Ipsos MORI Political Monitor September 2015 finds Boris Johnson is the most popular prospective Conservative leader amongst the public, but most Conservatives support George Osborne.

1. 2015
POLITICAL MONITOR
1.10.2015

2. ECONOMIC
OPTIMISM

3. Economic Optimism Index
Base: 1,255 British adults 18+, 19th – 22nd September 2015
3DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL
IMPROVE, STAY THE SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
September 2015
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Jan-04
Aug-04
Mar-05
Oct-05
Jun-06
Apr-07
Dec-07
Jul-08
Feb-09
Sep-09
Apr-10
Dec-10
Jul-117
Feb-12
Sep-12
Apr-13
Nov-13
Jun-14
Jan-15
Sep-15
IMPROVE 35%
STAY THE SAME 28%
GET WORSE 34%
DON’T KNOW 3%
EOI = +1

4. The Ipsos MORI Economic Optimism Index
Base: 1,255 British adults 18+, 19th – 22nd September 2015
4DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL
IMPROVE, STAY THE SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
Jul1997
Feb1998
Sep1998
Apr1999
Nov1999
Jun2000
Jan2001
Aug2001
Mar2002
Oct2002
May2003
Dec2003
Jul2004
Feb2005
Sep2005
Apr2006
Nov2006
Jun2007
Jan2008
Aug2008
Mar2009
Oct2009
May2010
Dec2010
Jul2011
Feb2012
Sep2012
Apr2013
Nov2013
Jun2014
Jan2015
Aug2015
+1

5. POLITICAL ALIGNMENT OF THE PARTY
LEADERS

6. 4467
6 14 19 6 3
60 8 4
1
4
30311344
Political alignment of the leaders
6HOW WOULD YOU DESCRIBE THE VIEWS OF…?
LEFT WING
LEFT OF CENTRE
CENTRE
RIGHT OF CENTRE
RIGHT WING
4
10
Base: 1,255 British adults 18+, 19th – 22nd September 2015 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
9

7. Political alignment of David Cameron over time
7HOW WOULD YOU DESCRIBE THE VIEWS OF DAVID CAMERON?
LEFT WING
LEFT OF CENTRE
CENTRE
RIGHT OF CENTRE
RIGHT WING
DON’T KNOW
October 2010
October 2013
September 2015
6%
5%
4%
5%
4%
4%
14%
13%
13%
28%
33%
31%
21%
24%
30%
26%
21%
18%
Base: 1,255British adults 18+, 19th – 22nd September 2015 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
61%
57%
49%

8. Political alignment of Jeremy Corbyn vs Ed Miliband
8HOW WOULD YOU DESCRIBE THE VIEWS OF JEREMY CORBYN?
LEFT WING
LEFT OF CENTRE
CENTRE
RIGHT OF CENTRE
RIGHT WING
DON’T KNOW
Ed Miliband
(October 2013)
Jeremy Corbyn
(September 2015)
26%
60%
28%
8%
13%
4%
6%
1%
5%
4%
21%
23%
Base: 1,255British adults 18+, 19th – 22nd September 2015 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
68%
54%

9. FUTURE CONSERVATIVE LEADER

10. Who would Britons like to see lead the Conservative
Party?
10
AS YOU MAY KNOW, DAVID CAMERON HAS SAID THAT HE WILL STEP DOWN AS LEADER OF THE
CONSERVATIVE PARTY BEFORE THE NEXT GENERAL ELECTION IN 2020
WHICH ONE OF THE FOLLOWING POLITICIANS I AM GOING TO READ OUT, IF ANY, WOULD MAKE
YOU MOST LIKELY TO VOTE FOR THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI
Base: 1,255 British adults 18+, 395 Conservative supporters 19th – 22nd September 2015
*Red herring
5%
7%
4%
3%
32%
18%
29%
8%
25%
1%
3%
4%
15%
17%
27%
Don't know
None of these
Stewart Lewis
Michael Gove
Sajid Javid
George Osborne
Theresa May
Boris Johnson
*
September 2015
BRITISH ADULTS 18+ CONSERVATIVE SUPPORTERS

11. What do different party supporters think of future
Conservative leaders?
11
AS YOU MAY KNOW, DAVID CAMERON HAS SAID THAT HE WILL STEP DOWN AS LEADER OF THE
CONSERVATIVE PARTY BEFORE THE NEXT GENERAL ELECTION IN 2020
WHICH ONE OF THE FOLLOWING POLITICIANS I AM GOING TO READ OUT, IF ANY, WOULD MAKE
YOU MOST LIKELY TO VOTE FOR THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORIBase: British adults 18+, 395 Conservative supporters, 408 Labour, 103 LibDem, 70 UKIP 19th – 22nd September 2015
16%
2%
10%
18%
43%
28%
1%
8%
6%
28%
21%
42%
2%
4%
9%
17%
18%
7%
4%
3%
32%
18%
29%
None of these
Michael Gove
Sajid Javid
George Osborne
Theresa May
Boris Johnson
*
September 2015
CONSERVATIVE
SUPPORTERS LABOUR SUPPORTERS
LIBERAL DEMOCRAT
SUPPORTERS UKIP SUPPORTERS