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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                             19th November 2012
                                                                 MCX GOLD (5 DECEMBER 12) –
                    Gold             Silver           Crude
                   (5 Dec-12)       (5 Dec-12)    (18 Dec-12)    Gold opened lower at 31629 but managed to move higher to touch
 Open                 31,629            60,904           4,830   an intra-day high of 31649. However, it failed to sustain higher and
                                                                 moved lower. It touched an intra-day low of 31626. It ended the
 High                 31,649            60,930           4,849
                                                                 day on a flat note to close at 31640.
 Low                  31,626            60,787           4,820
                                                                 The RSI has moved above its average, which would lead to buying
 Close                31,640            60,880           4,846   support. However, the Stochastic is still placed below its average,
 Prev. Close          31,651            61,002           4,831   which would lead to selling pressure at higher levels. Though the
                                                                 +DI line is placed above the 30 level it is declining, indicating
 % Change             -0.03%           -0.20%           0.31%
                                                                 buyers are booking profits at regular intervals. MCX Gold faces
Source – MCX                                                     resistance at 31737, 31937, 32100 and 32421 while the support
                                                                 levels are placed at 31467, 31348, 30837, 30428 and 30340
                    Volume (In 000's)
                                                                 MCX SILVER (5 DECEMBER 12) –
                   17-Nov-12        16-Nov-12           % Chg.

 Gold (gms)           1,228.0         34,156.0         -96.40%
                                                                 Silver opened lower at 60904 and moved further lower to touch an
                                                                 intra-day low of 60787. However, it managed to move higher and
 Silver (kgs)            33.9          1,872.5         -98.19%   touched an intra-day high of 60930. It ended the day with modest
 Crude (bbl)           621.7          24,345.3         -97.45%   losses to close at 60880.
Source – MCX                                                     The RSI has moved above its average, which would lead to buying
                                                                 support. However, the Stochastic is still placed below its average,
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                            which would lead to selling pressure at higher levels. The ADX line,
                                                                 +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways indicating a range
                   17-Nov-12        16-Nov-12           % Chg.
                                                                 bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 61398, 61912, 62273,
Gold                 38,850.1   1,077,448.6            -96.39%   and 64600 while the supports are placed at 60750, 59512, 57400,
                                                                 56953 and 53621 levels.
Silver               20,623.2   1,139,779.8            -98.19%

Crude                30,101.0   1,169,083.3            -97.43%
                                                                 MCX CRUDE (18 DECEMBER 12) –
Source – MCX
                                                                 Crude opened lower at 4830 and moved further lower to touch an
                Global Market (Nymex - $)                        intra-day low of 4820. However, it managed to move higher and
                                                                 touched an intra-day high of 4849. It ended the day with modest
                      19/11/2012       16/11/2012       % Chg.   gains to close at 4846.
 Gold (oz)              1,722.10         1,714.70       0.43%
                                                                 The Stochastic and the RSI have moved above their respective
 Silver (oz)                32.60             32.37     0.71%    averages, which would lead to buying support. The ADX line, -DI
 WTI Crude                  87.59             86.92     0.77%    line and +DI line are moving sideways indicating a range bound
                                                                 trend. It faces resistance at 4892, 4950 and 5000 while the
 Brent Crude               109.63          108.95       0.62%
                                                                 supports are placed at 4760, 4692, 4603, 4578 and 4467.
 Dollar Index               81.08             81.20     -0.15%

Source – www.cmegroup.com                                        NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing
                                                                 Basis




                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
             The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                   www.keynotecapitals.com
Commodity News:
Mustard seed sowing tepid, extractors see pickup later
The sowing of mustard oilseed, the major rabi oilseed crop in the country, has begun on a sluggish note. Mustard seed
acreage is still down by 4.35 lakh hectares as of November 15, 2012 as against last year. Oilseed acreage in
Rajasthan, the largest producer of mustard oilseed in the country, is hovering around 19.58 lakh hectare as compared
to 23.26 lakh hectare.
Gold, silver rebound on seasonal off-take
Gold prices recovered modestly after two-session slide at the domestic bullion market today on fresh buying by
stockists and investors amid good seasonal demand. Silver also regained on the back of speculative interest coupled
with higher industrial demand. Standard Gold (99.5 purity) rose by Rs 95 per 10 grams to finish at Rs 31,635 from
Friday's closing level of Rs 31,540.


Economic Calendar:


  Countries /                 Monday                           Tuesday                         Wednesday

   Regions                     19/Nov                           20/Nov                           21/Nov

     India




                    Existing Home Sales (MoM)
      US                                               Wholesale Sales (MoM)          MBA Mortgage Applications
                               (Oct)
                       NAHB Housing Market                                             Continuing & Initial Jobless
                                                           Building Permits
                           Index (Nov)                                                          Claims




                    Japan BoJ Monetary Policy
    Global                                                                              Bank of England Minutes
                    Meeting Minutes (Nov 19)
                                                                                          UK Public Sector Net
                                                                                              Borrowing




                                                  Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com
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to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com

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Daily Commodity Report Highlights Gold, Silver Price Movements

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 19th November 2012 MCX GOLD (5 DECEMBER 12) – Gold Silver Crude (5 Dec-12) (5 Dec-12) (18 Dec-12) Gold opened lower at 31629 but managed to move higher to touch Open 31,629 60,904 4,830 an intra-day high of 31649. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower. It touched an intra-day low of 31626. It ended the High 31,649 60,930 4,849 day on a flat note to close at 31640. Low 31,626 60,787 4,820 The RSI has moved above its average, which would lead to buying Close 31,640 60,880 4,846 support. However, the Stochastic is still placed below its average, Prev. Close 31,651 61,002 4,831 which would lead to selling pressure at higher levels. Though the +DI line is placed above the 30 level it is declining, indicating % Change -0.03% -0.20% 0.31% buyers are booking profits at regular intervals. MCX Gold faces Source – MCX resistance at 31737, 31937, 32100 and 32421 while the support levels are placed at 31467, 31348, 30837, 30428 and 30340 Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (5 DECEMBER 12) – 17-Nov-12 16-Nov-12 % Chg. Gold (gms) 1,228.0 34,156.0 -96.40% Silver opened lower at 60904 and moved further lower to touch an intra-day low of 60787. However, it managed to move higher and Silver (kgs) 33.9 1,872.5 -98.19% touched an intra-day high of 60930. It ended the day with modest Crude (bbl) 621.7 24,345.3 -97.45% losses to close at 60880. Source – MCX The RSI has moved above its average, which would lead to buying support. However, the Stochastic is still placed below its average, Turnover (In Lacs) which would lead to selling pressure at higher levels. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways indicating a range 17-Nov-12 16-Nov-12 % Chg. bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 61398, 61912, 62273, Gold 38,850.1 1,077,448.6 -96.39% and 64600 while the supports are placed at 60750, 59512, 57400, 56953 and 53621 levels. Silver 20,623.2 1,139,779.8 -98.19% Crude 30,101.0 1,169,083.3 -97.43% MCX CRUDE (18 DECEMBER 12) – Source – MCX Crude opened lower at 4830 and moved further lower to touch an Global Market (Nymex - $) intra-day low of 4820. However, it managed to move higher and touched an intra-day high of 4849. It ended the day with modest 19/11/2012 16/11/2012 % Chg. gains to close at 4846. Gold (oz) 1,722.10 1,714.70 0.43% The Stochastic and the RSI have moved above their respective Silver (oz) 32.60 32.37 0.71% averages, which would lead to buying support. The ADX line, -DI WTI Crude 87.59 86.92 0.77% line and +DI line are moving sideways indicating a range bound trend. It faces resistance at 4892, 4950 and 5000 while the Brent Crude 109.63 108.95 0.62% supports are placed at 4760, 4692, 4603, 4578 and 4467. Dollar Index 81.08 81.20 -0.15% Source – www.cmegroup.com NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing Basis Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Commodity News: Mustard seed sowing tepid, extractors see pickup later The sowing of mustard oilseed, the major rabi oilseed crop in the country, has begun on a sluggish note. Mustard seed acreage is still down by 4.35 lakh hectares as of November 15, 2012 as against last year. Oilseed acreage in Rajasthan, the largest producer of mustard oilseed in the country, is hovering around 19.58 lakh hectare as compared to 23.26 lakh hectare. Gold, silver rebound on seasonal off-take Gold prices recovered modestly after two-session slide at the domestic bullion market today on fresh buying by stockists and investors amid good seasonal demand. Silver also regained on the back of speculative interest coupled with higher industrial demand. Standard Gold (99.5 purity) rose by Rs 95 per 10 grams to finish at Rs 31,635 from Friday's closing level of Rs 31,540. Economic Calendar: Countries / Monday Tuesday Wednesday Regions 19/Nov 20/Nov 21/Nov India Existing Home Sales (MoM) US Wholesale Sales (MoM) MBA Mortgage Applications (Oct) NAHB Housing Market Continuing & Initial Jobless Building Permits Index (Nov) Claims Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Global Bank of England Minutes Meeting Minutes (Nov 19) UK Public Sector Net Borrowing Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com