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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                              20th March 2012

                       Gold         Silver          Crude
                                                                  MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 12) - Gold opened unchanged at 27899. It
                      (5 Apr-12)   (5 May-12)     (19 Mar-12)     moved lower to touch an intra day low of 27772. However, it
 Open                    27,899        57,349          5,394
                                                                  managed to move higher. It touched an intra-day high of 27974
                                                                  level. It ended the day with marginal gains to close at 27901.
 High                    27,974        57,750          5,418

 Low                     27,772        56,838          5,341      The Stochastic and the RSI are placed above their respective
 Close                   27,901        57,505          5,408      averages, which would lead to buying support. The ADX line, -DI
 Prev. Close             27,870        57,238          5,378      line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating range bound
                                                                  trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28084, 28960, 29212 and
 % Change                 0.11%        0.47%           0.56%
                                                                  29433, while the supports are placed at 27557, 26517, 26347 and
Source – MCX
                                                                  25500 levels.
                       Volume (In 000's)
                                                                  MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened lower at 57349. It
                       19/3/2012    17/3/2012         % Chg.      moved lower to touch an intra day low of 56838. However, it
 Gold (gms)             27,328.0      1,425.0      1817.75%       managed to move higher. It touched an intra-day high of 57750
 Silver (kgs)            1,411.7           35.8    3844.51%
                                                                  level. It ended the day flat to close at 57505.

 Crude (bbl)            10,614.5        967.3       997.33%
                                                                  The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to profit
Source – MCX                                                      taking and selling pressure. The Stochastic however, is placed
                                                                  above its average and would lead to buying support at lower
                      Turnover (In Lacs)
                                                                  levels. The –DI, +DI line and ADX line are moving sideways,
                       19/3/2012    17/3/2012         % Chg.      indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at
                                                                  61708, 65159 and 66261 while the supports are placed at 56157,
Gold                   761,282.7     39,698.1      1817.68%
                                                                  51029 and 50252 levels.
Silver                 808,359.1     20,479.9      3847.09%

Crude                  571,373.5     51,973.8       999.35%       MCX CRUDE (19 MARCH 12) - Crude opened higher at 5394
Source – MCX                                                      level. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of 5341. However,
                                                                  it managed to move higher. It touched an intra-day high of 5418
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                      level. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 5408.
                       20/3/2012    19/3/2012         % Chg.
                                                                  The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
Gold (oz)               1,656.10     1,667.30         -0.67%
                                                                  averages, which would lead to buying support. The +DI line, –DI
Silver (oz)                32.66        32.96         -0.91%      line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound
Crude (bbl)              107.50        108.09         -0.55%      trend. It faces resistance at 5436, 5462 and 5498 while the
                                                                  supports are placed at 5227, 5150, 5095 and 4905 levels.
Dollar Index               79.49        79.47          0.03%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                Intra-day Resistance                  Intra-day Support
         Commodities               Close          Pivot Point             R1             R2          R3            S1            S2           S3

CRUDE MAR 12                        5408                 5389          5437          5466         5543          5360          5312           5235

GOLD APR 12                        27901                27882         27993         28084        28286         27791         27680          27478

SILVER MAY 12                      57505                57364         57891         58276        59188         56979         56452          55540


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            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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US Economic Calendar:

      Tuesday                    Wednesday                      Thursday                       Friday                       Monday
      Mar. 20                     Mar. 21                        Mar. 22                       Mar. 23                      Mar. 26
Housing Starts             Existing Home Sales           Jobless Claims               New Home Sales                Pending Home Sales
                                                                                                                    Index
Ben Bernanke Speech        EIA Petroleum Status          Bloomberg Consumer                                         Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
                           Report                        Comfort Index
ICSC-Goldman Store         Bank Reserve                  FHFA House Price                                           Ben Bernanke Speech
Sales                      Settlement                    Index




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
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                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 200312

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 20th March 2012 Gold Silver Crude MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 12) - Gold opened unchanged at 27899. It (5 Apr-12) (5 May-12) (19 Mar-12) moved lower to touch an intra day low of 27772. However, it Open 27,899 57,349 5,394 managed to move higher. It touched an intra-day high of 27974 level. It ended the day with marginal gains to close at 27901. High 27,974 57,750 5,418 Low 27,772 56,838 5,341 The Stochastic and the RSI are placed above their respective Close 27,901 57,505 5,408 averages, which would lead to buying support. The ADX line, -DI Prev. Close 27,870 57,238 5,378 line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28084, 28960, 29212 and % Change 0.11% 0.47% 0.56% 29433, while the supports are placed at 27557, 26517, 26347 and Source – MCX 25500 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened lower at 57349. It 19/3/2012 17/3/2012 % Chg. moved lower to touch an intra day low of 56838. However, it Gold (gms) 27,328.0 1,425.0 1817.75% managed to move higher. It touched an intra-day high of 57750 Silver (kgs) 1,411.7 35.8 3844.51% level. It ended the day flat to close at 57505. Crude (bbl) 10,614.5 967.3 997.33% The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to profit Source – MCX taking and selling pressure. The Stochastic however, is placed above its average and would lead to buying support at lower Turnover (In Lacs) levels. The –DI, +DI line and ADX line are moving sideways, 19/3/2012 17/3/2012 % Chg. indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 61708, 65159 and 66261 while the supports are placed at 56157, Gold 761,282.7 39,698.1 1817.68% 51029 and 50252 levels. Silver 808,359.1 20,479.9 3847.09% Crude 571,373.5 51,973.8 999.35% MCX CRUDE (19 MARCH 12) - Crude opened higher at 5394 Source – MCX level. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of 5341. However, it managed to move higher. It touched an intra-day high of 5418 Global Market (Nymex - $) level. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 5408. 20/3/2012 19/3/2012 % Chg. The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Gold (oz) 1,656.10 1,667.30 -0.67% averages, which would lead to buying support. The +DI line, –DI Silver (oz) 32.66 32.96 -0.91% line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound Crude (bbl) 107.50 108.09 -0.55% trend. It faces resistance at 5436, 5462 and 5498 while the supports are placed at 5227, 5150, 5095 and 4905 levels. Dollar Index 79.49 79.47 0.03% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE MAR 12 5408 5389 5437 5466 5543 5360 5312 5235 GOLD APR 12 27901 27882 27993 28084 28286 27791 27680 27478 SILVER MAY 12 57505 57364 57891 58276 59188 56979 56452 55540 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday Mar. 20 Mar. 21 Mar. 22 Mar. 23 Mar. 26 Housing Starts Existing Home Sales Jobless Claims New Home Sales Pending Home Sales Index Ben Bernanke Speech EIA Petroleum Status Bloomberg Consumer Dallas Fed Mfg Survey Report Comfort Index ICSC-Goldman Store Bank Reserve FHFA House Price Ben Bernanke Speech Sales Settlement Index Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com