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Passive Investors,
Not Passive Owners
Paper by Ian R. Appel, Todd A. Gormley, Donald B. Keim
Presentation by Michael-Paul James
1
Table of contents
2
Michael-Paul James
Introduction
Story, questions, context, issues,
literature
01
Data
Sample, data sources, and
descriptive statistics
02
Empirical
Empirical framework
03
Governance
How passive investors affect firms’
corporate governance
04
Mechanisms
Possible mechanisms by which
passive investors influence
governance
05
Policies
Do passive investors affect firm
performance, compensation, or
other corporate policies?
06
Robustness
Additional robustness checks and
choice of specification
07
Conclusion
08
Introduction
01
story, questions, context, issues, literature
3
Michael-Paul James
4
Michael-Paul James
“We’re going to hold your stock when you hit your quarterly earnings
target. And we’ll hold it when you don’t. We’re going to hold your stock if
we like you. And if we don’t. We’re going to hold your stock when
everyone else is piling in. And when everyone else is running for the exits.
That is precisely why we care so much about good governance.”
F. William McNabb III, Chairman and CEO of the Vanguard funds
Figure
1:
Growth
of
passive
investors,
1998–2014
5
This figure plots the estimated percent of
all U.S. equity mutual fund assets under
management between 1998 and 2014
that are held in passively managed funds
and the estimated percent of total U.S.
market capitalization held by passively
managed mutual funds. We construct
the figure by matching the S12 mutual
fund holdings data compiled in the
Thomson Reuters Mutual Fund Holdings
Database to market caps reported in
CRSP and fund names in the CRSP
Mutual Fund Database. We use a
name-parsing procedure along with the
index fund identifier from the CRSP
Mutual Fund Database to classify mutual
funds as passively managed. Our
procedure is described in Section 2.1 of
the text. Holdings and market cap are
calculated each year at the end of the
third quarter.
Significant growth in
passive investors:
~8% to ~33.5%
Passively managed
total market cap:
~1.8% to ~8%
Arguments on Impact of Passive Investors (PIs)
6
Michael-Paul James
● Against
○ Passive investors lack resources to monitor large portfolios
■ Lack incentive to monitor managers
■ Less able to exert influence over managers
■ Insufficient resources to research & monitor corporate policies
○ “Lazy” investors weakens firm level governance
○ PIs hurt firm performance
● For
○ Passive investing is not passive ownership.
○ PIs monitor managers to improve market performance
○ Large ownership stake wields influence
○ May monitor specific governance practices.
Natural Experiment
7
Michael-Paul James
● Instrumental Variable
○ The cutoff point between Russell 1000 and Russell 2000 indexes
○ Passive fund ownership invests:
■ Very little proportionately invested in bottom of Russell 1000
■ Significantly more invested in top of Russell 2000
■ Top of R2000 characteristics
● ~66% more stake than firms in bottom of Russell 1000
● ~33% larger holdings by the top 3 passively managed firms
○ Vanguard, State Street, Barclays Bank
● ~67% more likely to own more than 5% of a firm's’ shares
● 15% more likely to be a top five shareholder
Natural Experiment
8
Michael-Paul James
● Instrumental Variable
○ Relevance Condition
■ Inclusion in the Russell 2000 index is associated with higher
levels of ownerships by passively managed funds
○ Exclusion restriction
■ Does not directly impact outcomes of interest except through
impact on ownership by passively managed funds
Common Goals
9
Michael-Paul James
● Passive funds have three common goals
○ Support greater board independence
○ Oppose anti takeover provisions
○ Oppose unequal voting rights specifically when firms maintain a
dual class share structure.
Passive Ownership Influence
10
Michael-Paul James
● Passive ownership increase associations
○ Increase in board independence
■ One standard deviation (SD) increase in ownership is associated
with ~0.7 SD increase in share of independent board directors
○ Removal of takeover defenses
■ One SD increase in ownership is associated with:
● 3.5 percentage point increase in the likelihood of removing
a poison pill
● 2.5 percentage point increase in the likelihood of reducing
restrictions on shareholders’ ability to call special meetings.
Passive Ownership Influence
11
Michael-Paul James
● Passive ownership increase associations
○ Less likely to have unequal voting rights
■ One standard deviation increase in ownership is associated
with one standard deviation decrease in likelihood of having a
dual class share structure.
○ Ownership concentration might lowers costs for activist investors
who gather support for demands. (No evidence found)
■ Associated with decline in hedge fund activism
■ One SD increase in ownership is associated with a 1.6% point
decline in the likelihood of a hedge fund activism event
Passive Ownership Influence
12
Michael-Paul James
● Passive ownership increase associations
○ Improvements in firms return on assets (ROA) and Tobin’s Q
■ One SD increase in PIs ownership is associated with ~33%
standard deviation increase in ROA.
○ Little evidence with level or composition of managerial pay.
Passive Ownership Power Channels
13
Michael-Paul James
● Passive ownership increases power through
○ Voting blocks (Blockholders)
● Voice: direct intervention through voting or engagement
● Exit: threat of selling shares
■ Evidence of more attentive shareholders
■ Decline in share of votes in support of management proposals
● One SD increase in ownership is associated with ~0.75 SD
decline in support for management proposals
■ Increase in support of governance related proposals.
● One SD increase in ownership is associated with ~0.5 SD
increase in support for governance proposals.
○ Low cost firm value improvements on key governance outcomes
Robustness
14
Michael-Paul James
● Vary bandwidth
● Controls
○ Firms float adjusted market cap
○ Firms’ industries
○ Firms’ past stock returns
○ Whether the firm recently switched indexes.
● Alternative definitions
○ Quasi index ownership
Contributions
15
Michael-Paul James
● Expands understanding of the following
○ Impact of institutional ownership of common stock
○ Institutional investors impact of corporate governance such as
■ Governance indices
■ CEO pay sensitivity
■ Shareholder proposals
○ Institutional investors impact of corporate policies such as
■ Leverage
■ Dividends
■ Research & Development
○ Institutional investors impact on activism
○ Price effects of additions and deletions from market indices
Data
02
Sample, data sources, and descriptive statistics;
Mutual fund holdings and Russell 1000/2000 index membership;
Governance, voting, accounting, and compensation data;
Sample and descriptive statistics
16
Michael-Paul James
Data Sources
17
Michael-Paul James
● Mutual Fund Holdings
○ Wharton Research Data Services (WRDS)
■ S12 mutual fund holdings data compiled by Thomson Reuters
○ Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Forms N-CSR and N-Q
○ Monthly data on prices and adjustment factors from Center for
Research in Security Prices (CRSP)
● Passive or active fund determination
○ MFLINKS on Wharton Research Data Services (WRDS)
○ Index fund classification on Center for Research in Security Prices
● Governance and voting data
○ Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS), (aka Riskmetrics)
Data Sources
18
Michael-Paul James
● Poison Pill data
○ Shark Repellent (FactSet)
● Annual accounting data
○ Compustat
● Executive Compensation data
○ Execucomp
Table
1:
Summary
statistics.
19
This table reports summary statistics of
our key variables for our main sample:
firms in the 250 bandwidth around the
cutoff between the Russell 1000 and 2000
indexes from 1998–2006. Definitions for all
variables are provided in Table A.1.
Accounting variables are winsorized at
the 1% level, and we delete observations
where either mutual fund ownership is
missing or total mutual fund holdings
exceed a stock’s market capitalization.
Mutual Ownership
25.5% of shares
outstanding
Table 1: Summary statistics.
Obs. Mean Median SD
Total mutual fund ownership % 4,415 25.2 25 12.9
Passive ownership % 4,415 3 2.6 2.3
Active ownership % 4,415 18.9 18.1 10.9
Unclassified ownership % 4,415 3.2 2.5 2.9
Independent director % 2,871 65.1 66.7 18.1
Poison pill removal 2,957 0.04 0 0.19
Greater ability to call special meeting 1,858 0.006 0 0.08
Indicator for dual class shares 1,858 0.13 0 0.33
Mngt. proposal support % 1,288 84.7 87.2 11.9
Shareholder gov. proposal support % 202 36.3 31.5 22.8
Indicator for hedge fund activism 4,415 0.016 0 0.12
ROA 4,291 0.03 0.04 0.11
85% Mgmt support
36% SH support
Frequency
4% poison pill removal
.6% lessen SH restrictions
Empirical
03
Empirical framework
Russell index construction and passive institutional investors
Identification strategy and empirical specification
First-stage estimation
Why index assignment might matter
20
Michael-Paul James
Figure
2:
Portfolio
weights
in
the
Russell
1000
and
2000
indexes
by
within-index
ranking
for
the
year
2006.
21
This figure plots the portfolio weights of the bottom 500 firms in the Russell 1000 index and the top 500 firms in the Russell 2000 index for the
end-of-June 2006. Observations are ordered by their within-index ranking such that rankings of 1 and 1,0 0 0 represent the firms with the largest
and 1,0 0 0th largest portfolio weight in the index, respectively. The portfolio weights are given as a percent.
0.012%
Average portfolio weight of bottom 250
stocks in Russell 1000
0.127%
Average portfolio weight of top 250
stocks in Russell 2000
Figure
3:
Market
capitalization,
index
assignment,
and
passive
ownership
by
market
capitalization
rankings
22
Market capitalization, index assignment,
and passive ownership by market
capitalization rankings for the bottom
500 firms of Russell 1000 and top 500
firms of Russell 2000. This figure plots the
average end-of-May Ln(Market
capitalization), fraction of firm-year
observations in the Russell 20 0 0, and
passive mutual fund ownership (%) by
ranking, where ranking is determined
using end-of-May market capitalization,
as reported in CRSP. The sample includes
the bottom 500 firms of the Russell 10 0 0
and the top 500 firms of the Russell 20 0
0, as determined using end-of-June
Russell-assigned portfolio weights for
each index. Passive mutual fund
ownership is calculated as of September
each year, and all averages are calculated
using bins of ten firms and data from
1998–2006. For the passive ownership
panel, we scale the vertical axis to report
a standard deviation on each side of the
sample mean.
No jump in market cap
Jump in R2 Probability
Jump in Passive Ownership
Figure
4:
Active
and
unclassified
mutual
fund
ownership
by
market
capitalization
rankings
23
Active and unclassified mutual fund
ownership by market capitalization
rankings for the bottom 500 firms of
Russell 1000 and top 500 firms of Russell
20 0 0. This figure plots the average
unclassified and active mutual fund
ownership (%) by ranking, where ranking
is determined using end-of-May market
capitalization, as reported in CRSP. The
sample includes the bottom 500 firms of
the Russell 1000 and the top 500 firms of
the Russell 2000, as determined using
end-of-June Russell-assigned portfolio
weights for each index. Mutual fund
ownership is calculated as of September
each year, and all averages are calculated
using bins of ten firms and data from
1998–2006. For each ownership panel, we
scale the vertical axis to report a standard
deviation on each side of the sample
mean.
No jump in Active Ownership
No jump in Other Ownership
Table
2:
Impact
of
index
assignment
on
mutual
fund
ownership.
24
This table reports estimates of a regression of mutual fund holdings on an indicator for membership in the Russell 2000 index plus additional
controls. Specifically, we estimate:
where R2000 it is a dummy variable equal to one if stock i is in the Russell 2000 index at end of June in year t, Mktcapit
is the CRSP market value
of equity of stock i measured at May 31 in year t, N is the polynomial order we use to control for Ln(Mktcapit
), Float it is the float-adjusted market
value of equity (provided by Russell) at June 30 in year t, and δt
are year fixed effects. Ownership% it measures mutual fund ownership (in
percent) for stock i at the end of September in year t. In this table we use four different definitions for Ownership% for stock i : (1) the percentage
of shares outstanding owned by all mutual funds (from S12 filings); (2) the percentage of shares outstanding owned by “passive” funds; (3) the
percentage of shares outstanding owned by “active” mutual funds; and (4) the percentage of shares outstanding owned by “unclassified”
mutual funds. The mutual fund classifications are defined in Section 2.1 of the text. The sample consists of the top 250 firms in the Russell 2000
index and bottom 250 firms of the Russell 1000 index (i.e., bandwidth = 250) for which we obtain holdings data from Thomson Reuters Mutual
Fund Holdings Database and which we match with data from the monthly CRSP file. The model is estimated over the 1998–2006 period using a
polynomial order control for Ln(Mktcap) of N = 3. Standard errors, ε, are clustered at t
Table 2: Impact of index assignment on mutual fund ownership.
Dependent variable = Percent of firm’s common shares held by:
All mutual funds Passive Active Unclassified
(1) (2) (3) (4)
R2000 1.216∗ 1.086∗∗∗ 0.118 0.012
(0.662) (0.067) (0.604) (0.135)
Bandwidth 250 250 250 250
Polynomial order, N 3 3 3 3
Float control Yes Yes Yes Yes
Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes
# of firms 1,654 1,654 1,654 1,654
Observations 4,415 4,415 4,415 4,415
R-squared 0.21 0.62 0.12 0.09
Mutual fund ownership is related to membership in Russell 2000
Table
3:
First-stage
estimation
for
ownership
by
passively
managed
funds.
25
This table reports estimates of our first-stage regression of passive ownership onto an indicator for membership in the Russell 2000 index plus
additional controls. Specifically, we estimate:
where R2000 it is a dummy variable equal to one if stock i is in the Russell 2000 index at end of June in year t, Mktcapit
is the CRSP market value
of equity of stock i measured at May 31 in year t, Float it is the float-adjusted market value of equity (provided by Russell) at June 30 in year t ,
and δt are year fixed effects. Passive%it
is the percentage of shares outstanding owned by passively managed mutual funds, as defined in
Section 2.1 of the text, for stock i at the end of September in year t scaled by its sample standard deviation. The data consist of firms in the two
Russell indexes for which we obtain holdings data from Thomson Reuters Mutual Fund Holdings Database and which we match with data from
the monthly CRSP file. The model is estimated over the 1998–2006 period using a bandwidth of 250 firms around the Russell 1000/2000
threshold, and polynomial order controls for Ln(Mktcap) of N = 1, 2, and 3. Standard errors , ε, are clustered at the firm level and reported in
parentheses. ∗∗∗ indicates significance at the 1% level.
Controlling for Higher order
polynomials is a flawed
approach, often with
nonsensical results: noisy
estimates, sensitivity to
degree, poor coverage of
confidence intervals (Gelman
& Imbens 2018)
Table 3: First-stage estimation for ownership by passively managed funds.
Dependent variable = Passive % scaled by its sample standard deviation
(1) (2) (3)
R2000 0.505∗∗∗ 0.512∗∗∗ 0.473∗∗∗
(0.028) (0.028) (0.029)
Bandwidth 250 250 250
Polynomial order, N 1 2 3
Float control Yes Yes Yes
Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes
# of firms 1,654 1,654 1,654
Observations 4,415 4,415 4,415
R-squared 0.61 0.62 0.62
Robust to lower order polynomials, scaled to standard deviation
Governance
04
How passive investors affect firms’ corporate governance
Independent directors
Takeover defenses
Equal voting rights and dual class share structures
26
Michael-Paul James
Table
5:
Passive
ownership
and
board
independence,
pre-
versus
post-2002
rule
change.
27
This table reports estimates of the second-stage regression of our instrumental variable estimation used to identify the effect of passive
investors on the percentage of independent board directors both before and after the 2002 change in exchange-listing requirements regarding
board independence. The estimation is the same as in Table 4, except we now separately estimate the model over the 1998–2002 and 2003–
2006 time periods using a bandwidth of 250 firms around the Russell 1000/2000 threshold, and polynomial order controls for Ln(Mktcap) of N =
1, 2, and 3. Both the dependent variable and Passive% are scaled by their sample standard deviations. Standard errors, ε, are clustered at the firm
level and reported in parentheses. The symbols ∗, ∗∗, and ∗∗∗ indicate significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively.
One standard deviation increase in PI ownership is associated
with a 0.65–0.76 standard deviation increase in the share of
independent directors on a firm’s board
Table 4: Ownership by passive investors and board independence.
Dependent variable = Independent director %
(1) (2) (3)
Passive % 0.729∗∗∗ 0.762∗∗∗ 0.654∗∗∗
(0.160) (0.162) (0.159)
Bandwidth 250 250 250
Polynomial order, N 1 2 3
Float control Yes Yes Yes
Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes
# of firms 1,082 1,082 1,082
Observations 2,871 2,871 2,871
Table
5:
Passive
ownership
and
board
independence,
pre-
versus
post-2002
rule
change.
28
This table reports estimates of the second-stage regression of our instrumental variable estimation used to identify the effect of passive
investors on the percentage of independent board directors both before and after the 2002 change in exchange-listing requirements regarding
board independence. The estimation is the same as in Table 4, except we now separately estimate the model over the 1998–2002 and 2003–
2006 time periods using a bandwidth of 250 firms around the Russell 1000/2000 threshold, and polynomial order controls for Ln(Mktcap) of N =
1, 2, and 3. Both the dependent variable and Passive% are scaled by their sample standard deviations. Standard errors, ε, are clustered at the firm
level and reported in parentheses. The symbols ∗, ∗∗, and ∗∗∗ indicate significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively.
One SD increase in PI ownership is
associated with a 1.3–1.4 SD increase
in share of independent directors on a
firm’s board prior to 2003
Table 5: Passive ownership and board independence, pre- versus post-2002 rule change.
Dependent variable = Independent director %
Sample years = 1998–2002 Sample years = 2003–2006
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Passive % 1.314∗∗∗ 1.461∗∗∗ 1.257∗∗∗ 0.354∗∗∗ 0.324∗∗ 0.264∗
(0.298) (0.303) (0.297) (0.136) (0.137) (0.160)
Bandwidth 250 250 250 250 250 250
Polynomial order, N 1 2 3 1 2 3
Float control Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
# of firms 882 882 882 549 549 549
Observations 1,682 1,682 1,682 1,189 1,189 1,189
One SD increase in PI ownership is
associated with a 0.26-0.35 SD
increase in share of independent
directors on a firm’s board after 2002
Table
6:
Ownership
by
passive
investors
and
takeover
defenses.
29
This table reports estimates of our instrumental variable estimation used to identify the effect of institutional ownership by passive investors
on takeover defense outcomes. Specifically, we estimate
where Y it is the governance variable for firm i in year t scaled by its sample standard deviation, Passive%it
is the percentage of shares outstanding owned by
passively managed mutual funds (as defined in Section 2.1 of the text) for stock i at the end of September in year t scaled by its sample standard deviation,
Mktcapit
is the CRSP market value of equity of stock i measured at May 31 in year t, Float it is the float-adjusted market value of equity (provided by Russell) at
June 30 in year t, and δt
are year fixed effects. The governance variables investigated in this table, from Shark Repellent (FactSet) and Riskmetrics, are: an indicator
for either the withdrawal or expiration (without renewal) of a poison pill in year t , and an indicator for there being fewer restrictions on shareholders’ ability to call
a special meeting in year t. We instrument Passive% in the above estimation using R2000it
, an indicator equal to one if firm i is part of the Russell 2000 index in
year t. The data consist of firms in the two Russell indexes for which we obtain holdings data from Thomson Reuters Mutual Fund Holdings Database and which
we match with data from the monthly CRSP file. The model is estimated over the 1998–2006 period using a bandwidth of 250 firms around the Russell 1000/2000
threshold and first-, second-, and third-order polynomial controls for Ln(Mktcap). Standard errors, ε, are clustered at the firm level and reported in parentheses. ∗∗∗
indicates significance at the 1% levels.
One SD increase in PI ownership is associated
with a 0.18–0.20 SD (3.3–3.8%) increase in the
likelihood of a poison pill removal
Table 6: Ownership by passive investors and takeover defenses.
Dependent variable = Poison pill removal Greater ability to call special meeting
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Passive % 0.176∗∗∗ 0.181∗∗∗ 0.203∗∗∗ 0.304∗∗∗ 0.310∗∗∗ 0.341∗∗∗
(0.0647) (0.0650) (0.0741) (0.0999) (0.108) (0.114)
Bandwidth 250 250 250 250 250 250
Polynomial order, N 1 2 3 1 2 3
Float control Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
# of firms 1,164 1,164 1,164 1,050 1,050 1,050
Observations 2,957 2,957 2,957 1,858 1,858 1,858
One SD increase in PI ownership is associated
with a 0.30–0.34 SD (2.4–2.7%) increase in the
likelihood that firms eliminate restrictions on
shareholders’ ability to call special meetings
Table
7:
Ownership
by
passive
investors
and
dual
class
share
structures.
30
This table reports estimates of our instrumental variable estimation used to identify the effect of passive investors on the likelihood of dual class
shares. Specifically, we estimate
where Y it is an indicator equal to one if firm i has dual class shares in year t according to Riskmetrics scaled by its sample standard deviation,
Passive%it is the percentage of shares outstanding owned by passively managed mutual funds (as defined in Section 2.1 of the text) for stock i
at the end of September in year t scaled by its sample standard deviation, Mktcap it is the CRSP market value of equity of stock i measured at
May 31 in year t, Float it is the float-adjusted market value of equity (provided by Russell) at June 30 in year t , and δt are year fixed effects. We
instrument Passive% in the above estimation using R2000it , an indicator equal to one if firm i is part of the Russell 2000 index in year t. The
data consist of firms in the two Russell indexes for which we obtain holdings data from Thomson Reuters Mutual Fund Holdings Database and
which we match with data from the monthly CRSP file. The model is estimated over the 1998–2006 period using a bandwidth of 250 firms
around the Russell 1000/2000 threshold, and polynomial order controls for Ln(Mktcap) of N = 1, 2, and 3. Standard errors, ε, are clustered at the
firm level and reported in parentheses. ∗∗∗ indicates significance at the 1% level.
One SD increase in PI Ownership is associated with 0.88–1.03 SD
decrease in the likelihood that a firm has a dual class share structure.
Table 7: Ownership by passive investors and dual class share structures.
Dependent variable = Indicator for dual class shares
(1) (2) (3)
Passive % −0.886∗∗∗ −1.031∗∗∗ −1.005∗∗∗
(0.179) (0.167) (0.181)
Bandwidth 250 250 250
Polynomial order, N 1 2 3
Float control Yes Yes Yes
Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes
# of firms 1,050 1,050 1,050
Observations 1,858 1,858 1,858
Mechanisms
05
Possible mechanisms by which passive investors influence governance
The power of passive investors’ “voice”
No increased activism by others
31
Michael-Paul James
Table
8:
Ownership
by
passive
investors
and
shareholder
support
for
proposals.
32
This table reports estimates of our instrumental variable estimation to identify the effect of passive investors on shareholder support for management proposals
and shareholder-initiated governance proposals. Specifically, we estimate
where Yit
is either the average percentage of shareholders that vote along with management proposals at annual meetings for firm i in year t (from Riskmetrics) or
the average percentage of shareholders that vote in support of a shareholder-initiated governance proposal for firm i in year t (from Riskmetrics) each scaled by
their sample standard deviation, Passive%it
is the percentage of shares outstanding owned by passively managed mutual funds (as defined in Section 2.1 of the text)
for stock i at the end of September in year t scaled by its sample standard deviation, Mktcap it is the CRSP market value of equity of stock i measured at May 31 in
year t, Float it is the float-adjusted market value of equity (provided by Russell) at June 30 in year t, and δt
are year fixed effects. We instrument Passive% in the
above estimation using R2000it , an indicator equal to one if firm i is part of the Russell 2000 index in year t. The data consist of firms in the two Russell indexes for
which we obtain holdings data from Thomson Reuters Mutual Fund Holdings Database and which we match with data from the monthly CRSP file. The model is
estimated over the 1998–2006 period using a bandwidth of 250 firms around the Russell 1000/2000 threshold, and polynomial order controls for Ln(Mktcap) of N = 1,
2, and 3. Standard errors, ε, are clustered at the firm level and reported in parentheses. The symbols ∗, ∗∗, and ∗∗∗ indicate significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels,
respectively.
One SD increase in PI ownership is
associated with ~0.75 SD decline in
support for management proposals
Table 8: Ownership by passive investors and shareholder support for proposals.
Dependent variable = Management proposal support % Governance proposal support %
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Passive % −0.783∗∗∗ −0.745∗∗∗ −0.734∗∗∗ 0.492∗∗ 0.649∗ 0.622∗
(0.180) (0.179) (0.231) (0.247) (0.348) (0.336)
Bandwidth 250 250 250 250 250 250
Polynomial order, N 1 2 3 1 2 3
Float control Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
# of firms 775 775 775 127 127 127
Observations 1,288 1,288 1,288 202 202 202
One SD increase in PI ownership is
associated with ~0.5 to 0.65 SD increase
in support for governance proposals
Table
9:
Ownership
by
passive
investors
and
hedge
fund
activism.
33
This table reports estimates of our instrumental variable estimation used to identify the effect of ownership by passive investors on the likelihood
of hedge fund activism. Specifically, we estimate
where Y it is an indicator equal to one if firm i experiences a hedge fund activism event in year t, as defined in Brav, Jiang, Partnoy, and Thomas
(2008) and Brav, Jiang, and Kim (2010), scaled by its sample standard deviation, Passive%it
is the percentage of shares outstanding owned by
passively managed mutual funds (as defined in Section 2.1 of the text) for stock i at the end of September in year t scaled by its sample standard
deviation, Mktcapit
is the CRSP market value of equity of stock i measured at May 31 in year t, Float it is the float-adjusted market value of equity
(provided by Russell) at June 30 in year t, and δt
are year fixed effects. We instrument Passive% in the above estimation using R2000it
, an indicator
equal to one if firm i is part of the Russell 2000 index in year t. The data consist of firms in the two Russell indexes for which we obtain holdings
data from Thomson Reuters Mutual Fund Holdings Database and which we match with data from the monthly CRSP file. The model is estimated
over the 1998–2006 period using a bandwidth of 250 firms around the Russell 1000/2000 threshold, and polynomial order controls for Ln(Mktcap)
of N = 1, 2, and 3. Standard errors, ε, are clustered at the firm level and reported in parentheses. The symbols ∗ and ∗∗ indicate significance at the
10% and 5% levels, respectively.
One SD increase in passive fund ownership is associated with a
0.13–0.16 SD (1.6–2.0%) decline in the likelihood of hedge fund activism
Table 9: Instrumental Role of Credit Information: Informal Credit Market
Dependent variable = Indicator for hedge fund activism event
(1) (2) (3)
Passive % −0.131∗ −0.130∗ −0.162∗∗
(0.0721) (0.0718) (0.0805)
Bandwidth 250 250 250
Polynomial order, N 1 2 3
Float control Yes Yes Yes
Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes
# of firms 1,654 1,654 1,654
Observations 4,415 4,415 4,415
Policies
06
Do passive investors affect firm performance, compensation, or other
corporate policies?
Overall performance
Executive compensation
Cash, dividend, financing, and investment policies
34
Michael-Paul James
Table
10:
Ownership
by
passive
investors
and
firms’
return
on
assets.
35
This table reports estimates of our instrumental variable estimation used to identify the effect of ownership by passive institutional investors on firms’ performance,
as measured using firms’ return on assets (ROA). Specifically, we estimate
where Yit is the ROA for firm i in year t scaled by its sample standard deviation, Passive%it is the percentage of shares outstanding owned by passively managed
mutual funds (as defined in Section 2.1 of the text) for stock i at the end of September in year t scaled by its sample standard deviation, Mktcapit is the CRSP market
value of equity of stock i measured at May 31 in year t, Float it is the float-adjusted market value of equity (provided by Russell) at June 30 in year t , and δt are year
fixed effects. We instrument Passive% in the above estimation using R2000it , an indicator equal to one if firm i is part of the Russell 2000 index in year t. The
specification in columns 1–3 is the same as in earlier tables, but in columns 4–6, we add two additional controls to the specification: an indicator that equals one for
firms that are in the Russell 2000 index in year t but were in the Russell 1000 in year t −1, and an indicator that equals one for firms that are in the Russell 1000 index
in year t but were in the Russell 2000 index in year t −1. The data consist of firms in the two Russell indexes for which we obtain holdings data from Thomson
Reuters Mutual Fund Holdings Database and which we match with data from the monthly CRSP file. The model is estimated over the 1998–2006 period using a
bandwidth of 250 firms around the Russell 1000/2000 threshold and first-, second-, and third-order polynomial controls for Ln(Mktcap) . Standard errors, ε, are
clustered at the firm level and reported in parentheses. ∗∗∗ indicates significance at the 1% level.
Table 10: Ownership by passive investors and firms’ return on assets.
Dependent variable = ROA
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Passive % −0.028 −0.015 0.035 0.304∗∗∗ 0.310∗∗∗ 0.414∗∗∗
(0.098) (0.093) (0.105) (0.111) (0.106) (0.121)
Bandwidth 250 250 250 250 250 250
Polynomial order, N 1 2 3 1 2 3
Float control Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Controls for movers No No No Yes Yes Yes
# of firms 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600
Observations 4,291 4,291 4,291 4,291 4,291 4,291
One SD increase in passive fund ownership is associated
with ~0.31–0.41 SD increase in long-term ROA
Robustness
07
Additional robustness checks and choice of specification
Robustness to choice of controls, choice of bandwidth, and placebo tests
Robustness to alternative definitions of passive ownership
Robustness to alternative sampling choices
Ruling out potential sample selection biases
36
Michael-Paul James
Table
11:
Impact
of
index
assignment
on
institution-level
(13F)
stock
ownership.
37
This table reports estimates of our first-stage regression of institutional holdings on an indicator for membership in the Russell 2000 index plus additional controls.
Specifically, we estimate
where R2000it is a dummy variable equal to one if stock i is in the Russell 2000 index at end of June in year t, Mktcapit is the CRSP market value of equity of stock i
measured at May 31 in year t, N is the polynomial order we use to control for Ln(Mktcapit), Floatit is the float-adjusted market value of equity (provided by Russell) at
June 30 in year t , and δt are year fixed effects. Ownership%it measures institution-level (13F) ownership (in percent) for stock i at the end of September in year t. In
this table we use four different definitions for Ownership% for stock i : (1) the percentage of shares outstanding owned by all institutional investors; (2) the
percentage of shares outstanding owned by "quasi-index" institutions, as classified by Bushee (2001); (3) the percentage of shares outstanding owned by
"dedicated" institutions as classified by Bushee; and (4) the percentage of shares outstanding owned by “transient”institutions as classified by Bushee. The Bushee
classifications are defined in Section 7.2 of the text. The sample consists of the top 250 firms in the Russell 2000 index and bottom 250 firms of the Russell 1000
index (i.e., bandwidth = 250) for which we obtain holdings data from Thomson Reuters Institutional Holdings (13F) Database and which we match with data from
the monthly CRSP file. The model is estimated over the 1998–2006 period using a polynomial order control for Ln(Mktcap) of N = 3. Standard errors, ε, are clustered
at the firm level and reported in parentheses. ∗∗∗ indicates significance at the 1% level.
Broad definition of passive investors still robust to mutual fund
ownership’s relationship to membership in Russell 2000
Table 11: Impact of index assignment on institution-level (13F) stock ownership.
Dependent variable = Percent of firm’s common shares held by:
All institutions Quasi-index Dedicated Transient
(1) (2) (3) (4)
R2000 1.354 2.381∗∗∗ −0.539 −0.445
(1.517) (0.748) (0.891) (0.845)
Bandwidth 250 250 250 250
Polynomial order, N 3 3 3 3
Float control Yes Yes Yes Yes
Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes
# of firms 1,633 1,633 1,633 1,633
Observations 4,357 4,357 4,357 4,357
R-squared 0.24 0.26 0.02 0.09
Table
12:
Robustness
of
IV
estimates
to
using
passive
indicator
based
on
institution-level
(13F)
stock
ownership.
38
This table reports estimates of the second-stage regression of our instrumental variable estimation to identify the effect of institutional
ownership by passive investors on our governance and corporate outcome variables where passive ownership is measured using the percentage
of stock held by “quasi-index” institutions, as classified by Bushee (2001) and defined in Section 7.2 of the text. The estimation and outcomes are
the same as in Tables 4–10, except Passive% is replaced by Quasi-index%, the share of market cap held by quasi-index institutions scaled by its
sample standard deviation. The dependent variables are defined in Table A.1, and the model is estimated over the 1998–2006 period using a
bandwidth of 250 firms around the Russell 1000/2000 threshold and a third-order polynomial control for Ln(Mktcap). To demonstrate the
robustness of the association between passive ownership and longer-term performance, we include the additional controls for recent movers,
used in columns 4–6 of Table 10, when analyzing ROA (column 8). Standard errors, ε, are clustered at the firm level and reported in parentheses.
The symbols ∗, ∗∗, and ∗∗∗ indicate significance at the 10%,5%, and 1% levels, respectively.
Broad definition of passive investors still robust to previous results
Table 12: Robustness of IV estimates to using passive indicator based on institution-level (13F) stock ownership.
Dep. variable = Ind. Poison pill Ability to call Ind. for dual Mngt. proposal Gov. proposal HF activism
ROA
directors % removal specialmeeting class shares support % support % event
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8)
Quasi-index % 1.197∗∗∗ 0.885∗ 0.958∗∗ −2.866∗∗ −1.148∗∗ 1.297∗ −0.580∗ 1.803∗∗
(0.388) (0.479) (0.473) (1.170) (0.516) (0.680) (0.336) (0.899)
Bandwidth 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250
Polynomial order, N 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Float control Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
# of firms 1,073 1,160 1,047 1,047 768 125 1,633 1,586
Observations 2,840 2,940 1,847 1,847 1,279 200 4,357 4,246
Conclusion
08
39
Michael-Paul James
Closing remarks & Summary
40
Michael-Paul James
● Passively managed mutual funds play important role in ownership
○ Large blockholders influence corporate behavior and policies.
● Study exploits exogenous variation in passive institutional ownership
around the cutoff of Russell 1000 & 2000 inclusion
○ Conditioned results on market capitalization
● Passive investors are not passive owners and associated with:
○ Less support for management proposals
○ Increase in support for shareholder initiated governance proposals
○ Reduce need for activism by active investors
○ Improvements in long term performance
● One size may not fit all firms, leaving some agency costs not addressed.
You are Amazing
Ask me all the questions you desire. I will do my best to answer honestly
and strive to grasp your intent and creativity.
41
Michael-Paul James

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Presentation on Passive Investors, Not Passive Owners

  • 1. Passive Investors, Not Passive Owners Paper by Ian R. Appel, Todd A. Gormley, Donald B. Keim Presentation by Michael-Paul James 1
  • 2. Table of contents 2 Michael-Paul James Introduction Story, questions, context, issues, literature 01 Data Sample, data sources, and descriptive statistics 02 Empirical Empirical framework 03 Governance How passive investors affect firms’ corporate governance 04 Mechanisms Possible mechanisms by which passive investors influence governance 05 Policies Do passive investors affect firm performance, compensation, or other corporate policies? 06 Robustness Additional robustness checks and choice of specification 07 Conclusion 08
  • 3. Introduction 01 story, questions, context, issues, literature 3 Michael-Paul James
  • 4. 4 Michael-Paul James “We’re going to hold your stock when you hit your quarterly earnings target. And we’ll hold it when you don’t. We’re going to hold your stock if we like you. And if we don’t. We’re going to hold your stock when everyone else is piling in. And when everyone else is running for the exits. That is precisely why we care so much about good governance.” F. William McNabb III, Chairman and CEO of the Vanguard funds
  • 5. Figure 1: Growth of passive investors, 1998–2014 5 This figure plots the estimated percent of all U.S. equity mutual fund assets under management between 1998 and 2014 that are held in passively managed funds and the estimated percent of total U.S. market capitalization held by passively managed mutual funds. We construct the figure by matching the S12 mutual fund holdings data compiled in the Thomson Reuters Mutual Fund Holdings Database to market caps reported in CRSP and fund names in the CRSP Mutual Fund Database. We use a name-parsing procedure along with the index fund identifier from the CRSP Mutual Fund Database to classify mutual funds as passively managed. Our procedure is described in Section 2.1 of the text. Holdings and market cap are calculated each year at the end of the third quarter. Significant growth in passive investors: ~8% to ~33.5% Passively managed total market cap: ~1.8% to ~8%
  • 6. Arguments on Impact of Passive Investors (PIs) 6 Michael-Paul James ● Against ○ Passive investors lack resources to monitor large portfolios ■ Lack incentive to monitor managers ■ Less able to exert influence over managers ■ Insufficient resources to research & monitor corporate policies ○ “Lazy” investors weakens firm level governance ○ PIs hurt firm performance ● For ○ Passive investing is not passive ownership. ○ PIs monitor managers to improve market performance ○ Large ownership stake wields influence ○ May monitor specific governance practices.
  • 7. Natural Experiment 7 Michael-Paul James ● Instrumental Variable ○ The cutoff point between Russell 1000 and Russell 2000 indexes ○ Passive fund ownership invests: ■ Very little proportionately invested in bottom of Russell 1000 ■ Significantly more invested in top of Russell 2000 ■ Top of R2000 characteristics ● ~66% more stake than firms in bottom of Russell 1000 ● ~33% larger holdings by the top 3 passively managed firms ○ Vanguard, State Street, Barclays Bank ● ~67% more likely to own more than 5% of a firm's’ shares ● 15% more likely to be a top five shareholder
  • 8. Natural Experiment 8 Michael-Paul James ● Instrumental Variable ○ Relevance Condition ■ Inclusion in the Russell 2000 index is associated with higher levels of ownerships by passively managed funds ○ Exclusion restriction ■ Does not directly impact outcomes of interest except through impact on ownership by passively managed funds
  • 9. Common Goals 9 Michael-Paul James ● Passive funds have three common goals ○ Support greater board independence ○ Oppose anti takeover provisions ○ Oppose unequal voting rights specifically when firms maintain a dual class share structure.
  • 10. Passive Ownership Influence 10 Michael-Paul James ● Passive ownership increase associations ○ Increase in board independence ■ One standard deviation (SD) increase in ownership is associated with ~0.7 SD increase in share of independent board directors ○ Removal of takeover defenses ■ One SD increase in ownership is associated with: ● 3.5 percentage point increase in the likelihood of removing a poison pill ● 2.5 percentage point increase in the likelihood of reducing restrictions on shareholders’ ability to call special meetings.
  • 11. Passive Ownership Influence 11 Michael-Paul James ● Passive ownership increase associations ○ Less likely to have unequal voting rights ■ One standard deviation increase in ownership is associated with one standard deviation decrease in likelihood of having a dual class share structure. ○ Ownership concentration might lowers costs for activist investors who gather support for demands. (No evidence found) ■ Associated with decline in hedge fund activism ■ One SD increase in ownership is associated with a 1.6% point decline in the likelihood of a hedge fund activism event
  • 12. Passive Ownership Influence 12 Michael-Paul James ● Passive ownership increase associations ○ Improvements in firms return on assets (ROA) and Tobin’s Q ■ One SD increase in PIs ownership is associated with ~33% standard deviation increase in ROA. ○ Little evidence with level or composition of managerial pay.
  • 13. Passive Ownership Power Channels 13 Michael-Paul James ● Passive ownership increases power through ○ Voting blocks (Blockholders) ● Voice: direct intervention through voting or engagement ● Exit: threat of selling shares ■ Evidence of more attentive shareholders ■ Decline in share of votes in support of management proposals ● One SD increase in ownership is associated with ~0.75 SD decline in support for management proposals ■ Increase in support of governance related proposals. ● One SD increase in ownership is associated with ~0.5 SD increase in support for governance proposals. ○ Low cost firm value improvements on key governance outcomes
  • 14. Robustness 14 Michael-Paul James ● Vary bandwidth ● Controls ○ Firms float adjusted market cap ○ Firms’ industries ○ Firms’ past stock returns ○ Whether the firm recently switched indexes. ● Alternative definitions ○ Quasi index ownership
  • 15. Contributions 15 Michael-Paul James ● Expands understanding of the following ○ Impact of institutional ownership of common stock ○ Institutional investors impact of corporate governance such as ■ Governance indices ■ CEO pay sensitivity ■ Shareholder proposals ○ Institutional investors impact of corporate policies such as ■ Leverage ■ Dividends ■ Research & Development ○ Institutional investors impact on activism ○ Price effects of additions and deletions from market indices
  • 16. Data 02 Sample, data sources, and descriptive statistics; Mutual fund holdings and Russell 1000/2000 index membership; Governance, voting, accounting, and compensation data; Sample and descriptive statistics 16 Michael-Paul James
  • 17. Data Sources 17 Michael-Paul James ● Mutual Fund Holdings ○ Wharton Research Data Services (WRDS) ■ S12 mutual fund holdings data compiled by Thomson Reuters ○ Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Forms N-CSR and N-Q ○ Monthly data on prices and adjustment factors from Center for Research in Security Prices (CRSP) ● Passive or active fund determination ○ MFLINKS on Wharton Research Data Services (WRDS) ○ Index fund classification on Center for Research in Security Prices ● Governance and voting data ○ Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS), (aka Riskmetrics)
  • 18. Data Sources 18 Michael-Paul James ● Poison Pill data ○ Shark Repellent (FactSet) ● Annual accounting data ○ Compustat ● Executive Compensation data ○ Execucomp
  • 19. Table 1: Summary statistics. 19 This table reports summary statistics of our key variables for our main sample: firms in the 250 bandwidth around the cutoff between the Russell 1000 and 2000 indexes from 1998–2006. Definitions for all variables are provided in Table A.1. Accounting variables are winsorized at the 1% level, and we delete observations where either mutual fund ownership is missing or total mutual fund holdings exceed a stock’s market capitalization. Mutual Ownership 25.5% of shares outstanding Table 1: Summary statistics. Obs. Mean Median SD Total mutual fund ownership % 4,415 25.2 25 12.9 Passive ownership % 4,415 3 2.6 2.3 Active ownership % 4,415 18.9 18.1 10.9 Unclassified ownership % 4,415 3.2 2.5 2.9 Independent director % 2,871 65.1 66.7 18.1 Poison pill removal 2,957 0.04 0 0.19 Greater ability to call special meeting 1,858 0.006 0 0.08 Indicator for dual class shares 1,858 0.13 0 0.33 Mngt. proposal support % 1,288 84.7 87.2 11.9 Shareholder gov. proposal support % 202 36.3 31.5 22.8 Indicator for hedge fund activism 4,415 0.016 0 0.12 ROA 4,291 0.03 0.04 0.11 85% Mgmt support 36% SH support Frequency 4% poison pill removal .6% lessen SH restrictions
  • 20. Empirical 03 Empirical framework Russell index construction and passive institutional investors Identification strategy and empirical specification First-stage estimation Why index assignment might matter 20 Michael-Paul James
  • 21. Figure 2: Portfolio weights in the Russell 1000 and 2000 indexes by within-index ranking for the year 2006. 21 This figure plots the portfolio weights of the bottom 500 firms in the Russell 1000 index and the top 500 firms in the Russell 2000 index for the end-of-June 2006. Observations are ordered by their within-index ranking such that rankings of 1 and 1,0 0 0 represent the firms with the largest and 1,0 0 0th largest portfolio weight in the index, respectively. The portfolio weights are given as a percent. 0.012% Average portfolio weight of bottom 250 stocks in Russell 1000 0.127% Average portfolio weight of top 250 stocks in Russell 2000
  • 22. Figure 3: Market capitalization, index assignment, and passive ownership by market capitalization rankings 22 Market capitalization, index assignment, and passive ownership by market capitalization rankings for the bottom 500 firms of Russell 1000 and top 500 firms of Russell 2000. This figure plots the average end-of-May Ln(Market capitalization), fraction of firm-year observations in the Russell 20 0 0, and passive mutual fund ownership (%) by ranking, where ranking is determined using end-of-May market capitalization, as reported in CRSP. The sample includes the bottom 500 firms of the Russell 10 0 0 and the top 500 firms of the Russell 20 0 0, as determined using end-of-June Russell-assigned portfolio weights for each index. Passive mutual fund ownership is calculated as of September each year, and all averages are calculated using bins of ten firms and data from 1998–2006. For the passive ownership panel, we scale the vertical axis to report a standard deviation on each side of the sample mean. No jump in market cap Jump in R2 Probability Jump in Passive Ownership
  • 23. Figure 4: Active and unclassified mutual fund ownership by market capitalization rankings 23 Active and unclassified mutual fund ownership by market capitalization rankings for the bottom 500 firms of Russell 1000 and top 500 firms of Russell 20 0 0. This figure plots the average unclassified and active mutual fund ownership (%) by ranking, where ranking is determined using end-of-May market capitalization, as reported in CRSP. The sample includes the bottom 500 firms of the Russell 1000 and the top 500 firms of the Russell 2000, as determined using end-of-June Russell-assigned portfolio weights for each index. Mutual fund ownership is calculated as of September each year, and all averages are calculated using bins of ten firms and data from 1998–2006. For each ownership panel, we scale the vertical axis to report a standard deviation on each side of the sample mean. No jump in Active Ownership No jump in Other Ownership
  • 24. Table 2: Impact of index assignment on mutual fund ownership. 24 This table reports estimates of a regression of mutual fund holdings on an indicator for membership in the Russell 2000 index plus additional controls. Specifically, we estimate: where R2000 it is a dummy variable equal to one if stock i is in the Russell 2000 index at end of June in year t, Mktcapit is the CRSP market value of equity of stock i measured at May 31 in year t, N is the polynomial order we use to control for Ln(Mktcapit ), Float it is the float-adjusted market value of equity (provided by Russell) at June 30 in year t, and δt are year fixed effects. Ownership% it measures mutual fund ownership (in percent) for stock i at the end of September in year t. In this table we use four different definitions for Ownership% for stock i : (1) the percentage of shares outstanding owned by all mutual funds (from S12 filings); (2) the percentage of shares outstanding owned by “passive” funds; (3) the percentage of shares outstanding owned by “active” mutual funds; and (4) the percentage of shares outstanding owned by “unclassified” mutual funds. The mutual fund classifications are defined in Section 2.1 of the text. The sample consists of the top 250 firms in the Russell 2000 index and bottom 250 firms of the Russell 1000 index (i.e., bandwidth = 250) for which we obtain holdings data from Thomson Reuters Mutual Fund Holdings Database and which we match with data from the monthly CRSP file. The model is estimated over the 1998–2006 period using a polynomial order control for Ln(Mktcap) of N = 3. Standard errors, ε, are clustered at t Table 2: Impact of index assignment on mutual fund ownership. Dependent variable = Percent of firm’s common shares held by: All mutual funds Passive Active Unclassified (1) (2) (3) (4) R2000 1.216∗ 1.086∗∗∗ 0.118 0.012 (0.662) (0.067) (0.604) (0.135) Bandwidth 250 250 250 250 Polynomial order, N 3 3 3 3 Float control Yes Yes Yes Yes Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes # of firms 1,654 1,654 1,654 1,654 Observations 4,415 4,415 4,415 4,415 R-squared 0.21 0.62 0.12 0.09 Mutual fund ownership is related to membership in Russell 2000
  • 25. Table 3: First-stage estimation for ownership by passively managed funds. 25 This table reports estimates of our first-stage regression of passive ownership onto an indicator for membership in the Russell 2000 index plus additional controls. Specifically, we estimate: where R2000 it is a dummy variable equal to one if stock i is in the Russell 2000 index at end of June in year t, Mktcapit is the CRSP market value of equity of stock i measured at May 31 in year t, Float it is the float-adjusted market value of equity (provided by Russell) at June 30 in year t , and δt are year fixed effects. Passive%it is the percentage of shares outstanding owned by passively managed mutual funds, as defined in Section 2.1 of the text, for stock i at the end of September in year t scaled by its sample standard deviation. The data consist of firms in the two Russell indexes for which we obtain holdings data from Thomson Reuters Mutual Fund Holdings Database and which we match with data from the monthly CRSP file. The model is estimated over the 1998–2006 period using a bandwidth of 250 firms around the Russell 1000/2000 threshold, and polynomial order controls for Ln(Mktcap) of N = 1, 2, and 3. Standard errors , ε, are clustered at the firm level and reported in parentheses. ∗∗∗ indicates significance at the 1% level. Controlling for Higher order polynomials is a flawed approach, often with nonsensical results: noisy estimates, sensitivity to degree, poor coverage of confidence intervals (Gelman & Imbens 2018) Table 3: First-stage estimation for ownership by passively managed funds. Dependent variable = Passive % scaled by its sample standard deviation (1) (2) (3) R2000 0.505∗∗∗ 0.512∗∗∗ 0.473∗∗∗ (0.028) (0.028) (0.029) Bandwidth 250 250 250 Polynomial order, N 1 2 3 Float control Yes Yes Yes Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes # of firms 1,654 1,654 1,654 Observations 4,415 4,415 4,415 R-squared 0.61 0.62 0.62 Robust to lower order polynomials, scaled to standard deviation
  • 26. Governance 04 How passive investors affect firms’ corporate governance Independent directors Takeover defenses Equal voting rights and dual class share structures 26 Michael-Paul James
  • 27. Table 5: Passive ownership and board independence, pre- versus post-2002 rule change. 27 This table reports estimates of the second-stage regression of our instrumental variable estimation used to identify the effect of passive investors on the percentage of independent board directors both before and after the 2002 change in exchange-listing requirements regarding board independence. The estimation is the same as in Table 4, except we now separately estimate the model over the 1998–2002 and 2003– 2006 time periods using a bandwidth of 250 firms around the Russell 1000/2000 threshold, and polynomial order controls for Ln(Mktcap) of N = 1, 2, and 3. Both the dependent variable and Passive% are scaled by their sample standard deviations. Standard errors, ε, are clustered at the firm level and reported in parentheses. The symbols ∗, ∗∗, and ∗∗∗ indicate significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively. One standard deviation increase in PI ownership is associated with a 0.65–0.76 standard deviation increase in the share of independent directors on a firm’s board Table 4: Ownership by passive investors and board independence. Dependent variable = Independent director % (1) (2) (3) Passive % 0.729∗∗∗ 0.762∗∗∗ 0.654∗∗∗ (0.160) (0.162) (0.159) Bandwidth 250 250 250 Polynomial order, N 1 2 3 Float control Yes Yes Yes Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes # of firms 1,082 1,082 1,082 Observations 2,871 2,871 2,871
  • 28. Table 5: Passive ownership and board independence, pre- versus post-2002 rule change. 28 This table reports estimates of the second-stage regression of our instrumental variable estimation used to identify the effect of passive investors on the percentage of independent board directors both before and after the 2002 change in exchange-listing requirements regarding board independence. The estimation is the same as in Table 4, except we now separately estimate the model over the 1998–2002 and 2003– 2006 time periods using a bandwidth of 250 firms around the Russell 1000/2000 threshold, and polynomial order controls for Ln(Mktcap) of N = 1, 2, and 3. Both the dependent variable and Passive% are scaled by their sample standard deviations. Standard errors, ε, are clustered at the firm level and reported in parentheses. The symbols ∗, ∗∗, and ∗∗∗ indicate significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively. One SD increase in PI ownership is associated with a 1.3–1.4 SD increase in share of independent directors on a firm’s board prior to 2003 Table 5: Passive ownership and board independence, pre- versus post-2002 rule change. Dependent variable = Independent director % Sample years = 1998–2002 Sample years = 2003–2006 (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Passive % 1.314∗∗∗ 1.461∗∗∗ 1.257∗∗∗ 0.354∗∗∗ 0.324∗∗ 0.264∗ (0.298) (0.303) (0.297) (0.136) (0.137) (0.160) Bandwidth 250 250 250 250 250 250 Polynomial order, N 1 2 3 1 2 3 Float control Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes # of firms 882 882 882 549 549 549 Observations 1,682 1,682 1,682 1,189 1,189 1,189 One SD increase in PI ownership is associated with a 0.26-0.35 SD increase in share of independent directors on a firm’s board after 2002
  • 29. Table 6: Ownership by passive investors and takeover defenses. 29 This table reports estimates of our instrumental variable estimation used to identify the effect of institutional ownership by passive investors on takeover defense outcomes. Specifically, we estimate where Y it is the governance variable for firm i in year t scaled by its sample standard deviation, Passive%it is the percentage of shares outstanding owned by passively managed mutual funds (as defined in Section 2.1 of the text) for stock i at the end of September in year t scaled by its sample standard deviation, Mktcapit is the CRSP market value of equity of stock i measured at May 31 in year t, Float it is the float-adjusted market value of equity (provided by Russell) at June 30 in year t, and δt are year fixed effects. The governance variables investigated in this table, from Shark Repellent (FactSet) and Riskmetrics, are: an indicator for either the withdrawal or expiration (without renewal) of a poison pill in year t , and an indicator for there being fewer restrictions on shareholders’ ability to call a special meeting in year t. We instrument Passive% in the above estimation using R2000it , an indicator equal to one if firm i is part of the Russell 2000 index in year t. The data consist of firms in the two Russell indexes for which we obtain holdings data from Thomson Reuters Mutual Fund Holdings Database and which we match with data from the monthly CRSP file. The model is estimated over the 1998–2006 period using a bandwidth of 250 firms around the Russell 1000/2000 threshold and first-, second-, and third-order polynomial controls for Ln(Mktcap). Standard errors, ε, are clustered at the firm level and reported in parentheses. ∗∗∗ indicates significance at the 1% levels. One SD increase in PI ownership is associated with a 0.18–0.20 SD (3.3–3.8%) increase in the likelihood of a poison pill removal Table 6: Ownership by passive investors and takeover defenses. Dependent variable = Poison pill removal Greater ability to call special meeting (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Passive % 0.176∗∗∗ 0.181∗∗∗ 0.203∗∗∗ 0.304∗∗∗ 0.310∗∗∗ 0.341∗∗∗ (0.0647) (0.0650) (0.0741) (0.0999) (0.108) (0.114) Bandwidth 250 250 250 250 250 250 Polynomial order, N 1 2 3 1 2 3 Float control Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes # of firms 1,164 1,164 1,164 1,050 1,050 1,050 Observations 2,957 2,957 2,957 1,858 1,858 1,858 One SD increase in PI ownership is associated with a 0.30–0.34 SD (2.4–2.7%) increase in the likelihood that firms eliminate restrictions on shareholders’ ability to call special meetings
  • 30. Table 7: Ownership by passive investors and dual class share structures. 30 This table reports estimates of our instrumental variable estimation used to identify the effect of passive investors on the likelihood of dual class shares. Specifically, we estimate where Y it is an indicator equal to one if firm i has dual class shares in year t according to Riskmetrics scaled by its sample standard deviation, Passive%it is the percentage of shares outstanding owned by passively managed mutual funds (as defined in Section 2.1 of the text) for stock i at the end of September in year t scaled by its sample standard deviation, Mktcap it is the CRSP market value of equity of stock i measured at May 31 in year t, Float it is the float-adjusted market value of equity (provided by Russell) at June 30 in year t , and δt are year fixed effects. We instrument Passive% in the above estimation using R2000it , an indicator equal to one if firm i is part of the Russell 2000 index in year t. The data consist of firms in the two Russell indexes for which we obtain holdings data from Thomson Reuters Mutual Fund Holdings Database and which we match with data from the monthly CRSP file. The model is estimated over the 1998–2006 period using a bandwidth of 250 firms around the Russell 1000/2000 threshold, and polynomial order controls for Ln(Mktcap) of N = 1, 2, and 3. Standard errors, ε, are clustered at the firm level and reported in parentheses. ∗∗∗ indicates significance at the 1% level. One SD increase in PI Ownership is associated with 0.88–1.03 SD decrease in the likelihood that a firm has a dual class share structure. Table 7: Ownership by passive investors and dual class share structures. Dependent variable = Indicator for dual class shares (1) (2) (3) Passive % −0.886∗∗∗ −1.031∗∗∗ −1.005∗∗∗ (0.179) (0.167) (0.181) Bandwidth 250 250 250 Polynomial order, N 1 2 3 Float control Yes Yes Yes Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes # of firms 1,050 1,050 1,050 Observations 1,858 1,858 1,858
  • 31. Mechanisms 05 Possible mechanisms by which passive investors influence governance The power of passive investors’ “voice” No increased activism by others 31 Michael-Paul James
  • 32. Table 8: Ownership by passive investors and shareholder support for proposals. 32 This table reports estimates of our instrumental variable estimation to identify the effect of passive investors on shareholder support for management proposals and shareholder-initiated governance proposals. Specifically, we estimate where Yit is either the average percentage of shareholders that vote along with management proposals at annual meetings for firm i in year t (from Riskmetrics) or the average percentage of shareholders that vote in support of a shareholder-initiated governance proposal for firm i in year t (from Riskmetrics) each scaled by their sample standard deviation, Passive%it is the percentage of shares outstanding owned by passively managed mutual funds (as defined in Section 2.1 of the text) for stock i at the end of September in year t scaled by its sample standard deviation, Mktcap it is the CRSP market value of equity of stock i measured at May 31 in year t, Float it is the float-adjusted market value of equity (provided by Russell) at June 30 in year t, and δt are year fixed effects. We instrument Passive% in the above estimation using R2000it , an indicator equal to one if firm i is part of the Russell 2000 index in year t. The data consist of firms in the two Russell indexes for which we obtain holdings data from Thomson Reuters Mutual Fund Holdings Database and which we match with data from the monthly CRSP file. The model is estimated over the 1998–2006 period using a bandwidth of 250 firms around the Russell 1000/2000 threshold, and polynomial order controls for Ln(Mktcap) of N = 1, 2, and 3. Standard errors, ε, are clustered at the firm level and reported in parentheses. The symbols ∗, ∗∗, and ∗∗∗ indicate significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively. One SD increase in PI ownership is associated with ~0.75 SD decline in support for management proposals Table 8: Ownership by passive investors and shareholder support for proposals. Dependent variable = Management proposal support % Governance proposal support % (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Passive % −0.783∗∗∗ −0.745∗∗∗ −0.734∗∗∗ 0.492∗∗ 0.649∗ 0.622∗ (0.180) (0.179) (0.231) (0.247) (0.348) (0.336) Bandwidth 250 250 250 250 250 250 Polynomial order, N 1 2 3 1 2 3 Float control Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes # of firms 775 775 775 127 127 127 Observations 1,288 1,288 1,288 202 202 202 One SD increase in PI ownership is associated with ~0.5 to 0.65 SD increase in support for governance proposals
  • 33. Table 9: Ownership by passive investors and hedge fund activism. 33 This table reports estimates of our instrumental variable estimation used to identify the effect of ownership by passive investors on the likelihood of hedge fund activism. Specifically, we estimate where Y it is an indicator equal to one if firm i experiences a hedge fund activism event in year t, as defined in Brav, Jiang, Partnoy, and Thomas (2008) and Brav, Jiang, and Kim (2010), scaled by its sample standard deviation, Passive%it is the percentage of shares outstanding owned by passively managed mutual funds (as defined in Section 2.1 of the text) for stock i at the end of September in year t scaled by its sample standard deviation, Mktcapit is the CRSP market value of equity of stock i measured at May 31 in year t, Float it is the float-adjusted market value of equity (provided by Russell) at June 30 in year t, and δt are year fixed effects. We instrument Passive% in the above estimation using R2000it , an indicator equal to one if firm i is part of the Russell 2000 index in year t. The data consist of firms in the two Russell indexes for which we obtain holdings data from Thomson Reuters Mutual Fund Holdings Database and which we match with data from the monthly CRSP file. The model is estimated over the 1998–2006 period using a bandwidth of 250 firms around the Russell 1000/2000 threshold, and polynomial order controls for Ln(Mktcap) of N = 1, 2, and 3. Standard errors, ε, are clustered at the firm level and reported in parentheses. The symbols ∗ and ∗∗ indicate significance at the 10% and 5% levels, respectively. One SD increase in passive fund ownership is associated with a 0.13–0.16 SD (1.6–2.0%) decline in the likelihood of hedge fund activism Table 9: Instrumental Role of Credit Information: Informal Credit Market Dependent variable = Indicator for hedge fund activism event (1) (2) (3) Passive % −0.131∗ −0.130∗ −0.162∗∗ (0.0721) (0.0718) (0.0805) Bandwidth 250 250 250 Polynomial order, N 1 2 3 Float control Yes Yes Yes Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes # of firms 1,654 1,654 1,654 Observations 4,415 4,415 4,415
  • 34. Policies 06 Do passive investors affect firm performance, compensation, or other corporate policies? Overall performance Executive compensation Cash, dividend, financing, and investment policies 34 Michael-Paul James
  • 35. Table 10: Ownership by passive investors and firms’ return on assets. 35 This table reports estimates of our instrumental variable estimation used to identify the effect of ownership by passive institutional investors on firms’ performance, as measured using firms’ return on assets (ROA). Specifically, we estimate where Yit is the ROA for firm i in year t scaled by its sample standard deviation, Passive%it is the percentage of shares outstanding owned by passively managed mutual funds (as defined in Section 2.1 of the text) for stock i at the end of September in year t scaled by its sample standard deviation, Mktcapit is the CRSP market value of equity of stock i measured at May 31 in year t, Float it is the float-adjusted market value of equity (provided by Russell) at June 30 in year t , and δt are year fixed effects. We instrument Passive% in the above estimation using R2000it , an indicator equal to one if firm i is part of the Russell 2000 index in year t. The specification in columns 1–3 is the same as in earlier tables, but in columns 4–6, we add two additional controls to the specification: an indicator that equals one for firms that are in the Russell 2000 index in year t but were in the Russell 1000 in year t −1, and an indicator that equals one for firms that are in the Russell 1000 index in year t but were in the Russell 2000 index in year t −1. The data consist of firms in the two Russell indexes for which we obtain holdings data from Thomson Reuters Mutual Fund Holdings Database and which we match with data from the monthly CRSP file. The model is estimated over the 1998–2006 period using a bandwidth of 250 firms around the Russell 1000/2000 threshold and first-, second-, and third-order polynomial controls for Ln(Mktcap) . Standard errors, ε, are clustered at the firm level and reported in parentheses. ∗∗∗ indicates significance at the 1% level. Table 10: Ownership by passive investors and firms’ return on assets. Dependent variable = ROA (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Passive % −0.028 −0.015 0.035 0.304∗∗∗ 0.310∗∗∗ 0.414∗∗∗ (0.098) (0.093) (0.105) (0.111) (0.106) (0.121) Bandwidth 250 250 250 250 250 250 Polynomial order, N 1 2 3 1 2 3 Float control Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Controls for movers No No No Yes Yes Yes # of firms 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 Observations 4,291 4,291 4,291 4,291 4,291 4,291 One SD increase in passive fund ownership is associated with ~0.31–0.41 SD increase in long-term ROA
  • 36. Robustness 07 Additional robustness checks and choice of specification Robustness to choice of controls, choice of bandwidth, and placebo tests Robustness to alternative definitions of passive ownership Robustness to alternative sampling choices Ruling out potential sample selection biases 36 Michael-Paul James
  • 37. Table 11: Impact of index assignment on institution-level (13F) stock ownership. 37 This table reports estimates of our first-stage regression of institutional holdings on an indicator for membership in the Russell 2000 index plus additional controls. Specifically, we estimate where R2000it is a dummy variable equal to one if stock i is in the Russell 2000 index at end of June in year t, Mktcapit is the CRSP market value of equity of stock i measured at May 31 in year t, N is the polynomial order we use to control for Ln(Mktcapit), Floatit is the float-adjusted market value of equity (provided by Russell) at June 30 in year t , and δt are year fixed effects. Ownership%it measures institution-level (13F) ownership (in percent) for stock i at the end of September in year t. In this table we use four different definitions for Ownership% for stock i : (1) the percentage of shares outstanding owned by all institutional investors; (2) the percentage of shares outstanding owned by "quasi-index" institutions, as classified by Bushee (2001); (3) the percentage of shares outstanding owned by "dedicated" institutions as classified by Bushee; and (4) the percentage of shares outstanding owned by “transient”institutions as classified by Bushee. The Bushee classifications are defined in Section 7.2 of the text. The sample consists of the top 250 firms in the Russell 2000 index and bottom 250 firms of the Russell 1000 index (i.e., bandwidth = 250) for which we obtain holdings data from Thomson Reuters Institutional Holdings (13F) Database and which we match with data from the monthly CRSP file. The model is estimated over the 1998–2006 period using a polynomial order control for Ln(Mktcap) of N = 3. Standard errors, ε, are clustered at the firm level and reported in parentheses. ∗∗∗ indicates significance at the 1% level. Broad definition of passive investors still robust to mutual fund ownership’s relationship to membership in Russell 2000 Table 11: Impact of index assignment on institution-level (13F) stock ownership. Dependent variable = Percent of firm’s common shares held by: All institutions Quasi-index Dedicated Transient (1) (2) (3) (4) R2000 1.354 2.381∗∗∗ −0.539 −0.445 (1.517) (0.748) (0.891) (0.845) Bandwidth 250 250 250 250 Polynomial order, N 3 3 3 3 Float control Yes Yes Yes Yes Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes # of firms 1,633 1,633 1,633 1,633 Observations 4,357 4,357 4,357 4,357 R-squared 0.24 0.26 0.02 0.09
  • 38. Table 12: Robustness of IV estimates to using passive indicator based on institution-level (13F) stock ownership. 38 This table reports estimates of the second-stage regression of our instrumental variable estimation to identify the effect of institutional ownership by passive investors on our governance and corporate outcome variables where passive ownership is measured using the percentage of stock held by “quasi-index” institutions, as classified by Bushee (2001) and defined in Section 7.2 of the text. The estimation and outcomes are the same as in Tables 4–10, except Passive% is replaced by Quasi-index%, the share of market cap held by quasi-index institutions scaled by its sample standard deviation. The dependent variables are defined in Table A.1, and the model is estimated over the 1998–2006 period using a bandwidth of 250 firms around the Russell 1000/2000 threshold and a third-order polynomial control for Ln(Mktcap). To demonstrate the robustness of the association between passive ownership and longer-term performance, we include the additional controls for recent movers, used in columns 4–6 of Table 10, when analyzing ROA (column 8). Standard errors, ε, are clustered at the firm level and reported in parentheses. The symbols ∗, ∗∗, and ∗∗∗ indicate significance at the 10%,5%, and 1% levels, respectively. Broad definition of passive investors still robust to previous results Table 12: Robustness of IV estimates to using passive indicator based on institution-level (13F) stock ownership. Dep. variable = Ind. Poison pill Ability to call Ind. for dual Mngt. proposal Gov. proposal HF activism ROA directors % removal specialmeeting class shares support % support % event (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Quasi-index % 1.197∗∗∗ 0.885∗ 0.958∗∗ −2.866∗∗ −1.148∗∗ 1.297∗ −0.580∗ 1.803∗∗ (0.388) (0.479) (0.473) (1.170) (0.516) (0.680) (0.336) (0.899) Bandwidth 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 Polynomial order, N 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Float control Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes # of firms 1,073 1,160 1,047 1,047 768 125 1,633 1,586 Observations 2,840 2,940 1,847 1,847 1,279 200 4,357 4,246
  • 40. Closing remarks & Summary 40 Michael-Paul James ● Passively managed mutual funds play important role in ownership ○ Large blockholders influence corporate behavior and policies. ● Study exploits exogenous variation in passive institutional ownership around the cutoff of Russell 1000 & 2000 inclusion ○ Conditioned results on market capitalization ● Passive investors are not passive owners and associated with: ○ Less support for management proposals ○ Increase in support for shareholder initiated governance proposals ○ Reduce need for activism by active investors ○ Improvements in long term performance ● One size may not fit all firms, leaving some agency costs not addressed.
  • 41. You are Amazing Ask me all the questions you desire. I will do my best to answer honestly and strive to grasp your intent and creativity. 41 Michael-Paul James