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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                           6th January 2012

                                                                 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened lower at 27812. It touched an
                       Gold         Silver         Crude
                      (4 Feb-12)   (5 Mar-12)    (19 Jan-12)
                                                                 intra-day high of 27875. However, profit taking and selling pressure
                                                                 was witnessed at higher levels and it touched an intra-day low of
 Open                    27,812        52,900         5,451      27540. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at 27821.
 High                    27,875        52,988         5,465
                                                                 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
 Low                     27,540        51,861         5,402      averages, which would lead to buying support. However, the
 Close                   27,821        52,740         5,443      Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to
                                                                 intermediate bouts of profit taking. The ADX and +DI are moving
 Prev. Close             27,852        52,761         5,462      sideways, while -DI line is moving lower but is still placed at 30.97,
 % Change                -0.11%        -0.04%        -0.35%      indicating sellers are covering their short positions. MCX GOLD
                                                                 faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the
Source – MCX
                                                                 supports are placed at 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels.
                       Volume (In 000's)                         MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 52900. It moved
                        5/1/2012     4/1/2012       % Chg.
                                                                 higher to touch an intra-day high of 52988. However, profit taking
                                                                 and selling pressure was witnessed at higher levels and it touched
 Gold (gms)             64,060.0     62,804.0         2.00%      an intra-day low of 51861. It ended the day flat to close at 52740.
 Silver (kgs)            2,746.1       2,789.7       -1.56%
                                                                 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above its average and would
 Crude (bbl)            20,369.7     22,747.5       -10.45%      lead to buying support. However, the Stochastic is placed in the
Source – MCX                                                     over bought zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of profit
                                                                 taking. The ADX and +DI are moving sideways, while -DI line is
                      Turnover (In Lacs)
                                                                 moving lower but is still placed 32.36, indicating sellers are covering
                                                                 their short positions. MCX Silver faces resistance at 53200, 54184,
                        5/1/2012     4/1/2012       % Chg.       56480 levels, while the supports are placed at 50410, 49809, 48477
                                                                 and 45824 levels.
Gold                 1,776,421.6   1,740,904.6        2.04%

Silver               1,438,929.1   1,473,322.6       -2.33%      MCX CRUDE (JAN 12) - Crude opened lower at 5451 level. It
                                                                 moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5465. However, profit
Crude                1,107,774.4   1,240,076.9      -10.67%      taking and selling pressure was witnessed at higher levels and it
Source – MCX                                                     touched an intra-day low of 5402. It ended the day flat to close at
                                                                 5443.
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                                 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                        6/1/2012     5/1/2012       % Chg.       averages, which would result in buying support. However, the
                                                                 Stochastic has moved in the over bought zone and would lead to
Gold (oz)               1,627.00     1,620.10         0.43%
                                                                 intermediate bouts of profit taking. The ADX and -DI line are moving
Silver (oz)                29.26        29.28        -0.07%      sideways, while the +DI line is placed at 39.71 indicating buyers
Crude (bbl)              101.41        101.81        -0.39%      have an upper hand. It faces resistance at 5464, 5475 and 5500
                                                                 levels, while the supports are placed at 5380, 5200, 5174 and 5115
Dollar Index               80.18        80.13         0.06%      levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                             Intra-day Resistance                       Intra-day Support
 Commodities                       Close          Pivot Point             R1             R2         R3            S1            S2          S3

 CRUDE JAN 12                          5443                    5437         5471          5500        5563          5408         5374        5311

 GOLD FEB 12                          27821                 27745         27951          28080       28415        27616         27410       27075

 SILVER MAR 12                        52740                 52530         53198          53657       54784        52071         51403       50276


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US Economic Calendar:

       Friday                     Tuesday                     Wednesday                      Thursday                       Friday
       Jan. 06                     Jan. 10                     Jan. 11                        Jan. 12                       Jan. 13
Employment Situation      NFIB Small Business           EIA Petroleum Status         Jobless Claims                International Trade
                          Optimism Index                Report
Monster Employment        Wholesale Trade               Bank Reserve                 Retail Sales                  Consumer Sentiment
Index                                                   Settlement
Treasury STRIPS                                         MBA Purchase                 Business Inventories          Import and Export
                                                        Applications                                               Prices




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Keynote commodity daily report 060112

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 6th January 2012 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened lower at 27812. It touched an Gold Silver Crude (4 Feb-12) (5 Mar-12) (19 Jan-12) intra-day high of 27875. However, profit taking and selling pressure was witnessed at higher levels and it touched an intra-day low of Open 27,812 52,900 5,451 27540. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at 27821. High 27,875 52,988 5,465 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Low 27,540 51,861 5,402 averages, which would lead to buying support. However, the Close 27,821 52,740 5,443 Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking. The ADX and +DI are moving Prev. Close 27,852 52,761 5,462 sideways, while -DI line is moving lower but is still placed at 30.97, % Change -0.11% -0.04% -0.35% indicating sellers are covering their short positions. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the Source – MCX supports are placed at 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 52900. It moved 5/1/2012 4/1/2012 % Chg. higher to touch an intra-day high of 52988. However, profit taking and selling pressure was witnessed at higher levels and it touched Gold (gms) 64,060.0 62,804.0 2.00% an intra-day low of 51861. It ended the day flat to close at 52740. Silver (kgs) 2,746.1 2,789.7 -1.56% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above its average and would Crude (bbl) 20,369.7 22,747.5 -10.45% lead to buying support. However, the Stochastic is placed in the Source – MCX over bought zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking. The ADX and +DI are moving sideways, while -DI line is Turnover (In Lacs) moving lower but is still placed 32.36, indicating sellers are covering their short positions. MCX Silver faces resistance at 53200, 54184, 5/1/2012 4/1/2012 % Chg. 56480 levels, while the supports are placed at 50410, 49809, 48477 and 45824 levels. Gold 1,776,421.6 1,740,904.6 2.04% Silver 1,438,929.1 1,473,322.6 -2.33% MCX CRUDE (JAN 12) - Crude opened lower at 5451 level. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5465. However, profit Crude 1,107,774.4 1,240,076.9 -10.67% taking and selling pressure was witnessed at higher levels and it Source – MCX touched an intra-day low of 5402. It ended the day flat to close at 5443. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective 6/1/2012 5/1/2012 % Chg. averages, which would result in buying support. However, the Stochastic has moved in the over bought zone and would lead to Gold (oz) 1,627.00 1,620.10 0.43% intermediate bouts of profit taking. The ADX and -DI line are moving Silver (oz) 29.26 29.28 -0.07% sideways, while the +DI line is placed at 39.71 indicating buyers Crude (bbl) 101.41 101.81 -0.39% have an upper hand. It faces resistance at 5464, 5475 and 5500 levels, while the supports are placed at 5380, 5200, 5174 and 5115 Dollar Index 80.18 80.13 0.06% levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE JAN 12 5443 5437 5471 5500 5563 5408 5374 5311 GOLD FEB 12 27821 27745 27951 28080 28415 27616 27410 27075 SILVER MAR 12 52740 52530 53198 53657 54784 52071 51403 50276 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Friday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Jan. 06 Jan. 10 Jan. 11 Jan. 12 Jan. 13 Employment Situation NFIB Small Business EIA Petroleum Status Jobless Claims International Trade Optimism Index Report Monster Employment Wholesale Trade Bank Reserve Retail Sales Consumer Sentiment Index Settlement Treasury STRIPS MBA Purchase Business Inventories Import and Export Applications Prices Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com