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GTLD	
  Specula-on	
  
The	
  Future	
  of	
  the	
  Internet	
  
	
  
December,	
  2013	
  

WHAT	
  MIGHT	
  gTLD	
  MEAN	
  FOR	
  BUSINESSES	
  AND	
  THE	
  	
  
FUTURE	
  OF	
  THE	
  INTERNET?	
  
Overview	
  
On	
  20th	
  June,	
  2011,	
  ICANN	
  said	
  that	
  new	
  Generic	
  Top	
  Level	
  Domains	
  (gTLDs),	
  in	
  any	
  words	
  and	
  in	
  any	
  language	
  
and	
  with	
  special	
  characters	
  based	
  on	
  IETF	
  standards,	
  will	
  be	
  released	
  for	
  countries,	
  individuals	
  and	
  
corpora-ons	
  to	
  promote	
  digital	
  informa-on.	
  	
  
	
  	
  
The	
  new	
  ICCANN	
  and	
  WC3	
  standards	
  advance	
  the	
  ability	
  to	
  control	
  and	
  target	
  traffic	
  as	
  the	
  Web	
  expands	
  
beyond	
  the	
  realms	
  of	
  ‘.com’;	
  ‘.org’;	
  ‘.net’	
  and	
  ‘Country	
  Code	
  Top	
  Level	
  Domain	
  (ccTLD).	
  
There	
  are	
  currently	
  1,814	
  ac-ve	
  applica-ons	
  for	
  new	
  gTLDs	
  

This	
  paper	
  looks	
  at	
  the	
  possible	
  impacts	
  on	
  business	
  and	
  speculates	
  on	
  the	
  future	
  of	
  the	
  World	
  Wide	
  Web	
  in	
  
light	
  of	
  the	
  gTDLs	
  

gTLD	
  choice	
  of	
  applica3ons	
  	
  
	
  

1	
  

Large	
  corpora-ons	
  have,	
  for	
  the	
  most	
  part,	
  been	
  considering	
  the	
  purchase	
  of	
  their	
  [dot+Brand	
  Name]	
  as	
  a	
  
specula-ve	
  and	
  defensive	
  move,	
  whilst	
  s-ll	
  holding	
  onto	
  .com	
  	
  

2	
  

Government	
  agencies	
  are	
  showing	
  interest	
  in	
  purchasing	
  country	
  and	
  regional	
  extensions,	
  such	
  as	
  
the	
  recent	
  .London	
  acquisi-on	
  by	
  the	
  mayor	
  of	
  London	
  

3	
  

Some	
  companies,	
  such	
  as	
  Amazon,	
  Apple,	
  Yahoo	
  and	
  Google,	
  are	
  applying	
  for	
  a	
  host	
  of	
  [dot
+Generic]	
  names	
  

4	
  

5	
  

Syndica-ons	
  are	
  looking	
  at	
  opportuni-es	
  to	
  own	
  a	
  niche	
  ver-cal	
  space.	
  For	
  example,	
  [.Health]	
  
would	
  appeal	
  to	
  health	
  networks	
  such	
  as	
  NHS,	
  WebMD,	
  pharma	
  companies	
  and	
  authori-es	
  such	
  as	
  
the	
  FDA	
  or	
  MHRA.	
  It	
  is	
  conceivable	
  that,	
  as	
  a	
  heavily	
  regulated	
  industry,	
  informa-on,	
  marke-ng	
  
and	
  promo-on	
  should	
  be	
  subject	
  to	
  a	
  regulated	
  framework	
  and	
  housed	
  in	
  one	
  area	
  on	
  the	
  Internet	
  
for	
  consumer	
  protec-on.	
  Other	
  areas	
  where	
  syndica-ons	
  might	
  consider	
  crea-ng	
  niche	
  access	
  
[.Banking];	
  [.Movies];	
  [.Music]	
  etc.	
  
Crowd-­‐sourcing	
  is	
  a	
  new	
  way	
  to	
  afford	
  specula-ve	
  purchasing	
  (which	
  is	
  usually	
  cost-­‐prohibi-ve	
  for	
  
smaller	
  companies	
  and	
  individuals)	
  

Future	
  of	
  the	
  Internet	
  –	
  Marcos	
  Richardson	
  

Page	
  1	
  
The	
  playing	
  field	
  

The	
  following	
  gTLDs	
  are	
  a	
  few	
  [dot
+extensions]	
  Google	
  and	
  Amazon	
  
have	
  registered	
  for	
  purchase	
  

Google	
  
	
   WEB

APP
BOOK
BUY
FREE
GAME
MAP
MOVIE
MUSIC
PLAY
SEARCH
SHOP
STORE
TALK
FILM
FLY

BABY
SITE
PET
MED
MOV
HOME
HOW
LIVE
LOVE
CAR
CHANNEL
DIY
EAT
FAMILY

Amazon	
  
APP 	
  
ROOM
BOOK
BUY
FREE
GAME
MAP
MOVIE
MUSIC
PLAY
SEARCH
SHOP
STORE
TALK
SECURE
SHOW

SAVE
AUTHOR
READ
NEWS
MOBILE
PAY
KIDS
MAIL
SONG
TUNES
VIDEO
CALL
COUPON
DRIVE

Business	
  Impact	
  

҈  A	
  key	
  considera-on	
  is	
  that	
  Search	
  Engines,	
  such	
  as	
  Google,	
  have	
  the	
  
power	
  to	
  include	
  or	
  block	
  any	
  new	
  extensions	
  on	
  their	
  network.	
  It	
  is	
  
within	
  the	
  Search	
  Engines’	
  interest	
  to	
  allow	
  [dot+Brand]	
  and	
  [dot
+Loca-on]	
  extensions,	
  however	
  some	
  [dot+Generic]	
  names	
  may	
  
pose	
  a	
  threat	
  and	
  be	
  subject	
  to	
  blocking.	
  
҈  On	
  the	
  flip	
  side,	
  owners	
  of	
  a	
  unique	
  [dot+extension]	
  have	
  the	
  ability	
  
to	
  restrict	
  access	
  to	
  users	
  and	
  search	
  engines	
  and	
  offer	
  registra-ons	
  
outside	
  of	
  their	
  own	
  organisa-on,	
  and	
  even	
  have	
  their	
  own	
  internal	
  
search	
  mechanism.	
  
҈  The	
  big	
  Internet	
  players	
  are	
  vying	
  for	
  some	
  poten-ally	
  valuable	
  
generics.	
  They	
  have	
  the	
  user	
  mass	
  to	
  change	
  the	
  way	
  we	
  search	
  and	
  
where	
  we	
  search.	
  Google	
  has	
  the	
  most	
  to	
  lose	
  as	
  the	
  current	
  
dominant	
  search	
  engine	
  for	
  the	
  English	
  speaking	
  world.	
  Amazon	
  
could	
  get	
  .store;	
  Yahoo	
  could	
  get	
  .news;	
  and	
  Apple	
  could	
  get	
  .APP	
  
and	
  very	
  quickly	
  build	
  ver-cal	
  search	
  engines	
  or	
  communi-es	
  from	
  
their	
  exis-ng	
  user	
  base.	
  
҈  There	
  is	
  also	
  the	
  opportunity	
  to	
  grow	
  a	
  completely	
  new	
  community,	
  
given	
  the	
  right	
  idea.	
  If,	
  let’s	
  say,	
  you	
  owned	
  [dot+innova-on]	
  and	
  
the	
  idea	
  caught	
  on	
  virally	
  within	
  social	
  media	
  circles,	
  this	
  would	
  
side-­‐step	
  and	
  negate	
  search	
  engines.	
  There	
  is	
  room	
  for	
  many	
  ideas	
  
such	
  as	
  a	
  new	
  technology	
  i.e.	
  [game]	
  -­‐	
  an	
  interac-ve	
  global	
  gaming	
  
plajorm,	
  [music],	
  [news]	
  etc.	
  

[dot+Loca3on]	
  

	
  	
  
The	
  domain	
  name,	
  or	
  Unique	
  Resource	
  Locator	
  (URL),	
  is	
  one	
  of	
  the	
  elements	
  search	
  engines	
  take	
  into	
  
considera-on	
  when	
  deciding	
  the	
  theme	
  of	
  a	
  web	
  page,	
  lis-ng	
  and	
  loca-ng	
  local	
  resources	
  on	
  the	
  Internet.	
  
With	
  the	
  new	
  update	
  and	
  implementa-on	
  of	
  [dot+Loca-on],	
  search	
  engines	
  will	
  find	
  it	
  easier	
  to	
  hone	
  in	
  on	
  
regional	
  dialects,	
  and	
  serve	
  more	
  locally	
  relevant	
  content.	
  
	
  	
  
73%	
  of	
  Online	
  Ac.vity	
  is	
  related	
  to	
  Local	
  Content	
  	
  
Source:	
  Google	
  
New	
  gTLDs	
  open	
  up	
  the	
  possibility	
  that	
  the	
  TLD	
  could	
  be	
  an	
  important	
  ranking	
  factor	
  in	
  the	
  future.	
  For	
  
example,	
  you	
  can	
  imagine	
  that	
  sites	
  on	
  a	
  .london	
  domain	
  could	
  conceivably	
  be	
  rewarded	
  (and	
  thus	
  rank	
  
bemer)	
  for	
  queries	
  containing	
  'london'	
  and	
  also	
  queries	
  iden-fied	
  as	
  being	
  about	
  London	
  or	
  having	
  regional	
  
relevance	
  to	
  London.	
  
So,	
  if	
  you	
  have	
  a	
  strong	
  customer	
  base	
  within	
  the	
  local	
  community	
  of	
  London,	
  purchasing	
  [.London]	
  to	
  amract	
  
locals	
  or	
  companies	
  targe-ng	
  London	
  is	
  a	
  good	
  idea.	
  
	
  	
  

[dot+Generic]	
  

	
  	
  
There	
  is	
  the	
  opportunity	
  for	
  [dot+Generic]	
  networks	
  (given	
  the	
  right	
  user	
  mass)	
  to	
  adver-se	
  in	
  a	
  niche	
  network	
  
to	
  a	
  highly	
  targeted	
  audience.	
  

Future	
  of	
  the	
  Internet	
  –	
  Marcos	
  Richardson	
  

Page	
  2	
  
Future	
  of	
  the	
  Internet	
  and	
  Search	
  
The	
  bamle	
  has	
  always	
  been,	
  and	
  con-nues	
  to	
  be,	
  over	
  ownership	
  and	
  control	
  of	
  WWW	
  entry	
  points.	
  When	
  we	
  
say	
  ‘entry	
  points’	
  we	
  are	
  not	
  talking	
  about	
  technical	
  connec-vity,	
  such	
  as	
  Broadband,	
  we	
  are	
  looking	
  at	
  points	
  
where	
  consumers	
  and	
  business	
  first	
  start	
  their	
  search	
  journey…	
  
	
  	
  
҈  Search	
  Engines	
  
҈  Social	
  Media	
  
҈  Browsers	
  
҈  PC/Mobile	
  factory	
  set	
  home	
  pages	
  (i.e.	
  Microsoq	
  Store)	
  
҈  Book-­‐marked	
  serngs	
  
҈  Tools	
  
҈  Document	
  storage	
  
	
  	
  
	
  	
  
Whoever	
  owns	
  the	
  entry	
  point	
  has	
  the	
  power	
  to	
  adver-se	
  directly	
  to	
  the	
  consumer	
  and	
  business,	
  and	
  push	
  
traffic	
  to	
  business	
  websites.	
  
PORTAL	
  
17%	
  

CONTENT	
  
SITES	
  
31%	
  

SOCIAL	
  
11%	
  

SEARCH	
  
41%	
  

gTLDs	
  have	
  the	
  poten-al	
  to	
  open	
  up	
  the	
  playing	
  field	
  from	
  the	
  current	
  domina-ng	
  companies.	
  
	
  	
  
Those	
  that	
  are	
  scep-cal	
  about	
  the	
  poten-al	
  for	
  gTLDs	
  to	
  change	
  the	
  Internet	
  playing	
  field	
  and	
  take	
  a	
  share	
  from	
  dominant	
  
data	
  sources	
  like	
  Google	
  should	
  note	
  a	
  recent	
  ar-cle	
  released	
  by	
  SINTEF	
  sta-ng,	
  “90%	
  of	
  all	
  the	
  data	
  in	
  the	
  world	
  has	
  been	
  
generated	
  over	
  the	
  last	
  two	
  years”.	
  Source:	
  www.sintef.no	
  
	
  

Recommenda3ons	
  
	
  
Businesses	
  should	
  consider	
  gerng	
  brand	
  varia-ons	
  of	
  the	
  gTLDs	
  on	
  the	
  expecta-on	
  that	
  they	
  could	
  be	
  valuable	
  in	
  the	
  
future	
  and	
  are	
  important	
  to	
  have	
  in	
  order	
  to	
  avoid	
  domain	
  name-­‐squamers	
  holding	
  brands	
  to	
  ransom	
  for	
  obviously	
  
relevant	
  extensions.	
  
	
  
We	
  know	
  that	
  Brand	
  searches	
  tend	
  to	
  bring	
  in	
  the	
  vast	
  majority	
  of	
  searches	
  for	
  company	
  websites.	
  This,	
  alongside	
  the	
  
release	
  of	
  Google	
  Knowledge	
  Graph	
  (whereby	
  visitors	
  for	
  brand	
  searches	
  are	
  being	
  pulled	
  away	
  from	
  a	
  company’s	
  brand	
  
website)	
  owning	
  [dot+Brand]	
  extension	
  presents	
  an	
  opportunity	
  for	
  consumers	
  to	
  find	
  the	
  brand	
  website	
  and	
  content	
  
they	
  are	
  looking	
  for,	
  quicker.	
  
Companies	
  with	
  a	
  decent	
  network	
  user	
  mass	
  should	
  consider	
  [dot+Generic]	
  to	
  adver-se	
  in	
  a	
  niche	
  network	
  to	
  a	
  highly	
  
targeted	
  audience.	
  
	
  	
  
The	
  cost	
  is	
  s-ll	
  prohibi-ve	
  for	
  the	
  small	
  business	
  and	
  individual	
  however	
  with	
  syndica-on	
  and	
  crowd	
  sourcing	
  there	
  could	
  
be	
  an	
  opportunity	
  to	
  own	
  the	
  next	
  big	
  media	
  site.	
  

Future	
  of	
  the	
  Internet	
  –	
  Marcos	
  Richardson	
  

Page	
  3	
  

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gTLD the future of the internet by marcos richardson

  • 1. GTLD  Specula-on   The  Future  of  the  Internet     December,  2013   WHAT  MIGHT  gTLD  MEAN  FOR  BUSINESSES  AND  THE     FUTURE  OF  THE  INTERNET?  
  • 2. Overview   On  20th  June,  2011,  ICANN  said  that  new  Generic  Top  Level  Domains  (gTLDs),  in  any  words  and  in  any  language   and  with  special  characters  based  on  IETF  standards,  will  be  released  for  countries,  individuals  and   corpora-ons  to  promote  digital  informa-on.         The  new  ICCANN  and  WC3  standards  advance  the  ability  to  control  and  target  traffic  as  the  Web  expands   beyond  the  realms  of  ‘.com’;  ‘.org’;  ‘.net’  and  ‘Country  Code  Top  Level  Domain  (ccTLD).   There  are  currently  1,814  ac-ve  applica-ons  for  new  gTLDs   This  paper  looks  at  the  possible  impacts  on  business  and  speculates  on  the  future  of  the  World  Wide  Web  in   light  of  the  gTDLs   gTLD  choice  of  applica3ons       1   Large  corpora-ons  have,  for  the  most  part,  been  considering  the  purchase  of  their  [dot+Brand  Name]  as  a   specula-ve  and  defensive  move,  whilst  s-ll  holding  onto  .com     2   Government  agencies  are  showing  interest  in  purchasing  country  and  regional  extensions,  such  as   the  recent  .London  acquisi-on  by  the  mayor  of  London   3   Some  companies,  such  as  Amazon,  Apple,  Yahoo  and  Google,  are  applying  for  a  host  of  [dot +Generic]  names   4   5   Syndica-ons  are  looking  at  opportuni-es  to  own  a  niche  ver-cal  space.  For  example,  [.Health]   would  appeal  to  health  networks  such  as  NHS,  WebMD,  pharma  companies  and  authori-es  such  as   the  FDA  or  MHRA.  It  is  conceivable  that,  as  a  heavily  regulated  industry,  informa-on,  marke-ng   and  promo-on  should  be  subject  to  a  regulated  framework  and  housed  in  one  area  on  the  Internet   for  consumer  protec-on.  Other  areas  where  syndica-ons  might  consider  crea-ng  niche  access   [.Banking];  [.Movies];  [.Music]  etc.   Crowd-­‐sourcing  is  a  new  way  to  afford  specula-ve  purchasing  (which  is  usually  cost-­‐prohibi-ve  for   smaller  companies  and  individuals)   Future  of  the  Internet  –  Marcos  Richardson   Page  1  
  • 3. The  playing  field   The  following  gTLDs  are  a  few  [dot +extensions]  Google  and  Amazon   have  registered  for  purchase   Google     WEB APP BOOK BUY FREE GAME MAP MOVIE MUSIC PLAY SEARCH SHOP STORE TALK FILM FLY BABY SITE PET MED MOV HOME HOW LIVE LOVE CAR CHANNEL DIY EAT FAMILY Amazon   APP   ROOM BOOK BUY FREE GAME MAP MOVIE MUSIC PLAY SEARCH SHOP STORE TALK SECURE SHOW SAVE AUTHOR READ NEWS MOBILE PAY KIDS MAIL SONG TUNES VIDEO CALL COUPON DRIVE Business  Impact   ҈  A  key  considera-on  is  that  Search  Engines,  such  as  Google,  have  the   power  to  include  or  block  any  new  extensions  on  their  network.  It  is   within  the  Search  Engines’  interest  to  allow  [dot+Brand]  and  [dot +Loca-on]  extensions,  however  some  [dot+Generic]  names  may   pose  a  threat  and  be  subject  to  blocking.   ҈  On  the  flip  side,  owners  of  a  unique  [dot+extension]  have  the  ability   to  restrict  access  to  users  and  search  engines  and  offer  registra-ons   outside  of  their  own  organisa-on,  and  even  have  their  own  internal   search  mechanism.   ҈  The  big  Internet  players  are  vying  for  some  poten-ally  valuable   generics.  They  have  the  user  mass  to  change  the  way  we  search  and   where  we  search.  Google  has  the  most  to  lose  as  the  current   dominant  search  engine  for  the  English  speaking  world.  Amazon   could  get  .store;  Yahoo  could  get  .news;  and  Apple  could  get  .APP   and  very  quickly  build  ver-cal  search  engines  or  communi-es  from   their  exis-ng  user  base.   ҈  There  is  also  the  opportunity  to  grow  a  completely  new  community,   given  the  right  idea.  If,  let’s  say,  you  owned  [dot+innova-on]  and   the  idea  caught  on  virally  within  social  media  circles,  this  would   side-­‐step  and  negate  search  engines.  There  is  room  for  many  ideas   such  as  a  new  technology  i.e.  [game]  -­‐  an  interac-ve  global  gaming   plajorm,  [music],  [news]  etc.   [dot+Loca3on]       The  domain  name,  or  Unique  Resource  Locator  (URL),  is  one  of  the  elements  search  engines  take  into   considera-on  when  deciding  the  theme  of  a  web  page,  lis-ng  and  loca-ng  local  resources  on  the  Internet.   With  the  new  update  and  implementa-on  of  [dot+Loca-on],  search  engines  will  find  it  easier  to  hone  in  on   regional  dialects,  and  serve  more  locally  relevant  content.       73%  of  Online  Ac.vity  is  related  to  Local  Content     Source:  Google   New  gTLDs  open  up  the  possibility  that  the  TLD  could  be  an  important  ranking  factor  in  the  future.  For   example,  you  can  imagine  that  sites  on  a  .london  domain  could  conceivably  be  rewarded  (and  thus  rank   bemer)  for  queries  containing  'london'  and  also  queries  iden-fied  as  being  about  London  or  having  regional   relevance  to  London.   So,  if  you  have  a  strong  customer  base  within  the  local  community  of  London,  purchasing  [.London]  to  amract   locals  or  companies  targe-ng  London  is  a  good  idea.       [dot+Generic]       There  is  the  opportunity  for  [dot+Generic]  networks  (given  the  right  user  mass)  to  adver-se  in  a  niche  network   to  a  highly  targeted  audience.   Future  of  the  Internet  –  Marcos  Richardson   Page  2  
  • 4. Future  of  the  Internet  and  Search   The  bamle  has  always  been,  and  con-nues  to  be,  over  ownership  and  control  of  WWW  entry  points.  When  we   say  ‘entry  points’  we  are  not  talking  about  technical  connec-vity,  such  as  Broadband,  we  are  looking  at  points   where  consumers  and  business  first  start  their  search  journey…       ҈  Search  Engines   ҈  Social  Media   ҈  Browsers   ҈  PC/Mobile  factory  set  home  pages  (i.e.  Microsoq  Store)   ҈  Book-­‐marked  serngs   ҈  Tools   ҈  Document  storage           Whoever  owns  the  entry  point  has  the  power  to  adver-se  directly  to  the  consumer  and  business,  and  push   traffic  to  business  websites.   PORTAL   17%   CONTENT   SITES   31%   SOCIAL   11%   SEARCH   41%   gTLDs  have  the  poten-al  to  open  up  the  playing  field  from  the  current  domina-ng  companies.       Those  that  are  scep-cal  about  the  poten-al  for  gTLDs  to  change  the  Internet  playing  field  and  take  a  share  from  dominant   data  sources  like  Google  should  note  a  recent  ar-cle  released  by  SINTEF  sta-ng,  “90%  of  all  the  data  in  the  world  has  been   generated  over  the  last  two  years”.  Source:  www.sintef.no     Recommenda3ons     Businesses  should  consider  gerng  brand  varia-ons  of  the  gTLDs  on  the  expecta-on  that  they  could  be  valuable  in  the   future  and  are  important  to  have  in  order  to  avoid  domain  name-­‐squamers  holding  brands  to  ransom  for  obviously   relevant  extensions.     We  know  that  Brand  searches  tend  to  bring  in  the  vast  majority  of  searches  for  company  websites.  This,  alongside  the   release  of  Google  Knowledge  Graph  (whereby  visitors  for  brand  searches  are  being  pulled  away  from  a  company’s  brand   website)  owning  [dot+Brand]  extension  presents  an  opportunity  for  consumers  to  find  the  brand  website  and  content   they  are  looking  for,  quicker.   Companies  with  a  decent  network  user  mass  should  consider  [dot+Generic]  to  adver-se  in  a  niche  network  to  a  highly   targeted  audience.       The  cost  is  s-ll  prohibi-ve  for  the  small  business  and  individual  however  with  syndica-on  and  crowd  sourcing  there  could   be  an  opportunity  to  own  the  next  big  media  site.   Future  of  the  Internet  –  Marcos  Richardson   Page  3