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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                           21st February 2012

                                                                  MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened higher at 28120.
                       Gold         Silver          Crude
                      (5 Apr-12)   (5 Mar-12)     (19 Mar-12)
                                                                  Incidentally, this was the lowest price for the day. It moved higher to
                                                                  touch an intra-day high of 28174. It ended the day with modest
 Open                    28,120        56,240          5,188      gains to close at 28158.
 High                    28,174        56,410          5,235

 Low                     28,120        56,211          5,188      The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                                                                  averages and would lead to buying support at lower levels. The
 Close                   28,158        56,320          5,213      ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a
 Prev. Close             28,100        56,108          5,187      range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212
                                                                  and 29433, while the supports are placed at 27557, 26347 and
 % Change                 0.21%        0.38%           0.50%
                                                                  25500 levels.
Source – MCX
                                                                  MCX SILVER (MARCH 12) - Silver opened higher at 56240. It
                       Volume (In 000's)                          moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 56211. However, it
                       20/2/2012    18/2/2012         % Chg.
                                                                  managed a bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day
                                                                  high of 56410. It ended the day with modest gains to close at
 Gold (gms)              6,193.0      1,141.0       442.77%       56320.
 Silver (kgs)              306.5           57.2     435.38%

 Crude (bbl)             4,143.0        534.8       674.68%
                                                                  The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to selling
                                                                  pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed above its average and
Source – MCX                                                      would lead to buying support at lower levels. The ADX line, +DI line
                                                                  and -DI line are moving sideways, indicating range bound trend.
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                          MCX Silver faces resistance at 57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708,
                                                                  while the supports are placed at 54671, 53170 and 51366 levels.
                       20/2/2012    18/2/2012         % Chg.

Gold                   174,328.8     32,047.1       443.98%       MCX CRUDE (MARCH 12) - Crude opened higher at 5188 level.
Silver                 172,533.8     32,082.6       437.78%       Incidentally, this was the lowest price for the day. It moved higher to
                                                                  touch an intra-day high of 5235. It ended the day with modest gains
Crude                  216,224.1     27,704.2       680.48%       to close at 5213.
Source – MCX
                                                                  The RSI and Stochastic are placed above their respective averages,
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                      which would lead to regular bouts of buying support. However, both
                       21/2/2012    20/2/2012         % Chg.      are placed around the over bought zone, which would lead to
                                                                  regular bouts of profit taking. The ADX line, and –DI line are moving
Gold (oz)               1,734.70     1,724.50          0.59%      sideways, but +DI line is moving higher and is placed at 37.20
Silver (oz)                33.52        33.20          0.96%      indicating buyers are gaining strength. It faces resistance at, 5318,
                                                                  5366 and 5462, while the supports are placed at 5095, 4905 and
Crude (bbl)              105.03        103.24          1.73%
                                                                  4727 levels.
Dollar Index               78.94        79.14         -0.26%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                    Intra-day Resistance                Intra-day Support
          Commodities                Close            Pivot Point             R1            R2          R3           S1            S2         S3

 CRUDE MAR 12                          5213                     5212         5236          5259       5306          5189         5165        5118

 GOLD APR 12                         28158                  28151          28181          28205      28259        28127         28097       28043

 SILVER MAR 12                       56320                  56314          56416          56513      56712        56217         56115       55916


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US Economic Calendar:

       Tuesday                   Wednesday                      Thursday                       Friday                       Monday
       Feb. 21                    Feb. 22                        Feb. 23                       Feb. 24                      Feb. 27
4-Week Bill                Existing Home Sales           Jobless Claims               New Home Sales                Pending Home Sales
Announcement                                                                                                        Index
3-Month Bill Auction       Bank Reserve                  EIA Petroleum Status         Consumer Sentiment            Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
                           Settlement                    Report
2-Year Note Auction        ICSC-Goldman Store            Money Supply Data                                          4-Week Bill
                           Sales                                                                                    Announcement




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Keynote commodity daily report 210212

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 21st February 2012 MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened higher at 28120. Gold Silver Crude (5 Apr-12) (5 Mar-12) (19 Mar-12) Incidentally, this was the lowest price for the day. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 28174. It ended the day with modest Open 28,120 56,240 5,188 gains to close at 28158. High 28,174 56,410 5,235 Low 28,120 56,211 5,188 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective averages and would lead to buying support at lower levels. The Close 28,158 56,320 5,213 ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a Prev. Close 28,100 56,108 5,187 range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at 27557, 26347 and % Change 0.21% 0.38% 0.50% 25500 levels. Source – MCX MCX SILVER (MARCH 12) - Silver opened higher at 56240. It Volume (In 000's) moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 56211. However, it 20/2/2012 18/2/2012 % Chg. managed a bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day high of 56410. It ended the day with modest gains to close at Gold (gms) 6,193.0 1,141.0 442.77% 56320. Silver (kgs) 306.5 57.2 435.38% Crude (bbl) 4,143.0 534.8 674.68% The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to selling pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed above its average and Source – MCX would lead to buying support at lower levels. The ADX line, +DI line and -DI line are moving sideways, indicating range bound trend. Turnover (In Lacs) MCX Silver faces resistance at 57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708, while the supports are placed at 54671, 53170 and 51366 levels. 20/2/2012 18/2/2012 % Chg. Gold 174,328.8 32,047.1 443.98% MCX CRUDE (MARCH 12) - Crude opened higher at 5188 level. Silver 172,533.8 32,082.6 437.78% Incidentally, this was the lowest price for the day. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5235. It ended the day with modest gains Crude 216,224.1 27,704.2 680.48% to close at 5213. Source – MCX The RSI and Stochastic are placed above their respective averages, Global Market (Nymex - $) which would lead to regular bouts of buying support. However, both 21/2/2012 20/2/2012 % Chg. are placed around the over bought zone, which would lead to regular bouts of profit taking. The ADX line, and –DI line are moving Gold (oz) 1,734.70 1,724.50 0.59% sideways, but +DI line is moving higher and is placed at 37.20 Silver (oz) 33.52 33.20 0.96% indicating buyers are gaining strength. It faces resistance at, 5318, 5366 and 5462, while the supports are placed at 5095, 4905 and Crude (bbl) 105.03 103.24 1.73% 4727 levels. Dollar Index 78.94 79.14 -0.26% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE MAR 12 5213 5212 5236 5259 5306 5189 5165 5118 GOLD APR 12 28158 28151 28181 28205 28259 28127 28097 28043 SILVER MAR 12 56320 56314 56416 56513 56712 56217 56115 55916 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday Feb. 21 Feb. 22 Feb. 23 Feb. 24 Feb. 27 4-Week Bill Existing Home Sales Jobless Claims New Home Sales Pending Home Sales Announcement Index 3-Month Bill Auction Bank Reserve EIA Petroleum Status Consumer Sentiment Dallas Fed Mfg Survey Settlement Report 2-Year Note Auction ICSC-Goldman Store Money Supply Data 4-Week Bill Sales Announcement Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com