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Methodology for the
Introduction of Budget Norms
    and Equalization Norms
    in the Education Sector
          Jean-Marc Lepain
   Intergovernmental Fiscal Advisor
         Manilay Thiphalansy
         Research Consultant
Part I.

Defining the Budget Norm
    Policy Framework
Definition

“A budget norm system is methodology for allocating
  budgetary funds based on expenditure needs in a fair
  and transparent manner with the objective of
  avoiding political bargaining and correcting
  horizontal imbalance. Budget norms are usually
  integrated in the design of grant transfer formulae.”
Objectives
• correcting horizontal budgetary imbalance;
• Ensuring that all provincial basic needs are covered;
• Balancing operational cost and investment;
• Ensuring maintenance of all infrastructures;
• Ensuring a linkage between national and provincial
  budgeting and the national development strategy;
• Ensuring budget predictability
• Multi-year budget programming
PRESENT BUDGETING SYSTEM              NEW BUDGETING SYSTEM


Principles:                          Principles:

• System based on revenue            • System based on expenditure
  assignment                           needs
• Allocations based on historical    • Allocations based on objective
  trends                               criteria
• One year budgeting                 • Multi-year budgeting



Consequence:
                                    Consequence:
• Horizontal imbalance
                                    • Equalization of expenditures
• Lack of equity and transparency
                                    • Equity and transparency
• Lack of predictability
                                    • Predictability
• Insufficient funding for
                                    • Better funding for maintenance and
  maintenance and operation
                                      operation
• Poor linkage with planning and
                                    • Better linkage with planning and national
  national strategy
                                      strategy
• Lack of control of the Ministry
                                    • Better control of the Ministry over
  over provincial spending
                                      provincial spending
Horizontal Imbalance
Definition: “Horizontal imbalance measures the
 disparity in revenue assignment between
 provinces based on their respective
 expenditure needs.”
Horizontal Imbalance in Laos
                    Poverty   Domestic Exp.   Operating Exp. Capital Exp.
                     Index     /Population     /Population   /Population


Vientiane Capital    1,17            0,45         0,24           0,27
Savannakhet          1,43            0,25         0,22           0,06
Champasak            1,18            0,34         0,26           0,10
Khammoune            1,34            0,32         0,31           0,07
Luangphrabang        1,23            0,36         0,34           0,07
Bolikhamxay          1,29            0,39         0,36           0,09
Houphan              1,52            0,48         0,32           0,21
Oudomxai             1,45            0,72         0,31           0,46
Xayabury             1,25            0,49         0,31           0,23
Xiengkhuang          1,42            0,48         0,42           0,12
Vientiane Pro.       1,19            0,43         0,34           0,13
Bokeo                1,21            0,53         0,38           0,25
Phongsaly            1,51            0,40         0,34           0,15
Luangnamtha          1,23            0,74         0,46           0,38
Saravanh             1,54            0,28         0,23           0,09
Attapeur             1,44            0,76         0,50           0,37
Xekong               1,42            0,60         0,54           0,20
Two Types of Norms


• Grant transfer norms

• Budget formulation norms
          Maintenance
          Other goods and services
          Small investments
Sectors to be covered
•   Education
•   Health
•   Transport
•   Agriculture
•   General Administration (5 ministries)
•   Provincial Administration
Grant System
+ Shared Revenue
+ Equalization Grant
+ Investment Grant
+ Other conditional grants
+ Ad hoc Grants to other organizations
=--------------------------------------------------
=Total transfer to provinces
Equalization Grant

+ Provincial Fiscal Envelope
- Targeted Local Revenue
- Shared revenue
-----------------------------------------
= Equalization Grant
Fiscal Strategy
• Fiscal envelope for Budget Norm: 5% of
  FY2007/08 (Fiscal Envelope for Education: 1,02% )

• Implementation in three phases (Education and
  Health: Phase 1starting in FY2010/11)

• Implementation Plan 6 years (Education
  Implementation Plan 4 years for recurrent expenditures and 3
  years for investments)
Part II

Methodology
General Methodology
• Policy framework and strategy
• Calculation of the fiscal envelope available for
  budget norms
• Budget Norm planning
• Macro-fiscal modeling and consolidation
• Budget norm implementation strategy
• Transfer system design
Sectoral Budget Norm Calculation

• Sector Profile and Policy Review

• Expenditure Need Assessment

• Macro-fiscal modeling

• Consolidation and reporting

• Validation
Sector Profile
• Sector long term objectives in relation to
  MDG, NGPES and NSEDP
• Program structure and objectives
• Collection of relevant statistical data
• Analysis of budget data
• Indicators
Sector Policy Review
• Review of performance
• Analysis of budgetary and non budgetary
  issues
• Analysis of budget alignment with objectives
• Preparation of budget projection for the next
  three years
• Recommendations
Expenditure Need Assessment

• Analysis of cost drivers

• Need assessment by economic categories

• Balance between recurrent expenditures and
  Investment

• Sizing of investments in relation to objectives

• Identification of budget norm indicators
Macro-Fiscal Modeling
• Analysis of budgetary trends
• Development of sectoral fiscal model for the
  next three years
• Testing of budget norm formula
• Consolidation of all sectoral model in one
  macro-fiscal model
Implementation Strategy
• Selection of indicative budget norms and
  budget norms for the intergovernmental
  transfer system.
• Assessment of the number of years required
  to correct horizontal imbalance
• Recommendation for multi-year
  implementation
Part III

Budget Norm Selection
Education Budget Norms
The transfer should be based on:
• number of children in age to go to school
• Number of children registered
• Literacy rate
• Programmes
• Cost factor (salaries including bonuses, training
  needs, etc.)
• Maintenance needs and other non-wage
  expenditures
Equalization Norm
• FY2007/08 Recurrent Budget = 85,000 kips per capita
• FY2008/09 Recurrent Budget = 102,000 kips per
  capita
• Minimum Investment Budget = 7% of Recurrent
  Budget
The equalization norm based on minimum spending
  per capita must be replaced by a budget norm based
  on spending per children of different school
  programmes.
Structure of the Transfer Formula
A possible formula could be:
• T = Transfer
• Sp.I. = Spending Norm
• N = Need Indicator
• C = Cost Indicator

           T = (Sp.I. x N) + (Sp.I. x C)
Selection of a spending indicator
Possible spending indicator:
• Spending per capital
• Spending per child under age of 15
• Spending per age class (1 to 5, 6 to 9, 9 to 15,
  etc.)
• Spending per child by programme
• Other indicators ?
Selection of Need Indicators

•   Literacy rate
•   Children Registered / Total Children Population
•   Girls registered/ Total number of children
•   Territory covered by school network
•   Number of teacher required (number of
    teachers/number of students)
Selection of Cost Indicators

Cost indicators should record variations in cost
  for similar services by province and by district.

• Salary Indicators
• Maintenance Cost
• Management Cost
THANKS

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Methodology for the introduction of budget norms and equalization norms in the education sector

  • 1. Methodology for the Introduction of Budget Norms and Equalization Norms in the Education Sector Jean-Marc Lepain Intergovernmental Fiscal Advisor Manilay Thiphalansy Research Consultant
  • 2. Part I. Defining the Budget Norm Policy Framework
  • 3. Definition “A budget norm system is methodology for allocating budgetary funds based on expenditure needs in a fair and transparent manner with the objective of avoiding political bargaining and correcting horizontal imbalance. Budget norms are usually integrated in the design of grant transfer formulae.”
  • 4. Objectives • correcting horizontal budgetary imbalance; • Ensuring that all provincial basic needs are covered; • Balancing operational cost and investment; • Ensuring maintenance of all infrastructures; • Ensuring a linkage between national and provincial budgeting and the national development strategy; • Ensuring budget predictability • Multi-year budget programming
  • 5. PRESENT BUDGETING SYSTEM NEW BUDGETING SYSTEM Principles: Principles: • System based on revenue • System based on expenditure assignment needs • Allocations based on historical • Allocations based on objective trends criteria • One year budgeting • Multi-year budgeting Consequence: Consequence: • Horizontal imbalance • Equalization of expenditures • Lack of equity and transparency • Equity and transparency • Lack of predictability • Predictability • Insufficient funding for • Better funding for maintenance and maintenance and operation operation • Poor linkage with planning and • Better linkage with planning and national national strategy strategy • Lack of control of the Ministry • Better control of the Ministry over over provincial spending provincial spending
  • 6. Horizontal Imbalance Definition: “Horizontal imbalance measures the disparity in revenue assignment between provinces based on their respective expenditure needs.”
  • 7. Horizontal Imbalance in Laos Poverty Domestic Exp. Operating Exp. Capital Exp. Index /Population /Population /Population Vientiane Capital 1,17 0,45 0,24 0,27 Savannakhet 1,43 0,25 0,22 0,06 Champasak 1,18 0,34 0,26 0,10 Khammoune 1,34 0,32 0,31 0,07 Luangphrabang 1,23 0,36 0,34 0,07 Bolikhamxay 1,29 0,39 0,36 0,09 Houphan 1,52 0,48 0,32 0,21 Oudomxai 1,45 0,72 0,31 0,46 Xayabury 1,25 0,49 0,31 0,23 Xiengkhuang 1,42 0,48 0,42 0,12 Vientiane Pro. 1,19 0,43 0,34 0,13 Bokeo 1,21 0,53 0,38 0,25 Phongsaly 1,51 0,40 0,34 0,15 Luangnamtha 1,23 0,74 0,46 0,38 Saravanh 1,54 0,28 0,23 0,09 Attapeur 1,44 0,76 0,50 0,37 Xekong 1,42 0,60 0,54 0,20
  • 8. Two Types of Norms • Grant transfer norms • Budget formulation norms Maintenance Other goods and services Small investments
  • 9. Sectors to be covered • Education • Health • Transport • Agriculture • General Administration (5 ministries) • Provincial Administration
  • 10. Grant System + Shared Revenue + Equalization Grant + Investment Grant + Other conditional grants + Ad hoc Grants to other organizations =-------------------------------------------------- =Total transfer to provinces
  • 11. Equalization Grant + Provincial Fiscal Envelope - Targeted Local Revenue - Shared revenue ----------------------------------------- = Equalization Grant
  • 12. Fiscal Strategy • Fiscal envelope for Budget Norm: 5% of FY2007/08 (Fiscal Envelope for Education: 1,02% ) • Implementation in three phases (Education and Health: Phase 1starting in FY2010/11) • Implementation Plan 6 years (Education Implementation Plan 4 years for recurrent expenditures and 3 years for investments)
  • 14. General Methodology • Policy framework and strategy • Calculation of the fiscal envelope available for budget norms • Budget Norm planning • Macro-fiscal modeling and consolidation • Budget norm implementation strategy • Transfer system design
  • 15. Sectoral Budget Norm Calculation • Sector Profile and Policy Review • Expenditure Need Assessment • Macro-fiscal modeling • Consolidation and reporting • Validation
  • 16. Sector Profile • Sector long term objectives in relation to MDG, NGPES and NSEDP • Program structure and objectives • Collection of relevant statistical data • Analysis of budget data • Indicators
  • 17. Sector Policy Review • Review of performance • Analysis of budgetary and non budgetary issues • Analysis of budget alignment with objectives • Preparation of budget projection for the next three years • Recommendations
  • 18. Expenditure Need Assessment • Analysis of cost drivers • Need assessment by economic categories • Balance between recurrent expenditures and Investment • Sizing of investments in relation to objectives • Identification of budget norm indicators
  • 19. Macro-Fiscal Modeling • Analysis of budgetary trends • Development of sectoral fiscal model for the next three years • Testing of budget norm formula • Consolidation of all sectoral model in one macro-fiscal model
  • 20. Implementation Strategy • Selection of indicative budget norms and budget norms for the intergovernmental transfer system. • Assessment of the number of years required to correct horizontal imbalance • Recommendation for multi-year implementation
  • 21. Part III Budget Norm Selection
  • 22. Education Budget Norms The transfer should be based on: • number of children in age to go to school • Number of children registered • Literacy rate • Programmes • Cost factor (salaries including bonuses, training needs, etc.) • Maintenance needs and other non-wage expenditures
  • 23. Equalization Norm • FY2007/08 Recurrent Budget = 85,000 kips per capita • FY2008/09 Recurrent Budget = 102,000 kips per capita • Minimum Investment Budget = 7% of Recurrent Budget The equalization norm based on minimum spending per capita must be replaced by a budget norm based on spending per children of different school programmes.
  • 24. Structure of the Transfer Formula A possible formula could be: • T = Transfer • Sp.I. = Spending Norm • N = Need Indicator • C = Cost Indicator T = (Sp.I. x N) + (Sp.I. x C)
  • 25. Selection of a spending indicator Possible spending indicator: • Spending per capital • Spending per child under age of 15 • Spending per age class (1 to 5, 6 to 9, 9 to 15, etc.) • Spending per child by programme • Other indicators ?
  • 26. Selection of Need Indicators • Literacy rate • Children Registered / Total Children Population • Girls registered/ Total number of children • Territory covered by school network • Number of teacher required (number of teachers/number of students)
  • 27. Selection of Cost Indicators Cost indicators should record variations in cost for similar services by province and by district. • Salary Indicators • Maintenance Cost • Management Cost