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Daily Commodity Report
                                                            y

                                                                                                              13th Augus 2012
                                                                                                                       st

                                                            MCX GOLD (5 OCTOBE 12) –
                                                                   D         ER
                  Gold         Silver        Crude
                 (5 Oct-12)
                  5           (5 Sept-12)
                               5            (2 Aug-12)
                                             20
                                                            Gold opene lower at 3
                                                                       ed        30039 but m  moved higher to touch an intra-
                                                                                                            r         n
 Ope
   en               30,039        53,481         5,109      day high of 30045. How
                                                                                 wever, it faile to sustain higher and moved
                                                                                               ed
                                                            lower to tou an intra-
                                                                       uch       -day low of 3  30016. It en
                                                                                                           nded the day flat to
                                                                                                                      y
 Hig
   gh               30,045        53,525         5,150      close at 300
                                                                       032.
 Low
   w                30,016        53,480         5,109
                                                            The RSI an the Stoc
                                                                        nd          chastic are placed abov their respective
                                                                                                              ve
 Clo
   ose              30,032        53,490         5,139      averages, wwhich would lead to b
                                                                                    d           buying supp  port. Howeve the
                                                                                                                          er,
                                                            Stochastic is placed in the over bouught zone, w which would lead to
 Pre Close
   ev.              30,053        53,499         5,103
                                                            regular bout of profit ta
                                                                        ts          aking. The AD line and the +DI are m
                                                                                                DX                        moving
 %C
  Change            -0.07%        -0.02%        0.71%       higher and a place ab
                                                                       are          bove the 33 level, indicating buyers h
                                                                                                                         have an
                                                            upper hand. MCX GOLD faces resis
                                                                                     D          stance at 30 0179, 30340, 30428
Sour – MCX
   rce                                                      and 31000, while the su upports are p
                                                                                                placed at 29 9668, 28859, 28765
                                                            and 27962 levels.
                  Volume (In 0
                             000's)
                                                            Positional Call - BUY MCX Gol (5 Oct 12) around 29950
                                                                     l          Y         ld
                11/08/2012    1
                              10/08/2012       % Chg.       with Stop Loss of 299800 and Ta
                                                                                          arget of 30200.
 Gol (gms)
   ld               1,096.0      31,714.0      -96.54%
                                                            MCX SILVE (5 SEPT 1 –
                                                                    ER        12)
 Silv (kgs)
    ver                20.6       1,581.1      -98.70%
                                                            Silver opene lower at 53481 and m
                                                                        ed                     moved lower to touch an intra-
 Cru (bbl)
   ude              1,193.1      24,752.6      -95.18%
                                                            day low of 5
                                                                       53480. Howeever, it mana
                                                                                              aged to boun back from lower
                                                                                                         nce        m
Sour – MCX
   rce                                                      levels to move higher. It touched an intra-day high of 53
                                                                                                         y          3525. It
                                                            ended the d flat to clo at 53490.
                                                                       day        ose
                 Turnover (In Lacs)
                 T                                          The Stocha  astic has slip
                                                                                     pped below it average but is still pla
                                                                                                  ts         b            aced in
                                                            the over bo ought zone, which would lead to inte
                                                                                                 d           ermediate bouts of
                11/08/2012    1
                              10/08/2012       % Chg.
                                                            profit taking However, t RSI remains placed above its av
                                                                        g.            the                                 verage,
Gold
   d               32,911.8    951,382.4       -96.54%      which would lead to buy
                                                                        d            ying support. The ADX lin -DI line a +DI
                                                                                                             ne,         and
                                                            line are mo  oving sidewways, indicatting range bbound trend. MCX
Silv
   ver             11,009.9    844,125.2       -98.70%      Silver faces resistance a 53675, 54
                                                                        s             at         4570, 55551, 56157 and 57737
                                                            while the suupports are pplaced at 515
                                                                                                 559, 51029, a 50252 le
                                                                                                             and         evels.
Crude              61,335.9   1,267,553.1      -95.16%

Sour – MCX
   rce                                                      Positional Call - BU MCX S
                                                                     l         UY       Silver (5 SEEPT 12) around
                                                            53370 with Stop Loss of 53080 and Targe of 54000.
                                                                     h                             et        .
              Glob Market (Ny
                 bal        ymex - $)                       MCX CRUD (20 August 12) –
                                                                   DE
                13
                 3/08/2012    1
                              11/08/2012       % Chg.
                                                            Crude open  ned higher a 5109. Inc
                                                                                   at        cidentally, th was the lowest
                                                                                                          his
Gold (oz)
   d               1,624.50      1,620.00       0.28%       price for the day. It mo
                                                                                   oved higher to touch an intra-day high of
                                                                                                          n
                                                            5150. It end the day w moderat gains to close at 5139.
                                                                       ded         with      te                      .
Silv (oz)
   ver                28.10         28.06       0.14%
WTI Crude
   I                                                        The RSI has slipped bel
                                                                        s          low its avera
                                                                                               age. Moreove the Stoch
                                                                                                           er,        hastic is
                      93.42         92.87       0.59%
(bbl
   l)                                                       already plac below its average. Th
                                                                       ced         s            hese negativ conditions would
                                                                                                           ve         s
Bren Crude
   nt                                                       lead to selling pressure The ADX line, +DI lin and -DI li
                                                                                   e.                     ne           ine are
                    113.80        112.95        0.75%
(bbl
   l)
                                                            moving sid deways, indicating a r  range bound trend. It faces
Doll Index
   lar                82.28         82.39       0.14%       resistance a 5180, and 5217 while the supp
                                                                        at                                ports are pla
                                                                                                                      aced at
Sour – www.cm
   rce      megroup.com
                      m                                     5093, 5126, 4946, 4777, 4737 and 4
                                                                        ,                      4681.




                                                         Key
                                                           ynote Capita Ltd.
                                                                      als
            The Ruby, 9th Floo Senapati B
                             or,        Bapat Marg, D
                                                    Dadar (W), Muumbai – 400 0
                                                                             028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                                                          6            3
                                                www.keynotecap  pitals.com
Com
  mmodity News:

•    Rising gold prices ha
                 d            amper jewel   llery sales: The beginn
                                                                  ning of festiv
                                                                               vals has hardly been encouraging for the
                                                                                                         e
     jewellery bus
     j            siness, as re
                              etailers blame the lack of demand on rising gold p
                                            e                                  prices, which is ruling ove Rs 30,000 per 10
                                                                                                         er         0
     grams. "Eve as the festival season has begun t demand for jewellery is hardly there. The sud
                en                                      the                    y                         dden spurt in prices
                                                                                                                     n
     to over Rs 30,000 is the main deterre against th demand," Bombay Bu
                                           ent          he        "            ullion Associa
                                                                                            ation preside Prithviraj Kothari
                                                                                                         ent
     said. "We ar seeing slo
                 re           owdown in immports since January this year due to the increase in excise duty and dimi
                                                                                            e                        inishing
     demand. In August, the imports are likely to be down by ab
                                           e           e           bout 30-32 p cent com
                                                                               per         mpared to th same mon last
                                                                                                         he          nth
     year," he said. (ET)
•    Commodity exchanges turnover u 7% in Ap
                y            s'           up           pril-July: Tot turnover o commodity exchanges rose by 7 p cent
                                                                    tal         of           y         s           per
     to Rs 56.64 lakh crore in April- July t
                             n             this year buo
                                                       oyed by trade in energy and farm commodities. T exchang had
                                                                                                        The        ges
     made a bus  siness of Rs 53.11 lakh crore in the same peri
                             s                          e           iod last year commodity markets re
                                                                                r,           y          egulator FMC said.
     Barring gold and silver, the business from energ items like crude oil, n
                d                                      gy           e           natural gas, and farm co
                                                                                                       ommodities ssuch as
                 abean, mustard seed and chana, rem
     soyaoil, soya                         d          mained high i the April-July period of 2012-13 fiscal. (ET)
                                                                    in                       f



Eco
  onomic Cal
           lendar:

                             Monday
                             M                         Tuesday                  Wednesday
                                                                                        y                    Friday
                             Aug
                             A 13                       Aug 14                   Aug 15                      Aug 17
Ind
  dia                                            WPI I
                                                     Inflation for July                               For
                                                                                                        rex Reserve Data
                                                                                                                  es
                                                                 2
                                                                 2012
                                                                                                        Bank Loan G
                                                                                                                  Growth



US                                               Produ
                                                     ucer Price In
                                                                 ndex           Consumer Price          Leading Indicator
                                                     (M
                                                      MoM) and (YYoY)                       Index                  (MoM)
                                                   Ret Sales (M
                                                      tail      MoM)       Indu
                                                                              ustrial Produuction      Reuters/ Miichigan
                                                           and (YYoY)                     (M
                                                                                           MOM)      Con
                                                                                                       nsumer Senntiment
                                                                                                                    Index
                                                 Busin
                                                     ness Invento
                                                                ories

Glo
  obal                   UK's RICS Housing       UK's CConsumer PPrice    UK bank minutes and
                              Price Balan
                                        nce          In
                                                      ndex (MoM) and       uneemployment rate
                                                                (Y
                                                                 YoY)
                                Germanyy's          Euurozone's Gross
                           W
                           Wholesale Pri
                                       ice          Doomestic Prod
                                                                 duct
                          Ind
                            dex (MoM) and        s.a. (QoQ) and (Y
                                                                 YoY)
                                       oY)
                                     (Yo
                                                     Germany's Z
                                                     G          ZEW
                                                   Sur
                                                     rvey - Econo
                                                                omic
                                                           Sentim
                                                                ment




                                                   Key
                                                     ynote Capita Ltd.
                                                                als
           The Ruby, 9th Floo Senapati B
                            or,        Bapat Marg, D
                                                   Dadar (W), Muumbai – 400 0
                                                                            028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                                                         6            3
                                               www.keynotecap  pitals.com
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                                                              Key
                                                                ynote Capita Ltd.
                                                                           als
            The Ruby, 9th Floo Senapati B
                             or,        Bapat Marg, D
                                                    Dadar (W), Muumbai – 400 0
                                                                             028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                                                          6            3
                                                www.keynotecap  pitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report for 130812

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report y 13th Augus 2012 st MCX GOLD (5 OCTOBE 12) – D ER Gold Silver Crude (5 Oct-12) 5 (5 Sept-12) 5 (2 Aug-12) 20 Gold opene lower at 3 ed 30039 but m moved higher to touch an intra- r n Ope en 30,039 53,481 5,109 day high of 30045. How wever, it faile to sustain higher and moved ed lower to tou an intra- uch -day low of 3 30016. It en nded the day flat to y Hig gh 30,045 53,525 5,150 close at 300 032. Low w 30,016 53,480 5,109 The RSI an the Stoc nd chastic are placed abov their respective ve Clo ose 30,032 53,490 5,139 averages, wwhich would lead to b d buying supp port. Howeve the er, Stochastic is placed in the over bouught zone, w which would lead to Pre Close ev. 30,053 53,499 5,103 regular bout of profit ta ts aking. The AD line and the +DI are m DX moving %C Change -0.07% -0.02% 0.71% higher and a place ab are bove the 33 level, indicating buyers h have an upper hand. MCX GOLD faces resis D stance at 30 0179, 30340, 30428 Sour – MCX rce and 31000, while the su upports are p placed at 29 9668, 28859, 28765 and 27962 levels. Volume (In 0 000's) Positional Call - BUY MCX Gol (5 Oct 12) around 29950 l Y ld 11/08/2012 1 10/08/2012 % Chg. with Stop Loss of 299800 and Ta arget of 30200. Gol (gms) ld 1,096.0 31,714.0 -96.54% MCX SILVE (5 SEPT 1 – ER 12) Silv (kgs) ver 20.6 1,581.1 -98.70% Silver opene lower at 53481 and m ed moved lower to touch an intra- Cru (bbl) ude 1,193.1 24,752.6 -95.18% day low of 5 53480. Howeever, it mana aged to boun back from lower nce m Sour – MCX rce levels to move higher. It touched an intra-day high of 53 y 3525. It ended the d flat to clo at 53490. day ose Turnover (In Lacs) T The Stocha astic has slip pped below it average but is still pla ts b aced in the over bo ought zone, which would lead to inte d ermediate bouts of 11/08/2012 1 10/08/2012 % Chg. profit taking However, t RSI remains placed above its av g. the verage, Gold d 32,911.8 951,382.4 -96.54% which would lead to buy d ying support. The ADX lin -DI line a +DI ne, and line are mo oving sidewways, indicatting range bbound trend. MCX Silv ver 11,009.9 844,125.2 -98.70% Silver faces resistance a 53675, 54 s at 4570, 55551, 56157 and 57737 while the suupports are pplaced at 515 559, 51029, a 50252 le and evels. Crude 61,335.9 1,267,553.1 -95.16% Sour – MCX rce Positional Call - BU MCX S l UY Silver (5 SEEPT 12) around 53370 with Stop Loss of 53080 and Targe of 54000. h et . Glob Market (Ny bal ymex - $) MCX CRUD (20 August 12) – DE 13 3/08/2012 1 11/08/2012 % Chg. Crude open ned higher a 5109. Inc at cidentally, th was the lowest his Gold (oz) d 1,624.50 1,620.00 0.28% price for the day. It mo oved higher to touch an intra-day high of n 5150. It end the day w moderat gains to close at 5139. ded with te . Silv (oz) ver 28.10 28.06 0.14% WTI Crude I The RSI has slipped bel s low its avera age. Moreove the Stoch er, hastic is 93.42 92.87 0.59% (bbl l) already plac below its average. Th ced s hese negativ conditions would ve s Bren Crude nt lead to selling pressure The ADX line, +DI lin and -DI li e. ne ine are 113.80 112.95 0.75% (bbl l) moving sid deways, indicating a r range bound trend. It faces Doll Index lar 82.28 82.39 0.14% resistance a 5180, and 5217 while the supp at ports are pla aced at Sour – www.cm rce megroup.com m 5093, 5126, 4946, 4777, 4737 and 4 , 4681. Key ynote Capita Ltd. als The Ruby, 9th Floo Senapati B or, Bapat Marg, D Dadar (W), Muumbai – 400 0 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. 6 3 www.keynotecap pitals.com
  • 2. Com mmodity News: • Rising gold prices ha d amper jewel llery sales: The beginn ning of festiv vals has hardly been encouraging for the e jewellery bus j siness, as re etailers blame the lack of demand on rising gold p e prices, which is ruling ove Rs 30,000 per 10 er 0 grams. "Eve as the festival season has begun t demand for jewellery is hardly there. The sud en the y dden spurt in prices n to over Rs 30,000 is the main deterre against th demand," Bombay Bu ent he " ullion Associa ation preside Prithviraj Kothari ent said. "We ar seeing slo re owdown in immports since January this year due to the increase in excise duty and dimi e inishing demand. In August, the imports are likely to be down by ab e e bout 30-32 p cent com per mpared to th same mon last he nth year," he said. (ET) • Commodity exchanges turnover u 7% in Ap y s' up pril-July: Tot turnover o commodity exchanges rose by 7 p cent tal of y s per to Rs 56.64 lakh crore in April- July t n this year buo oyed by trade in energy and farm commodities. T exchang had The ges made a bus siness of Rs 53.11 lakh crore in the same peri s e iod last year commodity markets re r, y egulator FMC said. Barring gold and silver, the business from energ items like crude oil, n d gy e natural gas, and farm co ommodities ssuch as abean, mustard seed and chana, rem soyaoil, soya d mained high i the April-July period of 2012-13 fiscal. (ET) in f Eco onomic Cal lendar: Monday M Tuesday Wednesday y Friday Aug A 13 Aug 14 Aug 15 Aug 17 Ind dia WPI I Inflation for July For rex Reserve Data es 2 2012 Bank Loan G Growth US Produ ucer Price In ndex Consumer Price Leading Indicator (M MoM) and (YYoY) Index (MoM) Ret Sales (M tail MoM) Indu ustrial Produuction Reuters/ Miichigan and (YYoY) (M MOM) Con nsumer Senntiment Index Busin ness Invento ories Glo obal UK's RICS Housing UK's CConsumer PPrice UK bank minutes and Price Balan nce In ndex (MoM) and uneemployment rate (Y YoY) Germanyy's Euurozone's Gross W Wholesale Pri ice Doomestic Prod duct Ind dex (MoM) and s.a. (QoQ) and (Y YoY) oY) (Yo Germany's Z G ZEW Sur rvey - Econo omic Sentim ment Key ynote Capita Ltd. als The Ruby, 9th Floo Senapati B or, Bapat Marg, D Dadar (W), Muumbai – 400 0 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. 6 3 www.keynotecap pitals.com
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