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Daily Commodity Outlook

                                                                                                                    12th September 2011


                      Gold        Silver      Crude        MCX GOLD (OCT 11)
                    (5 Oct-11)   (5 Dec-11) (19 Sep-11)

Open                     28175       64900        4066     The Stochastic has moved above its average and is moving
High                     28199       65220        4080     upwards. Though the RSI is placed below its average, it’s on
Low                      28012       64786        4061
                                                           verge of moving above it. Both these conditions would lead to
                                                           buying support. The ADX, +DI line and –DI line are moving
Close                    28152       65159        4067
                                                           sideways. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28284 and 28744
Prev. Close              28200       65279        4058     levels, while the supports are placed at 27964, 27777, 27184,
% Change                -0.17%       -0.18%      0.22%     and 26899 levels.
Source – MCX
                                                           MCX SILVER (DEC 11)
                    Volume (In 000's)
                                                           Silver continued to move higher. The RSI is placed above its
                    10/9/2011     9/9/2011    % Chg.
                                                           average, which would lead to regular bouts of buying support.
Gold (grms)            6,279.0    135,601.0    -95.37%     Moreos, the Stochastic has moved its average, which would
Silver (kgs)             120.1      2,953.1    -95.93%     lead to buying support at higher levels. MCX Silver faces
                                                           resistance at 66051, 66625 and 66893 levels, while the
Crude (bbl)              517.2      2,290.2    -77.42%
                                                           supports are placed at 64925, 62129 and 60839 levels.
Source – MCX

                                                           MCX CRUDE (SEP 11)
                    Turnover (In Lacs)
                    10/9/2011     9/9/2011    % Chg.       MCX Crude continues to move higher. The RSI is comfortably
Gold                 176,572.3 3,798,873.7     -95.35%     placed above its average. The Stochastic is also placed above
Silver                78,109.5 1,934,012.9     -95.96%
                                                           its average, but is placed in the over bought zone, which
                                                           would lead to profit taking at regular intervals. It faces
Crude                 21,028.2     93,947.2    -77.62%     resistance at 4153, 4207 and 4449 levels, while the supports
Source – MCX                                               are placed at 4008, 3955 and 3843 levels.

                    Global Market ($)
                    12/9/2011    10/9/2011    % Chg.

Gold (oz)             1,852.40     1,856.40     -0.22%

Silver (oz)              41.34        41.57     -0.55%

Crude (bbl)              86.15        87.24     -1.25%
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                    Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
    Commodities                  Close        Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                 S1           S2         S3
 CRUDE SEP 11                        4067                 4069       4078       4088          4107           4059         4050          4031
 GOLD OCT 11                       28152               28121        28230      28308         28495         28043         27934         27747
 SILVER DEC 11                     65159               65055        65324      65489         65923         64890         64621         64187




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      th
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Keynote commodity daily report 120911

  • 1. Daily Commodity Outlook 12th September 2011 Gold Silver Crude MCX GOLD (OCT 11) (5 Oct-11) (5 Dec-11) (19 Sep-11) Open 28175 64900 4066 The Stochastic has moved above its average and is moving High 28199 65220 4080 upwards. Though the RSI is placed below its average, it’s on Low 28012 64786 4061 verge of moving above it. Both these conditions would lead to buying support. The ADX, +DI line and –DI line are moving Close 28152 65159 4067 sideways. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28284 and 28744 Prev. Close 28200 65279 4058 levels, while the supports are placed at 27964, 27777, 27184, % Change -0.17% -0.18% 0.22% and 26899 levels. Source – MCX MCX SILVER (DEC 11) Volume (In 000's) Silver continued to move higher. The RSI is placed above its 10/9/2011 9/9/2011 % Chg. average, which would lead to regular bouts of buying support. Gold (grms) 6,279.0 135,601.0 -95.37% Moreos, the Stochastic has moved its average, which would Silver (kgs) 120.1 2,953.1 -95.93% lead to buying support at higher levels. MCX Silver faces resistance at 66051, 66625 and 66893 levels, while the Crude (bbl) 517.2 2,290.2 -77.42% supports are placed at 64925, 62129 and 60839 levels. Source – MCX MCX CRUDE (SEP 11) Turnover (In Lacs) 10/9/2011 9/9/2011 % Chg. MCX Crude continues to move higher. The RSI is comfortably Gold 176,572.3 3,798,873.7 -95.35% placed above its average. The Stochastic is also placed above Silver 78,109.5 1,934,012.9 -95.96% its average, but is placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to profit taking at regular intervals. It faces Crude 21,028.2 93,947.2 -77.62% resistance at 4153, 4207 and 4449 levels, while the supports Source – MCX are placed at 4008, 3955 and 3843 levels. Global Market ($) 12/9/2011 10/9/2011 % Chg. Gold (oz) 1,852.40 1,856.40 -0.22% Silver (oz) 41.34 41.57 -0.55% Crude (bbl) 86.15 87.24 -1.25% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE SEP 11 4067 4069 4078 4088 4107 4059 4050 4031 GOLD OCT 11 28152 28121 28230 28308 28495 28043 27934 27747 SILVER DEC 11 65159 65055 65324 65489 65923 64890 64621 64187 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com