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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                           15th February 2012

                                                                 MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened lower at 28062. It moved
                       Gold         Silver         Crude
                      (5 Apr-12)   (5 Mar-12)    (20 Feb-12)     lower to touch an intra-day low of 27958. However, it managed a
                                                                 bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day high of
 Open                    28,062        56,571         4,958
                                                                 28218. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at 28085.
 High                    28,218        56,956         5,037

 Low                     27,958        56,220         4,958      The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
 Close                   28,085        56,416         4,987      averages, which would lead to profit taking and selling pressure.
                                                                 The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating
 Prev. Close             28,119        56,664         4,953
                                                                 a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212
 % Change                -0.12%        -0.44%         0.69%      and 29433, while the supports are placed at 27557, 26347 and
Source – MCX                                                     25500 levels.

                       Volume (In 000's)                         MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 56571. It moved
                       14/2/2012    13/2/2012        % Chg.      lower to touch an intra-day high of 56220. However, it managed a
                                                                 bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day high of
 Gold (gms)             39,749.0     35,898.0        10.73%
                                                                 56956. It ended the day with modest losses to close at 56416.
 Silver (kgs)            1,727.9       1,414.5       22.16%

 Crude (bbl)            14,681.7     12,866.9        14.10%      The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
Source – MCX                                                     averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of selling
                                                                 pressure and profit taking. The ADX line, +DI line and -DI line are
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                         moving sideways, indicating range bound trend. MCX Silver faces
                                                                 resistance at 57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708, while the supports
                       14/2/2012    13/2/2012        % Chg.      are placed at 54671, 53170 and 51366 levels.
Gold                 1,116,076.5   1,009,805.9       10.52%

Silver                 977,310.0    802,640.2        21.76%      MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened higher at 4958 level.
                                                                 Incidentally, this was also the lowest price for the day. It moved
Crude                  734,469.4    634,544.8        15.75%      higher to touch an intra-day high of 5037. It ended the day with
Source – MCX                                                     moderate gains to close at 4987.

                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                     The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to regular
                       15/2/2012    14/2/2012        % Chg.      bouts of buying support. However, the Stochastic is placed below its
                                                                 average and is also placed in the over bought zone, which would
Gold (oz)               1,725.00     1,716.50         0.50%
                                                                 lead to regular bouts of profit taking. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI
Silver (oz)                33.69        33.33         1.08%      line are moving sideways, indicating range bound trend. It faces
Crude (bbl)              101.30        100.74         0.56%      resistance at, 5003, 5065 and 5115, while the supports are placed
                                                                 at 4950, 4903, 4877, 4670 and 4493 levels.
Dollar Index               79.21        79.38        -0.21%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                   Intra-day Resistance                 Intra-day Support
          Commodities                Close           Pivot Point             R1            R2           R3           S1            S2         S3

 CRUDE FEB 12                          4987                    4994         5030          5073        5152          4951         4915        4836

 GOLD APR 12                          28085                 28087         28216          28347       28607        27956         27827       27567

 SILVER MAR 12                        56416                 56531         56841          57267       58003        56105         55795       55059


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            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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US Economic Calendar:

     Wednesday                      Thursday                      Friday                       Tuesday                     Wednesday
      Feb. 15                        Feb. 16                      Feb. 17                      Feb. 21                      Feb. 22
Industrial Production       Jobless Claims                Consumer Price Index         4-Week Bill                   Existing Home Sales
                                                                                       Announcement
FOMC Meeting                Housing Starts                Leading Indicators           3-Month Bill Auction          Bank Reserve
Minutes                                                                                                              Settlement
Housing Market Index        Producer Price Index                                       2-Year Note Auction           ICSC-Goldman Store
                                                                                                                     Sales




                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            th
          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 150212

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 15th February 2012 MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened lower at 28062. It moved Gold Silver Crude (5 Apr-12) (5 Mar-12) (20 Feb-12) lower to touch an intra-day low of 27958. However, it managed a bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day high of Open 28,062 56,571 4,958 28218. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at 28085. High 28,218 56,956 5,037 Low 27,958 56,220 4,958 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Close 28,085 56,416 4,987 averages, which would lead to profit taking and selling pressure. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating Prev. Close 28,119 56,664 4,953 a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 % Change -0.12% -0.44% 0.69% and 29433, while the supports are placed at 27557, 26347 and Source – MCX 25500 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 56571. It moved 14/2/2012 13/2/2012 % Chg. lower to touch an intra-day high of 56220. However, it managed a bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day high of Gold (gms) 39,749.0 35,898.0 10.73% 56956. It ended the day with modest losses to close at 56416. Silver (kgs) 1,727.9 1,414.5 22.16% Crude (bbl) 14,681.7 12,866.9 14.10% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Source – MCX averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of selling pressure and profit taking. The ADX line, +DI line and -DI line are Turnover (In Lacs) moving sideways, indicating range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708, while the supports 14/2/2012 13/2/2012 % Chg. are placed at 54671, 53170 and 51366 levels. Gold 1,116,076.5 1,009,805.9 10.52% Silver 977,310.0 802,640.2 21.76% MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened higher at 4958 level. Incidentally, this was also the lowest price for the day. It moved Crude 734,469.4 634,544.8 15.75% higher to touch an intra-day high of 5037. It ended the day with Source – MCX moderate gains to close at 4987. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to regular 15/2/2012 14/2/2012 % Chg. bouts of buying support. However, the Stochastic is placed below its average and is also placed in the over bought zone, which would Gold (oz) 1,725.00 1,716.50 0.50% lead to regular bouts of profit taking. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI Silver (oz) 33.69 33.33 1.08% line are moving sideways, indicating range bound trend. It faces Crude (bbl) 101.30 100.74 0.56% resistance at, 5003, 5065 and 5115, while the supports are placed at 4950, 4903, 4877, 4670 and 4493 levels. Dollar Index 79.21 79.38 -0.21% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE FEB 12 4987 4994 5030 5073 5152 4951 4915 4836 GOLD APR 12 28085 28087 28216 28347 28607 27956 27827 27567 SILVER MAR 12 56416 56531 56841 57267 58003 56105 55795 55059 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Wednesday Thursday Friday Tuesday Wednesday Feb. 15 Feb. 16 Feb. 17 Feb. 21 Feb. 22 Industrial Production Jobless Claims Consumer Price Index 4-Week Bill Existing Home Sales Announcement FOMC Meeting Housing Starts Leading Indicators 3-Month Bill Auction Bank Reserve Minutes Settlement Housing Market Index Producer Price Index 2-Year Note Auction ICSC-Goldman Store Sales Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com