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Daily Commodity Outlook

                                                                                                                     19th September 2011


                     Gold        Silver       Crude            MCX GOLD (OCT 11)
                   (5 Oct-11)   (5 Dec-11)   (19 Oct-11)

Open                   27830        64675          4185        The RSI is placed below its average. The Stochastic is
High                   27851        64675          4190        slipped also placed below its average; both these conditions
                                                               would lead to selling pressure. However, the Stochastic is
Low                    27679        64361          4176
                                                               nearing the over sold zone, which would lead to short
Close                  27730        64408          4180
                                                               covering and buying support at lower levels. The ADX, +DI
Prev. Close            27807        64629          4175        line and –DI line are moving sideways indicating a range
% Change              -0.28%        -0.34%        0.12%        bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27777, 27964,
Source – MCX                                                   27777, 28525 levels, while the supports are placed at 27184,
                                                               26853 and 26899 levels.
                   Volume (In 000's)
                                                               MCX SILVER (DEC 11)
                   17/9/2011    16/9/2011     % Chg.

Gold (grms)           4,762.0     79,749.0      -94.03%        Silver is struggling at higher levels. The RSI is placed below
                                                               its average which would lead to selling pressure. The
Silver (kgs)             92.2      1,935.8      -95.24%
                                                               Stochastic has moved above its average, which would also
Crude (bbl)             143.3      3,717.6      -96.15%        lead to buying support at regular intervals. The ADX, +DI line
Source – MCX                                                   and –DI line are moving sideways indicating a range bound
                                                               trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 64925, 66051, 66625
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                          and 66893 levels, while the supports are placed at 62763,
                   17/9/2011    16/9/2011     % Chg.           62129 and 60839 levels.
Gold                132,087.9 2,190,872.8       -93.97%
                                                               MCX CRUDE (OCT 11)
Silver               59,467.5 1,234,732.5       -95.18%

Crude                 5,991.5    156,660.0      -96.18%        The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
Source – MCX
                                                               averages, which is a negative sign and would lead to regular
                                                               bouts of selling pressure. Moreso, the Stochastic has come
                                                               off the over bought zone. The ADX, +DI line and –DI line are
                   Global Market ($)                           moving sideways indicating a range bound trend. It faces
                   19/9/2011    17/9/2011     % Chg.           resistance at 4207, 4449 and 4631 levels, while the supports
                                                               are placed at 4153, 4008, 3955 and 3843 levels.
Gold (oz)            1,817.00     1,812.10        0.27%

Silver (oz)             40.71        40.78       -0.17%

Crude (bbl)             86.71        87.96       -1.42%
Source – www.cmegroup.com




                                                                        Intra-day Resistance                       Intra-day Support
 Commodities                    Close         Pivot Point          R1            R2            R3            S1            S2               S3
 CRUDE OCT 11                        4180               4182         4188          4196         4210          4174           4168            4154
 GOLD OCT 11                        27730              27753        27828         27925        28097         27656         27581            27409
 SILVER DEC 11                      64408              64481        64602         64795        65109         64288         64167            63853




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Keynote commodity daily report 190911

  • 1. Daily Commodity Outlook 19th September 2011 Gold Silver Crude MCX GOLD (OCT 11) (5 Oct-11) (5 Dec-11) (19 Oct-11) Open 27830 64675 4185 The RSI is placed below its average. The Stochastic is High 27851 64675 4190 slipped also placed below its average; both these conditions would lead to selling pressure. However, the Stochastic is Low 27679 64361 4176 nearing the over sold zone, which would lead to short Close 27730 64408 4180 covering and buying support at lower levels. The ADX, +DI Prev. Close 27807 64629 4175 line and –DI line are moving sideways indicating a range % Change -0.28% -0.34% 0.12% bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27777, 27964, Source – MCX 27777, 28525 levels, while the supports are placed at 27184, 26853 and 26899 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (DEC 11) 17/9/2011 16/9/2011 % Chg. Gold (grms) 4,762.0 79,749.0 -94.03% Silver is struggling at higher levels. The RSI is placed below its average which would lead to selling pressure. The Silver (kgs) 92.2 1,935.8 -95.24% Stochastic has moved above its average, which would also Crude (bbl) 143.3 3,717.6 -96.15% lead to buying support at regular intervals. The ADX, +DI line Source – MCX and –DI line are moving sideways indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 64925, 66051, 66625 Turnover (In Lacs) and 66893 levels, while the supports are placed at 62763, 17/9/2011 16/9/2011 % Chg. 62129 and 60839 levels. Gold 132,087.9 2,190,872.8 -93.97% MCX CRUDE (OCT 11) Silver 59,467.5 1,234,732.5 -95.18% Crude 5,991.5 156,660.0 -96.18% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Source – MCX averages, which is a negative sign and would lead to regular bouts of selling pressure. Moreso, the Stochastic has come off the over bought zone. The ADX, +DI line and –DI line are Global Market ($) moving sideways indicating a range bound trend. It faces 19/9/2011 17/9/2011 % Chg. resistance at 4207, 4449 and 4631 levels, while the supports are placed at 4153, 4008, 3955 and 3843 levels. Gold (oz) 1,817.00 1,812.10 0.27% Silver (oz) 40.71 40.78 -0.17% Crude (bbl) 86.71 87.96 -1.42% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE OCT 11 4180 4182 4188 4196 4210 4174 4168 4154 GOLD OCT 11 27730 27753 27828 27925 28097 27656 27581 27409 SILVER DEC 11 64408 64481 64602 64795 65109 64288 64167 63853 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com