This document appears to be the results of a public opinion survey conducted in New Hampshire between September 10-11, 2014 with 2,214 likely voter interviews. It includes data on respondents' views on the direction of the country, a hypothetical US Senate election, opinions of Scott Brown and Jeanne Shaheen, approval of President Obama's job performance, a hypothetical election between Brown and Shaheen, views on border security and likelihood of terrorists crossing the southern border. The data is broken down by region, age, party identification and other demographics.
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Magellan Strategies BR New Hampshire Survey Presentation 091514
1. YOURLOGO
Citizens for a Strong New Hampshire
Conducted September 10th-11th, 2014
2,214 Likely Voter Interviews
MOE +/-2.0%
Statewide Public Opinion Survey
jdiez@magellanbr.comOssipeeLancaster
Woodsville
Keene
Nashua
Exeter
Laconia
NewportConcord
2. 3. Would you say things in country are going in the right direction or have they gotten off on the wrong track?
Statewide
Region
35%
65%
RIGHT DIRECTION
WRONG TRACK
37%
29%
41%
37%
31%
39%
63%
71%
59%
63%
69%
61%
Age
18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
35%
33%
32%
39%
37%
65%
67%
68%
61%
63%
Right Direction
Wrong Track
3. 3. Would you say things in country are going in the right direction or have they gotten off on the wrong track?
Party
Gender
Terrorist/Boarder
Party by Gender
Generic Ballot
Obama Approval
GOP MEN
GOPWOMEN
DEM MEN
DEMWOMEN
IND MEN
INDWOMEN
13%
11%
68%
62%
32%
35%
87%
89%
32%
38%
68%
65%
MALE
FEMALE
33%
38%
67%
62%
NSS GOP
STR GOP
GOP
IND
DEM
STR DEM
NSS DEM
24%
7%
12%
34%
64%
78%
32%
76%
93%
88%
66%
36%
22%
68%
DEM
GOP
UND
77%
5%
28%
23%
95%
72%
APRV
DISAPRV
UND
88%
3%
43%
12%
97%
57%
LIKELY
NOT LIKELY
19%
67%
81%
33%
Right Direction
Wrong Track
4. 4. If the election for US Senate were being held today, and all you knew about the two candidates was that one was a Republicanand the other was a Democrat, for whom would you vote?
Statewide
Region
Age
47%
36%
17%
REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE
DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE
UNDECIDED
Republican Candidate
Democrat Candidate
Undecided
18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
47%
45%
52%
43%
45%
38%
34%
30%
40%
41%
15%
21%
18%
17%
15%
47%
53%
38%
47%
48%
43%
38%
30%
41%
38%
40%
38%
15%
17%
21%
15%
12%
19%
5. 4. If the election for US Senate were being held today, and all you knew about the two candidates was that one was a Republicanand the other was a Democrat, for whom would you vote?
Party
Gender
Terrorist/Boarder
Party by Gender
Mood
Obama Approval
Republican Candidate
Democrat Candidate
Undecided
NSS GOP
STR GOP
GOP
IND
DEM
STR DEM
NSS DEM
61%
89%
80%
40%
16%
7%
36%
21%
4%
10%
30%
75%
89%
42%
19%
6%
10%
30%
9%
4%
22%
MALE
FEMALE
51%
42%
31%
41%
18%
16%
LIKELY
NOT LIKELY
63%
14%
20%
69%
17%
17%
GOP MEN
GOPWOMEN
DEM MEN
DEMWOMEN
IND MEN
INDWOMEN
81%
80%
13%
18%
43%
37%
12%
7%
73%
76%
27%
34%
8%
13%
15%
6%
31%
30%
APRV
DISAPRV
5%
77%
83%
6%
13%
17%
RD
WT
7%
68%
80%
13%
14%
19%
6. 5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Brown?
Statewide
Region
Age
41%
51%
32%
30%
28%
31%
50%
37%
55%
50%
44%
53%
9%
10%
12%
19%
23%
15%
18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
33%
40%
41%
37%
40%
51%
48%
43%
50%
48%
10%
13%
15%
12%
11%
39%
48%
12%
1%
FAVORABLE
UNFAVORABLE
HEARD OF BUT NO OPINION
NEVER HEARD OF
Favorable
Unfavorable
Heard, No Opin
Never Heard Of
7. 5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Brown?
Party
Gender
Terrorist/Boarder
Party by Gender
Generic Ballot
Obama Approval
GOP MEN
GOPWOMEN
DEMWOMEN
IND MEN
IND WOMEN
63%
62%
12%
39%
36%
28%
22%
73%
47%
46%
9%
14%
12%
13%
16%
LIKELY
NOT LIKELY
53%
11%
32%
78%
13%
11%
NSS GOP
STR GOP
GOP
IND
DEM
STR DEM
NSS DEM
47%
70%
62%
37%
13%
7%
25%
41%
18%
25%
47%
75%
85%
51%
10%
12%
11%
15%
11%
7%
19%
MALE
FEMALE
43%
35%
46%
49%
11%
14%
DEM
GOP
UND
4%
71%
25%
88%
16%
47%
8%
12%
24%
APRV
DISAPRV
5%
63%
86%
23%
8%
13%
Favorable
Unfavorable
Heard, No Opin
Never Heard Of
8. 6. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeanne Shaheen?
Statewide
Region
Age
18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
41%
42%
42%
47%
49%
52%
51%
53%
48%
45%
5%
7%
5%
5%
6%
44%
39%
51%
52%
44%
48%
51%
55%
39%
42%
47%
48%
4%
5%
10%
6%
9%
4%
45%
49%
5%
0%
FAVORABLE
UNFAVORABLE
HEARD OF BUT NO OPINION
NEVER HEARD OF
Favorable
Unfavorable
Heard, No Opin
Never Heard Of
9. Party
Gender
Terrorist/Boarder
Party by Gender
Generic Ballot
Obama Approval
MALE
FEMALE
41%
48%
54%
45%
4%
6%
NSS GOP
STR GOP
GOP
IND
DEM
STR DEM
NSS DEM
34%
12%
19%
43%
77%
93%
41%
60%
83%
75%
49%
21%
6%
54%
6%
6%
6%
8%
2%
1%
4%
Favorable
Unfavorable
Heard, No Opin
Never Heard Of
GOP MEN
GOPWOMEN
DEM MEN
DEMWOMEN
IND MEN
INDWOMEN
20%
17%
78%
77%
41%
45%
76%
75%
20%
21%
53%
45%
4%
9%
2%
1%
6%
10%
LIKELY
NOT LIKELY
26%
81%
67%
14%
6%
5%
DEM
GOP
UND
93%
9%
39%
5%
86%
44%
2%
5%
15%
APRV
DISAPRV
UND
93%
11%
72%
3%
83%
13%
3%
6%
12%
6. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeanne Shaheen?
10. 7. And do you approve or disapprove of the job that Barack Obama is doing as President?
Statewide
Region
Age
33%
57%
10%
APPROVE
DISAPPROVE
UNDECIDED
18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
33%
30%
29%
36%
37%
51%
61%
61%
55%
55%
16%
9%
9%
9%
8%
31%
30%
39%
38%
29%
39%
59%
61%
50%
51%
59%
54%
11%
10%
11%
10%
12%
7%
Approve
Disapprove
Undecided
11. 7. And do you approve or disapprove of the job that Barack Obama is doing as President? s
Party
Gender
Terrorist/Boarder
Party by Gender
Generic Ballot
Mood
Approve
Disapprove
Undecided
NSS GOP
STR GOP
GOP
IND
DEM
STR DEM
NSS DEM
19%
7%
11%
31%
62%
78%
23%
73%
89%
84%
58%
24%
9%
57%
8%
3%
5%
11%
15%
12%
20%
MALE
FEMALE
29%
37%
63%
51%
7%
12%
GOP MEN
GOPWOMEN
DEM MEN
DEMWOMEN
IND MEN
INDWOMEN
12%
10%
63%
61%
27%
35%
84%
84%
24%
24%
65%
52%
3%
6%
13%
16%
8%
13%
LIKELY
NOT LIKELY
18%
64%
74%
23%
8%
13%
DEM
GOP
UND
75%
3%
25%
9%
94%
58%
16%
3%
17%
RD
WT
83%
6%
5%
85%
12%
9%
12. 8. If the election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Scott Brown, Republican, or Jeanne Shaheen, Democrat?
Statewide
Region
Age
46%
44%
10%
SCOTT BROWN
JEANNE SHAHEEN
UNDECIDED
18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
38%
44%
50%
47%
46%
48%
43%
40%
46%
46%
14%
13%
10%
8%
8%
46%
55%
39%
42%
41%
42%
44%
38%
50%
49%
47%
47%
11%
7%
11%
8%
11%
11%
Brown
Shaheen
Undecided
13. 8. If the election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Scott Brown, Republican, or Jeanne Shaheen, Democrat?
Party
Gender
Terrorist/Boarder
Party by Gender
Generic Ballot
Obama Approval
STR GOP
GOP
IND
DEM
STR DEM
NSS DEM
87%
79%
42%
13%
5%
31%
8%
14%
43%
80%
93%
50%
5%
7%
15%
7%
2%
18%
MALE
FEMALE
53%
39%
38%
50%
9%
11%
GOP MEN
GOPWOMEN
DEM MEN
DEMWOMEN
IND MEN
INDWOMEN
79%
78%
16%
11%
47%
36%
15%
14%
79%
81%
38%
49%
6%
9%
6%
8%
15%
15%
LIKELY
NOT LIKELY
63%
12%
27%
79%
10%
9%
DEM
GOP
UND
1%
87%
28%
96%
5%
40%
3%
7%
32%
APRV
DISAPRV
UND
2%
78%
9%
95%
10%
72%
3%
12%
19%
Brown
Shaheen
Undecided
14. 11. In your opinion, has congress done an adequate job securing the US/Mexico border?
Statewide
Region
Age
Yes
No
18%
76%
YES
NO
18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
32%
22%
19%
14%
13%
61%
72%
75%
80%
81%
20%
13%
22%
20%
14%
21%
74%
81%
72%
71%
80%
72%
15. 11. In your opinion, has congress done an adequate job securing the US/Mexico border?
Party
Gender
Terrorist/Boarder
Party by Gender
Generic Ballot
Obama Approval
Yes
No
NSS GOP
STR GOP
GOP
IND
DEM
STR DEM
NSS DEM
13%
6%
8%
14%
35%
45%
14%
83%
92%
89%
79%
55%
45%
78%
MALE
FEMALE
19%
18%
78%
73%
GOP MEN
GOPWOMEN
DEM MEN
DEMWOMEN
IND MEN
INDWOMEN
10%
6%
41%
32%
14%
15%
88%
91%
56%
55%
82%
76%
LIKELY
NOT LIKELY
7%
42%
88%
52%
DEM
GOP
UND
41%
4%
11%
50%
94%
81%
APRV
DISAPRV
UND
42%
3%
28%
47%
95%
59%
16. 12. And in your opinion, how likely is it that terrorists will enter the US by crossing the US/Mexico border?
Statewide
Region
Age
Likely
Not Likely
39%
27%
23%
11%
VERY LIKELY
SOMEWHAT LIKELY
NOT TOO LIKELY
NOT AT ALL LIKELY
18-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
67%
58%
67%
67%
70%
33%
42%
33%
33%
30%
69%
69%
57%
63%
68%
65%
31%
31%
43%
37%
32%
35%
17. 12. And in your opinion, how likely is it that terrorists will enter the US by crossing the US/Mexico border?
Party
Gender
Mood
Party by Gender
Generic Ballot
Obama Approval
NSS GOP
STR GOP
GOP
IND
DEM
STR DEM
NSS DEM
71%
88%
82%
69%
45%
38%
63%
29%
12%
18%
31%
55%
62%
37%
MALE
FEMALE
67%
67%
33%
33%
GOP MEN
GOPWOMEN
DEM MEN
DEMWOMEN
IND MEN
INDWOMEN
81%
85%
42%
48%
67%
71%
19%
15%
58%
52%
33%
29%
DEM
GOP
UND
37%
90%
67%
63%
10%
33%
APRV
DISAPRV
UND
36%
87%
54%
64%
13%
46%
RD
WT
36%
83%
64%
17%
Likely
Not Likely