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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                              28th May 2012
                                                                   MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened higher at 28964.
                    Gold           Silver            Crude
                   (5 Jun-12)     (5 Jul-12)       (19 Jun-12)     Incidentally, this was the highest price recorded for the day. It failed
                                                                   to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of
 Open                 28,964            54,481          5,055      28918. It ended the day with marginal gains to close at 28925.
 High                 28,964            54,535          5,056
                                                                   The RSI is placed above its average but is on verge of breaching it.
 Low                  28,918            54,465          5,047
                                                                   The Stochastic remains placed below its average but has moved
 Close                28,925            54,479          5,054      close to the over sold zone, which would lead to short covering
                                                                   especially at lower levels. The ADX line, the –DI line and the +DI
 Prev. Close          28,902            54,426          5,056
                                                                   line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX
 % Change              0.08%            0.10%          -0.04%      GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212, 29433 and 30000 while
Source – MCX                                                       the supports are placed at 28084, 27855, 27557 and 26517 levels.

                    Volume (In 000's)
                                                                   MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened higher at 54481. It
                                                                   moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 54535. However, it failed
                    26/5/2012      25/5/2012           % Chg.      to sustain higher and lower and touch an intra-day low of 54465. It
                                                                   ended the day with marginal gains to close at 54479.
 Gold (gms)           1,427.0       32,176.0          -95.57%

 Silver (kgs)            46.1           1,843.7       -97.50%      The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                                                                   averages, which would lead to buying support at regular intervals,
 Crude (bbl)            262.9       11,545.4          -97.72%
                                                                   which would lead to buying support. Though the ADX line is
Source – MCX                                                       trending +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a
                                                                   range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 55551, 56157,
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                              57737, 61708 and 65159 while the supports are placed at 51029,
                                                                   50252 and 48562 levels.
                    26/5/2012      25/5/2012           % Chg.

Gold                 41,293.3      927,236.6          -95.55%      MCX CRUDE (19 June 12) - Crude opened lower at 5055 level. It
                                                                   moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5047. However, it
Silver               25,095.9      998,957.9          -97.49%      managed to bounce back from lower levels to move higher and
Crude                13,282.9      584,629.9          -97.73%      touch an intra-day high of 5056. It ended the day with marginal
                                                                   losses to close at 5054.
Source – MCX
                                                                   The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying
                Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                                   support. However, the Stochastic is placed below its average and
                    28/5/2012      26/5/2012           % Chg.      would lead to regular bouts of profit taking. The +DI line is moving
                                                                   sideways. Though, the ADX line and the -DI line are trending above
Gold (oz)            1,575.00       1,568.90            0.39%
                                                                   the 30 level, these have come off their recent highs, indicating
Silver (oz)             28.62            28.37          0.88%      sellers are covering their shorts at regular intervals. It faces
Crude (bbl)             91.75            90.86          0.98%      resistance at 5058, 5160, 5264 and 5392, while the supports are
                                                                   placed at 5000, 4905 and 4722 levels.
Dollar Index            81.95            82.40         -0.55%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                              Intra-day Resistance              Intra-day Support
     Commodities                Close             Pivot Point
                                                                        R1          R2          R3           S1               S2        S3

CRUDE JUN 12                     5054                   5052          5058        5061        5070         5049          5043         5034

GOLD JUN 12                     28925                  28936         28953       28982       29028        28907        28890         28844

SILVER JUL 12                   54479                  54493         54521       54563       54633        54451        54423         54353


                                                                 Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                     The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

      Tuesday                  Wednesday                     Thursday                      Friday                         Monday
       May 29                   May 30                        May 31                       Jun 01                         Jun 04
Consumer                 Pending Home Sales           GDP Data                    Employment Situation         Factory Orders
Confidence               Index
Dallas Fed Mfg           MBA Purchase                 Jobless Claims              Personal Income and          4-Week Bill
Survey                   Applications                                             Outlays                      Announcement
State Street Investor    ICSC-Goldman Store           ADP Employment              Construction                 6-Month Bill Auction
Confidence Index         Sales                        Report                      Spending




                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                 The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                       www.keynotecapitals.com
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                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                    The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 280512

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 28th May 2012 MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened higher at 28964. Gold Silver Crude (5 Jun-12) (5 Jul-12) (19 Jun-12) Incidentally, this was the highest price recorded for the day. It failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of Open 28,964 54,481 5,055 28918. It ended the day with marginal gains to close at 28925. High 28,964 54,535 5,056 The RSI is placed above its average but is on verge of breaching it. Low 28,918 54,465 5,047 The Stochastic remains placed below its average but has moved Close 28,925 54,479 5,054 close to the over sold zone, which would lead to short covering especially at lower levels. The ADX line, the –DI line and the +DI Prev. Close 28,902 54,426 5,056 line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX % Change 0.08% 0.10% -0.04% GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212, 29433 and 30000 while Source – MCX the supports are placed at 28084, 27855, 27557 and 26517 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened higher at 54481. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 54535. However, it failed 26/5/2012 25/5/2012 % Chg. to sustain higher and lower and touch an intra-day low of 54465. It ended the day with marginal gains to close at 54479. Gold (gms) 1,427.0 32,176.0 -95.57% Silver (kgs) 46.1 1,843.7 -97.50% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective averages, which would lead to buying support at regular intervals, Crude (bbl) 262.9 11,545.4 -97.72% which would lead to buying support. Though the ADX line is Source – MCX trending +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 55551, 56157, Turnover (In Lacs) 57737, 61708 and 65159 while the supports are placed at 51029, 50252 and 48562 levels. 26/5/2012 25/5/2012 % Chg. Gold 41,293.3 927,236.6 -95.55% MCX CRUDE (19 June 12) - Crude opened lower at 5055 level. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5047. However, it Silver 25,095.9 998,957.9 -97.49% managed to bounce back from lower levels to move higher and Crude 13,282.9 584,629.9 -97.73% touch an intra-day high of 5056. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at 5054. Source – MCX The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying Global Market (Nymex - $) support. However, the Stochastic is placed below its average and 28/5/2012 26/5/2012 % Chg. would lead to regular bouts of profit taking. The +DI line is moving sideways. Though, the ADX line and the -DI line are trending above Gold (oz) 1,575.00 1,568.90 0.39% the 30 level, these have come off their recent highs, indicating Silver (oz) 28.62 28.37 0.88% sellers are covering their shorts at regular intervals. It faces Crude (bbl) 91.75 90.86 0.98% resistance at 5058, 5160, 5264 and 5392, while the supports are placed at 5000, 4905 and 4722 levels. Dollar Index 81.95 82.40 -0.55% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE JUN 12 5054 5052 5058 5061 5070 5049 5043 5034 GOLD JUN 12 28925 28936 28953 28982 29028 28907 28890 28844 SILVER JUL 12 54479 54493 54521 54563 54633 54451 54423 54353 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday May 29 May 30 May 31 Jun 01 Jun 04 Consumer Pending Home Sales GDP Data Employment Situation Factory Orders Confidence Index Dallas Fed Mfg MBA Purchase Jobless Claims Personal Income and 4-Week Bill Survey Applications Outlays Announcement State Street Investor ICSC-Goldman Store ADP Employment Construction 6-Month Bill Auction Confidence Index Sales Report Spending Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com