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FUTURE IMPERATIVES ,[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Let’s Talk… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Micro Term Objectives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
30+ Years of Progress ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Energy conservation is is embedded in the lighting market
The Energy Issue Upon Us US Energy Information Administration Data 2007 Reduction of energy demand is needed to support population growth, expansion of developing nations, and domestic economic growth. U.S. Lighting Energy Summary Sector KWh/Month Number Buildings % Lighting Lighting KWh for Lighting  Residential 920 122,471,071 15% 16,901,007,798 Commercial 6,307 17,172,499 27% 29,242,876,822 Industrial 110,946 759,604 15% 12,641,253,808 Total 118,173 140,403,174 58,785,138,428
Real Global Implication The number of buildings worldwide easily exceeds  2.5 Billion  making issues of sustainability and conservation critical worldwide 140+ million bldgs 229+ million bldgs 88+ million bldgs 9+ million bldgs 466+ million buildings 1200+ million buildings
The Concern Over Mercury ,[object Object],Derived from 2000 EPA Data and EIA Energy Use data, utilizing the reduction schedule established by the  Clean Air Interstate Rule (2007) Phase I and II, and the EPA Clean Air Mercury Rule (2005) Phase III, setting combined limits of 38 tons by 2010 and 15 tons by 2018 from 49 tons produced in 2000 Reduction is needed in both atmospheric mercury and mercury from lamp waste Hg (tons) through 2020 – using EPA mandated reductions
CO 2   and Air Pollution Issues ,[object Object],US Energy Information Administration Data 2006 Beyond the implications on climate change, reduction of airborne emissions is essential to stop destruction of ecosystems and threats to human health worldwide.
Active External Influencers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Unlike other “designer” trends, pressure to advance improvements in energy use are now widely institutionalized
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Global Movements Growing The issues of climate change and energy use for lighting are now embraced on a global scale
Active Domestic Influencers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],IALD ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Building on 30 years of progress, the lighting and design community are embracing the issues readily and are working to advance progress rapidly and expertly
Technology Progress ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
LED Efficacy Advancement Metal Halide Linear  Fluorescent Halogen LED 3k White Light Package Device Lumens Per Watt Within Normal Product Environment 200 150 100 50 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Incandescent Compact Fluorescent LEDs are now  IN THE ZO NE 85 2009
Proven Applied Efficacy PAR30 HAL LED 3k White Lumens Per Watt 650 Nominal Net Lumen  Downlight Example 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 R/ER30 CFL LED products are being  PROVEN  – more coming 175 125 75 25 0 61 2009 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Battlefield for lighting Courtesy Roland Haitz Cost / Performance Progress LED cost per lumen delivered continues to improve rapidly
Unprecedented Confluence ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Well? Is anything standing in the way of this becoming a runaway explosion of change? Can we get past obstacles smoothly to realize ultimate success?
The Challenges ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Perception Formation ,[object Object],[object Object]
Perception of… So What? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Perception vs. Action ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Design Factor ,[object Object],[object Object]
Quality Perception ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Changing of Minds ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Available Time ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Distractions and Static ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
SSL - Evolution or Revolution? The emotional appeal of revolutionary language is compelling, but stirs up emotions, produces defensive reactions, and polarizes opinion - fueled by failures of technology to meet inflated early expectation Fuel Radiance Incandescence Solid State Emission Disruption ~1890 ,[object Object],120 Years Evolution or Revolution? Electron Arc and Fluorescence Big Evolution ~1940
SSL Differences ,[object Object],[object Object]
SSL New Player Entries ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Integration Resistance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Overcoming Inaction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Avoid Confusion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Unnecessary Complexity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Power Supply LED  Driver Controller Interface Control Converter Luminaire Building Controls Building Power
The Focus Pill ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Guessing what a customer might want is not the same as digging into the market and  knowing  what the customer  needs
Understand Core Values 82%  of value is based on the perception   of the company, product use, and quality – why train the customer to think more of price too early? Source: H.R. Chally “World Class Sales Awards” Survey of 15,000 business customers 39% 22% 18% 21%
Context Drives Understanding ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Presenting a product without knowing how the  customer is going to use or apply it, just creates  new problems
Know Thy Customer Channel ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Patience is a Virtue ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Consistency = Clarity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Objectivity Works ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Specifier Perspective ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
LED Specification Activity Source: Zing Communications LED Specifier Study Where are you specifying LED products most?
Key Influences for LEDs Source: Zing Communications LED Specifier Study These influences are determinate within the context of a chosen design direction, not as separate means On a scale of 1-5 what are the leading influencers for selecting LEDs?
LED Product Expectations Source: Zing Communications LED Specifier Study  On a scale of 1-5 how often do you specify the following LED fixture types compared to the others on the list?
Resistance Points Source: Zing Communications LED Specifier Study On a scale of 1-5 how significant are the following barriers inhibiting your use of LEDs as illumination sources?
The Promised Land The Promised Land for any technology is found at the crossroads of Value Recognition and Customer Desire.  Here, rewards are paid out in the form of rapid demand growth…
Imagining Desire ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Obvious Products?  Do current products represent the “best fit” of the technology today?
New Horizons? If the technology is so liberating to designers, why are there so few truly new products emerging?
Low Hanging Fruit? Is there untapped “low hanging fruit” hidden in the application of SSL in all-new product designs that enhance quality, solves old unresolved problems, and creates new thinking in the application of light in architecture?
We Are Not Done With Color Any color, any shade of white, any pastel. One luminaire, one control station. Unprecedented control of hue, intensity, and value not possible with any conventional source –  Cool!
What About White Tuning? The Kruithoff study revealed that as light levels increase, observers prefer cooler light, and as they are dimmed, warmer is preferred. Until sold-state lighting, there has not been a way to put this to work in the real world –  Cool!
7 of My 100+ Pet Favorites ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Wilzig Residence “ I thought the project would be about cool, high tech fixtures with LEDs and fiber optics… the epiphany has been that we’d want to follow this approach in the design of any house, apart from old vernacular architecture.”  Alan Wilzig Homeowner
Chanel Ginza “ Chanel Ginza is a good example of art, architecture and technology coming together to push the boundaries in all disciplines…” Darrin Nolen Peter Marion Architect
Segerstrom Concert Hall The stated goal was to “Deliver and illumination source which would allow [the architect] to work his design magic…” Cline Bettridge Bernstein
Haus im House …“ It had to be imaginatively lighted” to allow him to capture a balance between day lighting and electric lighting. LEDs luminaires in many forms filled the desired goal, with products that would never have been possible using conventional sources. Martin Haas Behnisch Architekten
Be Cool And Get Hot Nothing is hotter than being cool Coolness sells cars we don’t need, products we can live without, and drives desire deep into the minds of customers
THANK YOU ,[object Object],[object Object]

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The LED Revolution

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  • 6. The Energy Issue Upon Us US Energy Information Administration Data 2007 Reduction of energy demand is needed to support population growth, expansion of developing nations, and domestic economic growth. U.S. Lighting Energy Summary Sector KWh/Month Number Buildings % Lighting Lighting KWh for Lighting Residential 920 122,471,071 15% 16,901,007,798 Commercial 6,307 17,172,499 27% 29,242,876,822 Industrial 110,946 759,604 15% 12,641,253,808 Total 118,173 140,403,174 58,785,138,428
  • 7. Real Global Implication The number of buildings worldwide easily exceeds 2.5 Billion making issues of sustainability and conservation critical worldwide 140+ million bldgs 229+ million bldgs 88+ million bldgs 9+ million bldgs 466+ million buildings 1200+ million buildings
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  • 14. LED Efficacy Advancement Metal Halide Linear Fluorescent Halogen LED 3k White Light Package Device Lumens Per Watt Within Normal Product Environment 200 150 100 50 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Incandescent Compact Fluorescent LEDs are now IN THE ZO NE 85 2009
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  • 16. Battlefield for lighting Courtesy Roland Haitz Cost / Performance Progress LED cost per lumen delivered continues to improve rapidly
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  • 18. Well? Is anything standing in the way of this becoming a runaway explosion of change? Can we get past obstacles smoothly to realize ultimate success?
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  • 36. Understand Core Values 82% of value is based on the perception of the company, product use, and quality – why train the customer to think more of price too early? Source: H.R. Chally “World Class Sales Awards” Survey of 15,000 business customers 39% 22% 18% 21%
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  • 43. LED Specification Activity Source: Zing Communications LED Specifier Study Where are you specifying LED products most?
  • 44. Key Influences for LEDs Source: Zing Communications LED Specifier Study These influences are determinate within the context of a chosen design direction, not as separate means On a scale of 1-5 what are the leading influencers for selecting LEDs?
  • 45. LED Product Expectations Source: Zing Communications LED Specifier Study On a scale of 1-5 how often do you specify the following LED fixture types compared to the others on the list?
  • 46. Resistance Points Source: Zing Communications LED Specifier Study On a scale of 1-5 how significant are the following barriers inhibiting your use of LEDs as illumination sources?
  • 47. The Promised Land The Promised Land for any technology is found at the crossroads of Value Recognition and Customer Desire. Here, rewards are paid out in the form of rapid demand growth…
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  • 49. Obvious Products? Do current products represent the “best fit” of the technology today?
  • 50. New Horizons? If the technology is so liberating to designers, why are there so few truly new products emerging?
  • 51. Low Hanging Fruit? Is there untapped “low hanging fruit” hidden in the application of SSL in all-new product designs that enhance quality, solves old unresolved problems, and creates new thinking in the application of light in architecture?
  • 52. We Are Not Done With Color Any color, any shade of white, any pastel. One luminaire, one control station. Unprecedented control of hue, intensity, and value not possible with any conventional source – Cool!
  • 53. What About White Tuning? The Kruithoff study revealed that as light levels increase, observers prefer cooler light, and as they are dimmed, warmer is preferred. Until sold-state lighting, there has not been a way to put this to work in the real world – Cool!
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  • 55. Wilzig Residence “ I thought the project would be about cool, high tech fixtures with LEDs and fiber optics… the epiphany has been that we’d want to follow this approach in the design of any house, apart from old vernacular architecture.” Alan Wilzig Homeowner
  • 56. Chanel Ginza “ Chanel Ginza is a good example of art, architecture and technology coming together to push the boundaries in all disciplines…” Darrin Nolen Peter Marion Architect
  • 57. Segerstrom Concert Hall The stated goal was to “Deliver and illumination source which would allow [the architect] to work his design magic…” Cline Bettridge Bernstein
  • 58. Haus im House …“ It had to be imaginatively lighted” to allow him to capture a balance between day lighting and electric lighting. LEDs luminaires in many forms filled the desired goal, with products that would never have been possible using conventional sources. Martin Haas Behnisch Architekten
  • 59. Be Cool And Get Hot Nothing is hotter than being cool Coolness sells cars we don’t need, products we can live without, and drives desire deep into the minds of customers
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