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BUILDING THE FUTURE OF PERSONALIZED
HEALTHCARE
IN A DATA DRIVEN SOCIETY
University of Twente
University Medical Center Groningen
The Netherlands
Building the future of Health
June, 3-2016; Groningen
Lisette van Gemert-Pijnen
The University of Twente is noted for:
• Excellent education & research
• New technology as a catalyst for change, innovation and progress
• Combination of technology & social sciences
• Entrepreneurial attitude
Themes: ICT, Nano-, Bio-, Geo-Engineering, Management, Behavioral Science
26/08/2016
OUR PROFILE: HIGH TECH HUMAN TOUCH
the
technology
sciences
the
social
sciences
• What are the paradigm shifts in Healthcare?
• What are the challenges in a data driven society?
• What are we doing? In the domain of safety
• Food for Thoughts
THIS TALK
BUILDING THE FUTURE OF PERSONALIZED HEALTHCARE
www.cewr.nl (persuasive technology lab)
1. People-centered versus disease-centered
• Health as the ability to adapt and to self-manage, (Huber, 2011)
• Services are focused on individual needs and preferences
• No one size fits all
2. Medicine digitized, unplugged, democratized
• Bottom up
• From hospitals to self-organizing communities (resilience)
PERSONALIZED HEALTHCARE
PARADIGM SHIFTS
BOTTOM UP MEDICINE
ENABLED VIA TECHNOLOGIES
Amount of data is growing explosively
3. Breaking the wall of knowledge
4. Health Industry blurs medicine
DATA DRIVEN SOCIETY
PARADIGM SHIFTS
5. Pervasive tech: breaking wall of connectivity
• A fusion of Technologies (mobile health environments; IoT)
• Cloud based Healthcare Information Technology
6. New Science: Tech & Health & Behaviors
• Data Stewardship: Safety, Security (e.g. Personal Health Train)
• Data Analytics: Algorithms to understand behaviors
• Data Wisdom: to add value to health &wellbeing
DATA DRIVEN HEALTHCARE
PARADIGM SHIFTS
The datification of our world gives us
boundless data in terms of Volume,
Velocity, Variety and Veracitiy
Advanced analytics allows us to
leverage all types of data to gain
insights and add Value
Marr 2015
CHALLENGE: BIG DATA; NOT ALL DATA IS BIG
BIG DATA-BIG INSIGHTS?
DATA WISDOM
WHAT ARE THE CHALLENGES?
BUILDING THE FUTURE OF HEALTH
Crossing boundaries
Crossing borders
STRUCTURAL HYGIENE
CROSSING BOUNDARIES: HUMAN & MEDICINE & TECH
13
CROSSING BOUNDARIES: CEHRES ROADMAP (VAN GEMERT, 2011)
Why IT? How does IT work? Does IT help? What is ITs impact?
needs & values usability and persuasiveness is anyone getting better? implementation
facilitators & barriers compliance to IT physical & mental & social maintenance
Needs assessments Persuasive Designs Health Behaviour Theories Business models
Crossing borders, tech to develop digital surveillance systems to improve health &wellbeing
Crossing boundaries, tech as a method to better measure, aggregate and make sense of behavioral,
clinical and environmental data
STRUCTURAL HYGIENE
BIG DATA TO SUPPORT HEALTH & WELLBEING
Safety and Superbugs; a wicked problem
 Lack of cooperation across countries, across continents
 Lack of regulations, guidelines, laws
 Profit-driven instead of needs-driven supply (farming)
 Knowledge gap; Inadequate education, information
 Inadequate surveillance, Insufficient diagnosis
 Inadequate infection control practices, lack of resources,
compliance
 Lack of research, development AB slow and no priority
15
SAFETY & SUPERBUGS: BAD HYGIENE
Acinetobacter Baumanni
Mobile IC Enschede
Early warning systems: eSurveillance of HCWs
COMPLIANCE: DEMAND FOR TAILORED INSTRUCTIONS
BOTTOM UP DEVELOPMENT ANTIBIOTIC STEWARDSHIP INFORMATION SYSTEMS
 Highly Resistant Micro Organism, e.g. MRSA; Zoonotics
(Animal>humans)
 Digital surveillance to track, trace infections and to develop an
EWS and predictive model to detect and prevent outbreaks
19
BIG DATA IN INFECTION PREVENTION
Demand for EWS & predictive modelling
• Integrating geospatial data with epidemiological and clinical data
• to develop a smart Early Warning System
• Path of movements (sensors data analytics inside/outside hospital)
• Pathogens and HRMO are monitored real-time (over 5 years)
• Predictive modelling; new computational methods for analysing geospatial and
laboratory data
26-8-2016 20
EARLY WARNING SYSTEM
CROSSING BORDERS & BOUNDARIES
Development of Predictive model to analyse geospatial, laboratory,
epidemiological and clinical data
1. Exploratory spatial analysis of historical data to investigate emerging
patterns
2. Regression model will be developed to estimate the posterior distributions
of outbreaks (integrating clinical, epidemiological & geospatial data)
3. Predictive modelling will be used at the level of (sub)units in a hospital
26-8-2016 21
PROACTIVE DECISION MAKING
COOPERATION HEALTH-BUSINESS-SCIENCE
User centred methods to design a data dashboard
- To tailor the predictive decision model to end users (A-Team
members)
- CeHRes- roadmap for eHealth design will be used
- Persuasive design and usability principles to optimize the system
and comprehensible visualization of data
26-8-2016 22
PERSUASIVE DESIGNS
COOPERATION WITH HCWS
Shared Decision making support during outbreaks
Dealing with dilemmas (infections impact society)
Dealing with pressure, emotions, unclear regulations etc.
Dealing with stakeholders
Target users:
professionals from human, veterinary & public health domains dealing with infection prevention &
control (zoonotic case)
Agile development (Avian Influenza & MRSA) with stakeholders, professionals
Coop with T-Xchange (Science-Business-Health)
DILEMMA GAMES TO MANAGE OUTBREAKS
EDUCATION PROFESSIONALS MED-VET
24
E-LEARNING ASP
GAME BASED TRAINING ENVIRONMENT MED-VET (GAMES FOR HEALTH)
How to design and develop performance assessment methods and
techniques, such that the player is unaware of it? Including feedback and
dynamics regarding risk communication and game models.
How to evaluate the serious games and its effectiveness in the virtual and real
world?
Implementation: Stakeholder Business model
Maturity Scale ASP; implementation advice
ASP: no one size fits all
Tailoring interventions, to local resources, guidelines
Support for persuasive Auditing
Benchmarking hospitals
26
Future is Promising!
BIG Data BIG Health
Big Data Safe Health: STRUCTURAL STEWARDSHIP
food for thoughts
 Create Data Wisdom
 those who generate data are not the ones that have the
knowledge to analyse, those who analyse lack domain insight
 Big data a supplement no substitute of traditional data collection
 Ethical considerations (over-under prediction; data management)
 Accountability; Who has to prove what and how it is regulated?
 Interpretation; Data versus a Clinical eye
26-8-2016 27
 Search for patterns rather than testing hypotheses
 Critical volume, variety, veracity of data
 Beyond RCTs; Life Logging
 Power of Analytics (Machine learning)
 Bottom up evidence (reverse epidemiology)
FOOD FOR THOUGHTS
CRITICAL EVIDENCE
SAFETY: CREATIVE BUILDING, NO ROOM FOR SAFE CHILDBIRTH
COCREATION WITH HCWS A MUST!
Simon et al, nederlands tijdschrift voor anesthesiologie, april 2016
Delivery Room
Operating room
Prone to complications:
300 meters distance and 2 floors up!
26/08/2016 30
MOOC eHealth
https://www.futurelearn.com/courses/ehealth
j.vangemert-pijnen@utwente.nl
26-8-2016 33
Super surveillance…Smart Blood to track 24h, everywhere
26-8-2016 34
Big data hubris
missing swine flu (2009),
the peak of flu season (2013)
VALUE: Need for Prediction models
SMART & SAFE HOMES
VALUE: DIGITAL EMPOWERED CITIZENS
Patient
Mobility &
Infections
eSurveillance
for just in time
Interventions
Update with Geospatial data & behavioral data
COMPUTERS WITH ATTITUDE NOT ON THE HORIZON
It Was A Bad Idea For Watson The Supercomputer To Learn The Urban
Dictionary…
Value: Sense making Communication (NLP, contextualized)
26/08/2016 39
www.healthbytech.com www.cewr.nl (persuasive technology lab)
BIG DATA
WEARABLES @WORK; @ HOME
 Data analytics: Does IT work? Help?
 Engagement: persuasive feedback
 Awareness of risks
 Prevention of complications
40
Twente-Thales ImEdisense
Telemonitoring in stAble Chronic Heart
Failure
(Twente TEACH)
BIG DATA IN PSYCHIATRY
JUST IN TIME COACHING
Data analytics * Design Persuasive Coaching strategies (using virtual reality)
…to better measure, aggregate and make sense of behavioral, psychosocial,
biometric and geodata to develop personalized coaching programs,
….to make predictions about how a given individual will proceed
PREDICTIVE MODELING
RISK FACTORS USING DATA FROM SMART-COPD INHALERS
EBOLA SPREAD
eSURVEILLANCE SYSTEMS
45
http://www.cgdev.org/section/initiatives/_active/drugresistanceglobalhealth/drug_resistance_by_disease
• Urbanization
• Pollution
• Demographic Change
• Migration
• Lifestyle patterns
• Food & Agriculture
• Trade (low prizes, easy access)
• Inappropriate and irrational use of
medicines (hospitals, community,
agriculture)
Digital Surveillance to monitor infections/AMR
AMR, A wicked problem

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future of health UMCG 3 june1630-a safe society

  • 1. BUILDING THE FUTURE OF PERSONALIZED HEALTHCARE IN A DATA DRIVEN SOCIETY University of Twente University Medical Center Groningen The Netherlands Building the future of Health June, 3-2016; Groningen Lisette van Gemert-Pijnen
  • 2. The University of Twente is noted for: • Excellent education & research • New technology as a catalyst for change, innovation and progress • Combination of technology & social sciences • Entrepreneurial attitude Themes: ICT, Nano-, Bio-, Geo-Engineering, Management, Behavioral Science 26/08/2016 OUR PROFILE: HIGH TECH HUMAN TOUCH
  • 4. • What are the paradigm shifts in Healthcare? • What are the challenges in a data driven society? • What are we doing? In the domain of safety • Food for Thoughts THIS TALK BUILDING THE FUTURE OF PERSONALIZED HEALTHCARE www.cewr.nl (persuasive technology lab)
  • 5. 1. People-centered versus disease-centered • Health as the ability to adapt and to self-manage, (Huber, 2011) • Services are focused on individual needs and preferences • No one size fits all 2. Medicine digitized, unplugged, democratized • Bottom up • From hospitals to self-organizing communities (resilience) PERSONALIZED HEALTHCARE PARADIGM SHIFTS
  • 6. BOTTOM UP MEDICINE ENABLED VIA TECHNOLOGIES
  • 7. Amount of data is growing explosively 3. Breaking the wall of knowledge 4. Health Industry blurs medicine DATA DRIVEN SOCIETY PARADIGM SHIFTS
  • 8. 5. Pervasive tech: breaking wall of connectivity • A fusion of Technologies (mobile health environments; IoT) • Cloud based Healthcare Information Technology 6. New Science: Tech & Health & Behaviors • Data Stewardship: Safety, Security (e.g. Personal Health Train) • Data Analytics: Algorithms to understand behaviors • Data Wisdom: to add value to health &wellbeing DATA DRIVEN HEALTHCARE PARADIGM SHIFTS
  • 9. The datification of our world gives us boundless data in terms of Volume, Velocity, Variety and Veracitiy Advanced analytics allows us to leverage all types of data to gain insights and add Value Marr 2015 CHALLENGE: BIG DATA; NOT ALL DATA IS BIG
  • 11. WHAT ARE THE CHALLENGES? BUILDING THE FUTURE OF HEALTH Crossing boundaries Crossing borders
  • 12. STRUCTURAL HYGIENE CROSSING BOUNDARIES: HUMAN & MEDICINE & TECH
  • 13. 13 CROSSING BOUNDARIES: CEHRES ROADMAP (VAN GEMERT, 2011) Why IT? How does IT work? Does IT help? What is ITs impact? needs & values usability and persuasiveness is anyone getting better? implementation facilitators & barriers compliance to IT physical & mental & social maintenance Needs assessments Persuasive Designs Health Behaviour Theories Business models
  • 14. Crossing borders, tech to develop digital surveillance systems to improve health &wellbeing Crossing boundaries, tech as a method to better measure, aggregate and make sense of behavioral, clinical and environmental data STRUCTURAL HYGIENE BIG DATA TO SUPPORT HEALTH & WELLBEING
  • 15. Safety and Superbugs; a wicked problem  Lack of cooperation across countries, across continents  Lack of regulations, guidelines, laws  Profit-driven instead of needs-driven supply (farming)  Knowledge gap; Inadequate education, information  Inadequate surveillance, Insufficient diagnosis  Inadequate infection control practices, lack of resources, compliance  Lack of research, development AB slow and no priority 15
  • 16. SAFETY & SUPERBUGS: BAD HYGIENE Acinetobacter Baumanni Mobile IC Enschede
  • 17. Early warning systems: eSurveillance of HCWs
  • 18. COMPLIANCE: DEMAND FOR TAILORED INSTRUCTIONS BOTTOM UP DEVELOPMENT ANTIBIOTIC STEWARDSHIP INFORMATION SYSTEMS
  • 19.  Highly Resistant Micro Organism, e.g. MRSA; Zoonotics (Animal>humans)  Digital surveillance to track, trace infections and to develop an EWS and predictive model to detect and prevent outbreaks 19 BIG DATA IN INFECTION PREVENTION Demand for EWS & predictive modelling
  • 20. • Integrating geospatial data with epidemiological and clinical data • to develop a smart Early Warning System • Path of movements (sensors data analytics inside/outside hospital) • Pathogens and HRMO are monitored real-time (over 5 years) • Predictive modelling; new computational methods for analysing geospatial and laboratory data 26-8-2016 20 EARLY WARNING SYSTEM CROSSING BORDERS & BOUNDARIES
  • 21. Development of Predictive model to analyse geospatial, laboratory, epidemiological and clinical data 1. Exploratory spatial analysis of historical data to investigate emerging patterns 2. Regression model will be developed to estimate the posterior distributions of outbreaks (integrating clinical, epidemiological & geospatial data) 3. Predictive modelling will be used at the level of (sub)units in a hospital 26-8-2016 21 PROACTIVE DECISION MAKING COOPERATION HEALTH-BUSINESS-SCIENCE
  • 22. User centred methods to design a data dashboard - To tailor the predictive decision model to end users (A-Team members) - CeHRes- roadmap for eHealth design will be used - Persuasive design and usability principles to optimize the system and comprehensible visualization of data 26-8-2016 22 PERSUASIVE DESIGNS COOPERATION WITH HCWS
  • 23. Shared Decision making support during outbreaks Dealing with dilemmas (infections impact society) Dealing with pressure, emotions, unclear regulations etc. Dealing with stakeholders Target users: professionals from human, veterinary & public health domains dealing with infection prevention & control (zoonotic case) Agile development (Avian Influenza & MRSA) with stakeholders, professionals Coop with T-Xchange (Science-Business-Health) DILEMMA GAMES TO MANAGE OUTBREAKS EDUCATION PROFESSIONALS MED-VET
  • 24. 24 E-LEARNING ASP GAME BASED TRAINING ENVIRONMENT MED-VET (GAMES FOR HEALTH) How to design and develop performance assessment methods and techniques, such that the player is unaware of it? Including feedback and dynamics regarding risk communication and game models. How to evaluate the serious games and its effectiveness in the virtual and real world?
  • 25. Implementation: Stakeholder Business model Maturity Scale ASP; implementation advice ASP: no one size fits all Tailoring interventions, to local resources, guidelines Support for persuasive Auditing Benchmarking hospitals
  • 26. 26 Future is Promising! BIG Data BIG Health
  • 27. Big Data Safe Health: STRUCTURAL STEWARDSHIP food for thoughts  Create Data Wisdom  those who generate data are not the ones that have the knowledge to analyse, those who analyse lack domain insight  Big data a supplement no substitute of traditional data collection  Ethical considerations (over-under prediction; data management)  Accountability; Who has to prove what and how it is regulated?  Interpretation; Data versus a Clinical eye 26-8-2016 27
  • 28.  Search for patterns rather than testing hypotheses  Critical volume, variety, veracity of data  Beyond RCTs; Life Logging  Power of Analytics (Machine learning)  Bottom up evidence (reverse epidemiology) FOOD FOR THOUGHTS CRITICAL EVIDENCE
  • 29. SAFETY: CREATIVE BUILDING, NO ROOM FOR SAFE CHILDBIRTH COCREATION WITH HCWS A MUST! Simon et al, nederlands tijdschrift voor anesthesiologie, april 2016 Delivery Room Operating room Prone to complications: 300 meters distance and 2 floors up!
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  • 32.
  • 33. 26-8-2016 33 Super surveillance…Smart Blood to track 24h, everywhere
  • 34. 26-8-2016 34 Big data hubris missing swine flu (2009), the peak of flu season (2013) VALUE: Need for Prediction models
  • 35. SMART & SAFE HOMES VALUE: DIGITAL EMPOWERED CITIZENS
  • 37. Update with Geospatial data & behavioral data
  • 38. COMPUTERS WITH ATTITUDE NOT ON THE HORIZON It Was A Bad Idea For Watson The Supercomputer To Learn The Urban Dictionary… Value: Sense making Communication (NLP, contextualized)
  • 39. 26/08/2016 39 www.healthbytech.com www.cewr.nl (persuasive technology lab)
  • 40. BIG DATA WEARABLES @WORK; @ HOME  Data analytics: Does IT work? Help?  Engagement: persuasive feedback  Awareness of risks  Prevention of complications 40 Twente-Thales ImEdisense Telemonitoring in stAble Chronic Heart Failure (Twente TEACH)
  • 41. BIG DATA IN PSYCHIATRY JUST IN TIME COACHING Data analytics * Design Persuasive Coaching strategies (using virtual reality) …to better measure, aggregate and make sense of behavioral, psychosocial, biometric and geodata to develop personalized coaching programs, ….to make predictions about how a given individual will proceed
  • 42.
  • 43. PREDICTIVE MODELING RISK FACTORS USING DATA FROM SMART-COPD INHALERS
  • 45. 45 http://www.cgdev.org/section/initiatives/_active/drugresistanceglobalhealth/drug_resistance_by_disease • Urbanization • Pollution • Demographic Change • Migration • Lifestyle patterns • Food & Agriculture • Trade (low prizes, easy access) • Inappropriate and irrational use of medicines (hospitals, community, agriculture) Digital Surveillance to monitor infections/AMR AMR, A wicked problem