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GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS :-
a worldwide financial fia$co, is an
economic recession or depression
caused by lack of necessary
liquidity in financial institutions.
Low
rate of
interest
Property
bubble
Deterioration of
financial standards
and bad regulation
Financial innovation
and lack of
transparency
Burst of
property bubble
Problem in
fulfilling subprime
mortgage
obligations
Loss of
financial
and
investors
Reassessing
risks and
risk taking
Increase in
counter party risk
, losses
Financing
possibilities
have
narrowed
Cost of
financing has
increased
Impact on
financial
markets and
economy
Tightening
credit
condition
Excessive financing Spreading risk
*** The Global Financial Crisis has not left
the “ INDIA” unscathed………***
GLOBAL LIQUIDITY CRUNCH AND THE INDIAN ECONOMY
Large selling
by foreign
institutional
investors(FII)
Subsequent
interventions
by RBI in
foreign
currency
market
,continuing
growth in
advances
Earlier
increases in
cash reserve
ratio(CRR )to
contain
inflation
Impact on Export of India
Indian shipment decline 33.3%
( biggest decline since last 14 years)
EXPORTShipments of Indian
natural pearls, precious
and semi precious
stones &
pharmaceutical product
dropped by 22.63%
trade between USA
and India decline by
23.47% (in 1st Q of
2009)
Indian gems and
jewellery sector also
decline
Textiles and clothing
export dropped by
14.09% in 20008-09 FY
Declination in
Indian export to
USA
(in 1st Q of 2009)
Impact on Stock
market
Foreign investors have pulled out from stock
markets leading to losses in stock and mutual
funds.
Because of such uncertainty Many people
started saving money in banks rather than
investment
More people sold the shares in the Indian
market than they bought during this period .
This resulted the fall of sensex to lower points.
Table : Sensex & Foreign Investments
Year Total Foreign
Investment
BSE Sensex
(Base : 1978-79
=100)
1999-00 22450 4658.63
2000-01 31015 4269.69
2001-02 38874 3331.95
2002-03 29105 3206.29
2003-04 72139 4492.19
2004-05 69042 5740.99
2005-06 94981 8278.55
2006-07 135080 12277.33
2007-08 249921 16568.89
2008-09 110123 12365.55
2009-10 332575 15585.21
2010-11 281897 18605.18
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
400000
1999-00
2000-01
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
Graph:- Sensex and total foreign
investment relation
BSE Sensex (Base : 1978-79 =100)
Total Foreign Investment
2009
2008
2007
Lowering of Growth rate of
indian economy
9%
8.4%
Year GDP- Growth rate (%)
1999 5.5
2000 6
2001 4.4
2002 4.3
2003 8.3
2004 6.2
2005 8.4
2006 9.2
2007 9
2008 8.4
2009 7.4
2010 10.4
1.
2.
3.
4.
The factors responsible for slow down of India’s IT export growth
year Unemployment %
2002 8.8
2003 8.8
2004 9.5
2005 9.2
2006 8.9
2007 7.8
2008 7.2
More than 500,000 jobs were lost
during the last 3 months of 2008 in
export oriented sector including gems
and jewellery
 many workers lost jobs in
diamond jewellery , textiles and
leather industry
 the crisis had affected the RS 3000
crores handloom industry and
volume of handloom exports
dropped by 4.6% in 2007-08
creating widespread unemployment
in this sector
 companies in IT industry have
stopped hiring and projected lower
manpower need
Job lost
The impact of global financial crisis on some
important macroeconomic variables
Decline in the
stock market
indices
Fall in the
external values of
rupee, especially
vis-a-vis
the dollar
Decline in the
foreign exchange
reserves held by
the reserve
bank of India
POSITIVE IMPACTS ON INDIAN ECONOMY
Expose of weaknesses in the economy
Cost stabilization in real estate market
Rationalization of salary structure in IT Industry
Performance appraisal is gaining ground
Austerity is targeted path
Best place for outforcing
Opportunities for international trade
www.indianmba.com
www.economywatch.com
www.google.co.in.imghp
www.slideshare.net
Orfonline.org
www.indiapress.com
www.independent.org
rbi.org.in
www.economictimes.com
www.timesofindia.com
Reference
Global Financial Crisis Impact on Indian Economy

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Global Financial Crisis Impact on Indian Economy

  • 1.
  • 2. GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS :- a worldwide financial fia$co, is an economic recession or depression caused by lack of necessary liquidity in financial institutions.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. Low rate of interest Property bubble Deterioration of financial standards and bad regulation Financial innovation and lack of transparency Burst of property bubble Problem in fulfilling subprime mortgage obligations Loss of financial and investors Reassessing risks and risk taking Increase in counter party risk , losses Financing possibilities have narrowed Cost of financing has increased Impact on financial markets and economy Tightening credit condition Excessive financing Spreading risk
  • 6. *** The Global Financial Crisis has not left the “ INDIA” unscathed………***
  • 7. GLOBAL LIQUIDITY CRUNCH AND THE INDIAN ECONOMY Large selling by foreign institutional investors(FII) Subsequent interventions by RBI in foreign currency market ,continuing growth in advances Earlier increases in cash reserve ratio(CRR )to contain inflation
  • 8. Impact on Export of India Indian shipment decline 33.3% ( biggest decline since last 14 years)
  • 9. EXPORTShipments of Indian natural pearls, precious and semi precious stones & pharmaceutical product dropped by 22.63% trade between USA and India decline by 23.47% (in 1st Q of 2009) Indian gems and jewellery sector also decline Textiles and clothing export dropped by 14.09% in 20008-09 FY Declination in Indian export to USA (in 1st Q of 2009)
  • 10. Impact on Stock market Foreign investors have pulled out from stock markets leading to losses in stock and mutual funds. Because of such uncertainty Many people started saving money in banks rather than investment More people sold the shares in the Indian market than they bought during this period . This resulted the fall of sensex to lower points.
  • 11. Table : Sensex & Foreign Investments Year Total Foreign Investment BSE Sensex (Base : 1978-79 =100) 1999-00 22450 4658.63 2000-01 31015 4269.69 2001-02 38874 3331.95 2002-03 29105 3206.29 2003-04 72139 4492.19 2004-05 69042 5740.99 2005-06 94981 8278.55 2006-07 135080 12277.33 2007-08 249921 16568.89 2008-09 110123 12365.55 2009-10 332575 15585.21 2010-11 281897 18605.18 0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000 300000 350000 400000 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 Graph:- Sensex and total foreign investment relation BSE Sensex (Base : 1978-79 =100) Total Foreign Investment
  • 12. 2009 2008 2007 Lowering of Growth rate of indian economy 9% 8.4% Year GDP- Growth rate (%) 1999 5.5 2000 6 2001 4.4 2002 4.3 2003 8.3 2004 6.2 2005 8.4 2006 9.2 2007 9 2008 8.4 2009 7.4 2010 10.4
  • 13.
  • 14. 1. 2. 3. 4. The factors responsible for slow down of India’s IT export growth
  • 15. year Unemployment % 2002 8.8 2003 8.8 2004 9.5 2005 9.2 2006 8.9 2007 7.8 2008 7.2 More than 500,000 jobs were lost during the last 3 months of 2008 in export oriented sector including gems and jewellery  many workers lost jobs in diamond jewellery , textiles and leather industry  the crisis had affected the RS 3000 crores handloom industry and volume of handloom exports dropped by 4.6% in 2007-08 creating widespread unemployment in this sector  companies in IT industry have stopped hiring and projected lower manpower need Job lost
  • 16. The impact of global financial crisis on some important macroeconomic variables Decline in the stock market indices Fall in the external values of rupee, especially vis-a-vis the dollar Decline in the foreign exchange reserves held by the reserve bank of India
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  • 20. POSITIVE IMPACTS ON INDIAN ECONOMY Expose of weaknesses in the economy Cost stabilization in real estate market Rationalization of salary structure in IT Industry Performance appraisal is gaining ground Austerity is targeted path Best place for outforcing Opportunities for international trade