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© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
John Enoch
Principal Technical Business Development Manager, Amazon Web Services
Mark Trevor
Partner, Cushman & Wakefield
Cloud Choices: Quantifying the Cost
and Risk Implications of Cloud
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
Your next 40 minutes: What to expect
• Transformational IT projects statistically fail:
Why? Is failure an option? What is your risk appetite?
• Perception of problems determines outcomes:
How can organisations best approach cloud adoption as a key decision?
• Methods for quantifying cost, risk and value:
How to mitigate risk and reduce cloud migration costs? Example: Data
Centre exit. Presented by Mark Trevor, Partner Cushman & Wakefield
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
Cost & Risk in Cloud Choices:
“How you think is what you get”
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
Alan Shepard,
Apollo 14 Astronaut
“ It's a very sobering feeling to be
up in space and realize that
one's safety factor was
determined by the lowest bidder
on a government contract.”
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
© 2017, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
Is your status quo disrupted (even sustainable)?
Big IT platform
Small cloud
2018 2021
? ?
Status quo Evolution Transformation
Small IT platform
Big cloud
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
Playing the house. What are your odds in IT?
Standish Group’s Chaos Report
Source: Standish Group Chaos Report: Decision Latency Theory, 2018
• Success = delivered on
[time, budget, to
expectations]
• Validates “Keep IT
Simple” thinking
• Decision speed is critical
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
Value in Decisions: Speed > Quality
Decision
Latency
Source: Standish Group Chaos Report: Decision Latency Theory, 2018
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OODA_loop
Entropy
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
7 Cloud Choices that impact RISK
1. Focus on technology, not business impact
2. Accountability and KPIs
3. Learnings (reflected in the business case)
4. Importance of planning head
5. Stakeholder consensus
6. Leadership: managing & motivating
7. Execution capabilities: talent, tools & techniques
Discenza, R. & Forman, J. B. (2007). Seven causes of project failure: how to recognize them and
how to initiate project recovery. Paper presented at PMI® Global Congress 2007—North America,
Atlanta, GA. Newtown Square, PA: Project Management Institute.
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
Your decisiveness (i.e. decision latency) is… ?
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
LEADERSHIP
BUSINESS CASE
TEAM CONSENSUS
ACCOUNTABILITYURGENCY
IMPORTANCE
CAPABILITY
CHANGE READINESS SELF-ASSESSMENT
AWS tool: Can we help?
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
Customers that AWS supports with a
business case adopt cloud about
60% faster than those who don’t.
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
© 2017, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
HOW?
WHY? WHAT? WHEN?
Change IT platform? Cloud?
“Hybrid”?
On-premise?
Which partner(s)?
Capability & systems upgrades?
Application due diligence?
Governance?
Project planning?
Which supplier(s)?
Where is the customer in their decision cycle?
Analysis:
Cost, Risk, value?
Window of opportunity?
Important to Urgent?
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
Cost & Risk in Cloud Choices:
“How you act is what you get”
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
Challenge linear progression maturity models
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
How suppliers think about you = how they act
“For decades, we have relied on the
old, sequential lifecycle model to
help plan and budget our activities
in each stage, moving customers
sequentially across each of those
stages.
Now that our buyers have higher
expectations and are self-
educating, our marketing needs to
become more personalized and
respond to individual behaviors. ”
https://blog.marketo.com/2016/11/the-evolution-of-the-customer-lifecycle.html
Relationships are
iterative & agile
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
© 2017, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
35,000,000
40,000,000
45,000,000
Yr	1 Yr	2 Yr	3 Yr	4 Yr	5 Yr	6 Yr	7
Total	in-house	cost	per	year Total	AWS	cost	per	year
Total	in-house	cost	to	date Total	AWS	cost	to	date
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
14,000,000
16,000,000
18,000,000
20,000,000
Yr	1 Yr	2 Yr	3 Yr	4 Yr	5 Yr	6 Yr	7
Total	in-house	cost	per	year Total	AWS	cost	per	year
Total	in-house	cost	to	date Total	AWS	cost	to	date
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
14,000,000
16,000,000
18,000,000
20,000,000
Yr	1 Yr	2 Yr	3 Yr	4 Yr	5 Yr	6 Yr	7
Total	in-house	cost	per	year Total	AWS	cost	per	year
Total	in-house	cost	to	date Total	AWS	cost	to	date
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
RESERVED
INSTANCES
SPOT
INSTANCES
Illustrative
TCO, trade-offs and tipping point
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
APPLICATION
CHOICES
INFRASTRUCTURE
INFLATION
PEOPLE & TALENT
INNOVATION
DECOMM
INSURANCE
PROCUREMENT
Cost
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
• Financial metrics (ROCE,
EBITDA…)
• Security posture
• Cost of change/inertia
• Talent &
Knowledge
• Org. Change
• “Lock-in”
• IT Assets: Gap between Book & Market value
Risk
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
APPLICATIONS
INFRASTRUCTURE
CULTURE
PEOPLE & TALENT
FINANCE,
GRC
SUPPLIERS
BUSINESS
INTELLIGENCE
LEADERSHIP
Productivity
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
Methods for Measuring
“What you inspect is what you get”
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
Arthur Stephenson,
Chairman, Investigation Board
“The 'root cause' of the loss
of the spacecraft was the
failed translation of English
units into metric units”
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
AWS Cloud Economics Tools & Method
ANCHORING THE
BUSINESS PROBLEM
RISK APPETITE
AND DECISION
CULTURE
21
VALUE ANALYSIS
AND CLOUD
ECONOMICS
APPLICATION
MIGRATION
ANALYSIS
3 4
STRATEGIC
DECISION
OPTIMISATION
& BENEFITS
REALISATION
5 6
Problem & Objectives…. Options & Outcomes…. Trade-Offs & Tracking
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
Which IT
Platform?
How to use
IT?
How to exit
legacy IT?
Cost
Reduction
Agility
IT
Performance
Productivity
Structuring cause & effect in a decision
Decisions Uncertainties Value Outcome
Operate
Customer
Needs
Business
Case
Change
Project
(discovery, plan,
Design, Build)
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
E.g. A systems view of Mass Migrations
Which IT
Platform?
How to use IT?
How to exit
legacy IT?
Cost
Reduction
Agility
IT
Performance
Productivity
Customer
Needs
Business
Case
Innovation
Operate &
Optimise
Decision
Outcome
Uncertainty
Change Project
(suppliers, discovery, plan,
design, build)
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
© 2017, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
1. Measure Impact
Operational
Financial QRM*
*QRM: “Quality and risk management”
QRM*
K
P
I
s
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
© 2017, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
2. Optimise Cost & Usage
a. Change Org. Process?
b. Exit legacy IT assets? Retire apps?
1. Pricing: Cost vs Commitment
Reserved
Instances
On
Demand
Spot
2.Transparency:
Tag,
Trigger,
Report,
Automate.
3. Key Decisions
© 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved.
Thank You
johnenoc@amazon.co.uk

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Cloud choices johnenoch_theatre1_session3_1335

  • 1. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. John Enoch Principal Technical Business Development Manager, Amazon Web Services Mark Trevor Partner, Cushman & Wakefield Cloud Choices: Quantifying the Cost and Risk Implications of Cloud
  • 2. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Your next 40 minutes: What to expect • Transformational IT projects statistically fail: Why? Is failure an option? What is your risk appetite? • Perception of problems determines outcomes: How can organisations best approach cloud adoption as a key decision? • Methods for quantifying cost, risk and value: How to mitigate risk and reduce cloud migration costs? Example: Data Centre exit. Presented by Mark Trevor, Partner Cushman & Wakefield
  • 3. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Cost & Risk in Cloud Choices: “How you think is what you get”
  • 4. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Alan Shepard, Apollo 14 Astronaut “ It's a very sobering feeling to be up in space and realize that one's safety factor was determined by the lowest bidder on a government contract.”
  • 5. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. © 2017, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Is your status quo disrupted (even sustainable)? Big IT platform Small cloud 2018 2021 ? ? Status quo Evolution Transformation Small IT platform Big cloud
  • 6. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Playing the house. What are your odds in IT? Standish Group’s Chaos Report Source: Standish Group Chaos Report: Decision Latency Theory, 2018 • Success = delivered on [time, budget, to expectations] • Validates “Keep IT Simple” thinking • Decision speed is critical
  • 7. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Value in Decisions: Speed > Quality Decision Latency Source: Standish Group Chaos Report: Decision Latency Theory, 2018 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OODA_loop Entropy
  • 8. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. 7 Cloud Choices that impact RISK 1. Focus on technology, not business impact 2. Accountability and KPIs 3. Learnings (reflected in the business case) 4. Importance of planning head 5. Stakeholder consensus 6. Leadership: managing & motivating 7. Execution capabilities: talent, tools & techniques Discenza, R. & Forman, J. B. (2007). Seven causes of project failure: how to recognize them and how to initiate project recovery. Paper presented at PMI® Global Congress 2007—North America, Atlanta, GA. Newtown Square, PA: Project Management Institute.
  • 9. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Your decisiveness (i.e. decision latency) is… ? 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% LEADERSHIP BUSINESS CASE TEAM CONSENSUS ACCOUNTABILITYURGENCY IMPORTANCE CAPABILITY CHANGE READINESS SELF-ASSESSMENT AWS tool: Can we help?
  • 10. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Customers that AWS supports with a business case adopt cloud about 60% faster than those who don’t.
  • 11. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. © 2017, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. HOW? WHY? WHAT? WHEN? Change IT platform? Cloud? “Hybrid”? On-premise? Which partner(s)? Capability & systems upgrades? Application due diligence? Governance? Project planning? Which supplier(s)? Where is the customer in their decision cycle? Analysis: Cost, Risk, value? Window of opportunity? Important to Urgent?
  • 12. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Cost & Risk in Cloud Choices: “How you act is what you get”
  • 13. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Challenge linear progression maturity models
  • 14. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. How suppliers think about you = how they act “For decades, we have relied on the old, sequential lifecycle model to help plan and budget our activities in each stage, moving customers sequentially across each of those stages. Now that our buyers have higher expectations and are self- educating, our marketing needs to become more personalized and respond to individual behaviors. ” https://blog.marketo.com/2016/11/the-evolution-of-the-customer-lifecycle.html Relationships are iterative & agile
  • 15. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. © 2017, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. 0 5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000 20,000,000 25,000,000 30,000,000 35,000,000 40,000,000 45,000,000 Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6 Yr 7 Total in-house cost per year Total AWS cost per year Total in-house cost to date Total AWS cost to date 0 2,000,000 4,000,000 6,000,000 8,000,000 10,000,000 12,000,000 14,000,000 16,000,000 18,000,000 20,000,000 Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6 Yr 7 Total in-house cost per year Total AWS cost per year Total in-house cost to date Total AWS cost to date 0 2,000,000 4,000,000 6,000,000 8,000,000 10,000,000 12,000,000 14,000,000 16,000,000 18,000,000 20,000,000 Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6 Yr 7 Total in-house cost per year Total AWS cost per year Total in-house cost to date Total AWS cost to date ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ RESERVED INSTANCES SPOT INSTANCES Illustrative TCO, trade-offs and tipping point
  • 16. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. APPLICATION CHOICES INFRASTRUCTURE INFLATION PEOPLE & TALENT INNOVATION DECOMM INSURANCE PROCUREMENT Cost
  • 17. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. • Financial metrics (ROCE, EBITDA…) • Security posture • Cost of change/inertia • Talent & Knowledge • Org. Change • “Lock-in” • IT Assets: Gap between Book & Market value Risk
  • 18. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. APPLICATIONS INFRASTRUCTURE CULTURE PEOPLE & TALENT FINANCE, GRC SUPPLIERS BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE LEADERSHIP Productivity
  • 19. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Methods for Measuring “What you inspect is what you get”
  • 20. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Arthur Stephenson, Chairman, Investigation Board “The 'root cause' of the loss of the spacecraft was the failed translation of English units into metric units”
  • 21. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. AWS Cloud Economics Tools & Method ANCHORING THE BUSINESS PROBLEM RISK APPETITE AND DECISION CULTURE 21 VALUE ANALYSIS AND CLOUD ECONOMICS APPLICATION MIGRATION ANALYSIS 3 4 STRATEGIC DECISION OPTIMISATION & BENEFITS REALISATION 5 6 Problem & Objectives…. Options & Outcomes…. Trade-Offs & Tracking
  • 22. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Which IT Platform? How to use IT? How to exit legacy IT? Cost Reduction Agility IT Performance Productivity Structuring cause & effect in a decision Decisions Uncertainties Value Outcome Operate Customer Needs Business Case Change Project (discovery, plan, Design, Build)
  • 23. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. E.g. A systems view of Mass Migrations Which IT Platform? How to use IT? How to exit legacy IT? Cost Reduction Agility IT Performance Productivity Customer Needs Business Case Innovation Operate & Optimise Decision Outcome Uncertainty Change Project (suppliers, discovery, plan, design, build)
  • 24. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. © 2017, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. 1. Measure Impact Operational Financial QRM* *QRM: “Quality and risk management” QRM* K P I s
  • 25. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. © 2017, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. 2. Optimise Cost & Usage a. Change Org. Process? b. Exit legacy IT assets? Retire apps? 1. Pricing: Cost vs Commitment Reserved Instances On Demand Spot 2.Transparency: Tag, Trigger, Report, Automate. 3. Key Decisions
  • 26. © 2018, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Thank You johnenoc@amazon.co.uk