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#IDCDirections
The Chinese Enigma: A Look Inside
Kitty Fok, Managing Director, IDC China
kfok@idc.com
#IDCDirections
2
 China’s Economic Troubles
 China is Still Growing
 IT Remains Key
 What This Means to International Companies
 Partnerships
Key Themes
#IDCDirections
Is China’s Economic
Miracle Over?
3
#IDCDirections
International Vendors Share Drop
4
Non Chinese Vendors Value Share in China
x86 Server
External Disk Storage
Networking
Smartphone
2011 20132012 2014 2015YTD
36%
49%
45%
81%
77%
69%
#IDCDirections
5
China is Still Growing
#IDCDirections
China’s Growth in 2015 was Equal to
the Size of the Entire Economy of
Switzerland
6
2014
US$10.4TRILLION
2015
US$11.1TRILLION
6.9%
Switzerland Economy
#IDCDirections
7
ICT SPEND IN US$ BILLLION
UNITED STATES CHINA
Source: ICT Blackbook, vQ3 Oct/Nov 2015; columns reflect 2nd vs 3rd platform % shares
2014
2015
2020
2014
6
2015
6
2020
2nd
Platform
3rd
Platform
2nd
Platform
3rd
Platform
Total: 419
Total: 465
Total: 844
China will be the Largest 3rd Platform
Market in the World by 2020
Total: 1,027
Total: 1,055
Total: 1,169
#IDCDirections
China in Transition
8
Governance change,
anti-corruption
(a management change)
Industry to
services
Lower level of
investment
Export to
consumptions
#IDCDirections
Services and
Smart industries
Globalization
Innovation
and
Entrepreneurship
Environmental
Protection
The 13th FIVE Year Plan
9
FOUR
OBJECTIVES
#IDCDirections
10
The 13th FIVE Year Plan 6 Initiatives
Estimated investment in 5 years
MADE IN CHINA
2025
(US$ 606B)
INTERNET +
(US$ 455B)
SECURE AND
CONTROLLABLE
(US$ 1B)
BIG DATA
(US$ 23B)
BELT AND ROAD
(US$ 6T)
SMART CITIES
(US$ 303B)
#IDCDirections
11
For International Tech Companies
 Spur greater high-tech
• To develop new solutions for local
needs
• To help older traditional industries
transform themselves
 Will create new Chinese
companies with innovative
ideas
#IDCDirections
12
Protect, Develop, Innovate
#IDCDirections
Protect
13
LOW HIGH
Domestic vendor’s competence
, Develop
#IDCDirections
Made in
China 2025
Internet +
Big Data Smart Cities
Belt & Road
14
Spur Innovation of High-Tech
Secure &
Controllable
China 13th 5 Year Plan’s 6 Initiatives
#IDCDirections
Partnerships
15
#IDCDirections
16
#IDCDirections
Partnerships
17
Four Key Chinese IT
Companies
City/Provincial
Governments
Licenses
State Owned Enterprises
Internet Companies
Made in
China 2025
Internet + Big Data Smart Cities Belt & Road
Secure &
Controllable
#IDCDirections
Partnerships
18
Four Key Chinese IT
Companies
City/Provincial
Governments
Licenses
State Owned Enterprises
Internet Companies
Made in
China 2025
Internet + Big Data Smart Cities Belt & Road
Secure &
Controllable
#IDCDirections
Four Key Chinese IT Companies
19
#IDCDirections
20
51% 20%49% 70%
85%
15%
#IDCDirections
21
Enterprise
Hardware
Semiconductor
Devices &
Consumer
Electronic
Technology Real
Estate
Incubator
#IDCDirections
22
Ministry of Industry
and Information
Technology (MIIT)
Industry Solution
Military Application
Migration to
Commercial#1 Monitor vendor inglobal Top 5 Distributor & ISV in
China
#1 ISV in China
Chinese Linux
vendor
#1 PC & server
factory in China
Software
Development
Hardware
Manufacturing
#IDCDirections
23
Ministry of Industry
and Information
Technology (MIIT)
Special Chinese
Version Windows 10
Key partner for
Openpower platform
#IDCDirections
24
百人计划
100 People Plan
千人计划
1000 People Plan
IT Industry Upgrade
Innovation
Talent Development
#IDCDirections
Four Key Chinese IT Companies
25
#IDCDirections
Partnerships
26
Four Key Chinese IT
Companies
City/Provincial
Governments
Licenses
State Owned Enterprises
Internet Companies
CHINA
Made in
China 2025
Internet + Big Data Smart Cities Belt & Road
Secure &
Controllable
#IDCDirections
27
Qualcomm Set Up a JV to Produce
Server Chips Tailored for China Market
US$ 2.4 Billion from 3 telecom
operators to build 3 iDC, expects to
house 2 million servers.
• 2015 IT Spending: US$ 153M
• 8M+ smart connected devices
shipments in 2015 >
shipments in Singapore
Guizhou
10.7%
#IDCDirections
28
China GDP by Province
Range from 3% to 11% vs US GDP by
State from 2% to 4.4%
Fast Growing Provinces:
• Chongqing
• Guizhou
• Tianjin
• Jiangxi
• Fujian
Slow Growing Provinces:
• LiaoNing
• ShanXi
• HiLongJiang
• JiLin
• HeBei
Broadband Backbone Hubs:
• Beijing
• Shanghai
• Guanzhou
• Shenyang
• Zhengzhou
• Nanjing
• Xian
• Wuhan
• Changdu
• Chongqing
#IDCDirections
Partnerships
29
Four Key Chinese IT
Companies
City/Provincial
Governments
Licenses
State Owned Enterprises
Internet Companies
Made in
China 2025
Internet + Big Data Smart Cities Belt & Road
Secure &
Controllable
#IDCDirections
Licenses
License Broadband
VAS :
China Telcom, China
Unicom, 21vianet
License for Video
Content (7 companies):
CNTV, BesTV,
Wasu, CIBN, Voole,
CNR, Hunan TV
Mobile Virtual
Network Operators:
(44 companies)
Bus-Online, JD.com,
Suning
Right to manage
Data
City Gov’t
Guiyang, Shenzhen,
Hongzhou
30
License for Map:
Baidu, Amap,
Tencent, Supermap,
Nav Info, Careland
#IDCDirections
Partnerships
31
Four Key Chinese IT
Companies
City/Provincial
Governments
Licenses
State Owned Enterprises
Internet Companies
Made in
China 2025
Internet + Big Data Smart Cities Belt & Road
Secure &
Controllable
#IDCDirections
32
State Owned Enterprises
#IDCDirections
Road Map of Belt & Road
33
CONSTRUCTION NEW ENERGYHIGH SPEED
RAILWAY
AERONAUTICS &
ASTRONAUTICS
NEW
AGRICULTURE
2005 2015 2025
#IDCDirections
Partnerships
34
Four Key Chinese IT
Companies
City/Provincial
Governments
Licenses
State Owned Enterprises
Internet Companies
Made in
China 2025 Internet + Big Data Smart Cities Belt & Road
Secure &
Controllable
#IDCDirections
Internet Companies
35
Health
Restaurant
Transportation
Finance
O2O Service
Retail
Manufacturing
Travel
#IDCDirections
Partnerships
36
Four Key Chinese IT
Companies
City/Provincial
Governments
Licenses
State Owned Enterprises
Internet Companies
Made in
China 2025
Internet + Big Data Smart Cities Belt & Road
Secure &
Controllable
#IDCDirections
37
 E-Hongbao, “Lucky
Money” during
Chinese New Year
 420 million users
via WeChat on
Lunar New Year’s
eve, 500x more
than in 2014
 >2.6 billion
envelopes sent
#IDCDirections
38
#IDCDirections
39
China is a BIG market but
NOT all markets are
growing.
Next 5 years are critical
for China’s economy. IT is
front and center in the 13th
FIVE year plan.
All companies need to
have planned for all 5
directions of partnership
Take Away

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Directions 2016_Kitty Boston