Our latest poll for STV news finds that the SNP remains in the lead in voting for the Scottish Parliament. The regular Ipsos MORI Scottish Public Opinion Monitor shows that, among those certain to vote, 41% would vote for the SNP, up 2 points since May. Labour are 4 points behind in second place on 37%, up a point since May, while the Conservatives are on 13%, down 3 points, and the Liberal Democrats are on 7%, down a point.

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Scottish Public Opinion Monitor
September 2013

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Scottish Parliament voting

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Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use
your first vote?
Voting intention for Scottish Parliament elections
Base: All giving a voting intention = 816; all certain to vote = 61% (629). Data collected among 1,000 Scottish adults 16+, 9th-15th September 2013
38%
37%
15%
9%
All giving a voting intention
41%
37%
13%
7%
Certain to vote
SNP lead
+1
SNP lead
+4
SNP
Labour
Cons.
Lib Dem
SNP
Labour
Cons.
Lib Dem

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Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use
your first vote?
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Labour SNP Conservative Liberal Democrats Other
41%
37%
13%
7%
2%
Scottish Parliament Election
Result
Base: All certain to vote. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.
Voting intention for Scottish Parliament elections

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Perceptions of key figures

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Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the
Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives/Scottish Green Party/?
Satisfaction with party leaders
Base: All. Data collected among 1,000 Scottish adults 16+, 9th-15th September 2013
Alex Salmond
Johann Lamont
Patrick Harvie
David Cameron
Ruth Davidson
Willie Rennie
Satisfied Dissatisfied Don’t know Net
satisfaction
+8
+6
-28
0
+11
-5
48%
37%
32%
31%
27%
22%
40%
31%
60%
31%
16%
27%
12%
32%
8%
38%
58%
50%

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Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the
Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives/Scottish Green Party/?
Satisfaction with leaders among own party supporters
Base: All. Data collected among 1,000 Scottish adults 16+, 9th-15th September 2013
Alex Salmond
Johann Lamont
David Cameron
Ruth Davidson
Willie Rennie
Satisfied Dissatisfied Don’t know Net
satisfaction
+66
+64
+39
+39
+44
78% 14% 8%
81% 15% 4%
57% 18% 25%
58% 19% 23%
57% 13% 30%

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Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime
Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives?
Satisfaction with party leaders trend
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Apr-11 Aug-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Jun-12 Oct-12 Feb-13 May-13 Sep-13
Alex Salmond Johann Lamont Ruth Davidson Willie Rennie Patrick Harvie David Cameron
48%
37%
31%
22%
27%
Base: All certain to vote. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.
32%

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Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime
Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives?
Net Satisfaction with party leaders trend
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
Aug-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Jun-12 Oct-12 Feb-13 May-13 Sep-13
Alex Salmond Johann Lamont Ruth Davidson Willie Rennie Patrick Harvie David Cameron
+8
+5
0
-5
+11
Base: All certain to vote. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.
-28

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Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as Deputy First Minister/Leader of the Better Together
Campaign?
31%
32%
37%
17%
31%
52%
Don't know
Dissatisfied
Satisfied
Satisfaction with campaign leaders
30%
23%
47%
11%
16%
73%
Don't know
Dissatisfied
Satisfied
All Own campaign supporters
Nicola Sturgeon Alistair Darling

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hereTechnical details
• This presents the topline results from Scotland
• Results are based on a survey of 1,000 respondents
conducted by telephone
• Fieldwork dates: 9th – 15th September 2013
• Data are weight by: age, sex and working status using
census data; tenure using SHS data; and public-private
sector employment using Scottish Government Quarterly
Public Sector Employment series data
• Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to
computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of
“don’t know” categories
• Results are based on all respondents (1,000) unless
otherwise stated

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Thank you
mark.diffley@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3269
christopher.mclean@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3264 @IpsosMORIScot