Tech Trends 2015 and Beyond
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A high-level shout out to the latest trends emerging in technology across hardware, software, mobile and platform. Predictions on how these trends will evolve in 2016. Further reading: Virtual Reality: http://www.roadtovr.com/ Google Cardboard education initiative: https://www.google.com/edu/expeditions/ Microsoft Hololens: https://www.microsoft.com/microsoft-hololens/en-us Google ATAP (Projects Tango, Jacquard and Soli): https://plus.google.com/+GoogleATAP/videos Fitbit: http://www.fitbit.com/au Pebble: https://getpebble.com/ Apple Watch: http://www.apple.com/au/watch/ Facebook’s DeepFace: https://research.facebook.com/publications/480567225376225/deepface-closing-the-gap-to-human-level-performance-in-face-verification/ Google’s image recognition research: http://googleresearch.blogspot.com.au/2015/06/inceptionism-going-deeper-into-neural.html Microsoft’s How Old experiment: https://how-old.net/themagic Skype Translator Preview: http://www.skype.com/en/translator-preview/ Android Auto: https://www.android.com/auto/ Gogoro: https://www.gogoro.com/smartscooter/customize Tesla: http://www.teslamotors.com/en_AU/ Slack: https://slack.com/ Trello: https://trello.com/ Mobile statistics: http://www.kpcb.com/internet-trends
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Tech Trends 2015 and Beyond
- 1. TECH TRENDS OF 2015
- 3. HARDWARE SOFTWARE DISRUPTION MOBILE PREDICTIONS
- 4. HARDWARE
- 5. Companies are investing heavily in emerging technology, but a lot of the innovation is grass roots.
- 6. Oculus Rift Morpheus Vive
- 8. HoloLens
- 9. HoloLens
- 10. Project Tango
- 12. Project Jacquard Project Soli
- 13. SOFTWARE
- 14. DeepFace
- 18. Cloud computing has become incredibly cheap. Software has made it accessible.
- 19. Software defined
- 20. DISRUPTION
- 21. The biggest consumer spending categories are also the weakest user experience markets. This has lead to innovation.
- 26. Android Auto
- 27. (Gogoro Scooter)
- 30. Enterprise software used to be about making existing work more efficient. Now, the opportunity for software is to transform the work itself. - Aaron Levie @levie
- 34. MOBILE
- 36. WeChat
- 37. iOSAndroid
- 38. PREDICTIONS
- 39. Internet of Things will become the Internet of Everything.
- 40. Wearables will struggle to penetrate the market, until they get their killer app.
- 41. Crowd funding leads to more disruption.
- 42. Messaging apps will evolve to be the new social media.
- 43. Mobile payments gain traction, set to boom.
- 45. Virtual Reality Google Cardboard education initiative Microsoft Hololens Google ATAP (Projects Tango, Jacquard and Soli) Fitbit Pebble Apple Watch DeepFace Skype Translator Preview Android Auto Gogoro Tesla Slack Trello Square Stripe Mobile statistics Further reading
Notas do Editor
- Check in for VR Demo Self intro responsibilities
- Cover the following topics Lots to cover. Feel free to interrupt me or talk to me after the session
- Exciting time in technology Brand new technologies Sweet spot of different technologies merging together New financing models (crowdsourcing) Insatiable thirst by the larger industry
- Virtual Reality Oculus Rift started on Kickstarter late 2012. Raised 8m Palmer Luckey was 19years old Bought by Facebook last year for 3b Sony doing Morpheus, HTC doing Vive Nothing actually released yet Still need a machine to power it
- have been released These are ‘lower cost’ alternatives to the dedicated headsets Use your mobile as the display and sensors Google cardboard (don’t sell themselves) - $20 Gear - $250 Google pushing VR initiatives ‘Expeditions’ Education YouTube -> 360 video, soon VR
- Not the only weird thing you wear on your head Here is a promo image for the Microsoft Hololens
- I prefer this shot. Augmented Reality Explanation of how it works Not released (2016) Sensors are the real power behind these technologies VR – Gyroscope Hololens uses camera array Another device that uses a camera array to position itself is...
- Project Tango from Google ATAP (Advanced Technology and Projects) Uses cameras to map out realworld space Originally conceived as an extension to Mapping, or ‘Area learning’ Now used in Google’s self-guiding car. Attached to quadcopters for mapping out danger areas such as collapsed buildings Helping the disabled
- Fitbit Originally launched late naughties as a fob 2013 Fitbit flex (first band) Pebble Crowdfunded by Kickstarter (and one of its earliest successes) Hooks up to Android phone Dev friendly, not consumer friendly Apple watch Brand power Extension of the phone Doesn’t do anything perfect yet Watch OS 2 Fitbit still strong Has it’s purpose Easy to use Cheap ($100 vs $500)
- Wearables don’t have to be watches or bands Still stuck to a screen and buttons as input Here are some left of field examples from Google ATAP Jacquard The concept of touchscreen and fabrics are the same Looking at integrating electronics into fabrics Evolve to not see of feel the electronics Soli Uses radio frequency spectrum (radars) to pick up hand motions Tiny electronics Embedded in everyday devices Gesture recognition – machine learning
- Projects like HoloLens, Tango and Soli are only available with the power of software
- Who uses Facebook here? getting better at making suggestions for people to tag in the photos? ‘machine learning’, ‘neural networks’ is basically training algorithms with repetition into giving in an ‘understanding’ DeepFace 97.25% accuracy, regardless of lighting conditions or angles. humans generally have an average of 97.53% accuracy. nearly the same accuracy as humans.
- Google image recognition research Trained neural network with millions of images Static with a static image, give a category Context becomes part of the image (dumbbell)
- Microsoft Research Labs Tries to calculate the age of the people on photos uploaded (I’m not that old) Not quite there yet, but it’s getting better Some of this is closed, but a lot is open Facebook open sourced parts of DeepFace
- Machine learning, deep learning, neutral networks. Not limited to imagery Voice: - Chinese - English - French - German - Italian - Spanish
- Software defined Networking Data centers Virtualisation, pooling, automation AWS, Azure
- What happens when you take the cost of hardware away? The cost of entry changes The knowledge changes The power shifts
- Airbnb Crowdsourced accommodation Started in 2008 Strength in its reviews Owns no property $20B valuation (march) For comparison, Marriott International’s market cap is $21B
- Uber Transportation company that lets people drive on behalf of the company Started in 2009 57 countries Personal experience in LA & Aus Estimates to be worth $50B Hertz International is worth $7.5B Has no fleet
- Instacart Internet based grocery delivery service US only Available in 15 cities Launched 2013 Already $2B valuation Has no inventory
- Netflix All content is on-demand Original programming is released as an entire season $71B Market Cap As a consequence, Time Warner now provides HBO NOW without a cable subscription Each of these services have seriously disrupted their respective industries What is the next industry?
- How many people like their car’s UI? Does it do what you want it to do? Is it easy to use? Android Auto is an OS for your car. It’s been in development for a while, but only just hitting market (Hyundai Sonata in May, VW Polo in June), but a host of other manufacturers have signed on. This is all about users and insights. It shares the same ecosystem as other Android devices, and that mean’s Google Play Store. By getting into your car (so to speak), Google can now see people’s behaviours in the one place they were (legally) not allowed to interact with their systems.
- Gogoro Scooter Electric Developed in Taiwan and released this month Swappable batteries (plug n play) Defines ins differentiator as the battery packs, not the scooter Discusses the importance of the connected scooter to drive analytics for a better experience (and efficiency)
- Tesla’s vehicles are connected 17” touchscreen dash They have OTA (over the air) updates for the software that drives their machine. Why is this important? GM & Tesla recall for a potential fire hazard Tesla did this OTA More recently in March, it responded to users’ range anxiety with an OTA update
- This is the Tesla Powerwall Battery for your home Can hook up to Solar or Off peak $US3500 for the base unit (double to install etc)
- Good quote What about changes in the business world?
- Who has used or heard of Slack? Came out last year, founded by Steward Butterfield (who cofounded Flickr) A messaging client for offices. It eliminated the reliance on emails. Isobar tech team use case Stockland use case It doesn’t introduce anything revolutionary. But it makes everything super easy.
- Quick high level on Trello the PM tool
- Simpler payment integration PayPal PayPal Here Payment gateways Square Stripe
- Messager apps have exploded in popularity 6+ of the 10 most used apps globally whatsapp, messenger, line, viber, kakao talk, we chat. Messaging apps provide that sweet spot of communication Asynchronous Instant On demand The userbase is shared. Different users have different apps for various purposes.
- Asia is leading the with app functionality Voice calls Video calls Payments Stickers Games Commerce Media Qr codes Food delivery Taxi services User stories/moments Dev platform WeChat 549M users Massive scale and engagement major video distribution channel government services paying utilities booking appointments passport applications
- Mobile Notifications panels are interactive Potential for smart phones to leverage this It’s about less interruption when you don’t want it, and more entertainment when you do.
- So, what’s going to happen in 2016? Note, these are my thoughts
- The internet of things revolution is already happening. It’s not the internet-enabled fridge. It’s products like Nest and Smart watches The majority of our population are walking around with a connected computer in their pocket. It provides the interface for some many parts of our lives. It’ll provide the interface for this new generation of products as well.
- Until watches become more than an extension of your phone, they will be an expensive novelty Will the differentiator be Health? Will it be payments? Will it be something else entirely?
- As mentioned previously, a lot of these new trends start for a simple idea - often independent. With crowdsourcing providing a solution to both funding and exposure, what will it bring next year?
- Messenger by Facebook is already used more than the Facebook app. As Everyone becomes socially connected, we will continually discard this public arena for more closed communities. I have over 700 facebook friends, but I only talk to a dozen of them on a regular basis.
- Apple Pay was released in the UK yesterday (Tuesday). In Australia, PayWave / PayPass is starting to go mainstream, next step is mobile.
- Just like messaging and Netflix, all content will become on demand (flesh out)