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Daily Commodity Re
                                                 D                eport

                                                                                                                  19th J
                                                                                                                       June 2012
                                                                MC GOLD (4 AUGUST 12 - Gold op
                                                                  CX                       2)          pened lower at 30061. It
                   Gold
                   G            Si
                                 ilver           Cr
                                                  rude
                 (4 A
                    Aug-12)    (5 Jul-12)
                                  J            (19 J
                                                   Jul-12)      movved lower to touch an i
                                                                              o            intra-day low of 29975. However, it
                                                                                                       w
                                                                man           unce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day
                                                                   naged to bou            m
 Ope
   en                30,061        54,450           4,715       high of 30340. It ended the day with mo
                                                                   h                                   oderate gains to close at
                                                                                                                     s
 High
    h                30,340        55,023           4,769       303311.
 Low
   w                 29,975        54,253           4,650
                                                                The Stochastic h moved ab
                                                                   e            has          bove its avera
                                                                                                          age. Moreove the RSI is
                                                                                                                      er,
 Clos
    se               30,311        54,923           4,700       alre
                                                                   eady placed aabove its ave
                                                                                            erage. These conditions wwould lead to
                                                                buyying support at regular int
                                                                                             tervals. Howeever, the Sto
                                                                                                                      ochastic and
 Prev Close
    v.               30,154        54,541           4,713
                                                                RSI are placed a
                                                                    I            around the ov bought zo
                                                                                             ver          one, which w
                                                                                                                     would lead to
 %C
  Change              0.52%        0.70%           -0.28%       prof taking at regular interv
                                                                    fit                      vals. The AD line, and -DI line are
                                                                                                         DX
Sourc – MCX
    ce                                                          mov ving sideways while the + line has m
                                                                                 s,         +DI           moved above the 30 level
                                                                indicating buye ers are gain ning strengt th. MCX G  GOLD faces
                   Volume (In 000
                   V            0's)
                                                                resiistance at 30
                                                                                0340, 30500 and 31000, while the s    supports are
                                                                plac at 29668, 28859, 2876 and 27962 levels.
                                                                   ced           ,           65          2
                 18/0
                    06/2012    16/0
                                  06/2012         % Chg.
                                                                MC SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver ope
                                                                  CX                                   ened higher at 54450. It
 Gold (gms)
    d              48,098.0
                   4              1,561.0       298
                                                  81.23%
                                                                movved lower to touch an i
                                                                              o            intra-day low of 54253. However, it
                                                                                                       w
 Silve (kgs)
     er              1,672.3           33.5     489
                                                  90.51%        man           unce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day
                                                                   naged to bou            m
                                                                high of 55023. It ended the day with mo
                                                                   h                                   oderate gains to close at
                                                                                                                     s
 Crud (bbl)
    de               7,304.7        149.1       479
                                                  99.20%
                                                                549923.
Sourc – MCX
    ce
                                                                The RSI and th Stochastic have moved above thei respective
                                                                   e           he          c            d          ir
                  Tu
                   urnover (In Lacs)                            aveerages, which would lead t buying sup
                                                                               h            to         pport. Howev
                                                                                                                  ver, the ADX
                                                                line +DI line an the –DI lin are movin sideways, indicating a
                                                                   e,          nd          ne          ng
                 18/0
                    06/2012    16/0
                                  06/2012         % Chg.
                                                                rang bound trend. MCX Silv faces resistance at 55
                                                                    ge                     ver                    5551, 56157,
Gold
   d             1,45
                    50,955.8     47,045.0
                                 4              298
                                                  84.19%        577737, 61708 an 65159 wh the suppo are place at 53818,
                                                                                nd         hile        orts       ed
                                                                510029, and 5025 levels.
                                                                               52
Silve
    er            91
                   12,750.4      18,275.2       489
                                                  94.46%

Crud
   de             34
                   43,705.0       7,028.9       478
                                                  89.89%        MC CRUDE (19 July 12) - Crude opene higher at 4
                                                                  CX                                    ed          4715 level. It
                                                                mov higher to touch an intr
                                                                   ved                     ra-day high of 4769. Howe ever, it failed
Sourc – MCX
    ce                                                          to s
                                                                   sustain higher and moved lower. It tou
                                                                                                        uched an intra
                                                                                                                     a-day low of
                                                                465 It ended t day with m
                                                                   50.          the       modest losses to close at 4
                                                                                                        s            4700.
               Global Market (Nym - $)
                                mex

                 19/0
                    06/2012    18/0
                                  06/2012         % Chg.        The RSI and th Stochastic are placed above their respective
                                                                   e            he            c           d
                                                                aveerage and is still placed around the over sold z    zone. These
Gold (oz)
   d               1,628.20
                   1             1,626.00           0.14%
                                                                connditions would lead to short covering and buying support at lower
                                                                                d             t
Silve (oz)
    er                28.75         28.67           0.28%       leve The ADX line and –DI line are place above the 37 level but
                                                                   els.                                    ed
Crud (bbl)
   de                 83.21         83.27          -0.07%
                                                                both have start
                                                                    h            ted coming down indica    ating shorts are getting
                                                                covvered at reguular intervals. It faces resistance at 44720, 4855,
Dolla Index
    ar                81.77         81.95          -0.22%       490 and 5000 w
                                                                   05            while the sup            aced at 4624, 4421, 4259
                                                                                             pports are pla
Sourc – www.cme
    ce        egroup.com                                        and 3723.
                                                                   d

                                                                    Intra-day Re
                                                                               esistance                  Intra-day Sup
                                                                                                                      pport
Comm
   modities                    Close          Pivot Point
                                                                    R1          R2           R3
                                                                                             R          S1         S2           S3

CRUD JUL 12
   DE                           4700                4706           4763
                                                                   4          48
                                                                               825         494
                                                                                             44       4644
                                                                                                         4       4587         4468

GOLD AUG 12
   D                           30311               30209
                                                   3             30
                                                                  0442       305
                                                                               574         3093
                                                                                              39     30077
                                                                                                         7      29844         29479

SILVE JUL 12
    ER                         54923               54733
                                                   5             55
                                                                  5213       555
                                                                               503         5627
                                                                                              73     54443
                                                                                                         3      53963         53193


                                                             Keynot Capitals L
                                                                  te         Ltd.
             The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60
                   by,                      at                                   Tel:                    088.
                                                www.keyynotecapitals.com
US E
   Economic C
            Calendar:

      Tuesday              Wednesday
                           W                       Thursday                Mo
                                                                            onday                Tues
                                                                                                    sday
       Jun 19                Jun 20                 Jun 21                 Ju 25
                                                                            un                    Jun 26
                                                                                                    n
Housing Starts        FOMC Meeting
                          C                  Jobless Claims         New Hom Sales
                                                                          me               Consumer C
                                                                                                    Confidence
                      Annou
                          uncement
FOM Meeting
  MC                  FOMC Forecasts
                         C                   Existing Home Sales
                                                    g               Chicago F National
                                                                              Fed          ICSC-Goldm Store
                                                                                                    man
Begins                                                              Activity In
                                                                              ndex         Sales
ICSC
   C-Goldman St
              tore    EIA Pe
                           etroleum Statu
                                        us   EIA Nattural Gas       4-Week B
                                                                           Bill            Richmond F
                                                                                                    Fed
Sale
   es                 Reporrt                Report                 Announce
                                                                           ement           Manufactur
                                                                                                    ring Index




                                             Keynot Capitals L
                                                  te         Ltd.
         The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60
               by,                      at                                   Tel:                    088.
                                            www.keyynotecapitals.com
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                                                              Keynot Capitals L
                                                                   te         Ltd.
            The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60
                  by,                      at                                   Tel:                    088.
                                               www.keyynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 190612

  • 1. Daily Commodity Re D eport 19th J June 2012 MC GOLD (4 AUGUST 12 - Gold op CX 2) pened lower at 30061. It Gold G Si ilver Cr rude (4 A Aug-12) (5 Jul-12) J (19 J Jul-12) movved lower to touch an i o intra-day low of 29975. However, it w man unce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day naged to bou m Ope en 30,061 54,450 4,715 high of 30340. It ended the day with mo h oderate gains to close at s High h 30,340 55,023 4,769 303311. Low w 29,975 54,253 4,650 The Stochastic h moved ab e has bove its avera age. Moreove the RSI is er, Clos se 30,311 54,923 4,700 alre eady placed aabove its ave erage. These conditions wwould lead to buyying support at regular int tervals. Howeever, the Sto ochastic and Prev Close v. 30,154 54,541 4,713 RSI are placed a I around the ov bought zo ver one, which w would lead to %C Change 0.52% 0.70% -0.28% prof taking at regular interv fit vals. The AD line, and -DI line are DX Sourc – MCX ce mov ving sideways while the + line has m s, +DI moved above the 30 level indicating buye ers are gain ning strengt th. MCX G GOLD faces Volume (In 000 V 0's) resiistance at 30 0340, 30500 and 31000, while the s supports are plac at 29668, 28859, 2876 and 27962 levels. ced , 65 2 18/0 06/2012 16/0 06/2012 % Chg. MC SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver ope CX ened higher at 54450. It Gold (gms) d 48,098.0 4 1,561.0 298 81.23% movved lower to touch an i o intra-day low of 54253. However, it w Silve (kgs) er 1,672.3 33.5 489 90.51% man unce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day naged to bou m high of 55023. It ended the day with mo h oderate gains to close at s Crud (bbl) de 7,304.7 149.1 479 99.20% 549923. Sourc – MCX ce The RSI and th Stochastic have moved above thei respective e he c d ir Tu urnover (In Lacs) aveerages, which would lead t buying sup h to pport. Howev ver, the ADX line +DI line an the –DI lin are movin sideways, indicating a e, nd ne ng 18/0 06/2012 16/0 06/2012 % Chg. rang bound trend. MCX Silv faces resistance at 55 ge ver 5551, 56157, Gold d 1,45 50,955.8 47,045.0 4 298 84.19% 577737, 61708 an 65159 wh the suppo are place at 53818, nd hile orts ed 510029, and 5025 levels. 52 Silve er 91 12,750.4 18,275.2 489 94.46% Crud de 34 43,705.0 7,028.9 478 89.89% MC CRUDE (19 July 12) - Crude opene higher at 4 CX ed 4715 level. It mov higher to touch an intr ved ra-day high of 4769. Howe ever, it failed Sourc – MCX ce to s sustain higher and moved lower. It tou uched an intra a-day low of 465 It ended t day with m 50. the modest losses to close at 4 s 4700. Global Market (Nym - $) mex 19/0 06/2012 18/0 06/2012 % Chg. The RSI and th Stochastic are placed above their respective e he c d aveerage and is still placed around the over sold z zone. These Gold (oz) d 1,628.20 1 1,626.00 0.14% connditions would lead to short covering and buying support at lower d t Silve (oz) er 28.75 28.67 0.28% leve The ADX line and –DI line are place above the 37 level but els. ed Crud (bbl) de 83.21 83.27 -0.07% both have start h ted coming down indica ating shorts are getting covvered at reguular intervals. It faces resistance at 44720, 4855, Dolla Index ar 81.77 81.95 -0.22% 490 and 5000 w 05 while the sup aced at 4624, 4421, 4259 pports are pla Sourc – www.cme ce egroup.com and 3723. d Intra-day Re esistance Intra-day Sup pport Comm modities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 R S1 S2 S3 CRUD JUL 12 DE 4700 4706 4763 4 48 825 494 44 4644 4 4587 4468 GOLD AUG 12 D 30311 30209 3 30 0442 305 574 3093 39 30077 7 29844 29479 SILVE JUL 12 ER 54923 54733 5 55 5213 555 503 5627 73 54443 3 53963 53193 Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US E Economic C Calendar: Tuesday Wednesday W Thursday Mo onday Tues sday Jun 19 Jun 20 Jun 21 Ju 25 un Jun 26 n Housing Starts FOMC Meeting C Jobless Claims New Hom Sales me Consumer C Confidence Annou uncement FOM Meeting MC FOMC Forecasts C Existing Home Sales g Chicago F National Fed ICSC-Goldm Store man Begins Activity In ndex Sales ICSC C-Goldman St tore EIA Pe etroleum Statu us EIA Nattural Gas 4-Week B Bill Richmond F Fed Sale es Reporrt Report Announce ement Manufactur ring Index Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Discclaimer This document is n for public di not istribution and has been furnis shed to you so olely for your information and must not be re eproduced or redisstributed to any other person. Persons into who possession this document may come are required to obse P ose erve these restr rictions. This material is for t personal info the ormation of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action base upon it. This report is not ed s to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer o solicitation e or woul be illegal. It i for the gener information o clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recomm ld is ral of t mendation or take into account the particular inve estment objectiv tuations, or need of individual clients. ves, financial sit ds We h have reviewed t report, and in so far as it includes current o historical info the or ormation, it is beelieved to be rel liable though its accuracy or s comp pleteness canno be guarantee Neither Keyn ot ed. note Capitals Lt nor any pers connected with it, accepts any liability aris td., son sing from the use of this documen The recipien of this mater should rely on their own inv nt. nts rial vestigations and take their own professional a advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this m material may go up or down. Past performan is not a gu nce uide for future pperformance. Certa transactions -including thos involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investmen grade securit ain s se s nt ties - involve subsstantial risk and are not suitab for all invest d ble tors. Reports ba ased on technic analysis cen cal nters on studyin charts of a stock’s price ng move ement and trad ding volume, as opposed to fo s ocusing on a co ompany’s funda amentals and as such, may no match with a report on a s ot comp pany’s fundame entals. Opinnions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appea d f aring on this maaterial only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the informatio discussed in this material, there may be r s on n regulatory, commpliance, or othe reasons that prevent us fro doing so. er t om Prosspective investo and others are cautioned t ors a that any forward d-looking statemments are not p predictions and may be subjec to change ct witho notice. Our proprietary tr out r rading and inve estment busine esses may ma ake investment decisions that are inconsiste with the t ent recommendations e expressed herein n. We a our affiliates, officers, direc and ctors, and empl loyees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or sh positions in and buy or m hort n, sell t securities th the hereof, of compa (ies) mentio any oned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involvi such securit ing ties and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a mar o rket maker in th financial inst he truments of the company (ies) discussed here or act as ein advis or lender / borrower to such company (ie or have other potential con sor es) nflict of interest with respect to any recomme t o endation and related information a opinions. and The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views express s s e sed in this repo accurately re ort eflect his or he personal view about the er ws subje company or companies an its or their se ect r nd ecurities, and no part of his or her compensa r ation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly y related to specific re ecommendation or views expr ns ressed in this report. No p of this material may be dup part plicated in any fo and/or redis orm stributed withou Keynote Capit ut tals Ltd’s., prior written consent. r Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com