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Presented by Erik Dunnigan, Deputy Secretary
Kentucky Cabinet for Economic Development
Kentucky’s
Global Economy
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE EDGES DOWNWARD
• Added 271,000 jobs in October
• Rate drops from 5.1% to 5%
• Lowest rate since April 2008
EXPORTS INCREASE AND IMPORTS DECREASE
• International trade balance improves by
$7.2 billion
• GDP growth continues at 1.5%
U.S. ECONOMIC INDICATORS IMPROVING
As the world’s second-largest economy, China’s output
and consumption rates impact global manufacturing.
PRESSING INTERNATIONAL FACTORS
6.5
7
7.5
8
12 13 14 15
Economic Growth Rate
CHINA
%
%
%
%
STOCK MARKET: WORLDWIDE DROP
Hang Seng
Nikkei
Dow
DAX
FTSE
MAJOR INDICES FELL IN THIRD QUARTER 2015
Markets have experienced increased volatility since
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
HESITANCY ON THE NATIONAL SCALE
Citing recent
market turmoil,
the Federal
Reserve
kept its
federal funds rate
near zero
last quarter.
Kentucky Economic Activity
GOVERNOR’S CUP - 2014
> KENTUCKY #1 NATIONALLY
PROJECTS PER CAPITA
> KENTUCKY 6th OVERALL
IN PROJECT ACTIVITY
1 Texas 26,448,193 2 of 50
2 Ohio 11,570,808 7 of 50
3 Illinois 12,882,135 5 of 50
4 N. Carolina 9,848,060 10 of 50
5 Georgia 9,992,167 8 of 50
6 KENTUCKY 4,395,295 26 OF 50
2014
Rank State Population Population Rank
Economic Momentum
Kentucky’s jobless rate in
September 2015 was 5%, the
LOWEST SINCE 2001.
$6.4 billion investment
Jan. 2014 – Oct. 2015, creating nearly
23,000 jobs
Kentucky’s GDP grew faster
than the U.S. 2007-2015
and economic activity is
the highest ever.
5%
More than 250 location
and expansion projects
announced through Oct.
2015.
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
NEW vs. EXPANDING INDUSTRY
ANNOUNCEMENTS 2009 - Oct. 2015
15%
85%
Project
Announcements
New Location Expansion
30%
70%
Jobs
New Location Expansion
18%
82%
Investment
New Location Expansion
THE RURAL IMPACT
49%
Announcements
40%
Jobs
44%
Investments
970 of 2000
TOTAL PROJECTS 2009 - Sept. 2015
$7.87 billion of $17.78 billion 31,809 of 80,228
Investment by Sector – 2009 – Oct. 2015
$966,020,809 | 129 ANNOUNCEMENTS
Chemical
Plastics & Rubber
Machinery Manufacturing
Food & Beverage
Motor Vehicle-Related
Distribution & Logistics
Research & Development
$1,739,715,561 | 110 ANNOUNCEMENTS
1,996,845,578 | 218 ANNOUNCEMENTS
$351,997,498 | 127 ANNOUNCEMENTS
$1,444,869,442 | 173 ANNOUNCEMENTS
$1,821,727,031 | 168 ANNOUNCEMENTS
$5,685,160,674 418 ANNOUNCEMENTS
MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY EMPLOYMENT
Kentucky's industry
employment
grew by 12.2%
Nationally, industry
employment
increased 5.7%
from 2010-2014
5.7% 12.2%
AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY EMPLOYMENT
Kentucky's industry employment grew by 72%
Industry employs 85,552 workers at 470+ establishments in Commonwealth
Nationally, industry employment
fell 26% since 1990
Assembly plant employment INCREASED 46%
Parts manufacturing INCREASED 87%
Body and trailer manufacturing INCREASED BY 110%
26%
72%
Expanding Global Opportunities
447
Internationally
owned
facilities
International Influence
33
Nations
89,500
Employees
of Kentucky’s announced investment
came from foreign direct investment
in 2014
30%
The percentage of Kentucky’s new jobs in 2014
from FDI
20%
THE STATE OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
IN KENTUCKY
$2.3
$27.7 billion in 2014
191 countries
Supports 125,000
Kentucky jobs
Through September 2015, 4.5
percent ahead of September
last year
On pace for $28 billion
in 2015
Shattering Export Records
for 5 Years
billion
$7.6
billion $2.3
billion
$1.7
billion
China
United Kingdom
Mexico
Canada
$2
billion
France
ENTREPRENEURSHIP
CREATING
A CULTURE
OF
Kentucky’s State
of Entrepreneurship
The State Entrepreneurship Index
(SEI) reflects a state’s entrepreneurship
environment, growth in business formation and
technological innovation. In just one
year, Kentucky rose 45 spots to No. 4 nationally.
> The Office of Entrepreneurship and the Kentucky
Innovation Network assisted more than 1,200
Kentucky clients between Jan. 2014 and Oct. 2015
with a variety of services, including:
 Small Business Tax Credit
 Angel Investment Tax Credit
 Angel Investors Network
 Small Business Credit Initiative
 Commonwealth Seed Capital Investors Summit
 Entrepreneur Pitch Competition
 Idea State U
 Governor’s School for Entrepreneurs
KENTUCKY INNOVATION NETWORK
SMALL BUSINESS ASSISTANCE
Kentucky Small
Business Tax Credit
$1 million in tax
credits have been awarded
40% awarded to small
businesses in rural counties
Kentucky Small Business
Credit Incentive
$10.1 million in loan support
$89.3 million leveraged
64% awarded to small
businesses in
rural counties
YOUTH DEVELOPMENT
NETWORK-
SPONSORED
EVENTS
IDEASTATEU
GOVERNOR’S SCHOOL
FOR ENTREPRENEURS
Creating Workforce Solutions
Kentucky’s Unemployment Rate
September Unemployment Rates in KY
5.5
7.1
10.7
10.0
9.2
8.1 7.9
5.8
5.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Kentucky’s Employment vs. Unemployment
June Employment/Unemployment in KY
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Unemployment 101,857 133,284 207,607 196,583 186,986 160,173 158,695 109,423 88,140
Employment 1,923,112 1,898,619 1,844,842 1,854,744 1,871,803 1,902,313 1,897,634 1,875,377 1,840,833
1,700,000
1,750,000
1,800,000
1,850,000
1,900,000
1,950,000
2,000,000
2,050,000
2,100,000
Total Workforce
Employment
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Total Workforce 2,024,969 2,031,903 2,052,449 2,051,327 2,058,789 2,062,486 2,056,330 1,984,800 1,928,973
FILLING THE SKILLS GAP
With U.S. economic growth
on a firmer footing, and demand
ticking up, the AVAILABILITY OF
SKILLED LABOR has become
the #1 factor in site decisions,
according to the latest survey of company
executives by Area Development magazine.
125 Company Members
75 Companies currently
sponsoring students
147 Current Students
65 Graduates
Owensboro
Florence
Bowling Green
Somerset
Mayfield
Hopkinsville
Madisonville
Elizabethtown
Springfield
Georgetown
Danville
Louisville
Maysville
Pikeville
Shelbyville
Budget Expenditures & Projections
Personnel
GROWTH PLANS
Personnel &
Partnerships
Entrepreneurship
/ Business
Development
International
Workforce
Marketing
Next Biennium Potential Request
(FY 16-17 and FY17-18)
THANK YOU

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Kentucky's Global Economy

  • 1. Presented by Erik Dunnigan, Deputy Secretary Kentucky Cabinet for Economic Development Kentucky’s Global Economy
  • 2. UNEMPLOYMENT RATE EDGES DOWNWARD • Added 271,000 jobs in October • Rate drops from 5.1% to 5% • Lowest rate since April 2008 EXPORTS INCREASE AND IMPORTS DECREASE • International trade balance improves by $7.2 billion • GDP growth continues at 1.5% U.S. ECONOMIC INDICATORS IMPROVING
  • 3. As the world’s second-largest economy, China’s output and consumption rates impact global manufacturing. PRESSING INTERNATIONAL FACTORS 6.5 7 7.5 8 12 13 14 15 Economic Growth Rate CHINA % % % %
  • 4. STOCK MARKET: WORLDWIDE DROP Hang Seng Nikkei Dow DAX FTSE MAJOR INDICES FELL IN THIRD QUARTER 2015 Markets have experienced increased volatility since 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000
  • 5. HESITANCY ON THE NATIONAL SCALE Citing recent market turmoil, the Federal Reserve kept its federal funds rate near zero last quarter.
  • 7. GOVERNOR’S CUP - 2014 > KENTUCKY #1 NATIONALLY PROJECTS PER CAPITA > KENTUCKY 6th OVERALL IN PROJECT ACTIVITY 1 Texas 26,448,193 2 of 50 2 Ohio 11,570,808 7 of 50 3 Illinois 12,882,135 5 of 50 4 N. Carolina 9,848,060 10 of 50 5 Georgia 9,992,167 8 of 50 6 KENTUCKY 4,395,295 26 OF 50 2014 Rank State Population Population Rank
  • 8. Economic Momentum Kentucky’s jobless rate in September 2015 was 5%, the LOWEST SINCE 2001. $6.4 billion investment Jan. 2014 – Oct. 2015, creating nearly 23,000 jobs Kentucky’s GDP grew faster than the U.S. 2007-2015 and economic activity is the highest ever. 5% More than 250 location and expansion projects announced through Oct. 2015. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • 9. NEW vs. EXPANDING INDUSTRY ANNOUNCEMENTS 2009 - Oct. 2015 15% 85% Project Announcements New Location Expansion 30% 70% Jobs New Location Expansion 18% 82% Investment New Location Expansion
  • 10. THE RURAL IMPACT 49% Announcements 40% Jobs 44% Investments 970 of 2000 TOTAL PROJECTS 2009 - Sept. 2015 $7.87 billion of $17.78 billion 31,809 of 80,228
  • 11. Investment by Sector – 2009 – Oct. 2015 $966,020,809 | 129 ANNOUNCEMENTS Chemical Plastics & Rubber Machinery Manufacturing Food & Beverage Motor Vehicle-Related Distribution & Logistics Research & Development $1,739,715,561 | 110 ANNOUNCEMENTS 1,996,845,578 | 218 ANNOUNCEMENTS $351,997,498 | 127 ANNOUNCEMENTS $1,444,869,442 | 173 ANNOUNCEMENTS $1,821,727,031 | 168 ANNOUNCEMENTS $5,685,160,674 418 ANNOUNCEMENTS
  • 12. MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY EMPLOYMENT Kentucky's industry employment grew by 12.2% Nationally, industry employment increased 5.7% from 2010-2014 5.7% 12.2%
  • 13. AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY EMPLOYMENT Kentucky's industry employment grew by 72% Industry employs 85,552 workers at 470+ establishments in Commonwealth Nationally, industry employment fell 26% since 1990 Assembly plant employment INCREASED 46% Parts manufacturing INCREASED 87% Body and trailer manufacturing INCREASED BY 110% 26% 72%
  • 16. of Kentucky’s announced investment came from foreign direct investment in 2014 30% The percentage of Kentucky’s new jobs in 2014 from FDI 20% THE STATE OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN KENTUCKY
  • 17. $2.3 $27.7 billion in 2014 191 countries Supports 125,000 Kentucky jobs Through September 2015, 4.5 percent ahead of September last year On pace for $28 billion in 2015 Shattering Export Records for 5 Years billion $7.6 billion $2.3 billion $1.7 billion China United Kingdom Mexico Canada $2 billion France
  • 19. Kentucky’s State of Entrepreneurship The State Entrepreneurship Index (SEI) reflects a state’s entrepreneurship environment, growth in business formation and technological innovation. In just one year, Kentucky rose 45 spots to No. 4 nationally.
  • 20. > The Office of Entrepreneurship and the Kentucky Innovation Network assisted more than 1,200 Kentucky clients between Jan. 2014 and Oct. 2015 with a variety of services, including:  Small Business Tax Credit  Angel Investment Tax Credit  Angel Investors Network  Small Business Credit Initiative  Commonwealth Seed Capital Investors Summit  Entrepreneur Pitch Competition  Idea State U  Governor’s School for Entrepreneurs KENTUCKY INNOVATION NETWORK
  • 21. SMALL BUSINESS ASSISTANCE Kentucky Small Business Tax Credit $1 million in tax credits have been awarded 40% awarded to small businesses in rural counties Kentucky Small Business Credit Incentive $10.1 million in loan support $89.3 million leveraged 64% awarded to small businesses in rural counties
  • 24. Kentucky’s Unemployment Rate September Unemployment Rates in KY 5.5 7.1 10.7 10.0 9.2 8.1 7.9 5.8 5.0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • 25. Kentucky’s Employment vs. Unemployment June Employment/Unemployment in KY 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Unemployment 101,857 133,284 207,607 196,583 186,986 160,173 158,695 109,423 88,140 Employment 1,923,112 1,898,619 1,844,842 1,854,744 1,871,803 1,902,313 1,897,634 1,875,377 1,840,833 1,700,000 1,750,000 1,800,000 1,850,000 1,900,000 1,950,000 2,000,000 2,050,000 2,100,000 Total Workforce Employment Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Total Workforce 2,024,969 2,031,903 2,052,449 2,051,327 2,058,789 2,062,486 2,056,330 1,984,800 1,928,973
  • 26. FILLING THE SKILLS GAP With U.S. economic growth on a firmer footing, and demand ticking up, the AVAILABILITY OF SKILLED LABOR has become the #1 factor in site decisions, according to the latest survey of company executives by Area Development magazine.
  • 27. 125 Company Members 75 Companies currently sponsoring students 147 Current Students 65 Graduates Owensboro Florence Bowling Green Somerset Mayfield Hopkinsville Madisonville Elizabethtown Springfield Georgetown Danville Louisville Maysville Pikeville Shelbyville
  • 28. Budget Expenditures & Projections
  • 30. GROWTH PLANS Personnel & Partnerships Entrepreneurship / Business Development International Workforce Marketing Next Biennium Potential Request (FY 16-17 and FY17-18)