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India Morning Note
    a       g
Thur
   rsday, May 3 2012
              31,

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                  Views on markets t
                                                                            today
                                                           • India markets fell yeste
                                                                 an         s          erday, dragged down by a
 Nam of Index
   me                  May 29       May 30    Change (%)
                                                       )
                                                             11.9 drop in T
                                                                9%          Tata Motors stocks afte the auto m
                                                                                                  er         maker
 Sensex             16,438.58     16,312.15     -0.77%
                                                             repo
                                                                orted disap  ppointing quarterly earnings, while
 CNX Nifty
   X                  4,990.10     4,950.75     -0.79%       cauttion also pre
                                                                             evailed a da before GDP data an the
                                                                                        ay        G          nd
 BSE Mid-cap          5,963.50     5,886.92     -1.28%       expiry of deriva
                                                                            atives.
 BSE IT               5,625.39     5,646.54      0.38%     • A reenewed fall in the rupee to near record lows
 BSE Banks          11,178.04     10,979.86     -1.77%       conttributed to the weak s
                                                                                      sentiment, as did the fall in
                                                                                                 a
FII A
    Activity                                     (`Cr)       Asian shares, both becau  use of inte
                                                                                                 ensifying w
                                                                                                           worries
                                                             abou Spain's b
                                                                 ut         banking wooes and its debt yields The
                                                                                                            s.
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net       glob risk aversion has come at a time when inve
                                                                bal                                         estors
 29-M
    May                 1,593         1,405        187       are already worried about India's eco
                                                                                                 onomic and fiscal
 28-M
    May                 1,234         1,055        179           ook.
                                                             outlo
 Tota May
    al                 38,133        39,106        -974    • Vola
                                                                atility ruled the roost a the mark
                                                                                        as        kets recover red to
 2012 YTD             274,511      232,024       42488       hit fresh intrad
                                                                  f          day highs in mid-afteernoon trad as
                                                                                                               de
                                                             polit
                                                                 tical worries eased afte DMK chie M Karuna
                                                                             s           er        ef          anidhi
MF A
   Activity                                       (`Cr)
                                                             said that he never threatened the Centre of a pu ull-out
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net       from the coalitio governm
                                                                m            on        ment over pe
                                                                                                  etrol price h
                                                                                                              hike.
 29-M
    May                   241          363         -122    • Exce IT, all se
                                                                ept        ectoral indic
                                                                                       ces closed on negative note
                                                                                                   o         e
 28-M
    May                   342          211         130       with auto, cons
                                                                           sumer dura  ables, real estate and bank
 Tota May
    al                  7,713         7,544        167       stocks were ma
                                                                          ajor losers.
 2012 YTD              52,707        58,639       -5933    • Mark breadth was weak at ~0.63x as investors sold
                                                                 ket
                                                             mid and small cap stocks. On provissional basis, both
                                                                                                            ,
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines
                                                             FIIs and dome
                                                                         estic institutions sold bought eq quities
                                      NSE          BSE       wort `0.11bn a
                                                                 th       and `1.82bn respective
                                                                                     n,          ely.
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                54.71         16.29    • Asia markets drropped toda as US st
                                                                                      ay,         tocks fell sh
                                                                                                              harply
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                     9,062         1,737      overrnight on ffresh worri
                                                                                      ies about Spain and Italy
 Advances                             425         1,046      spar
                                                                rked fears o a deterio
                                                                            of        orating situ
                                                                                                 uation in Eu urope,
 Declines                           1,047         1,654      and rising globa uncertain saw investors dum risk
                                                                            al        nty                    mp
                                                             asse
                                                                ets.
 Unchanged                             73          128
                                                           • We expect ano   other gap down openin for the I
                                                                                                     ng         Indian
 Tota
    al                              1,545         2,828
                                                             markets, follow wing the w  weak cues from the Asian
Glob Markets
   bal                                                       markets. Howev   ver, the inv
                                                                                         vestors may keep their close
                                                                                                    y
 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est             Change (%)
                                                       )     watc on the G
                                                                ch           GDP data th  hat is to be released today
                                                                                                     e
 DJIA
    A                            12,419.86      -1.28%       and country w  wide protest called by the oppo
                                                                                                     y         osition
                                                             parties in India.
 NAS
   SDAQ                           2,837.36      -1.17%
 Nikk *
    kei                           8,474.57      -1.84%
                                                           Econom and Cor
                                                                mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                  velopments
                                                                                           s
 Hang Seng *                     18,437.30      -1.35%
                                                           • CDM operators associatio Auspi rea
                                                                MA                      on          acted strongly to
                                                             the Cellular Op  perators As
                                                                                        ssociation of India’s (
                                                                                                   o           (COAI)
* as o 8.25AM IST
     of
                                                             lette which h
                                                                 er           has asked Finance Minister P    Pranab
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s                                     Mukherjee to ca ancel the du technolo
                                                                                        ual        ogy status of Tata
                                    Latest     Previous      Teleservices saying th     hat the GSM operators
                                    Quote         Close      assoociation is presenting a misleading picture to serve
                                                                                                   g
 Indian Rupee per $                  56.20        55.61      vestted interest of its membbers.
 Indian Rupee per €                  69.52        69.44    • Accoording to th NCAER M
                                                                            he         MasterCard Worldwide Index
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              87.51        87.82      of Business Co
                                                                B           onfidence, t
                                                                                       the confide
                                                                                                 ence of India Inc
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                             1,561.40     1,563.40      incre
                                                                 eased by 7..7% over th previous quarter to 134.9
                                                                                       he
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                              27.83        27.96      points in the March qua   arter from 125.2 poinnts in
                                                             January 2012.


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   note Capitals Research
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TOP GAINERS                                          Buzzin Stocks
                                                          ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                 • Mahhindra Satya am has set up an exc
                                                                                 t         clusive delivery
                    Previous   Currennt   Change       centtre for ae erospace annd defence in Toulo
                                                                                           e          ouse,
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)       Frannce. Its second such in
                                                                                 nvestment after setting up
                                                                                           a           g
 Container Corp      861.10
                          0     903.95       4.98      its first dedicaated aerosp
                                                                                 pace centre in Hamb   burg,
 Tech Mahindra
    h                664.65
                          5     689.90       3.80      Germany, in 20 008.
 Crom
    mpton Greav
              v      110.55
                          5     114.20       3.30    • The Vadodara MMunicipal Corporation (VMC) and GAIL
 Amb
   buja Cements
              s      146.20
                          0     150.70       3.08      have complete most o the form
                                                                     ed         of        malities for the
 Sun Pharma          565.65
                          5     581.25       2.76      prop
                                                          posed joint venture co ompany in Gujarat, wwhich
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                   aims at providi
                                                                     ing gas at lowest rates through p
                                                                                           s         piped
                                                       connections to people in th city.
                                                                                 he
                    Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                        • Guja
                                                          arat State Fertilizers a
                                                                                 and Chemic   cals Ltd (GSFC)
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
 Guja
    arat Pipavav      56.30      58.95       4.71      has planned investments to the tune of `80
                                                                                 s                        00Cr
 REI Agro               8.54
                           4      8.94       4.68      during fiscal 2013 to incrrease capac  city and se up
                                                                                                         et
 Infot
     tech Enter      166.00     171.90       3.55      new projects fo various fe
                                                         w           or                       oducts including
                                                                                 ertilisers pro
 Pres
    stige Estates    109.85     113.50       3.32      urea and di-am
                                                          a          mmonium ph  hosphate (DA AP).
 Shriram City Uni    605.00     622.45       2.88    • Bata India will invest `15C for three years eac in
                                                           a                      Cr         e           ch
                                                       mod dernisation and expanssion of three existing pl
                                                                                             e           lants
TOP LOSERS                                             in Patna, Batannagar and Baangalore.
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                 • Ashok Leyland’ UK subsid
                                                                      ’s         diary Optare has closed its
                                                                                             e
                                                          ckburn facili
                                                       Blac           ity. The mov is part of the compa
                                                                                 ve         f         any’s
                    Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                          rest          plan, which started in August 2009.
                                                          tructuring p                      n
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
 Tata Motors
    a                275.90
                          0    243.35
                                    5      -11.80      The Blackburn facility is Optare’s third factor to
                                                                                            t         ry
 Havells India       587.60
                          0    546.65
                                    5       -6.97      dow its shutte
                                                         wn          ers.
 Unit
    tech              22.20
                          0      20.80
                                     0      -6.31    US markets
 Unit
    ted Spirits      651.60
                          0    612.05
                                    5       -6.07    US stoocks fell sha
                                                                       arply overnnight, wiping out the prior
 Suzl
    lon Energy        21.00
                          0      19.75
                                     5      -5.95    session rally, as bond yields in Spain and Italy surged
                                                           n’s                               a
                                                     and po            Greece adde to the uncertainty over
                                                           olls out of G           ed        u
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                                                     whethe it would r
                                                           er          remain in th euro zone
                                                                                  he          e.
                    Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                        The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 160.83
                                                          D
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
 Havells India       587.60     546.65      -6.97    points, or 1.3%, t 12,419.8 The S&P 500 Index on
                                                                       to         86.      P          x
 Unit
    tech              22.20      20.80      -6.31    Wedne esday shed 19.10 points, or 1.4 4%, to end at
                                                                                                      d
 Ship
    pping Corp        55.65      52.20      -6.20    1,313.3 The Nas
                                                            32.        sdaq Composite Index declined 33.63
 BGR Energy
   R                 302.30     284.05      -6.04
                                                     points, or 1.2%, to 2,837.36.
                                                                       o
 Suzl
    lon Energy        21.00      19.75      -5.95




Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                   (resea
                                                 arch@keyno
                                                          otecapitals.net)             (+912
                                                                                           22-3026600
                                                                                                    00)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                                                                     




 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c
    Countries /             Thursday                     Fr
                                                          riday                    Monday
                                                                                   M                          Tuesday
                                                                                                              T

   Reg
     gions                   31/
                               /May                       1/Jun
                                                          1                          4/Jun                      5/Jun

   Ind
     dia             GDP (Q4)                   Forex Res
                                                        serves Data
                                                                  a

                     Infrastruct
                               ture             Bank Loa Growth
                                                       an
                     Output



   US                GDP annualized (Q1)        Average Hourly             Factory Orders              ISM Non
                                                                                                             n-Mfg Index
                                                                                                                       x
                                                Earnings (YoY &
                                                MoM), Av
                                                       verage
                                                Weekly H
                                                       Hours
                     Initial jobless Claims     Nonfarm Payrolls,                                      ICSC-Go
                                                                                                             oldman Stor
                                                                                                                       re
                                                Unemployment Rate e                                    Sales
                                                Construct
                                                        tion
                                                Spending (MoM)
                                                       g
   Glo
     obal            Eurozone Consumer          UK Purchasing              UK Hous prices
                                                                                 se                    Germanny's
                     price inde
                              ex                Manager Index              data                        Purchassing Manage
                                                                                                                        er
                                                Manufactturing                                         Index Services




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                   eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont
                                                                                    c             n.          tent is attribu
                                                                                                                            utable to
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                    ess                       All                      cal          ains to the im
                                                                                                 mmediately preceding trad  ding day,
unless stated other
      s             rwise. Neithe the informa
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Keynote capitals india morning note may 31-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a g Thur rsday, May 3 2012 31, Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today • India markets fell yeste an s erday, dragged down by a Nam of Index me May 29 May 30 Change (%) ) 11.9 drop in T 9% Tata Motors stocks afte the auto m er maker Sensex 16,438.58 16,312.15 -0.77% repo orted disap ppointing quarterly earnings, while CNX Nifty X 4,990.10 4,950.75 -0.79% cauttion also pre evailed a da before GDP data an the ay G nd BSE Mid-cap 5,963.50 5,886.92 -1.28% expiry of deriva atives. BSE IT 5,625.39 5,646.54 0.38% • A reenewed fall in the rupee to near record lows BSE Banks 11,178.04 10,979.86 -1.77% conttributed to the weak s sentiment, as did the fall in a FII A Activity (`Cr) Asian shares, both becau use of inte ensifying w worries abou Spain's b ut banking wooes and its debt yields The s. Date e Buy Sell Net glob risk aversion has come at a time when inve bal estors 29-M May 1,593 1,405 187 are already worried about India's eco onomic and fiscal 28-M May 1,234 1,055 179 ook. outlo Tota May al 38,133 39,106 -974 • Vola atility ruled the roost a the mark as kets recover red to 2012 YTD 274,511 232,024 42488 hit fresh intrad f day highs in mid-afteernoon trad as de polit tical worries eased afte DMK chie M Karuna s er ef anidhi MF A Activity (`Cr) said that he never threatened the Centre of a pu ull-out Date e Buy Sell Net from the coalitio governm m on ment over pe etrol price h hike. 29-M May 241 363 -122 • Exce IT, all se ept ectoral indic ces closed on negative note o e 28-M May 342 211 130 with auto, cons sumer dura ables, real estate and bank Tota May al 7,713 7,544 167 stocks were ma ajor losers. 2012 YTD 52,707 58,639 -5933 • Mark breadth was weak at ~0.63x as investors sold ket mid and small cap stocks. On provissional basis, both , Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines FIIs and dome estic institutions sold bought eq quities NSE BSE wort `0.11bn a th and `1.82bn respective n, ely. Trad ding Volume (Cr) 54.71 16.29 • Asia markets drropped toda as US st ay, tocks fell sh harply Turn nover (`Cr) 9,062 1,737 overrnight on ffresh worri ies about Spain and Italy Advances 425 1,046 spar rked fears o a deterio of orating situ uation in Eu urope, Declines 1,047 1,654 and rising globa uncertain saw investors dum risk al nty mp asse ets. Unchanged 73 128 • We expect ano other gap down openin for the I ng Indian Tota al 1,545 2,828 markets, follow wing the w weak cues from the Asian Glob Markets bal markets. Howev ver, the inv vestors may keep their close y Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) watc on the G ch GDP data th hat is to be released today e DJIA A 12,419.86 -1.28% and country w wide protest called by the oppo y osition parties in India. NAS SDAQ 2,837.36 -1.17% Nikk * kei 8,474.57 -1.84% Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s Hang Seng * 18,437.30 -1.35% • CDM operators associatio Auspi rea MA on acted strongly to the Cellular Op perators As ssociation of India’s ( o (COAI) * as o 8.25AM IST of lette which h er has asked Finance Minister P Pranab Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s Mukherjee to ca ancel the du technolo ual ogy status of Tata Latest Previous Teleservices saying th hat the GSM operators Quote Close assoociation is presenting a misleading picture to serve g Indian Rupee per $ 56.20 55.61 vestted interest of its membbers. Indian Rupee per € 69.52 69.44 • Accoording to th NCAER M he MasterCard Worldwide Index NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 87.51 87.82 of Business Co B onfidence, t the confide ence of India Inc Gold ($/oz) d 1,561.40 1,563.40 incre eased by 7..7% over th previous quarter to 134.9 he Silve ($/oz) er 27.83 27.96 points in the March qua arter from 125.2 poinnts in January 2012. Keyn note Capitals Research h (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+91222-3026600 00) Keyynote Capita Research is also available on als h Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • Mahhindra Satya am has set up an exc t clusive delivery Previous Currennt Change centtre for ae erospace annd defence in Toulo e ouse, Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Frannce. Its second such in nvestment after setting up a g Container Corp 861.10 0 903.95 4.98 its first dedicaated aerosp pace centre in Hamb burg, Tech Mahindra h 664.65 5 689.90 3.80 Germany, in 20 008. Crom mpton Greav v 110.55 5 114.20 3.30 • The Vadodara MMunicipal Corporation (VMC) and GAIL Amb buja Cements s 146.20 0 150.70 3.08 have complete most o the form ed of malities for the Sun Pharma 565.65 5 581.25 2.76 prop posed joint venture co ompany in Gujarat, wwhich (BSE Mid-Cap) E aims at providi ing gas at lowest rates through p s piped connections to people in th city. he Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e • Guja arat State Fertilizers a and Chemic cals Ltd (GSFC) Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Guja arat Pipavav 56.30 58.95 4.71 has planned investments to the tune of `80 s 00Cr REI Agro 8.54 4 8.94 4.68 during fiscal 2013 to incrrease capac city and se up et Infot tech Enter 166.00 171.90 3.55 new projects fo various fe w or oducts including ertilisers pro Pres stige Estates 109.85 113.50 3.32 urea and di-am a mmonium ph hosphate (DA AP). Shriram City Uni 605.00 622.45 2.88 • Bata India will invest `15C for three years eac in a Cr e ch mod dernisation and expanssion of three existing pl e lants TOP LOSERS in Patna, Batannagar and Baangalore. (BSE A-Group) E • Ashok Leyland’ UK subsid ’s diary Optare has closed its e ckburn facili Blac ity. The mov is part of the compa ve f any’s Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e rest plan, which started in August 2009. tructuring p n Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Tata Motors a 275.90 0 243.35 5 -11.80 The Blackburn facility is Optare’s third factor to t ry Havells India 587.60 0 546.65 5 -6.97 dow its shutte wn ers. Unit tech 22.20 0 20.80 0 -6.31 US markets Unit ted Spirits 651.60 0 612.05 5 -6.07 US stoocks fell sha arply overnnight, wiping out the prior Suzl lon Energy 21.00 0 19.75 5 -5.95 session rally, as bond yields in Spain and Italy surged n’s a and po Greece adde to the uncertainty over olls out of G ed u (BSE Mid-Cap) E whethe it would r er remain in th euro zone he e. Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 160.83 D Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Havells India 587.60 546.65 -6.97 points, or 1.3%, t 12,419.8 The S&P 500 Index on to 86. P x Unit tech 22.20 20.80 -6.31 Wedne esday shed 19.10 points, or 1.4 4%, to end at d Ship pping Corp 55.65 52.20 -6.20 1,313.3 The Nas 32. sdaq Composite Index declined 33.63 BGR Energy R 302.30 284.05 -6.04 points, or 1.2%, to 2,837.36. o Suzl lon Energy 21.00 19.75 -5.95 Keyn note Capitals Research h (resea arch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+912 22-3026600 00)
  • 3.       India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Thursday Fr riday Monday M Tuesday T Reg gions 31/ /May 1/Jun 1 4/Jun 5/Jun Ind dia GDP (Q4) Forex Res serves Data a Infrastruct ture Bank Loa Growth an Output US GDP annualized (Q1) Average Hourly Factory Orders ISM Non n-Mfg Index x Earnings (YoY & MoM), Av verage Weekly H Hours Initial jobless Claims Nonfarm Payrolls, ICSC-Go oldman Stor re Unemployment Rate e Sales Construct tion Spending (MoM) g Glo obal Eurozone Consumer UK Purchasing UK Hous prices se Germanny's price inde ex Manager Index data Purchassing Manage er Manufactturing Index Services KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re eport. The rep port has not been edited due to time c d constraints.