This document discusses strategies for improving the sustainability of livestock systems in Ireland. It addresses reducing greenhouse gas emissions from enteric fermentation, feed additives, genetics, manure management, soil carbon sequestration, and on-farm practices. The document provides data on current emission factors and modeling, the potential of various technologies and practices to reduce emissions, and the need to achieve climate neutrality in agriculture by 2050 through additional solutions beyond 2030.
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Improving the sustainability of livestock systems in Ireland
1. Improving the sustainability of livestock
systems in Ireland
Laurence Shalloo, Jonathan Herron, Ben Lahart and Hazel
Costigan
Teagasc, AGRIC, Moorepark, Fermoy, Co Cork.
Phone: 025 42 306
Email: Laurence.shalloo@teagasc.ie
2. Grass fed – Protein efficiency
2
Laisse et al., 2018
Net Efficiency =
Human edible proteins produced
Human edible proteins consumed
Net efficiency
Net producer
1
0
Net
consumer
(adapted from
Wilkinson, 2011;
Ertl et al, 2015)
What is human-edible ?
3. Grass fed – Protein efficiency
3
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
TMR Grass Based
Net Protein Efficiency - Current Scenario
Net Protein Efficiency - Current Scenario
Laisse et al., 2018
6. Roadmap to 2030 +
Need to reduce by 5.75 Mt CO2e
2018:
23 Mt
CO2e
2030: 17.25 Mt CO2e
Implement
technologies
in MACC
1.5 - 2 Mt
CO2e
Almost ready
technologies
(Feed additives,
fertiliser, earlier
slaughter…)
1 – 1.5 Mt
CO2e
Distance to target
(Feed additives at
pasture, breeding low
emitting animals…)
2050
Climate
Neutral
Agriculture
7. 7
Achieving the balance – Baseline
• Enteric methane emission factor
• Current value 6.5% of GEI at grazing
• Yan et al., for grass silage (Kennedy and Costigan data, Substantially lower)
9. Methane Research
9
Grams per day
Study Method Ym (%)
Wims et al. 2010 SF6 5.9
Ferris et al., 2020 SF6 4.9
Hynes et al., 2016 Chamber 5.6
Lahart et al., 2022 Greenfeed 5.3
Jiao et al., 2014 SF6 5.6
Foley et al., 2008 SF6 6.3
Lovett et al 2005 SF6 5.64
Hidalgo et al 2014 SF6 6.78
Mean 5.75
SD 0.58
CV% 10
11. 11
Achieving the balance – Baseline
• Enteric methane emission factor
• Current value 6.5% of GEI at grazing
• Yan et al., for grass silage (Kennedy and Costigan data, Substantially lower)
• Beef model updates, emission factors and linkage to live data
• Emission factors
12. 0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
Version 3 Version 4 Version 5
kg
CO2eq/kg
FPCM
CH4 Emissions cattle feed N2O emissions manure Fertiliser prod & application
Forage and feed General emissions CH4 manure
0.97
0.87
Carbon footprint Model updates
1.08
13. 13
Achieving the balance – Feed Additives
Must Have
• Consistent methane reduction potential
• Mechanism of delivery to the animal
• Capable of counting in the national inventory
• No food safety/residue implications
• No negative performance effects and palatability
Desirable
• Low Cost
• Increased performance benefits
• Natural origin
• Potential for combination with other solutions
18. 0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
01-Mar 01-Apr 01-May 01-Jun 01-Jul 01-Aug 01-Sep
Kg
MS
per
cow
per
day
Lahart Under review
Milk solids kg per cow per day
Elite NA P
2.02a 1.86b <0.01
Elite NA P
292.6a 287.6a NS
19. Carbon Sub Index – 2023
New genetic index for inclusion in the EBI
Carbon emissions
• Existing traits
• Same model as generates economic values
• Replace economics with emissions values for each trait
• Run emission values through the model
Model run on total emissions
• E.g. impact of an increase in milk on total emissions
Linked to financials through price per tonne
• Future value on carbon price
19
20. 20
Achieving the balance – Manure Management
• Circa 12% of methane emissions circa 1.8 million tonnes
• Initial research showing strong potential
• Ph based solutions show significant promise – Health and Safety & Structural Integrity
• Significant promise – Treating a tank rather than an animal
• Activity data
21. Beyond 2030 - Achieving Climate Neutrality
(Temperature stabilisation)
Achieving temperature stabilisation from agriculture
• No ADDITIONAL warming
Historic warming
21
22. Biogenic Methane
Nitrous Oxide
Carbon Dioxide
22
Beyond 2030 - Achieving Climate Neutrality
(Temperature stabilisation) from agriculture and
land use sector
24. Emission metrics are needed to aggregate baskets of gases to determine net zero GHG emissions.
Generally, achieving net zero CO2 emissions and declining non-CO2 radiative forcing would halt
human-induced warming. Reaching net zero GHG emissions quantified by GWP-100 typically
leads to declining temperatures after net zero GHGs emissions are achieved if the basket includes
short-lived gases, such as methane. Net zero GHG emissions defined by CGTP or GWP* imply
net zero CO2 and other long-lived GHG emissions and constant (CGTP) or gradually declining
(GWP*) emissions of short-lived gases. The warming evolution resulting from net zero GHG
emissions defined in this way corresponds approximately to reaching net zero CO2 emissions, and
would thus not lead to declining temperatures after net zero GHG emissions are achieved but to
an approximate temperature stabilization (high confidence). The choice of emission metric hence
affects the quantification of net zero GHG emissions, and therefore the resulting temperature
outcome of reaching and sustaining net zero GHG emissions levels (high confidence). {7.6.1.4,
7.6.2, 7.6.3} PAGE 150.
IPCC
25. Beyond 2030 - Achieving Climate Neutrality from
agriculture and land use
Biogenic Methane
Nitrous Oxide
Carbon Dioxide
25
26. Beyond 2030 - Achieving Climate Neutrality from
agriculture and land use
Biogenic Methane
Nitrous Oxide
Carbon Dioxide
26
27. • Mineral soils assumed sequester 0.5 t CO2 /Ha *3.9 million Ha
• Drained Peat soils assumed to loose 25t CO2 /Ha *335,000 Ha
• Net picture excluding forestry (Loss of circa 6.4 million tonnes)
Unknowns
• Sequestration on mineral soils (Tier 1) (????????????????)
• Drainage status of drained Peat soils – (No idea)
• Carbon loss from drained peat soils – (Tier 1)
• Net picture excluding forestry (Potentially a plus figure)
Land Use and Land Use Change Tier 1 in the Inventory
30. Progress at Farm level
30
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Using Protected urea
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
% chemical N as PU
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Using LESS
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
% slurry applied using
LESS
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
% applying lime
Specialist dairy farms
Lime Usage up by 49% in 2022 versus 2021
Protected Urea up by 59% in 2022 versus 2021
LESS 48% of slurry spread versus 4% in 2018