SlideShare uma empresa Scribd logo
1 de 30
Marianna Malaspina, July 2008 Oxford Industries - OXM research report
Company data : ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Main textile and apparel industries drivers: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Industry overview: ,[object Object]
Competition landscape: ,[object Object],[object Object]
Competitive landscape –  continuation. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Competitive landscape –  continuation. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Competitive landscape –  continuation. ,[object Object]
Competitive landscape –  continuation. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Competitive landscape –  continuation. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Stock Valuation:  DDM method Stock price as of June 2007 (date of last data reported in this paper) $44.83 (closing price 8/4/08:  $ 20.61) Required rate of return (k) =  Risk Free Rate + Company's Beta  * MP = RFR 3.97% 10 Y T-Bonds OXM's Beta 1.8 MP = 0.48% Business risk 5.52% Financial Risk Total MP =  6.00% K = 14.77% g= 2.83 average over the period 2000-2007 D (t+1) = 0.66 as the company growth under every respect has been spotty, we  assume that Dividends will be able to grow constantly but at a low rate of 1.07% annually, which is the geometric average at which Net Earnings have grown in the past 7 years. P= D/(k-g)  = $4.95 Recommendation:  sell
Stock Valuation:  FCFE model 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 mean FCF to the Firm (see table Part 3) 28294 56002 17836 48759 25542 10859 Interest Expense 22,214 23,971 26,146 23,530 1,935 243 Free Cash Flow to the Equity: 6,080 32,031 -8,310 25,229 23,607 10,616 14,876 Value: FCFE/(k-g for FCFE) = as we have seen in part 3 Tables that CF from operations is uneven, we project  project $ 14,876  as FCF for the Equity at time 1, and a low growth rate of  6.74%, which is the annual geometric average growth rate for Sales over  last 10 years period considered. Value: 14,876 /  (0.1477-0.0151)  value = $185,255 SO as of June 2007 = 17881 Intrinsic Value per share: $10.36 Recommendation:  sell Value of OXM STOCK 01/2009:  $  6.07 – 9.55
  Support  data GDP in B of  $ 1998 $8,747 1999 $9,268 2000 $9,817 2001 $10,128 2002 $10,469 2003 $10,960 2004 $11,685 2005 $12,433 2006 $13,194 2007 $13,843 Source: frwebgate.access.gpo.gov
Support  data Consumer credit outstanding  (adapted from monthly series  from www.economagic.com) In M of $ 1998 $1,420,454 1999 $1,532,056 2000 $11,717,483 2001 $31,867,199 2002 $81,974,093 2003 $42,077,958 2004 $82,191,323 2005 $62,284,876 2006 $22,387,470 2007 $92,523,632
Support  data Disposable personal Income 1998 $6,395 1999 $6,695 2000 $7,194 2001 $7,486 2002 $7,830 2003 $8,162 2004 $8,681 2005 $9,092 2006 $9,629 2007 $10,184
Support  data Estimated Yearly  Sales for Clothing Stores in M of $ 1998 10,376 1999 11,188 2000 12,122 2001 14,370 2002 14,790 2003 15,245 2004 15,953 2005 17,184 2006 18,225 2007 $18,518
Table 1 A Correlation of  Yearly  Sales for Clothing Stores  with GDP:  0.96854   strong positive correlation: GDP strong driver of clothing sales ( GDP line lies below Sales as we have not converted the data from Billions in M).
Table 1 B Correlation of  Yearly  Sales for Clothing Stores  with  Cons.Cred.Outst:  0.704658   positive correlation, although not as strong as the one with GDP ( GDP line lies below Sales as we have not converted the data from Billions in M).
Table 1 C Correlation of  Yearly  Sales for Clothing Stores  with  Dispos Pers Inc.:  0.978  Very strong  positive correlation,  as it can intuitively be expected . ( GDP line lies below Sales as we have not converted the data from Billions in M).
Table  2 A  This table has been downloaded from  Smartmoney.com and has serves as base of reference  OXFORD INDUSTRIES INC BEBE STORES INC COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR CO Polo Ralph Lauren Corp. Quiksilver Inc. VF Corp. Industry Textile-Apparel Clothing Textile-Apparel Clothing Textile-Apparel Clothing Textile-Apparel Clothing Textile-Apparel Clothing Textile-Apparel Clothing Current Share Price 21.3 10.37 37.58 59.01 7.94 70.99 Market Value $338 mil $921 mil $1,306 mil $5,867 mil $1,005 mil $7,747 mil Revenues $1,093 mil $679 mil $1,358 mil $4,880 mil $2,471 mil $7,552 mil Net Earnings $46 mil $67 mil $126 mil $420 mil $-347 mil $625 mil 5-yr Sales Growth 11.58% 17.27% 8.44% 15.50% 23.99% 6.90% 5-yr Earnings Growth 35.30% 28.35% 5.00% 21.84% NA 8.86% Net Profit Margin 4.60% 9.80% 9.30% 8.60% -14.00% 8.30% Short Interest 14.5 14.2 13.3 4.4 8.1 2 Proj. Long-Term EPS Growth (%) 13.00% 14.50% 11.80% 12.00% 13.30% 10.40% Forward P/E 11 13.3 14.3 14.8 8.8 11.7 PEG 0.84 0.92 1.22 1.23 0.66 1.13 Price/Sales 0.3 1.4 1 1.3 0.4 1 Price/Cash Flow NA 10.8 NA 9.3 -4.3 NA Price/Book 0.8 1.9 1.4 2.5 1.5 1.9
Table  2 A -  continuation OXFORD INDUSTRIES INC BEBE STORES INC COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR CO Polo Ralph Lauren Corp. Quiksilver Inc. VF Corp. Industry Textile-Apparel Clothing Textile-Apparel Clothing Textile-Apparel Clothing Textile-Apparel Clothing Textile-Apparel Clothing Textile-Apparel Clothing ROE 10.70% 14.00% 13.30% 18.10% -8.60% 17.50% ROA 5.10% 11.40% 11.10% 9.90% -2.90% 9.40% Dividends $0.72  $0.20  $0.64  $0.20  $0.00  $2.32  Dividend Yield 3.38% 1.93% 1.70% 0.34% 0.00% 3.27% Payout Ratio 21.60% 28.20% 17.80% 5.00% 0.00% 41.10% Total Return (12-mos) -38.70% -24.20% -36.20% -21.60% -40.70% -8.20% Total Return (3-yr) -49.80% -53.50% -16.80% 20.30% -47.90% 29.60% Beta 1.8 1.8 1 1.3 0.9 0.7 % Off 52-wk High 47.50% 34.57% 40.35% 36.88% 48.81% 24.27% % Above 52-wk Low 22.41% 17.71% 13.67% 16.74% 39.54% 11.48% On-Balance Volume Index 68 155 134 98 63 117
Table  2 B -   Correlation  disposable income with OXM sales Disposabl. Inc. OXM sales Corrl: 0.5724 1998 $639,500 774,518 1999 $669,500 862,435 2000 $719,400 839,533 2001 $748,600 812,495 2002 $783,000 677,264 2003 $816,200 455,840 2004 $868,100 818,687 2005 $909,200 1,056,787 2006 $962,900 1,109,116 2007 $1,018,400 1,128,907
Table  2 C -   Correlation  of GDP  with OXM sales Years GDP in B of  $ OXM sales Corrl: 0.61598 1998 $874,700 774,518 1999 $926,800 862,435 2000 $981,700 839,533 2001 $1,012,800 812,495 2002 $1,046,900 677,264 2003 $1,096,000 455,840 2004 $1,168,500 818,687 2005 $1,243,300 1,056,787 2006 $1,319,400 1,109,116 2007 $1,384,300 1,128,907
PART 3 – SUPPORT FINANCIAL DATA
  FIN  ST     2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 Net sales 1,128,907 1,109,116 1,056,787 818,687 455,840 677,264 812,495 839,533 862,435 774,518 703,195 664,443 656,987 624,568 Geom. Yearly  growth rate 6.74%                           COGS 681,147 677,429 653,538 515,481 339944 544016 663484 685841 698170 619690 566182 548610 543624 498790 60.34% 61.08% 61.84% 62.96% 74.58% 80.33% 81.66% 81.69% 80.95% 80.01% 80.52% 82.57% 82.75% 79.86% Gross Profit 447,760 431,687 403,249 303,206 115,896 133,248 149,011 153,692 164,265 154,828 137,013 115,833 113,363 125,778 Selling and Admin 356,970 339,073 336,608 251,836 124,362 115,729 119,390 112,056 116,284 111,041 100,691 101,617 91,601 91,209 31.62% 30.57% 31.85% 30.76% 27.28% 17.09% 14.69% 13.35% 13.48% 14.34% 14.32% 15.29% 13.94% 14.60% Amortization  6,405 7,642 8,978 6,709 77 Royalties and other Operating Income 16,462 13,144 12,059 5,114 Operating income 100,847 98,116 69,722 49,775 -8,466 17,519 29,621 41,636 47,981 43,787 36,322 14,216 21,762 34,569 Geom. Yearly  growth rate 1.18%       OPM 8.93% 8.85% 6.60% 6.08% -1.86% 2.59% 3.65% 4.96% 5.56% 5.65% 5.17% 2.14% 3.31% 5.53% Interest expense 22,214 23,971 26,146 23,530 1,935 243 4,870 3,827 4,713 3,421 4,114 6,057 4,136 2,297 EBT 78,633 74,145 43,576 26,245 -10,401 17,276 24,751 37,809 43,268 40,366 32,208 8,159 17,626 32,272 Income taxes 26,313 22,944 25,753 23,384 13,087 6,704 9,504 14,368 16,875 15,743 12,561 1,463 1,251 13,071 Net Earnings 52,320 51,201 17,823 2,861 -23,488 10,572 15,247 23,441 26,393 24,623 19,647 6,696 16,375 19,201 Geom. Yea. growth rate 1.07% Net Profit Margin 4.63% 4.62% 1.69% 0.35% -5.15% 1.56% 1.88% 2.79% 3.06% 3.18% 2.79% 1.01% 2.49% 3.07%
      2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 EPS $2.93 $2.88 $1.03 $0.17 -$1.55 $0.70 $1.02 $1.51 $1.56 $1.39 $1.12 $0.38 $0.94 $1.12 Diluted Shares Outstanding*  17,881 17,781 17,350 16,699 15,143 15,099 14,970 15,502 16,954 17,658 17,488 17,498 17,340 17,214 adapted for 2:1 stock split in 2003 Dividends 11,741 9,899 8,515 8,094 6,314 6,304 6,249 6,444 6,801 7,063 6,988 7,007 6,594 5,938 Retention Rate 77.56% 80.67% 52.22% -182.91% 126.88% 40.37% 59.01% 72.51% 74.23% 71.32% 64.43% -4.64% 59.73% 69.07% Dividend per share $0.66 $0.56 $0.49 $0.48 $0.42 $0.42 $0.42 $0.42 $0.40 $0.40 $0.40 $0.40 $0.38 $0.34 Total Assets 908,738 885,595 905,877 694,817 494,365 250,513 263,240 334,058 335,322 311,490 287,117 279,103 309,028 239,947 LT obligations 199,294 200,023 289,076 198,814 198,586 139 399 40,513 40,689 41,728 41,790 45,051 47,011 12,388 Stockholrders equity 450,945 398,701 303,501 238,977 189,365 175,201 168,940 164,314 154,351 159,769 141,517 128,950 132,579 127,735 Capex 31,312 24,953 23,407 14,073 2,051 1,528 4,332 5,927 7,063 8,801 7,622 8,192 14,790 9,395 BV per share at Yend 22.27 22.59 17.97 14.74 25.18 23.31 22.81 21.48 19.46 18.11 16.12 14.65 15.25 14.79 RonSHEq. 11.60% 12.84% 5.87% 1.20% -12.40% 6.03% 9.03% 14.27% 17.10% 16.30% 14.50% 1.70% 8.10% 15.80% RoATA 5.83% 5.72% 2.23% 0.48% -1.58% 1.03% 1.28% 1.75% 2.04% 2.06% 1.73% 0.57% 1.49% 4.00%
% change  in Sales                   07/06 06/05 05/04 04/03 03/02 02/01 01/00 00/99 99/98 98/97   Geomet. Yearly Growth: 1.78% 4.95% 29.08% 79.60% -32.69% -16.64% -3.22% -2.66% 11.35% 10.14%   6.74%     Ratio Change in Oper Earnings  over Change in Sales 1.56 8.22 1.38 -8.64 4.54 2.45 8.96 4.98 0.84 2.03 Oper. Lev 2.78% 40.72% 40.07% -687.94% -148.32% -40.86% -28.86% -13.22% 9.58% 20.55%   2.63
   BAL  SH           1997 1996 Cash and Cash Equivalent 36882 10479 Receivable 138,035 144079 Inventories 137,333 123,594 Pre-paid expenses 21991 20214 CA related to disc. Oper - 59215 Total Current Assets 334241 357581 PP&E Net 87323 73663 Goodwill Net 222430 199232 Intangible, Net 234081 234453 Other NCA         30663 20666 Total Assets $       908,738 885595 Current Liabilities: AP 84385 105038 Accrued Salaries 26254 26754 Addit. Ac. Cost Payable 22575 11897 Dividends payable 2646 income Tax payable 8827 3138 Current Debt payable 403 130 CL related to discon. Operat. -  30716 Total Current Liabilities 142444 180319 LT Debt 199294 200023 Other 40947 29979 Non Current Deferred Income Taxes 75108 76573 Shareholders’ Equity:     Par Value $ 1 17843 17646 Additional Paid-In Capital 81611 74812 Retained earnings  341369 300973 Accumulated other comprehensive Inc. 10122 5270 Total Sh Ho Equity           450945 398701 Total Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity     908738 885595
Cash Flow Information  2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 Net Cash provided by operating activities: 59606 80955 41243 62902 27593 12387 CapPurchases of PP&E     31312 24953 23407 14143 2051 1528 Free Cash Flow for the Firm 28294 56002 17836 48759 25542 10859 Cash Generation: Net Cash provided by operating activities: 59606 80955 41243 62902 27593 12387 Net Cash provided by investing activities -51467 -34594 -166704 -32061 -206090 -431 Net Cash provided by financing activities   -10826 -97998 -73999 -7363 184997 -4550 Net cash flow generated/used by continuing op. -2687 -51637 -199460 23478 6500 7406 Net Cash provided by discontinued operations 28316 55820 10229 - - - Net Total Cash-flow 25629 4183 -189231 23478 6500 7406
  BASIC RATIOS   Industry  aver. 2007 2006 (src:TDAmeritrade) growth (RR*ROE) 9.00% 10.36% Total Debt/Total Capital 23.37% 45.2% 50.8% Quick ratio 1.71 1.23 0.86 Interest coverage 33.43 4.539795 4.0931125 Return on Equity 22.04% 11.60% 12.84% Return on Assets 13.16% 5.76% 5.78% Return on Capital 15.98% 7.68% 8.21% Return per Employee $303,016 210595 n/a Revenue Growth (Most Rec. Qrt) 17.31% declined Revenue Growth (Trail.12M) 21.11% 1.78% Dividend 0.5127 $0.66 $0.56 Gross Profit margin 49.84% 60.34% 61.08% Operating Profit Margin 16.37% 8.93% 8.85% Net Profit Margin 10.32% 4.63% 4.62% Price/Earning 18.78 12.66 Price/Sales 1.56 0.35 Price/Book 3.35 0.84

Mais conteúdo relacionado

Mais procurados

Winning China's Apparel Market
Winning China's Apparel MarketWinning China's Apparel Market
Winning China's Apparel MarketMelih ÖZCANLI
 
Personal Care and Beauty Products Industry Insights - April 2015
Personal Care and Beauty Products Industry Insights - April 2015Personal Care and Beauty Products Industry Insights - April 2015
Personal Care and Beauty Products Industry Insights - April 2015Duff & Phelps
 
Global Retail Expansion Keeps on Moving
Global Retail Expansion Keeps on MovingGlobal Retail Expansion Keeps on Moving
Global Retail Expansion Keeps on MovingMelih ÖZCANLI
 
AS Micro Markets and Market Failure Key Term Glossary
AS Micro Markets and Market Failure Key Term GlossaryAS Micro Markets and Market Failure Key Term Glossary
AS Micro Markets and Market Failure Key Term GlossaryEton College
 
Business Economics Glossary
Business Economics GlossaryBusiness Economics Glossary
Business Economics Glossarytutor2u
 
Outdoor Products Industry Insights 2016
Outdoor Products Industry Insights 2016Outdoor Products Industry Insights 2016
Outdoor Products Industry Insights 2016Duff & Phelps
 
Duff Phelps Valuation Insights Q1 2017
Duff Phelps Valuation Insights Q1 2017Duff Phelps Valuation Insights Q1 2017
Duff Phelps Valuation Insights Q1 2017Duff & Phelps
 
Merrill North Asia Newsletter English
Merrill North Asia Newsletter EnglishMerrill North Asia Newsletter English
Merrill North Asia Newsletter Englishjokeung
 
Merrill_Newsletter_Issue_1_Eng
Merrill_Newsletter_Issue_1_EngMerrill_Newsletter_Issue_1_Eng
Merrill_Newsletter_Issue_1_EngMichael Buckley
 
Productivity and Competitiveness of RMG Industry and policy for Improvement
Productivity and Competitiveness of RMG Industry and policy for ImprovementProductivity and Competitiveness of RMG Industry and policy for Improvement
Productivity and Competitiveness of RMG Industry and policy for ImprovementAshikul Kabir Pias
 
Balance of payments_trade
Balance of payments_tradeBalance of payments_trade
Balance of payments_tradeMatthew Bentley
 
Q1 2017-european-chemicals-update
Q1 2017-european-chemicals-updateQ1 2017-european-chemicals-update
Q1 2017-european-chemicals-updateDuff & Phelps
 
Crimson Publishers - Who Made Our Clothes Under Which Conditions? A Call for ...
Crimson Publishers - Who Made Our Clothes Under Which Conditions? A Call for ...Crimson Publishers - Who Made Our Clothes Under Which Conditions? A Call for ...
Crimson Publishers - Who Made Our Clothes Under Which Conditions? A Call for ...CrimsonpublishersTTEFT
 
Muhammad Tanvir Hossain Student ID-4325352
Muhammad Tanvir Hossain Student ID-4325352Muhammad Tanvir Hossain Student ID-4325352
Muhammad Tanvir Hossain Student ID-4325352Muhammad Hossain
 
Internatioonal business project analysis in us apparel industry
Internatioonal business project analysis in us apparel industryInternatioonal business project analysis in us apparel industry
Internatioonal business project analysis in us apparel industryMohammad Emrul Hassan Emon
 
Trends in advertising
Trends in advertisingTrends in advertising
Trends in advertisingSuchet Vaidya
 

Mais procurados (20)

Winning China's Apparel Market
Winning China's Apparel MarketWinning China's Apparel Market
Winning China's Apparel Market
 
Personal Care and Beauty Products Industry Insights - April 2015
Personal Care and Beauty Products Industry Insights - April 2015Personal Care and Beauty Products Industry Insights - April 2015
Personal Care and Beauty Products Industry Insights - April 2015
 
Global Retail Expansion Keeps on Moving
Global Retail Expansion Keeps on MovingGlobal Retail Expansion Keeps on Moving
Global Retail Expansion Keeps on Moving
 
AS Micro Markets and Market Failure Key Term Glossary
AS Micro Markets and Market Failure Key Term GlossaryAS Micro Markets and Market Failure Key Term Glossary
AS Micro Markets and Market Failure Key Term Glossary
 
Business Economics Glossary
Business Economics GlossaryBusiness Economics Glossary
Business Economics Glossary
 
Economics key words
Economics key wordsEconomics key words
Economics key words
 
export plan
export planexport plan
export plan
 
Outdoor Products Industry Insights 2016
Outdoor Products Industry Insights 2016Outdoor Products Industry Insights 2016
Outdoor Products Industry Insights 2016
 
Duff Phelps Valuation Insights Q1 2017
Duff Phelps Valuation Insights Q1 2017Duff Phelps Valuation Insights Q1 2017
Duff Phelps Valuation Insights Q1 2017
 
Merrill North Asia Newsletter English
Merrill North Asia Newsletter EnglishMerrill North Asia Newsletter English
Merrill North Asia Newsletter English
 
Merrill_Newsletter_Issue_1_Eng
Merrill_Newsletter_Issue_1_EngMerrill_Newsletter_Issue_1_Eng
Merrill_Newsletter_Issue_1_Eng
 
Productivity and Competitiveness of RMG Industry and policy for Improvement
Productivity and Competitiveness of RMG Industry and policy for ImprovementProductivity and Competitiveness of RMG Industry and policy for Improvement
Productivity and Competitiveness of RMG Industry and policy for Improvement
 
Market Concentration
Market ConcentrationMarket Concentration
Market Concentration
 
Balance of payments_trade
Balance of payments_tradeBalance of payments_trade
Balance of payments_trade
 
Q1 2017-european-chemicals-update
Q1 2017-european-chemicals-updateQ1 2017-european-chemicals-update
Q1 2017-european-chemicals-update
 
Crimson Publishers - Who Made Our Clothes Under Which Conditions? A Call for ...
Crimson Publishers - Who Made Our Clothes Under Which Conditions? A Call for ...Crimson Publishers - Who Made Our Clothes Under Which Conditions? A Call for ...
Crimson Publishers - Who Made Our Clothes Under Which Conditions? A Call for ...
 
Case Econ08 Ppt 03
Case Econ08 Ppt 03Case Econ08 Ppt 03
Case Econ08 Ppt 03
 
Muhammad Tanvir Hossain Student ID-4325352
Muhammad Tanvir Hossain Student ID-4325352Muhammad Tanvir Hossain Student ID-4325352
Muhammad Tanvir Hossain Student ID-4325352
 
Internatioonal business project analysis in us apparel industry
Internatioonal business project analysis in us apparel industryInternatioonal business project analysis in us apparel industry
Internatioonal business project analysis in us apparel industry
 
Trends in advertising
Trends in advertisingTrends in advertising
Trends in advertising
 

Destaque

Operational Efficiency Through Coding & Marking Technology
Operational Efficiency Through Coding & Marking TechnologyOperational Efficiency Through Coding & Marking Technology
Operational Efficiency Through Coding & Marking TechnologyLinx Printing Technology
 
Haute Spot Customer Technology Overview
Haute Spot Customer Technology OverviewHaute Spot Customer Technology Overview
Haute Spot Customer Technology Overviewhautespot
 
Best code continuous ink jet system overview
Best code continuous ink jet system overviewBest code continuous ink jet system overview
Best code continuous ink jet system overviewMargaret Adams
 
Messaging365 Product Authenticity Control Feb 2011 Eng Li S
Messaging365 Product Authenticity Control Feb 2011 Eng Li SMessaging365 Product Authenticity Control Feb 2011 Eng Li S
Messaging365 Product Authenticity Control Feb 2011 Eng Li STEQNOCO
 
Foxconn CABG + HP Kaizen Shingijutsu 2015-02
Foxconn CABG + HP Kaizen Shingijutsu 2015-02Foxconn CABG + HP Kaizen Shingijutsu 2015-02
Foxconn CABG + HP Kaizen Shingijutsu 2015-02Mario Peña
 
Statistical-Process-Control-Analysis-Unraveled_updated210
Statistical-Process-Control-Analysis-Unraveled_updated210Statistical-Process-Control-Analysis-Unraveled_updated210
Statistical-Process-Control-Analysis-Unraveled_updated210pbaxter
 
presentation 1
presentation 1presentation 1
presentation 1rtregoni
 
Case question of roche
Case question of rocheCase question of roche
Case question of rocheBimo Radityo
 
ACA Industrial Tool Capabilities & Client Presentation
ACA Industrial Tool Capabilities & Client PresentationACA Industrial Tool Capabilities & Client Presentation
ACA Industrial Tool Capabilities & Client Presentationacaindustrialtool
 
Network of Networks - Slide Deck
Network of Networks - Slide DeckNetwork of Networks - Slide Deck
Network of Networks - Slide DeckLora Cecere
 
S&OP and Demand Management 2016 Summary Charts - 16 AUG 2016
S&OP and Demand Management 2016 Summary Charts - 16 AUG 2016S&OP and Demand Management 2016 Summary Charts - 16 AUG 2016
S&OP and Demand Management 2016 Summary Charts - 16 AUG 2016Lora Cecere
 
Big Data Infographic - Supply Chain Insights - 2015
Big Data Infographic - Supply Chain Insights - 2015Big Data Infographic - Supply Chain Insights - 2015
Big Data Infographic - Supply Chain Insights - 2015Lora Cecere
 

Destaque (19)

A Tuscan vacation
A Tuscan vacationA Tuscan vacation
A Tuscan vacation
 
Barnes&Nobles2
Barnes&Nobles2Barnes&Nobles2
Barnes&Nobles2
 
Operational Efficiency Through Coding & Marking Technology
Operational Efficiency Through Coding & Marking TechnologyOperational Efficiency Through Coding & Marking Technology
Operational Efficiency Through Coding & Marking Technology
 
Technology Portfolio
Technology PortfolioTechnology Portfolio
Technology Portfolio
 
Haute Spot Customer Technology Overview
Haute Spot Customer Technology OverviewHaute Spot Customer Technology Overview
Haute Spot Customer Technology Overview
 
Best code continuous ink jet system overview
Best code continuous ink jet system overviewBest code continuous ink jet system overview
Best code continuous ink jet system overview
 
Hollywood Golden Age
Hollywood Golden AgeHollywood Golden Age
Hollywood Golden Age
 
Messaging365 Product Authenticity Control Feb 2011 Eng Li S
Messaging365 Product Authenticity Control Feb 2011 Eng Li SMessaging365 Product Authenticity Control Feb 2011 Eng Li S
Messaging365 Product Authenticity Control Feb 2011 Eng Li S
 
Central Park, November 2010
Central Park, November 2010Central Park, November 2010
Central Park, November 2010
 
Foxconn CABG + HP Kaizen Shingijutsu 2015-02
Foxconn CABG + HP Kaizen Shingijutsu 2015-02Foxconn CABG + HP Kaizen Shingijutsu 2015-02
Foxconn CABG + HP Kaizen Shingijutsu 2015-02
 
Statistical-Process-Control-Analysis-Unraveled_updated210
Statistical-Process-Control-Analysis-Unraveled_updated210Statistical-Process-Control-Analysis-Unraveled_updated210
Statistical-Process-Control-Analysis-Unraveled_updated210
 
presentation 1
presentation 1presentation 1
presentation 1
 
Case question of roche
Case question of rocheCase question of roche
Case question of roche
 
ERJ DIVE
ERJ DIVEERJ DIVE
ERJ DIVE
 
ACA Industrial Tool Capabilities & Client Presentation
ACA Industrial Tool Capabilities & Client PresentationACA Industrial Tool Capabilities & Client Presentation
ACA Industrial Tool Capabilities & Client Presentation
 
Network of Networks - Slide Deck
Network of Networks - Slide DeckNetwork of Networks - Slide Deck
Network of Networks - Slide Deck
 
Video Jet
Video JetVideo Jet
Video Jet
 
S&OP and Demand Management 2016 Summary Charts - 16 AUG 2016
S&OP and Demand Management 2016 Summary Charts - 16 AUG 2016S&OP and Demand Management 2016 Summary Charts - 16 AUG 2016
S&OP and Demand Management 2016 Summary Charts - 16 AUG 2016
 
Big Data Infographic - Supply Chain Insights - 2015
Big Data Infographic - Supply Chain Insights - 2015Big Data Infographic - Supply Chain Insights - 2015
Big Data Infographic - Supply Chain Insights - 2015
 

Semelhante a Oxford Industries Oxm

Seminar 8 creating an investment recommendation
Seminar 8   creating an investment recommendationSeminar 8   creating an investment recommendation
Seminar 8 creating an investment recommendationpvalantagul
 
Building better apparel value chains in least developed countries
Building better apparel value chains in least developed countriesBuilding better apparel value chains in least developed countries
Building better apparel value chains in least developed countriesEnhanced Integrated Framework
 
Purpose of Assignment This week students will review and revise .docx
Purpose of Assignment This week students will review and revise .docxPurpose of Assignment This week students will review and revise .docx
Purpose of Assignment This week students will review and revise .docxmakdul
 
Navigating the Asian Textile and Garment Supply Chain - Screen - April 2015
Navigating the Asian Textile and Garment Supply Chain - Screen - April 2015Navigating the Asian Textile and Garment Supply Chain - Screen - April 2015
Navigating the Asian Textile and Garment Supply Chain - Screen - April 2015Mark Ganz
 
U.S. Nonwoven Fabric Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Nonwoven Fabric Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020U.S. Nonwoven Fabric Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Nonwoven Fabric Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020IndexBox Marketing
 
1b kno how on profit max
1b kno how on profit max1b kno how on profit max
1b kno how on profit maxpjvicary
 
April MarketMonitor
April MarketMonitor April MarketMonitor
April MarketMonitor jspeltz
 
U.S. Coated Fabric Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Coated Fabric Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020U.S. Coated Fabric Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Coated Fabric Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020IndexBox Marketing
 
U.S. Leather And Hide Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Leather And Hide Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020U.S. Leather And Hide Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Leather And Hide Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020IndexBox Marketing
 
U.S. Apparel Accessories And Other Apparel Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Apparel Accessories And Other Apparel Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020U.S. Apparel Accessories And Other Apparel Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Apparel Accessories And Other Apparel Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020IndexBox Marketing
 
Chap1 m9-value chain of garment sector
Chap1 m9-value chain of garment sectorChap1 m9-value chain of garment sector
Chap1 m9-value chain of garment sectorDao Hoa
 
Running head WHOLESALE INDUSTRYWHOLESALE INDUSTRY.docx
Running head WHOLESALE INDUSTRYWHOLESALE INDUSTRY.docxRunning head WHOLESALE INDUSTRYWHOLESALE INDUSTRY.docx
Running head WHOLESALE INDUSTRYWHOLESALE INDUSTRY.docxrtodd599
 
Ibe assignment k1359395.docx
Ibe assignment k1359395.docxIbe assignment k1359395.docx
Ibe assignment k1359395.docxPragnya Sahoo
 
U.S. Textile Bag And Canvas Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Textile Bag And Canvas Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020U.S. Textile Bag And Canvas Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Textile Bag And Canvas Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020IndexBox Marketing
 
U.S. Seafood Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Seafood Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020U.S. Seafood Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Seafood Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020IndexBox Marketing
 
U.S. Seafood Product Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Seafood Product Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020U.S. Seafood Product Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Seafood Product Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020IndexBox Marketing
 
The Main Costs And Benefits Of The Financial Sector Of Uk
The Main Costs And Benefits Of The Financial Sector Of UkThe Main Costs And Benefits Of The Financial Sector Of Uk
The Main Costs And Benefits Of The Financial Sector Of UkCandice Him
 
U.S. Paperboard Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Paperboard Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020U.S. Paperboard Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Paperboard Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020IndexBox Marketing
 
Factbook2016_24-09-16_LR
Factbook2016_24-09-16_LRFactbook2016_24-09-16_LR
Factbook2016_24-09-16_LRIvan Chan
 

Semelhante a Oxford Industries Oxm (20)

Seminar 8 creating an investment recommendation
Seminar 8   creating an investment recommendationSeminar 8   creating an investment recommendation
Seminar 8 creating an investment recommendation
 
Building better apparel value chains in least developed countries
Building better apparel value chains in least developed countriesBuilding better apparel value chains in least developed countries
Building better apparel value chains in least developed countries
 
Purpose of Assignment This week students will review and revise .docx
Purpose of Assignment This week students will review and revise .docxPurpose of Assignment This week students will review and revise .docx
Purpose of Assignment This week students will review and revise .docx
 
Navigating the Asian Textile and Garment Supply Chain - Screen - April 2015
Navigating the Asian Textile and Garment Supply Chain - Screen - April 2015Navigating the Asian Textile and Garment Supply Chain - Screen - April 2015
Navigating the Asian Textile and Garment Supply Chain - Screen - April 2015
 
U.S. Nonwoven Fabric Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Nonwoven Fabric Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020U.S. Nonwoven Fabric Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Nonwoven Fabric Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
 
1b kno how on profit max
1b kno how on profit max1b kno how on profit max
1b kno how on profit max
 
April MarketMonitor
April MarketMonitor April MarketMonitor
April MarketMonitor
 
U.S. Coated Fabric Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Coated Fabric Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020U.S. Coated Fabric Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Coated Fabric Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
 
U.S. Leather And Hide Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Leather And Hide Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020U.S. Leather And Hide Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Leather And Hide Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
 
U.S. Apparel Accessories And Other Apparel Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Apparel Accessories And Other Apparel Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020U.S. Apparel Accessories And Other Apparel Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Apparel Accessories And Other Apparel Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
 
Aidan ferris
Aidan ferrisAidan ferris
Aidan ferris
 
Chap1 m9-value chain of garment sector
Chap1 m9-value chain of garment sectorChap1 m9-value chain of garment sector
Chap1 m9-value chain of garment sector
 
Running head WHOLESALE INDUSTRYWHOLESALE INDUSTRY.docx
Running head WHOLESALE INDUSTRYWHOLESALE INDUSTRY.docxRunning head WHOLESALE INDUSTRYWHOLESALE INDUSTRY.docx
Running head WHOLESALE INDUSTRYWHOLESALE INDUSTRY.docx
 
Ibe assignment k1359395.docx
Ibe assignment k1359395.docxIbe assignment k1359395.docx
Ibe assignment k1359395.docx
 
U.S. Textile Bag And Canvas Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Textile Bag And Canvas Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020U.S. Textile Bag And Canvas Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Textile Bag And Canvas Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
 
U.S. Seafood Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Seafood Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020U.S. Seafood Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Seafood Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
 
U.S. Seafood Product Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Seafood Product Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020U.S. Seafood Product Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Seafood Product Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
 
The Main Costs And Benefits Of The Financial Sector Of Uk
The Main Costs And Benefits Of The Financial Sector Of UkThe Main Costs And Benefits Of The Financial Sector Of Uk
The Main Costs And Benefits Of The Financial Sector Of Uk
 
U.S. Paperboard Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Paperboard Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020U.S. Paperboard Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
U.S. Paperboard Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2020
 
Factbook2016_24-09-16_LR
Factbook2016_24-09-16_LRFactbook2016_24-09-16_LR
Factbook2016_24-09-16_LR
 

Oxford Industries Oxm

  • 1. Marianna Malaspina, July 2008 Oxford Industries - OXM research report
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. Stock Valuation: DDM method Stock price as of June 2007 (date of last data reported in this paper) $44.83 (closing price 8/4/08: $ 20.61) Required rate of return (k) = Risk Free Rate + Company's Beta * MP = RFR 3.97% 10 Y T-Bonds OXM's Beta 1.8 MP = 0.48% Business risk 5.52% Financial Risk Total MP = 6.00% K = 14.77% g= 2.83 average over the period 2000-2007 D (t+1) = 0.66 as the company growth under every respect has been spotty, we assume that Dividends will be able to grow constantly but at a low rate of 1.07% annually, which is the geometric average at which Net Earnings have grown in the past 7 years. P= D/(k-g) = $4.95 Recommendation: sell
  • 12. Stock Valuation: FCFE model 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 mean FCF to the Firm (see table Part 3) 28294 56002 17836 48759 25542 10859 Interest Expense 22,214 23,971 26,146 23,530 1,935 243 Free Cash Flow to the Equity: 6,080 32,031 -8,310 25,229 23,607 10,616 14,876 Value: FCFE/(k-g for FCFE) = as we have seen in part 3 Tables that CF from operations is uneven, we project project $ 14,876 as FCF for the Equity at time 1, and a low growth rate of 6.74%, which is the annual geometric average growth rate for Sales over last 10 years period considered. Value: 14,876 / (0.1477-0.0151) value = $185,255 SO as of June 2007 = 17881 Intrinsic Value per share: $10.36 Recommendation: sell Value of OXM STOCK 01/2009: $ 6.07 – 9.55
  • 13. Support data GDP in B of $ 1998 $8,747 1999 $9,268 2000 $9,817 2001 $10,128 2002 $10,469 2003 $10,960 2004 $11,685 2005 $12,433 2006 $13,194 2007 $13,843 Source: frwebgate.access.gpo.gov
  • 14. Support data Consumer credit outstanding (adapted from monthly series from www.economagic.com) In M of $ 1998 $1,420,454 1999 $1,532,056 2000 $11,717,483 2001 $31,867,199 2002 $81,974,093 2003 $42,077,958 2004 $82,191,323 2005 $62,284,876 2006 $22,387,470 2007 $92,523,632
  • 15. Support data Disposable personal Income 1998 $6,395 1999 $6,695 2000 $7,194 2001 $7,486 2002 $7,830 2003 $8,162 2004 $8,681 2005 $9,092 2006 $9,629 2007 $10,184
  • 16. Support data Estimated Yearly Sales for Clothing Stores in M of $ 1998 10,376 1999 11,188 2000 12,122 2001 14,370 2002 14,790 2003 15,245 2004 15,953 2005 17,184 2006 18,225 2007 $18,518
  • 17. Table 1 A Correlation of Yearly Sales for Clothing Stores with GDP: 0.96854   strong positive correlation: GDP strong driver of clothing sales ( GDP line lies below Sales as we have not converted the data from Billions in M).
  • 18. Table 1 B Correlation of Yearly Sales for Clothing Stores with Cons.Cred.Outst: 0.704658   positive correlation, although not as strong as the one with GDP ( GDP line lies below Sales as we have not converted the data from Billions in M).
  • 19. Table 1 C Correlation of Yearly Sales for Clothing Stores with Dispos Pers Inc.: 0.978  Very strong positive correlation, as it can intuitively be expected . ( GDP line lies below Sales as we have not converted the data from Billions in M).
  • 20. Table 2 A This table has been downloaded from Smartmoney.com and has serves as base of reference OXFORD INDUSTRIES INC BEBE STORES INC COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR CO Polo Ralph Lauren Corp. Quiksilver Inc. VF Corp. Industry Textile-Apparel Clothing Textile-Apparel Clothing Textile-Apparel Clothing Textile-Apparel Clothing Textile-Apparel Clothing Textile-Apparel Clothing Current Share Price 21.3 10.37 37.58 59.01 7.94 70.99 Market Value $338 mil $921 mil $1,306 mil $5,867 mil $1,005 mil $7,747 mil Revenues $1,093 mil $679 mil $1,358 mil $4,880 mil $2,471 mil $7,552 mil Net Earnings $46 mil $67 mil $126 mil $420 mil $-347 mil $625 mil 5-yr Sales Growth 11.58% 17.27% 8.44% 15.50% 23.99% 6.90% 5-yr Earnings Growth 35.30% 28.35% 5.00% 21.84% NA 8.86% Net Profit Margin 4.60% 9.80% 9.30% 8.60% -14.00% 8.30% Short Interest 14.5 14.2 13.3 4.4 8.1 2 Proj. Long-Term EPS Growth (%) 13.00% 14.50% 11.80% 12.00% 13.30% 10.40% Forward P/E 11 13.3 14.3 14.8 8.8 11.7 PEG 0.84 0.92 1.22 1.23 0.66 1.13 Price/Sales 0.3 1.4 1 1.3 0.4 1 Price/Cash Flow NA 10.8 NA 9.3 -4.3 NA Price/Book 0.8 1.9 1.4 2.5 1.5 1.9
  • 21. Table 2 A - continuation OXFORD INDUSTRIES INC BEBE STORES INC COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR CO Polo Ralph Lauren Corp. Quiksilver Inc. VF Corp. Industry Textile-Apparel Clothing Textile-Apparel Clothing Textile-Apparel Clothing Textile-Apparel Clothing Textile-Apparel Clothing Textile-Apparel Clothing ROE 10.70% 14.00% 13.30% 18.10% -8.60% 17.50% ROA 5.10% 11.40% 11.10% 9.90% -2.90% 9.40% Dividends $0.72 $0.20 $0.64 $0.20 $0.00 $2.32 Dividend Yield 3.38% 1.93% 1.70% 0.34% 0.00% 3.27% Payout Ratio 21.60% 28.20% 17.80% 5.00% 0.00% 41.10% Total Return (12-mos) -38.70% -24.20% -36.20% -21.60% -40.70% -8.20% Total Return (3-yr) -49.80% -53.50% -16.80% 20.30% -47.90% 29.60% Beta 1.8 1.8 1 1.3 0.9 0.7 % Off 52-wk High 47.50% 34.57% 40.35% 36.88% 48.81% 24.27% % Above 52-wk Low 22.41% 17.71% 13.67% 16.74% 39.54% 11.48% On-Balance Volume Index 68 155 134 98 63 117
  • 22. Table 2 B - Correlation disposable income with OXM sales Disposabl. Inc. OXM sales Corrl: 0.5724 1998 $639,500 774,518 1999 $669,500 862,435 2000 $719,400 839,533 2001 $748,600 812,495 2002 $783,000 677,264 2003 $816,200 455,840 2004 $868,100 818,687 2005 $909,200 1,056,787 2006 $962,900 1,109,116 2007 $1,018,400 1,128,907
  • 23. Table 2 C - Correlation of GDP with OXM sales Years GDP in B of $ OXM sales Corrl: 0.61598 1998 $874,700 774,518 1999 $926,800 862,435 2000 $981,700 839,533 2001 $1,012,800 812,495 2002 $1,046,900 677,264 2003 $1,096,000 455,840 2004 $1,168,500 818,687 2005 $1,243,300 1,056,787 2006 $1,319,400 1,109,116 2007 $1,384,300 1,128,907
  • 24. PART 3 – SUPPORT FINANCIAL DATA
  • 25.   FIN ST     2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 Net sales 1,128,907 1,109,116 1,056,787 818,687 455,840 677,264 812,495 839,533 862,435 774,518 703,195 664,443 656,987 624,568 Geom. Yearly growth rate 6.74%                           COGS 681,147 677,429 653,538 515,481 339944 544016 663484 685841 698170 619690 566182 548610 543624 498790 60.34% 61.08% 61.84% 62.96% 74.58% 80.33% 81.66% 81.69% 80.95% 80.01% 80.52% 82.57% 82.75% 79.86% Gross Profit 447,760 431,687 403,249 303,206 115,896 133,248 149,011 153,692 164,265 154,828 137,013 115,833 113,363 125,778 Selling and Admin 356,970 339,073 336,608 251,836 124,362 115,729 119,390 112,056 116,284 111,041 100,691 101,617 91,601 91,209 31.62% 30.57% 31.85% 30.76% 27.28% 17.09% 14.69% 13.35% 13.48% 14.34% 14.32% 15.29% 13.94% 14.60% Amortization 6,405 7,642 8,978 6,709 77 Royalties and other Operating Income 16,462 13,144 12,059 5,114 Operating income 100,847 98,116 69,722 49,775 -8,466 17,519 29,621 41,636 47,981 43,787 36,322 14,216 21,762 34,569 Geom. Yearly growth rate 1.18%       OPM 8.93% 8.85% 6.60% 6.08% -1.86% 2.59% 3.65% 4.96% 5.56% 5.65% 5.17% 2.14% 3.31% 5.53% Interest expense 22,214 23,971 26,146 23,530 1,935 243 4,870 3,827 4,713 3,421 4,114 6,057 4,136 2,297 EBT 78,633 74,145 43,576 26,245 -10,401 17,276 24,751 37,809 43,268 40,366 32,208 8,159 17,626 32,272 Income taxes 26,313 22,944 25,753 23,384 13,087 6,704 9,504 14,368 16,875 15,743 12,561 1,463 1,251 13,071 Net Earnings 52,320 51,201 17,823 2,861 -23,488 10,572 15,247 23,441 26,393 24,623 19,647 6,696 16,375 19,201 Geom. Yea. growth rate 1.07% Net Profit Margin 4.63% 4.62% 1.69% 0.35% -5.15% 1.56% 1.88% 2.79% 3.06% 3.18% 2.79% 1.01% 2.49% 3.07%
  • 26.       2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 EPS $2.93 $2.88 $1.03 $0.17 -$1.55 $0.70 $1.02 $1.51 $1.56 $1.39 $1.12 $0.38 $0.94 $1.12 Diluted Shares Outstanding* 17,881 17,781 17,350 16,699 15,143 15,099 14,970 15,502 16,954 17,658 17,488 17,498 17,340 17,214 adapted for 2:1 stock split in 2003 Dividends 11,741 9,899 8,515 8,094 6,314 6,304 6,249 6,444 6,801 7,063 6,988 7,007 6,594 5,938 Retention Rate 77.56% 80.67% 52.22% -182.91% 126.88% 40.37% 59.01% 72.51% 74.23% 71.32% 64.43% -4.64% 59.73% 69.07% Dividend per share $0.66 $0.56 $0.49 $0.48 $0.42 $0.42 $0.42 $0.42 $0.40 $0.40 $0.40 $0.40 $0.38 $0.34 Total Assets 908,738 885,595 905,877 694,817 494,365 250,513 263,240 334,058 335,322 311,490 287,117 279,103 309,028 239,947 LT obligations 199,294 200,023 289,076 198,814 198,586 139 399 40,513 40,689 41,728 41,790 45,051 47,011 12,388 Stockholrders equity 450,945 398,701 303,501 238,977 189,365 175,201 168,940 164,314 154,351 159,769 141,517 128,950 132,579 127,735 Capex 31,312 24,953 23,407 14,073 2,051 1,528 4,332 5,927 7,063 8,801 7,622 8,192 14,790 9,395 BV per share at Yend 22.27 22.59 17.97 14.74 25.18 23.31 22.81 21.48 19.46 18.11 16.12 14.65 15.25 14.79 RonSHEq. 11.60% 12.84% 5.87% 1.20% -12.40% 6.03% 9.03% 14.27% 17.10% 16.30% 14.50% 1.70% 8.10% 15.80% RoATA 5.83% 5.72% 2.23% 0.48% -1.58% 1.03% 1.28% 1.75% 2.04% 2.06% 1.73% 0.57% 1.49% 4.00%
  • 27. % change in Sales                   07/06 06/05 05/04 04/03 03/02 02/01 01/00 00/99 99/98 98/97   Geomet. Yearly Growth: 1.78% 4.95% 29.08% 79.60% -32.69% -16.64% -3.22% -2.66% 11.35% 10.14%   6.74%     Ratio Change in Oper Earnings over Change in Sales 1.56 8.22 1.38 -8.64 4.54 2.45 8.96 4.98 0.84 2.03 Oper. Lev 2.78% 40.72% 40.07% -687.94% -148.32% -40.86% -28.86% -13.22% 9.58% 20.55%   2.63
  • 28.   BAL SH           1997 1996 Cash and Cash Equivalent 36882 10479 Receivable 138,035 144079 Inventories 137,333 123,594 Pre-paid expenses 21991 20214 CA related to disc. Oper - 59215 Total Current Assets 334241 357581 PP&E Net 87323 73663 Goodwill Net 222430 199232 Intangible, Net 234081 234453 Other NCA         30663 20666 Total Assets $       908,738 885595 Current Liabilities: AP 84385 105038 Accrued Salaries 26254 26754 Addit. Ac. Cost Payable 22575 11897 Dividends payable 2646 income Tax payable 8827 3138 Current Debt payable 403 130 CL related to discon. Operat. - 30716 Total Current Liabilities 142444 180319 LT Debt 199294 200023 Other 40947 29979 Non Current Deferred Income Taxes 75108 76573 Shareholders’ Equity:     Par Value $ 1 17843 17646 Additional Paid-In Capital 81611 74812 Retained earnings 341369 300973 Accumulated other comprehensive Inc. 10122 5270 Total Sh Ho Equity           450945 398701 Total Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity     908738 885595
  • 29. Cash Flow Information 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 Net Cash provided by operating activities: 59606 80955 41243 62902 27593 12387 CapPurchases of PP&E     31312 24953 23407 14143 2051 1528 Free Cash Flow for the Firm 28294 56002 17836 48759 25542 10859 Cash Generation: Net Cash provided by operating activities: 59606 80955 41243 62902 27593 12387 Net Cash provided by investing activities -51467 -34594 -166704 -32061 -206090 -431 Net Cash provided by financing activities   -10826 -97998 -73999 -7363 184997 -4550 Net cash flow generated/used by continuing op. -2687 -51637 -199460 23478 6500 7406 Net Cash provided by discontinued operations 28316 55820 10229 - - - Net Total Cash-flow 25629 4183 -189231 23478 6500 7406
  • 30.   BASIC RATIOS   Industry aver. 2007 2006 (src:TDAmeritrade) growth (RR*ROE) 9.00% 10.36% Total Debt/Total Capital 23.37% 45.2% 50.8% Quick ratio 1.71 1.23 0.86 Interest coverage 33.43 4.539795 4.0931125 Return on Equity 22.04% 11.60% 12.84% Return on Assets 13.16% 5.76% 5.78% Return on Capital 15.98% 7.68% 8.21% Return per Employee $303,016 210595 n/a Revenue Growth (Most Rec. Qrt) 17.31% declined Revenue Growth (Trail.12M) 21.11% 1.78% Dividend 0.5127 $0.66 $0.56 Gross Profit margin 49.84% 60.34% 61.08% Operating Profit Margin 16.37% 8.93% 8.85% Net Profit Margin 10.32% 4.63% 4.62% Price/Earning 18.78 12.66 Price/Sales 1.56 0.35 Price/Book 3.35 0.84