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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                           23rd February 2012

                                                                 MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened higher at 28440. It moved
                       Gold         Silver         Crude
                      (5 Apr-12)   (5 Mar-12)    (19 Mar-12)
                                                                 lower to touch an intra day low of 28430. However, it managed to
                                                                 move higher and touched an intra-day high of 28728. It ended the
 Open                    28,440        57,171         5,226      day with moderate gains to close at 28646.
 High                    28,728        57,448         5,274
                                                                 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
 Low                     28,430        56,856         5,226
                                                                 averages and would lead to buying support at regular intervals. The
 Close                   28,646        57,257         5,243      ADX line, -DI line are moving sideways, however, +DI line has
 Prev. Close             28,380        57,157         5,219
                                                                 moved above the 30 level indicating buyers are gaining strength.
                                                                 MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the
 % Change                 0.94%        0.17%          0.46%      supports are placed at 27557, 26347 and 25500 levels.
Source – MCX
                                                                 MCX SILVER (MARCH 12) - Silver opened higher at 57171. It
                       Volume (In 000's)                         moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 57448. However, it failed
                                                                 to sustain higher on back of sustained selling pressure. It touched
                       22/2/2012    21/2/2012        % Chg.      an intra-day low of 56856. However, it managed to come off the
 Gold (gms)             35,575.0     38,016.0        -6.42%      lows for the day to end the day with marginal gains. It closed at
                                                                 57257.
 Silver (kgs)            1,806.8       1,717.4        5.20%

 Crude (bbl)            11,970.8     11,619.1         3.03%      The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
Source – MCX                                                     averages and would lead to buying support at regular intervals. The
                                                                 ADX line, +DI line and -DI line are moving sideways, indicating
                                                                 range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 57400, 57834,
                      Turnover (In Lacs)
                                                                 58480 and 61708, while the supports are placed at 54671, 53170
                       22/2/2012    21/2/2012        % Chg.      and 51366 levels.

Gold                 1,014,548.8   1,076,165.7       -5.73%
                                                                 MCX CRUDE (MARCH 12) - Crude opened higher at 5226 level.
Silver               1,032,396.6    974,896.6         5.90%      Incidentally, this was also the lowest price for the day. However, it
                                                                 managed to bounce back from lower levels. It moved higher to
Crude                  628,938.7    604,649.8         4.02%
                                                                 touch an intra-day high of 5274. It ended the day with modest gains
Source – MCX                                                     to close at 5243.

                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                     The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to regular
                       23/2/2012    22/2/2012        % Chg.
                                                                 bouts of buying support. However, the Stochastic is placed below its
                                                                 average. More so both RSI and Stochastic are placed in the over
Gold (oz)               1,774.70     1,770.00         0.27%      bought zone, which would lead to regular bouts of profit taking and
Silver (oz)                34.31        34.24         0.19%      selling pressure. The ADX line, and –DI line are moving sideways,
                                                                 but +DI line is placed at 36.52 indicating buyers are gaining
Crude (bbl)              105.90        106.28        -0.36%
                                                                 strength. It faces resistance at, 5318, 5366 and 5462, while the
Dollar Index               79.16        79.09         0.08%      supports are placed at 5095, 4905 and 4727 levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                   Intra-day Resistance                 Intra-day Support
          Commodities                Close           Pivot Point             R1            R2           R3           S1            S2         S3

 CRUDE MAR 12                          5243                    5248         5269          5296        5344          5221         5200        5152

 GOLD APR 12                          28646                 28601         28773          28899       29197        28475         28303       28005

 SILVER MAR 12                        57257                 57187         57518          57779       58371        56926         56595       56003


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US Economic Calendar:

      Thursday                      Friday                       Monday                       Tuesday                     Wednesday
       Feb. 23                      Feb. 24                      Feb. 27                      Feb. 28                      Feb. 29
Jobless Claims             New Home Sales                Pending Home Sales           Durable Goods Orders          GDP Data
                                                         Index
EIA Petroleum Status       Consumer Sentiment            Dallas Fed Mfg Survey        Consumer Confidence           EIA Petroleum Status
Report                                                                                                              Report
Money Supply Data                                        4-Week Bill                  S&P Case-Shiller HPI          Ben Bernanke Speech
                                                         Announcement




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Daily Commodity Report Summary

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 23rd February 2012 MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened higher at 28440. It moved Gold Silver Crude (5 Apr-12) (5 Mar-12) (19 Mar-12) lower to touch an intra day low of 28430. However, it managed to move higher and touched an intra-day high of 28728. It ended the Open 28,440 57,171 5,226 day with moderate gains to close at 28646. High 28,728 57,448 5,274 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Low 28,430 56,856 5,226 averages and would lead to buying support at regular intervals. The Close 28,646 57,257 5,243 ADX line, -DI line are moving sideways, however, +DI line has Prev. Close 28,380 57,157 5,219 moved above the 30 level indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the % Change 0.94% 0.17% 0.46% supports are placed at 27557, 26347 and 25500 levels. Source – MCX MCX SILVER (MARCH 12) - Silver opened higher at 57171. It Volume (In 000's) moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 57448. However, it failed to sustain higher on back of sustained selling pressure. It touched 22/2/2012 21/2/2012 % Chg. an intra-day low of 56856. However, it managed to come off the Gold (gms) 35,575.0 38,016.0 -6.42% lows for the day to end the day with marginal gains. It closed at 57257. Silver (kgs) 1,806.8 1,717.4 5.20% Crude (bbl) 11,970.8 11,619.1 3.03% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Source – MCX averages and would lead to buying support at regular intervals. The ADX line, +DI line and -DI line are moving sideways, indicating range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 57400, 57834, Turnover (In Lacs) 58480 and 61708, while the supports are placed at 54671, 53170 22/2/2012 21/2/2012 % Chg. and 51366 levels. Gold 1,014,548.8 1,076,165.7 -5.73% MCX CRUDE (MARCH 12) - Crude opened higher at 5226 level. Silver 1,032,396.6 974,896.6 5.90% Incidentally, this was also the lowest price for the day. However, it managed to bounce back from lower levels. It moved higher to Crude 628,938.7 604,649.8 4.02% touch an intra-day high of 5274. It ended the day with modest gains Source – MCX to close at 5243. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to regular 23/2/2012 22/2/2012 % Chg. bouts of buying support. However, the Stochastic is placed below its average. More so both RSI and Stochastic are placed in the over Gold (oz) 1,774.70 1,770.00 0.27% bought zone, which would lead to regular bouts of profit taking and Silver (oz) 34.31 34.24 0.19% selling pressure. The ADX line, and –DI line are moving sideways, but +DI line is placed at 36.52 indicating buyers are gaining Crude (bbl) 105.90 106.28 -0.36% strength. It faces resistance at, 5318, 5366 and 5462, while the Dollar Index 79.16 79.09 0.08% supports are placed at 5095, 4905 and 4727 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE MAR 12 5243 5248 5269 5296 5344 5221 5200 5152 GOLD APR 12 28646 28601 28773 28899 29197 28475 28303 28005 SILVER MAR 12 57257 57187 57518 57779 58371 56926 56595 56003 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Feb. 23 Feb. 24 Feb. 27 Feb. 28 Feb. 29 Jobless Claims New Home Sales Pending Home Sales Durable Goods Orders GDP Data Index EIA Petroleum Status Consumer Sentiment Dallas Fed Mfg Survey Consumer Confidence EIA Petroleum Status Report Report Money Supply Data 4-Week Bill S&P Case-Shiller HPI Ben Bernanke Speech Announcement Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com