50th Anniversary Keynote for Korean Testing Laboratory
Global Vision, Future Technologies,
and Collective Intelligence for
Global Collaboration
Testing and Certification Forum for the 50th
Anniversary of the Korean Testing Laboratory (KTL)
Jerome C. Glenn, CEO The Millennium Project
When this
begins to
happen, the
speed of
increasing AI’s
intelligence will
be far faster
and produce
more change
than Moore’s
Law
by responding to feedback from
sensor networks worldwide,
will accelerate AI’s intelligence
worldwide… moment by moment
Artificial Intelligence … that can autonomously
“write” and improve its code…
What is possible… will change
Moore’s Law
+
Artificial Intelligence acceleration
+
Computational science
These three together will change what we think is possible.
Old Way of Seeing Future
Technologies
Artificial
Intelligence
Robotic
manufacturing
Computational Science
3-D4-D Priting
Nanotechnology
Quantum computing
Synthetic Biology
Drones
Artificial General
Intelligence
Tele-Everything &
Tele-Everybody
the SemanticWeb
Future Way of Seeing Future
Technologies - Integration/Synergies
2017 HP’s Multi Jet Fusion 3D printer…. has 30,000 nozzles spraying
350 million drops a second of thermoplastic or other powdered
materials… Imagine a factory composed of 10,000 of these 3D Printers
A 4-ounce metal chain
link was printed in half
an hour and then tested
to withstand 10,000 lbs
Since 3D will evolve so
fast, then is it software
that is tested before
printing?
Synthetic Biology – mixing species DNA
Microprobes to eat the plaque in your brain?
Produce hydrogen instead of CO2 in plants?
Maker Movement – Do It Yourself
Hi-Tech Community Hubs
How to integrate quality
control and testing?
Plastic waste of one process can be
input to carbon nanotube production
Industrial ecology
Waste water --> Algae input to --> Pure Meat
without Growing Animals
August 5, 2013 a London chef cooked and served
hamburgers without growing/killing a cow.
Cloud Manufacturing and Intelligent
Networks … Across national boundaries
• Software integration in the cloud of all elements of value chain,
testing, production, sales, feedback, and re-design
• Keeps management of supply chain at the innovation edge
• Integrates with the Internet of Things (IoT) on a dynamic basis
• Using common digital manufacturing standards
Smart Contact Lens – always in Virtual
Reality connected to the word
Hands-free
manufacturing
If you can’t beat AI,
why not join with it?
…and evolve together?
Without major socio-economic changes…
unemployment will grow around the world
Future Work/Tech
2050
Millennium Project
survey of 300 Futures
from over 30 counties
We will change the
nature of work,
employment, and
economics
(Since ILO numbers are
low, these could double)
Will we create our own Avatars in the Digital
World to be our Cyber-selves? Cyber-Clones?
Finding unique
exciting work for
us while we
sleep?
Could testing
programs have
such Avatars
connected to
IoT to improve
every moment ?
Where is all this change going?
What kind of future could emerge?
What’s the future vision?
Simplification/Generalization of History
and an Alternative Future
Age /
Element Product Power Wealth Place War Time
Agricultural
Extraction
Food/Res Religion Land Earth/Res Location Cyclical
Industrial Machine Nation-State Capital Factory Resources Linear
Information Info/serv Corporation Access Office Perception Flexible
Conscious-
Technology
Linkage Individual Being Motion Identity Invented
How to keep all this information together?
…And anticipate future changes?
Menu for each Challenge
1. Situation Chart: Current Situation; Desired Situation; and Policies
2. Report (detailed text)
3. News items (automatic news feeds – aggregated and searchable)
4. Scanning (annotated, rated information)
5. On-going Real-Time Delphi questionnaires to collect expert judgments
6. Comments
7. Discussion groups
8. Computer models (mathematical and rules-based), and conceptual models
9. Resources: websites, books, papers, videos
10. Updates – all edits
11. Digests – Recent scans, edits, discussions
Collective Intelligence Systems for
Korea Testing Laboratory KTL
• Support KTL to become a global institute
• Help keep track and anticipate change
• Unite functions, foresight, strategy, and programs
• Provide a common platform for a “Whole-of-KTL”
response to future challenges
• Identify new opportunities; strategic investments for KTL
• Invite experts and creative people to participate in
building a “brain” for the future of KTL
Additional future methods
and considerations
• Testing via computation engineering – simulations (e.g., atomic bomb tests) and
VR displays for testing with computational engineering simulation testing
• AI replacing skilled human testers
• Ultra sonic methods and imaging
• Online real-time continuous testing (radiography, thermography, shearography)
• Citizen science, intelligent urban environmental infrastructures.
• Synergetic advantage may be the new Competitive Advantage (as integration
advances accelerate)
• Since 3D will go so fast, then is it software that is tested before printing?
• Citizen science and testing?
• One set of international ethics standards seems evolving with ISO
For further information
Jerome C. Glenn
+1-202-686-5179 phone/fax
Jerome.Glenn@Millennium-Project.org
www.StateoftheFuture.org
Global Futures Intelligence System:
http://millennium-project.org/millennium/GFIS.html
2015-16 State of the Future:
http://millennium-project.org/millennium/201516SOF.html
Futures Research Methodology 3.0:
http://millennium-project.org/millennium/FRM-V3.html