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Ipsos MORI April 2015 polling on issues to voting and ideal voting system

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NHS and economy remain most important issues to voters, and the public split on the ideal voting system

Publicada em: Notícias e política
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Ipsos MORI April 2015 polling on issues to voting and ideal voting system

  1. 1. 2015 POLITICAL MONITOR
  2. 2. ECONOMIC OPTIMISM
  3. 3. Economic Optimism Index Base: 1,010 British adults 18+, 26th – 29th April 2015 3DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS? Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor April 2015 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Jan-04 Jun-04 Nov-04 Apr-05 Sep-05 Mar-06 Sep-06 Apr-07 Sep-07 Mar-08 Aug-08 Jan-09 Jun-09 Nov-09 Apr-10 Oct-10 Mar-11 Aug-11 Jan-12 Jun-12 Nov-12 Apr-13 Sep-13 Feb-14 Jul-14 Dec-14 Apr-15 IMPROVE 43% STAY THE SAME 27% GET WORSE 17% DON’T KNOW 14% EOI = +26
  4. 4. The Ipsos MORI Economic Optimism Index Base: c.1,000 British adults each month 4DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS? Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 Apr1997 Dec1997 Aug1998 Apr1999 Dec1999 Aug2000 Apr2001 Dec2001 Aug2002 Apr2003 Dec2003 Aug2004 Apr2005 Dec2005 Aug2006 Apr2007 Dec2007 Aug2008 Apr2009 Dec2009 Aug2010 Apr2011 Dec2011 Aug2012 Apr2013 Dec2013 Aug2014 Apr2015 +26
  5. 5. VOTING DECISIONS
  6. 6. 48% 30% 10% 6% 5% How important is May’s result to the voters? 6HOW IMPORTANT IS IT TO YOU PERSONALLY WHO WINS THE NEXT GENERAL ELECTION? Base: 1,010 British adults 18+, 26th – 29th April 2015 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor VERY IMPORTANT FAIRLY IMPORTANT NOT VERY IMPORTANT NOT AT ALL IMPORTANT NO OPINION March 2015 April 2015 44% 40% 11% 2% 3%
  7. 7. ISSUES
  8. 8. Which issues will be very important when voters cast their ballots? Top four issues 8 LOOKING AHEAD TO THE NEXT GENERAL ELECTION, WHICH, IF ANY ISSUES DO YOU THINK WILL BE VERY IMPORTANT TO YOU IN HELPING YOU DECIDE WHICH PARTY TO VOTE FOR? 22% 25% 32% 45% 25% 25% 31% 38% 19% 24% 35% 47% 25% 27% 35% 48% Asylum and immigration Education/schools Managing the economy/economic situation Healthcare/NHS/hospitals February 2015 March 2015 12-15th April 2015 26- 29th April 2015 Base: 1,010 British adults 18+, 26th -29th April 2015 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
  9. 9. Which issues will be very important when voters cast their ballots? 9 LOOKING AHEAD TO THE NEXT GENERAL ELECTION, WHICH, IF ANY ISSUES DO YOU THINK WILL BE VERY IMPORTANT TO YOU IN HELPING YOU DECIDE WHICH PARTY TO VOTE FOR? Base: 1,010 British adults 18+ 26th -29th April 2015 Only showing answers above 8%; see computer tables for full results Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor 9% 10% 11% 12% 25% 27% 35% 48% Benefits Taxation Unemployment Housing Asylum and immigration Education/schools Managing the economy/economic situation Healthcare/NHS/hospitals
  10. 10. ELECTION OUTCOMES
  11. 11. Is there an appetite for proportional representation? Base: 1,010 British adults 18+, 26th -29th April 2015; Conservative voters (309), Labour voters (259), Lib Dem voters (84), UKIP voters (93). Beware small base sizes for Lib Dem and UKIP voters. 11WHICH IS MORE IMPORTANT TO YOU: A SYSTEM WHICH PRODUCES A FAIRER SHARE OF SEATS FOR SMALLER PARTIES OR A SYSTEM IN WHICH IT IS LIKELY THAT THE LARGEST PARTY CAN GOVERN ON ITS OWN? Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor 45%48% 6% FAIRER SHARE LARGEST PARTY CAN GOVERN DON’T KNOW Conservative voters: 26% Fairer share 71% Largest party can govern Labour voters: 43% Fairer share 50% Largest party can govern UKIP voters: 52% Fairer share 37% Largest party can govern Lib Dem voters: 74% Fairer share 23% Largest party can govern
  12. 12. 2015 POLITICAL MONITOR

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