This document discusses global challenges and prospects for the future. It outlines 15 major global challenges facing the world today, such as sustainable development, clean water access, climate change, and more. It presents the current situation for each challenge as well as the desired situation. It then discusses the development of a Global Futures Intelligence System to help address these challenges through collective intelligence and ongoing analysis. This system would gather input from experts worldwide and use tools like forecasting models to study long-term global trends and produce just-in-time knowledge to help with decision making. The goal is for this system to help "win the race" between implementing solutions and the increasing complexity of global problems.

1. Global Situation
And
Prospects for the Future
Jerome C. Glenn
The Millennium Project

2. ever-increasing ways to improve the human
condition
The World is in a Race
Between implementing
and the seemingly ever-increasing complexity and scale of global
problems.
Global Collective Intelligence can help…
Win the Race

3. How can sustainable development be achieved for
all while addressing global climate change?
1
How can everyone have sufficient clean water
without conflict?
2
How can population growth and resources be
brought into balance?
3
How can genuine democracy emerge from
authoritarian regimes?
4
How can policymaking be made more
sensitive to global long-term
perspectives?
5
How can the global convergence of
information and communications
technologies work for everyone?
6
How can ethical market economies be
encouraged to help reduce the gap between
rich and poor?
7
How can the threat of new and reemerging
diseases and immune microorganisms be
reduced?
8
How can the capacity to decide be improved as the
nature of work and institutions change?
9
How can shared values and new security
strategies reduce ethnic conflicts, terrorism, and
the use of weapons of mass destruction?
10
How can the changing status of
women improve the human condition?
11
How can transnational organized crime
networks be stopped from becoming
more powerful and sophisticated global
enterprises?
12
How can growing energy demands be
met safely and efficiently?
13
How can scientific and technological
breakthroughs be accelerated to improve
the human condition?
14
How can ethical considerations become more
routinely incorporated into global decisions?
15
How can sustainable development be achieved for all
while addressing global climate change?
How can everyone have sufficient clean water
without conflict?
How can population growth and resources be
brought into balance?
How can genuine democracy emerge
from authoritarian regimes?
How can decisionmaking be
enhanced by integrating improved
global foresight during
unprecedented accelerating
change?How can the global convergence of
information and communications
technologies work for everyone?
How can ethical market economies be
encouraged to help reduce the gap
between rich and poor?
How can the threat of new and reemerging
diseases and immune microorganisms be
reduced?
How can education make humanity more
intelligent, knowledgeable, and wise enough to
address its global challenges?
How can shared values and new security
strategies reduce ethnic conflicts, terrorism,
and the use of weapons of mass destruction?
How can the changing status of
women improve the human
condition?
How can growing energy demands
be met safely and efficiently?
How can scientific and technological
breakthroughs be accelerated to improve
the human condition?
How can ethical considerations become more
routinely incorporated into global decisions?
How can transnational organized crime
networks be stopped from becoming
more powerful and sophisticated global
enterprises?
Framework for understanding Global Change: 15 Global Challenges

4. 2013 State of the Future Index

5. WorldWorld
Report CardReport Card
Where are
We Winning?

6. Where are We Losing?
WorldWorld
Report CardReport Card

7. What is Unclear or not Changing?
WorldWorld
Report CardReport Card

8. High Impact/Synergetic Actions affecting
4 or more Global Challenges
1. Establish a U.S.-China 10-year environmental security goal to reduce climate change and
improve trust. (1,2,3,5,10,13,14)
2. Grow meat without growing animals, to reduce water demand and GHG emissions.
(1,2,3,13,15)
3. Develop seawater agriculture for biofuels, carbon sink, and food without rain. (1,2,3,13,)
4. Build global collective intelligence systems for input to long-range strategic plans. (1-15)
5. Create tele-nations connecting brains overseas to the development process back home.
(4,6,7,8,9,11,14)
6. Establish trans-institutions for more effective implementation of strategies. (1-15)
7. Detail and implement a global counter-organized crime strategy. (4,7,11,12,15)
8. Use the State of the Future Index as an alternative to GDP as a measure of progress for the
world and nations. (1-15)

9. Executive Summary
Chapter 1 – 15 Global Challenges
Chapter 2 – Hidden Hunger
Chapter 3 – Coast Zones
Chapter 4 – Lone Wolf and SIMAD
Chapter 5 – Global Futures
Intelligence System
247 Pages over 50 charts and graphs

10. New this
year are
info
graphics
for all 15
Global
Challenges
on-line
version

12. 4. Reduce the likelihood of SIMADs
Potential Global
Assessment by The
Millennium Project

13. 1. Human Brains: Ideally 100 Reviewers per Global Challenge
plus subscribers and 50+ Nodes around the world
2. Data, Information, Intelligence, maybe wisdom: 10,000+
pages of futures research by The Millennium Project
3. Software: Real-time Delphi (exert and crowd sourcing), State
of the Future Index, Computer Models, Text and Data Mining
Global Futures Intelligence System

14. Collective Intelligence
• It emerges from the integration
and synergies among
• data/info/knowledge
• software/hardware
• experts and others with insight
• that continually learns from
feedback
• to produce just in time knowledge
for better decisions
• than these elements acting alone.

15. An Application of Collective Intelligence:
Go to the Wi-Fi, if not,
then continue slides

16. Menu for each Global Challenge & Groups
1. Situation Chart: Current Situation; Desired Situation; and Policies
2. Report (detailed text) on the challenge from State of the Future
3. News items (automatic news feeds – searchable)
4. Scanning (annotated, rated information)
5. On-going Real-Time Delphi questionnaires to collect expert judgments
6. Public comments
7. Discussion groups
8. Computer models (mathematical and rules-based), and conceptual models
9. Resources: websites, books, papers, videos
10. Updates – all edits
11. Digests – Recent scans, edits, discussions

19. … May become a TransInstitution
The Millennium
Project

20. 50+ Millennium Project Nodes...
Nodes identify participants, translate questionnaires and reports, and conduct interviews,
special research, workshops, symposiums, and advanced training.
are groups of experts and institutions that connect global and local views in:

21. For further information:
Jerome.Glenn@
Millennium-Project.org
202-686-5179
StateoftheFuture.org
themp.org
Global Futures
Intelligence System

22. For further information
The Millennium Project
4421 Garrison Street, NW,
Washington, D.C. 20016 USA
+1-202-686-5179 phone/fax
Jerome.Glenn@Millennium-Project.org
www.StateoftheFuture.org
www.themp.org (Global Futures Intelligence System)