Towards 5G - super-agility, hyper-connectivity & networked intelligence

DR.KIMLARSEN, DEUTSCHETELEKOM AG.
Towards 5G
Hyper-Connectivity, Super-Agility &
Networked Intelligence.
DR. KIM K. LARSEN, CTIO Magyar Telekom.
24th EMEA CTO Telecoms Forum.
January 29th 2018, Berlin, Germany.

2
Humans are good at mastering complexity!
(or so we like to think)
Dr. Kim K. Larsen / Towards 5G …

Operations Center
Office Work
Stores
Customer Care Centers
3
Today’s Telcom processes & work.

4
The Zero-Touch Telco
NLPNLP
AI Sales Bots
NLPNLP
AI Care Bots
Narrow
AI’s
Optimized
per Topic
Auditing
HR
Planning
Operations
Controlling
Security
Sales
Etc….
Autonomous Network
Operations

Network autonomy … Zero-Human-Touch.
555
Anomaly Detection.
Events & Incidents.
Self-restoration.
Service Quality.
Security.
Network
Management
Capacity Planning.
Self-optimized
Network.
Congestion
management.
Network
Optimization
Classical CEM.
Zero-touch CEM.
Customer Care.
Proactive Reporting.
User
Experience
milliseconds - minutes seconds - months seconds - months
 zero-human-touch  zero-human-touch  zero-human-touch

77
Defining 5G.
Source: https://techneconomyblog.com/2017/07/07/5g-economics-the-numbers-appendix-x/
Note: not all of the above characteristics are
assumed to be in play at the same time.:

8Dr. Kim K. Larsen / Towards 5G …
The Elephant in the Room.

Seamless connectivity.
the art of best connected.
Wireless, e.g., WiFi
Fixed-BBLTE+5G
On-the-Go
WorkHome

10
The Zero-Touch Telco.
CPESIM
- Verticals
- Consumers
Individuals → Households & Groups People
RT-Network&ServiceManager
Virtualization
Cloudification
IP Network
Unified Access - FMC A.I. Augmented
Organization
Sales & Care
People & Organization (Mathematical?)

Consumers
NG-
Telco
Industry 4.0
Manufacturing
Energy
Cities Surveillance
Infrastructure
Healthcare
Transportation
Telecom
Retail
Automotive
Smart Home
Banking
$$
Critical Infrastructure
Agriculture
Engineering
A.I.
Block
chain
Verticals
LTE
5G

Zero-Touch Technology
the principles.
Access
Data Center
Experience n = n + 1
A.I.
Learning Agent
Environment
Services
Observations:
Data Center, Access
Device, Services
Customers, Etc..
Actions
Reward
e.g., to achieve
desired outcomes
Millions of Experience
iterations per hour.

Plan ahead for Big Data.
Avoid the usual suspects …
Dr. Kim K. Larsen / Big
Data @ NT
13
Use
case 1
Reqs
x,y,z,..
Use
case 2
Reqs
a,b,z,..
Use
case 3
Reqs
a,k,p,..
Use
case N
Reqs
x,y,q,..
….
Harmonized
Architectural ConceptUse
Case 1
Design
Use
Case 2
Design
Use
Case 3
Design
… Design
RT
Design
Near-
RT
Design
Non-RT
We have to deal with a (large) number of use cases.
Go for a Harmonized
Architectural Concept!
Avoid Ad-hoc Single Use Case
driven system design.

What is your Real-Time time-scale?
Data @ NT
14
Merriam-Webster: “Real-Time is the actual time
during which something takes place.”

Telco Real-Time Domain.
Data @ NT
15
time scale
~50ms ~500ms~5ms minutes hours daysµs
RT Telco World
New territory
 Most Real-Time demands ranges from 5 ms up-to 500 ms.
 The wide range is covered by different Big Data technologies.
 “Tactile domain” drives new uses cases asking for 1ms and lower.
Near-Real TimeReal-Time
Tactile
domain
Non-Real Time

16
Challenges ... the next steps.
ML in the Real Time Domain … from seconds to milliseconds.
Data Sources
(Data Generation Entity)
Data
Stream
{ X(t) }
Process
(e.g., filter, route,
enrich, compute)
Transport
Decision Point
(e.g., ML model)
Data
Stream
{ X(t), F(X(t)) }
Transport Store
(e.g., HDFS)
Store or
in-memory
Change
Order
Input Output
t0 t1
Roundtrip
time
Scale
~ms
t2
Batch
Process
Typical timescales from  ms and up
Insights
Typical timescales
Minutes  Daily  Monthly
+ Ad-hoc
Streaming or micro-batch processing
MachineLearning Apps

It might take a (very) long time before
5G becomes relevant for
the Telco mass consumer market.

It might take a (very) long time before
5G becomes relevant for
the Telco mass consumer market.
18
Early 5G start with Verticals & B2B
LTE will remain strong &
get stronger in next years!
Much Tech innovation could be offered with
LTE as well (& much will be!) …
Not 5G Exclusive!
But

11.07.2016–strictlyconfidential– Larsen /Big Data@NT 19
Faster
Ultra-Scalable
AI-based
Secured

5G
AI
It is not Magic!

Acknowledgement Minoo Abedi
and many
other
colleagues
who have
contributed
with
valuable
insights &
comments
throughout
this work.
21
Contact:
Email: kim.larsen@telekom.hu
Linkedin: www.linkedin.com/in/kimklarsen
Slideshare: www.slideshare.net/KimKyllesbechLarsen
Blog: www.techneconomyblog.com (more thoughts on 5G economics)
Twitter: @KimKLarsen
Dr. Kim K. Larsen / 5G Economics – The Verticals.

Kim is passionate about value-based technology innovations and in particular the strategic and economic
impact of new technologies such as 5G and AI. He publishes and discusses his views as ‘Dr. Kim’ on his
techno-economical strategy blog www.techneconomyblog.com and www.aistrategyblog.com as well as
on Twitter @KimKLarsen.
Among many things, Kim has been developing a blue print for Deutsche Telekom’s Network-centric big
data architecture supporting all network needs including the diverse use cases & requirements in a
modern telecommunications network. He is driving various applied machine learning initiatives,
aggressive network automation and how to get more data science competences into the telecom
industry. Lately, he started a debate on relevance of 5G for the mass market, the rightful expectations to
its potential and last but not least the economic impact on the telecom industry.
Dr. Kim Larsen has more than 16 years of experience in the
telecommunication industry, with national, as well as international
senior management roles. Currently he is the CTIO in Magyar
Telekom, Hungary’s market leading telco operator. Previously he
worked for Deutsche Telekom as Senior Vice President of
Technology Economics & Transformation reporting directly to the
Deutsche Telekom’s Group CTO. He holds a Ph.D. degree in
Physics and a master degree in Physics & Mathematics.
Dr. Kim

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