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Global Vision, Future Technologies,
and Collective Intelligence for
Global Collaboration
Testing and Certification Forum for the 50th
Anniversary of the Korean Testing Laboratory (KTL)
Jerome C. Glenn, CEO The Millennium Project
When this
begins to
happen, the
speed of
increasing AI’s
intelligence will
be far faster
and produce
more change
than Moore’s
Law
by responding to feedback from
sensor networks worldwide,
will accelerate AI’s intelligence
worldwide… moment by moment
Artificial Intelligence … that can autonomously
“write” and improve its code…
Computational Science
Computational biology
Computational Chemistry
Computational PhysicsAll accelerated with Moore’s Law AND
autonomous AI programing worldwide
What is possible… will change
Moore’s Law
+
Artificial Intelligence acceleration
+
Computational science
These three together will change what we think is possible.
Old Way of Seeing Future
Technologies
Artificial
Intelligence
Robotic
manufacturing
Computational Science
3-D4-D Priting
Nanotechnology
Quantum computing
Synthetic Biology
Drones
Artificial General
Intelligence
Tele-Everything &
Tele-Everybody
the SemanticWeb
Future Way of Seeing Future
Technologies - Integration/Synergies
Future Technology Synergies
Robotic
manufacturing
Drones
Quantum
computing
Robotic
manufacturing
3D,4D Printing
Augmented Reality
Tele-Presence,
Holographics
Nanotechnology
Artificial General
Intelligence
Tele-Everything
Tele-Everybody
the SemanticWeb
Increasing
individual and
collective
intelligence
Synthetic Biology
Nanotechnology
Future Technology Synergies
Artificial
Intelligence
Robotic
manufacturing
Quantum
computing
Drones
Future
Technology
Robotic
manufacturing
3D,4D Printing
Augmented Reality,
Tele-Presence,
Holographics
Future Tech Emerges from Synergies
Artificial
Intelligence
Build
Environment
Biology Technology
If Then Nano-
technology
Synthetic
Biology
Artificial
Intelligence
Robotics 3-D Printing Augmented
Reality
Nano-
technology xxx
Synthetic
Biology xxx
Artificial
Intelligence xxx
Robotics
xxx
3-D Printing
xxx
Augmented
Reality xxx
EmergingTechnologies Matrix
Some near-term
Future Technological Changes
2017 HP’s Multi Jet Fusion 3D printer…. has 30,000 nozzles spraying
350 million drops a second of thermoplastic or other powdered
materials… Imagine a factory composed of 10,000 of these 3D Printers
A 4-ounce metal chain
link was printed in half
an hour and then tested
to withstand 10,000 lbs
Since 3D will evolve so
fast, then is it software
that is tested before
printing?
Bio Printer:
Industrial
testing and
medical
testing.
Prints body parts for
medical experiments
using compressed air
to force biomaterial
out layer by layer
Synthetic Biology – mixing species DNA
Microprobes to eat the plaque in your brain?
Produce hydrogen instead of CO2 in plants?
Maker Movement – Do It Yourself
Hi-Tech Community Hubs
How to integrate quality
control and testing?
Plastic waste of one process can be
input to carbon nanotube production
Industrial ecology
Waste water --> Algae input to --> Pure Meat
without Growing Animals
August 5, 2013 a London chef cooked and served
hamburgers without growing/killing a cow.
Leather without Growing Animals
Cloud Manufacturing and Intelligent
Networks … Across national boundaries
• Software integration in the cloud of all elements of value chain,
testing, production, sales, feedback, and re-design
• Keeps management of supply chain at the innovation edge
• Integrates with the Internet of Things (IoT) on a dynamic basis
• Using common digital manufacturing standards
Smart Contact Lens – always in Virtual
Reality connected to the word
Hands-free
manufacturing
Brain-to-cloud robotic
manufacturing tomorrow?
Brain-to-Brain interface demonstrated
How to prevent industrial spying and
sabotage?
The Internet of Things also means that
every-one and everything is vulnerable
to hacking
Will our artificial Brains out think us?
Artificial Intelligence
1. Artificial Narrow Intelligence
2. Artificial General Intelligence
3. Artificial Super Intelligence
Future of Work?
Humans Augmented by technology
….rather than replaced by it?
If you can’t beat AI,
why not join with it?
…and evolve together?
Without major socio-economic changes…
unemployment will grow around the world
Future Work/Tech
2050
Millennium Project
survey of 300 Futures
from over 30 counties
We will change the
nature of work,
employment, and
economics
(Since ILO numbers are
low, these could double)
One-Person
Businesses
Find markets around
the world for what
you are interested in
doing
….not non-existing
jobs
What might this
look like in …
2020
2030
2040
2050?
Will we create our own Avatars in the Digital
World to be our Cyber-selves? Cyber-Clones?
Finding unique
exciting work for
us while we
sleep?
Could testing
programs have
such Avatars
connected to
IoT to improve
every moment ?
Where is all this change going?
What kind of future could emerge?
What’s the future vision?
Humans becoming cyborgs
2020
2025
2030
2050
Conscious-Technology
Built environment becoming intelligent
When the distinction between
these two mega trends becomes
blurred, we will have reached the
Post-Information Age
Consciousness
Technology
Technology Changes Consciousness and
Consciousness Changes Technology
Simplification/Generalization of History
and an Alternative Future
Age /
Element Product Power Wealth Place War Time
Agricultural
Extraction
Food/Res Religion Land Earth/Res Location Cyclical
Industrial Machine Nation-State Capital Factory Resources Linear
Information Info/serv Corporation Access Office Perception Flexible
Conscious-
Technology
Linkage Individual Being Motion Identity Invented
How to keep all this information together?
…And anticipate future changes?
Collective Intelligence Systems:
Each Can Change the Other
Menu Options for each Challenge
Menu for each Challenge
1. Situation Chart: Current Situation; Desired Situation; and Policies
2. Report (detailed text)
3. News items (automatic news feeds – aggregated and searchable)
4. Scanning (annotated, rated information)
5. On-going Real-Time Delphi questionnaires to collect expert judgments
6. Comments
7. Discussion groups
8. Computer models (mathematical and rules-based), and conceptual models
9. Resources: websites, books, papers, videos
10. Updates – all edits
11. Digests – Recent scans, edits, discussions
Collective Intelligence Systems for
Korea Testing Laboratory KTL
• Support KTL to become a global institute
• Help keep track and anticipate change
• Unite functions, foresight, strategy, and programs
• Provide a common platform for a “Whole-of-KTL”
response to future challenges
• Identify new opportunities; strategic investments for KTL
• Invite experts and creative people to participate in
building a “brain” for the future of KTL
Additional future methods
and considerations
• Testing via computation engineering – simulations (e.g., atomic bomb tests) and
VR displays for testing with computational engineering simulation testing
• AI replacing skilled human testers
• Ultra sonic methods and imaging
• Online real-time continuous testing (radiography, thermography, shearography)
• Citizen science, intelligent urban environmental infrastructures.
• Synergetic advantage may be the new Competitive Advantage (as integration
advances accelerate)
• Since 3D will go so fast, then is it software that is tested before printing?
• Citizen science and testing?
• One set of international ethics standards seems evolving with ISO
For further information
Jerome C. Glenn
+1-202-686-5179 phone/fax
Jerome.Glenn@Millennium-Project.org
www.StateoftheFuture.org
Global Futures Intelligence System:
http://millennium-project.org/millennium/GFIS.html
2015-16 State of the Future:
http://millennium-project.org/millennium/201516SOF.html
Futures Research Methodology 3.0:
http://millennium-project.org/millennium/FRM-V3.html

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50th Anniversary Keynote for Korean Testing Laboratory

  • 1. Global Vision, Future Technologies, and Collective Intelligence for Global Collaboration Testing and Certification Forum for the 50th Anniversary of the Korean Testing Laboratory (KTL) Jerome C. Glenn, CEO The Millennium Project
  • 2. When this begins to happen, the speed of increasing AI’s intelligence will be far faster and produce more change than Moore’s Law by responding to feedback from sensor networks worldwide, will accelerate AI’s intelligence worldwide… moment by moment Artificial Intelligence … that can autonomously “write” and improve its code…
  • 3. Computational Science Computational biology Computational Chemistry Computational PhysicsAll accelerated with Moore’s Law AND autonomous AI programing worldwide
  • 4. What is possible… will change Moore’s Law + Artificial Intelligence acceleration + Computational science These three together will change what we think is possible.
  • 5. Old Way of Seeing Future Technologies Artificial Intelligence Robotic manufacturing Computational Science 3-D4-D Priting Nanotechnology Quantum computing Synthetic Biology Drones Artificial General Intelligence Tele-Everything & Tele-Everybody the SemanticWeb
  • 6. Future Way of Seeing Future Technologies - Integration/Synergies
  • 7. Future Technology Synergies Robotic manufacturing Drones Quantum computing Robotic manufacturing 3D,4D Printing Augmented Reality Tele-Presence, Holographics Nanotechnology Artificial General Intelligence Tele-Everything Tele-Everybody the SemanticWeb Increasing individual and collective intelligence Synthetic Biology Nanotechnology
  • 9. Future Tech Emerges from Synergies Artificial Intelligence Build Environment Biology Technology
  • 10. If Then Nano- technology Synthetic Biology Artificial Intelligence Robotics 3-D Printing Augmented Reality Nano- technology xxx Synthetic Biology xxx Artificial Intelligence xxx Robotics xxx 3-D Printing xxx Augmented Reality xxx EmergingTechnologies Matrix
  • 12. 2017 HP’s Multi Jet Fusion 3D printer…. has 30,000 nozzles spraying 350 million drops a second of thermoplastic or other powdered materials… Imagine a factory composed of 10,000 of these 3D Printers A 4-ounce metal chain link was printed in half an hour and then tested to withstand 10,000 lbs Since 3D will evolve so fast, then is it software that is tested before printing?
  • 13. Bio Printer: Industrial testing and medical testing. Prints body parts for medical experiments using compressed air to force biomaterial out layer by layer
  • 14. Synthetic Biology – mixing species DNA Microprobes to eat the plaque in your brain? Produce hydrogen instead of CO2 in plants?
  • 15. Maker Movement – Do It Yourself Hi-Tech Community Hubs How to integrate quality control and testing?
  • 16. Plastic waste of one process can be input to carbon nanotube production Industrial ecology
  • 17. Waste water --> Algae input to --> Pure Meat without Growing Animals August 5, 2013 a London chef cooked and served hamburgers without growing/killing a cow.
  • 19. Cloud Manufacturing and Intelligent Networks … Across national boundaries • Software integration in the cloud of all elements of value chain, testing, production, sales, feedback, and re-design • Keeps management of supply chain at the innovation edge • Integrates with the Internet of Things (IoT) on a dynamic basis • Using common digital manufacturing standards
  • 20. Smart Contact Lens – always in Virtual Reality connected to the word Hands-free manufacturing
  • 22. How to prevent industrial spying and sabotage? The Internet of Things also means that every-one and everything is vulnerable to hacking
  • 23. Will our artificial Brains out think us? Artificial Intelligence 1. Artificial Narrow Intelligence 2. Artificial General Intelligence 3. Artificial Super Intelligence
  • 24. Future of Work? Humans Augmented by technology ….rather than replaced by it?
  • 25. If you can’t beat AI, why not join with it? …and evolve together?
  • 26. Without major socio-economic changes… unemployment will grow around the world Future Work/Tech 2050 Millennium Project survey of 300 Futures from over 30 counties We will change the nature of work, employment, and economics (Since ILO numbers are low, these could double)
  • 27. One-Person Businesses Find markets around the world for what you are interested in doing ….not non-existing jobs What might this look like in … 2020 2030 2040 2050?
  • 28. Will we create our own Avatars in the Digital World to be our Cyber-selves? Cyber-Clones? Finding unique exciting work for us while we sleep? Could testing programs have such Avatars connected to IoT to improve every moment ?
  • 29. Where is all this change going? What kind of future could emerge? What’s the future vision?
  • 30. Humans becoming cyborgs 2020 2025 2030 2050 Conscious-Technology Built environment becoming intelligent When the distinction between these two mega trends becomes blurred, we will have reached the Post-Information Age
  • 31. Consciousness Technology Technology Changes Consciousness and Consciousness Changes Technology
  • 32. Simplification/Generalization of History and an Alternative Future Age / Element Product Power Wealth Place War Time Agricultural Extraction Food/Res Religion Land Earth/Res Location Cyclical Industrial Machine Nation-State Capital Factory Resources Linear Information Info/serv Corporation Access Office Perception Flexible Conscious- Technology Linkage Individual Being Motion Identity Invented
  • 33. How to keep all this information together? …And anticipate future changes?
  • 35.
  • 36. Menu Options for each Challenge
  • 37. Menu for each Challenge 1. Situation Chart: Current Situation; Desired Situation; and Policies 2. Report (detailed text) 3. News items (automatic news feeds – aggregated and searchable) 4. Scanning (annotated, rated information) 5. On-going Real-Time Delphi questionnaires to collect expert judgments 6. Comments 7. Discussion groups 8. Computer models (mathematical and rules-based), and conceptual models 9. Resources: websites, books, papers, videos 10. Updates – all edits 11. Digests – Recent scans, edits, discussions
  • 38.
  • 39. Collective Intelligence Systems for Korea Testing Laboratory KTL • Support KTL to become a global institute • Help keep track and anticipate change • Unite functions, foresight, strategy, and programs • Provide a common platform for a “Whole-of-KTL” response to future challenges • Identify new opportunities; strategic investments for KTL • Invite experts and creative people to participate in building a “brain” for the future of KTL
  • 40. Additional future methods and considerations • Testing via computation engineering – simulations (e.g., atomic bomb tests) and VR displays for testing with computational engineering simulation testing • AI replacing skilled human testers • Ultra sonic methods and imaging • Online real-time continuous testing (radiography, thermography, shearography) • Citizen science, intelligent urban environmental infrastructures. • Synergetic advantage may be the new Competitive Advantage (as integration advances accelerate) • Since 3D will go so fast, then is it software that is tested before printing? • Citizen science and testing? • One set of international ethics standards seems evolving with ISO
  • 41. For further information Jerome C. Glenn +1-202-686-5179 phone/fax Jerome.Glenn@Millennium-Project.org www.StateoftheFuture.org Global Futures Intelligence System: http://millennium-project.org/millennium/GFIS.html 2015-16 State of the Future: http://millennium-project.org/millennium/201516SOF.html Futures Research Methodology 3.0: http://millennium-project.org/millennium/FRM-V3.html