food Stores Mass Merchandisers and Supercenters Retailer Profile: Walmart Forays into Healthier Foods Groceries Grow to 54% of Walmart‟s Sales Walmart Revamps Great Value Private-Label Brand… … After Scaling Back Ambitious Organic Plans Walmart Announces Healthier Foods Initiative Walmart Shifts Seafood to Sustainable Sourcing Retailer Profile: Target Corp. Is Targeting Foods Target Pushing into Fresh Foods Contest for National Warehouse Club Supremacy Retailer Profile: Costco Wholesale Corp. Retailer Profile: Sam‟s Club Retailer Profile: BJ‟s Wholesale Club Drugstores Making a Play for Food Drugstores Fight Back as Retail Lines Blur Drugstores Testing Fresh Foods Retailer Profile: Walgreens Retailer Profile: CVS Caremark
  • 13. Can the Drugstore Channel Compete in Fresh Foods? Convenience Stores Farmers‟ Markets Chart Double-Digit Growth in 2010 Figure 5-2: Growth in Number of Farmers‟ Markets, 1994-2010 (number) Two Types of Farmers‟ Markets Farmers‟ Markets Complain About Grocery Competition Community Supported Agriculture Programs (CSAs) Internet and Mail Order Retailer Profile: FreshDirect Chapter 6: The Natural/Organic Foods Consumer Consumer Overview Methodology 37% of Consumers Seek Out Natural/Organic Foods and Beverages Table 6-1: Percent of U.S. Adult Consumers by Level of Agreement with the Statement “I Seek Out Natural/Organic Foods and Beverages,” February 2011 (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and consumers who buy packaged foods marketed as “all-natural”) Half Are Willing to Pay More for Higher-Quality Groceries Table 6-2: Percent of U.S. Grocery Shoppers Who Agree with the Statement “I Am Willing to Pay More for Higher-Quality Groceries,” February 2011 (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and consumers who buy packaged foods marketed as “all-natural”) Table 6-3: Percent of U.S. Grocery Shoppers by Level of Agreement with the Statement “I Am Willing to Pay More for Better-for-You Grocery Products,” February 2011 (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and consumers who buy packaged foods marketed as “all-natural”) Four Out of Five Think Organic Foods Are Overpriced Table 6-4: U.S. Adult Consumer Attitudes Toward Organic/Natural Foods and Beverages, February 2011 (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and consumers who buy packaged foods marketed as “allnatural”) Two out of Three Adults Have Changed Wellness Lifestyle Figure 6-1: Percent of U.S. Adult Consumers by Level of Agreement with the Statement “My Wellness Goals and Behaviors Make My Lifestyle Significantly Different Than It Was 10 Years Ago,” February 2011 Table 6-5: Percent of U.S. Adult Grocery Shoppers by Level of Agreement with the Statement “The Groceries I Buy Are Determined In Part by Specific Wellness Goals,” February 2011 (overall, grocery shoppers who buy organic groceries, grocery shoppers who buy packaged foods marketed as “allnatural”) More Organic/Natural Consumers Seek Specific-Purpose Nutrition Organic/Natural Consumers Want Extra-High Nutrition Foods Table 6-6: Percent of U.S. Adult Consumers by Level of Agreement with the Statement “I Seek Out Foods and Grocery Products That Have Specific-Purpose Nutrition,” February 2011 (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and consumers who buy packaged foods marketed as “all-natural”) Table 6-6: Percent of U.S. Adults by Level of Agreement with the Statement “I Seek Out Foods and Grocery Products That Have Extra-High Nutrition,”
  • 14. February 2011 (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and consumers who buy packaged foods marketed as “all-natural”) More Organic/Natural Shoppers Avoid Certain Foods Table 6-7: Percent of Grocery Shoppers by Level of Agreement with the Statement “Food Restrictions, Food Avoidances, or Food Allergies Play an Important Role in What I Eat,” February 2011 (overall, grocery shoppers who buy organic groceries, grocery shoppers who buy packaged foods marketed as “all- natural”) Fresh Fruit and Veggies Are the Most Popular Organic Categories Almost One Out of Four Adults Looks for Organic/Natural Foods Table 6-8: Percent of U.S. Adult Grocery Shoppers Who Usually Buy Organic/Natural Foods and Beverages, by Product Category, February 2011 (overall, consumers who usually buy organic groceries, and consumers who usually buy packaged foods marketed as “all-natural”) Table 6-9: Number and Percentage of U.S. Adult Natural/Organic Consumers, 2006-2010 (consumers who look for organic/natural foods and consumers who prefer foods without artificial additives) Supermarkets the Most Popular Place to Get Natural/Organic Foods Table 6-10: Percent of U.S. Adult Grocery Shoppers Who Shop for Organic/Natural Foods and Beverages, by Retail Channel, February 2011 (overall, who shop for organic groceries, and who shop for “all-natural”) Whole Foods and Trader Joe‟s Table 6-11: Retail Shopping Patterns in the Past Month Among U.S. Adult Consumers, 2010 (overall, consumers who look for organic/natural foods and consumers who prefer foods without artificial additives) Shopper Attitudes and Behavior Table 6-12: U.S. Adult Consumer Attitudes/Behavior Toward Shopping, 2010 (overall, consumers who look for organic/natural foods and consumers who prefer foods without artificial additives) High Socioeconomic Status Characterizes Organic/Natural Shoppers Table 6-13: Selected High-Index Demographics of U.S. Adult Consumers Who Agree with the Statement “When I Shop for Food, I Look for Organic/Natural, 2010 Table 6-14: Demographic Overview of U.S. Adult Consumers Who Agree with the Statement “When I Shop for Food, I Look for Organic/Natural,” 2010 (percent, number and index of U.S. Adult consumers) Upscale and Older Consumers Prefer No Artificial Additives Table 6-15: Selected High-Index Demographics of U.S. Adult Consumers Who Agree with the Statement “I Prefer Foods Without Artificial Additives,” 2010 Table 6-16: Demographic Overview of U.S. Adult Consumers Who Agree with the Statement “I Prefer Foods Without Artificial Additives,” 2010 (percent, number and index of U.S. Adult consumers) Attitudes Toward Food and Cooking Attitudes Toward Nutrition
  • 15. Table 6-17: U.S. Adult Consumer Behavior/Attitudes Regarding Food and Cooking, 2010 (overall, consumers who look for organic/natural foods, and consumers who prefer foods without artificial additives) Table 6-18: U.S. Adult Consumer Behavior/Attitudes Regarding Nutrition, 2010 (consumers who look for organic/natural foods and consumers who prefer foods without artificial additives) One Out of Three Households Use Organic Produce Table 6-19: Leading Organic Foods by Level of U.S. Household Penetration, 2010 (percent of U.S. households) Milk Tops Organic List by Index Table 6-20: Leading Organic Foods by U.S. Adult Consumer Indexes, 2010 (consumers who look for organic/natural foods and consumers who prefer foods without artificial additives) Natural Foods Consumers and Restaurant Use Table 6-21: Frequency of Eating at Restaurants that Feature Organic Foods Among U.S. Adult Consumers, February 2011 (overall, consumers who buy organic groceries, and consumers who buy packaged foods marketed as “allnatural”) Table 6-22: Frequency of Eating at Restaurants that Feature Distinctively “All- Natural,” Fresh or Locally Grown Menus Among U.S. Adult Consumers, February 2011 (overall, consumers who shop for organic groceries, and consumers who shop for “all-natural”) Attitudes and Opinions Toward Foodservice Table 6-23: U.S. Adult Consumer Attitudes/Opinions Toward Foodservice, 2010 (overall, consumers who look for organic/natural foods, and consumers who prefer foods without artificial additives) Consumers and Media Internet Has Changed How Consumers Spend Free Time Table 6-24: Internet-Related Lifestyle Changes Among U.S. Adult Consumers, 2010 (overall, consumers who look for organic/natural foods, and consumers who prefer foods without artificial additives) Internet Has Changed How Consumers Shop Consumers and Traditional Media Consumer Attitudes Toward Advertising Table 6-25: Internet Usage Patterns Among U.S. Adult Consumers, 2010 (overall, consumers who look for organic/natural foods, and consumers who prefer foods without artificial additives) Table 6-26: Use of Traditional Media by U.S. Adult Consumers, 2010 (overall, consumers who look for organic/natural foods, and consumers who prefer foods without artificial additives) Table 6-27: U.S. Adult Consumer Attitudes Toward Advertising, 2010 (overall, consumers who look for organic/natural foods, and consumers who prefer foods without artificial additives) Appendix: Selected Industry Addesses Available immediately for Online Download at