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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                  12th June 2012
                                                                 MCX GOLD (4 AUGUST 12) - Gold opened higher at 29549. It
                    Gold         Silver           Crude
                   (4 Aug-12)   (5 Jul-12)      (19 Jun-12)      moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 29527. However, it
                                                                 managed to bounce back from lower levels to move higher. It
 Open                 29,549        54,315           4,678       touched an intra-day high of 29784. It ended the day with
 High                 29,784        54,940           4,773       moderate gains to close at 29765.
 Low                  29,527        54,280           4,650
                                                                 The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to selling
 Close                29,765        54,694           4,659       pressure. However, the Stochastic has moved above its average,
                                                                 which would lead to short covering at regular intervals. The ADX
 Prev. Close          29,544        54,211           4,675
                                                                 line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range
 % Change              0.75%        0.89%           -0.34%       bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 30156, 30295 and
Source – MCX                                                     30500 while the supports are placed at 29668, 28859, 28765 and
                                                                 27962 levels.
                    Volume (In 000's)
                                                                 MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened higher at 54315. It
                   11/06/2012   09/06/2012          % Chg.       moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 54940. However it failed
                                                                 to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of
 Gold (gms)          37,048.0      1,835.0       1918.96%
                                                                 54280. However, it managed to come off the lows for the day to
 Silver (kgs)         1,692.9           38.8     4260.97%        end the day with moderate gains to close at 54694.
 Crude (bbl)         23,692.9        961.7       2363.65%
                                                                 The RSI has moved above its average, which would lead to buying
Source – MCX                                                     support. However, the Stochastic is placed below its average but is
                                                                 placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to short covering at
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                            lower levels. The ADX line, +DI line and the –DI line are moving
                                                                 sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces
                   11/06/2012   09/06/2012          % Chg.
                                                                 resistance at 55551, 56157, 57737, 61708 and 65159 while the
Gold              1,099,119.1     54,253.0       1925.91%        supports are placed at 53818, 51029, and 50252 levels.
Silver              924,917.1     21,055.1       4292.84%        MCX CRUDE (19 June 12) - Crude opened higher at 4678 level. It
Crude             1,117,232.0     44,916.8       2387.34%        moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 4773. However it failed
                                                                 to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of
Source – MCX                                                     4650. It ended the day with modest losses to close at 4659.
                Global Market (Nymex - $)                        The RSI is placed above its average but is still placed around the
                   12/06/2012   11/06/2012          % Chg.       over sold zone, which would lead to short covering and buying
                                                                 support. However, the Stochastic is placed below its average and
Gold (oz)            1,592.70     1,595.50          -0.18%
                                                                 would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line and –DI line are
Silver (oz)             28.53        28.62          -0.30%       placed above the 39 level but both have started coming down
Crude (bbl)             81.79        82.70          -1.10%       indicating shorts are getting covered. It faces resistance at 4720,
                                                                 4855, 4905 and 5000 while the supports are placed at 4624, 4421,
Dollar Index            82.53        82.52           0.02%
                                                                 4259 and 3723.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                     Intra-day Resistance                 Intra-day Support
Commodities                     Close          Pivot Point
                                                                     R1          R2           R3        S1          S2          S3

CRUDE JUN 12                     4659                4694           4738       4817          4940     4615        4571         4448

GOLD AUG 12                     29765               29692          29857      29949         30206    29600       29435        29178

SILVER JUL 12                   54694               54638          54996      55298         55958    54336       53978        53318


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US Economic Calendar:

      Tuesday               Wednesday                 Thursday                 Friday                  Monday
       Jun 12                Jun 13                    Jun 14                  Jun 15                  Jun 18
Import and Export      Producer Price Index     Consumer Price Index    Industrial Production    Housing Market Index
Prices
Treasury Budget        Retail Sales             Jobless Claims          Consumer Sentiment       4-Week Bill
                                                                                                 Announcement
ICSC-Goldman Store     EIA Petroleum Status     Bloomberg Consumer      Empire State Mfg         3-Month Bill Auction
Sales                  Report                   Comfort Index           Survey




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                                               www.keynotecapitals.com
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Keynote commodity daily report 120612

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 12th June 2012 MCX GOLD (4 AUGUST 12) - Gold opened higher at 29549. It Gold Silver Crude (4 Aug-12) (5 Jul-12) (19 Jun-12) moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 29527. However, it managed to bounce back from lower levels to move higher. It Open 29,549 54,315 4,678 touched an intra-day high of 29784. It ended the day with High 29,784 54,940 4,773 moderate gains to close at 29765. Low 29,527 54,280 4,650 The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to selling Close 29,765 54,694 4,659 pressure. However, the Stochastic has moved above its average, which would lead to short covering at regular intervals. The ADX Prev. Close 29,544 54,211 4,675 line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range % Change 0.75% 0.89% -0.34% bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 30156, 30295 and Source – MCX 30500 while the supports are placed at 29668, 28859, 28765 and 27962 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened higher at 54315. It 11/06/2012 09/06/2012 % Chg. moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 54940. However it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of Gold (gms) 37,048.0 1,835.0 1918.96% 54280. However, it managed to come off the lows for the day to Silver (kgs) 1,692.9 38.8 4260.97% end the day with moderate gains to close at 54694. Crude (bbl) 23,692.9 961.7 2363.65% The RSI has moved above its average, which would lead to buying Source – MCX support. However, the Stochastic is placed below its average but is placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to short covering at Turnover (In Lacs) lower levels. The ADX line, +DI line and the –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces 11/06/2012 09/06/2012 % Chg. resistance at 55551, 56157, 57737, 61708 and 65159 while the Gold 1,099,119.1 54,253.0 1925.91% supports are placed at 53818, 51029, and 50252 levels. Silver 924,917.1 21,055.1 4292.84% MCX CRUDE (19 June 12) - Crude opened higher at 4678 level. It Crude 1,117,232.0 44,916.8 2387.34% moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 4773. However it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of Source – MCX 4650. It ended the day with modest losses to close at 4659. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI is placed above its average but is still placed around the 12/06/2012 11/06/2012 % Chg. over sold zone, which would lead to short covering and buying support. However, the Stochastic is placed below its average and Gold (oz) 1,592.70 1,595.50 -0.18% would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line and –DI line are Silver (oz) 28.53 28.62 -0.30% placed above the 39 level but both have started coming down Crude (bbl) 81.79 82.70 -1.10% indicating shorts are getting covered. It faces resistance at 4720, 4855, 4905 and 5000 while the supports are placed at 4624, 4421, Dollar Index 82.53 82.52 0.02% 4259 and 3723. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE JUN 12 4659 4694 4738 4817 4940 4615 4571 4448 GOLD AUG 12 29765 29692 29857 29949 30206 29600 29435 29178 SILVER JUL 12 54694 54638 54996 55298 55958 54336 53978 53318 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday Jun 12 Jun 13 Jun 14 Jun 15 Jun 18 Import and Export Producer Price Index Consumer Price Index Industrial Production Housing Market Index Prices Treasury Budget Retail Sales Jobless Claims Consumer Sentiment 4-Week Bill Announcement ICSC-Goldman Store EIA Petroleum Status Bloomberg Consumer Empire State Mfg 3-Month Bill Auction Sales Report Comfort Index Survey Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com