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DEVOLUTION
‘EXPRESS’
2
Source: Ipsos MORIFieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015
Three-quarters of public know either ‘just a little’ or ‘nothing’
about devolution proposals
Q. Before today, how much, if anything, would you say you knew about the proposals for devolving more
power to local councils, or groups of councils, within England?
Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831)
23%
25%
27%
22%
19%
21%
20% 17%
3%
17%
34%
25%
17%
3%
A great deal
A fair amount
Just a little
Heard of, but know
nothing about
Never heard of
Don't know
16%
% knowing ‘a great deal’ or a ‘fair
amount’ about devolution
76%
3
Source: Ipsos MORIFieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015
Overall, all regions support rather than oppose the concept of
local decision making, although extent of support varies
Q. Thinking overall, to what extent, if at all, do you support or oppose giving more decision-making powers (on issues
such as economic development, transport, housing, planning and policing) to local areas?
Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831)
14
16
19
14
15
18
17
20
18
17
57
54
53
48
46
46
46
44
42
49
Yorkshire and The Humber
North West
South West
East Midlands
West Midlands
South East
Greater London
North East
East of England
Overall
% Oppose % Support Net +%
+42
+38
+33
+34
+31
+29
+28
+24
+24
+32
4
Source: Ipsos MORIFieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015
Support for increased accountability and flexibility to respond to local area
needs…however, only a third expect standards of public service to improve
59%
59%
56%
42%
33%
22%
3%
1%
1%
It will allow local councils and other local agencies like the police to
be more flexible in responding to changing local demand
Local politicians know better than national politicians what is best for
the local area
Decisions affecting me should be made by local politicians who are
more accountable to local people
It will lead to better joining up and co-ordination between public
services in the local area
Standards of public services will improve in the local area
It will save money when delivering services
Something else
No reason
Don’t know
Q. Why do you say you support devolving more powers to local areas?
Base: All adults stating they support devolution (1862)
5
Source: Ipsos MORIFieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015
Concerns that devolution will result in a ‘postcode lottery’
when it comes to service delivery – plus distrust in politicians
58%
58%
44%
43%
41%
41%
39%
36%
27%
11%
*%
1%
Standards of services risk being different depending on where you
live – a ‘postcode lottery’
I don’t trust local politicians to make the right decisions for the local
area
It will lead to services being less joined up
It will do nothing to improve local services
It won’t lead to savings
Local politicians do not always know what is best for the local area
It will cost money to implement
Standards of service will decline in the local area
I think taxes will increase
Something else
No reason
Don’t know
Q. Why do you say you oppose devolving more powers to local areas?
Base: All stating they don’t support devolution (656)
6
Source: Ipsos MORIFieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015
Nearly two-thirds believe that public service standards should be
equal no matter where they live
Q. To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement…?
Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831)
36%
35%
16%
6%
1%5%
Strongly agree Tend to agree Neither/nor Tend to disagree Strongly disagree Don't know
“Standards of public services should
be the same everywhere in
England”
7
Source: Ipsos MORIFieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015
Public is less likely to support devolution if it means creating a
postcode lottery in service provision
16%
12%
26%
12%
7%
26%
I am more likely to support devolution if it means local
services could differ from other areas of the country
I support devolution regardless of whether it means local
services could differ from other areas of the country
I am less likely to support devolution if it means local
services could differ from other areas of the country
I do not support devolution regardless of whether it means
local services could differ from other areas of the country
None of the above
Don’t know
Q. Which of these statements comes closest to your views about devolution and local services in your area?
Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831)
8
Source: Ipsos MORI
25%
21%
51%
3
Yes, definitely Yes, think so No Don’t know
Awareness of the ‘Northern Powerhouse’ is unsurprisingly
greatest amongst those living in the North
Q. Before today, had you heard of the term ‘Northern Powerhouse’?
46%
59%
41%
40%
40%
Overall
North
Midlands
South
London
% yes
Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831) Fieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015
9
Source: Ipsos MORI
2
19%
37%
22%
9%
10%
Very optimistic Fairly optimistic Neither/nor
Fairly pessimistic Very pessimistic Don't know
Only a fifth of the public are optimistic that the Northern
Powerhouse will achieve its ambitions – another 37% ambivalent
Q. To what extent are you optimistic or pessimistic that the ‘Northern Powerhouse’ will achieve these
ambitions?
Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831)
Optimistic Net 22%
Pessimistic Net 31%
3%
3%
2%
3%
4%
1%
1%
2%
3%
2%
24%
22%
23%
20%
17%
19%
18%
16%
14%
19%
North West
Greater London
Yorkshire and The Humber
East Midlands
West Midlands
East of England
South East
South West
North East
Overall
Very optimistic Fairly optimistic
-9
Fieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015
10
Source: Ipsos MORI
Attracting investment and rebalancing the north/south economic
divide are the two key aims for the Northern Powerhouse
53%
49%
31%
30%
28%
15%
1%
4%
14%
Attracting investment to the North
Closing the gap between the North and South-
East economies (eg rebalancing)
Improving skills of workers and those looking for
work
Improving transport connections in the North
Services working together (for example, health
and social care working in partnership)
Increasing accountability for local public services
Other
None of these
Don’t know
Q. Which two or three of the following, if any, do you think is most important for the ‘Northern Powerhouse’ to deliver?
Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831) Fieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015
11
Source: Ipsos MORIFieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015
Need to elect a mayor is more likely than not to make public
support devolution, although over a quarter are undecided
17%
19%
15%
13%
9%
27%
I support more devolution regardless of
the need to elect a mayor
I am more likely to support devolution if
I have to elect a mayor
I am less likely to support devolution if I
have to elect a mayor
I do not support devolution anyway
regardless of whether it might involve
electing a mayor
None of the above
Don’t know
Q. Which of these statements comes closest to your views about devolution and the need for a mayor?
Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831)
12
Source: Ipsos MORIFieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015
More people think the London mayor has had a positive than
negative impact, and this opinion is not limited to Gtr London
Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831)
9%
37%
31%
6%
3%
15%
Very positive Fairly positive No impact
Fairly negative Very negative Don't know
Q. As you may know London has an independent elected mayor, currently Boris Johnson. Do you think that
having an independently elected mayor has had a positive or negative impact on London?
10%
9%
9%
9%
8%
8%
8%
8%
6%
9%
40%
42%
36%
30%
37%
37%
36%
26%
36%
37%
South East
Greater London
South West
West Midlands
Yorkshire and The Humber
East of England
East Midlands
North East
North West
Overall
Very positive impact Fairly positive impact
45%

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Devolution Express

  • 2. 2 Source: Ipsos MORIFieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015 Three-quarters of public know either ‘just a little’ or ‘nothing’ about devolution proposals Q. Before today, how much, if anything, would you say you knew about the proposals for devolving more power to local councils, or groups of councils, within England? Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831) 23% 25% 27% 22% 19% 21% 20% 17% 3% 17% 34% 25% 17% 3% A great deal A fair amount Just a little Heard of, but know nothing about Never heard of Don't know 16% % knowing ‘a great deal’ or a ‘fair amount’ about devolution 76%
  • 3. 3 Source: Ipsos MORIFieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015 Overall, all regions support rather than oppose the concept of local decision making, although extent of support varies Q. Thinking overall, to what extent, if at all, do you support or oppose giving more decision-making powers (on issues such as economic development, transport, housing, planning and policing) to local areas? Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831) 14 16 19 14 15 18 17 20 18 17 57 54 53 48 46 46 46 44 42 49 Yorkshire and The Humber North West South West East Midlands West Midlands South East Greater London North East East of England Overall % Oppose % Support Net +% +42 +38 +33 +34 +31 +29 +28 +24 +24 +32
  • 4. 4 Source: Ipsos MORIFieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015 Support for increased accountability and flexibility to respond to local area needs…however, only a third expect standards of public service to improve 59% 59% 56% 42% 33% 22% 3% 1% 1% It will allow local councils and other local agencies like the police to be more flexible in responding to changing local demand Local politicians know better than national politicians what is best for the local area Decisions affecting me should be made by local politicians who are more accountable to local people It will lead to better joining up and co-ordination between public services in the local area Standards of public services will improve in the local area It will save money when delivering services Something else No reason Don’t know Q. Why do you say you support devolving more powers to local areas? Base: All adults stating they support devolution (1862)
  • 5. 5 Source: Ipsos MORIFieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015 Concerns that devolution will result in a ‘postcode lottery’ when it comes to service delivery – plus distrust in politicians 58% 58% 44% 43% 41% 41% 39% 36% 27% 11% *% 1% Standards of services risk being different depending on where you live – a ‘postcode lottery’ I don’t trust local politicians to make the right decisions for the local area It will lead to services being less joined up It will do nothing to improve local services It won’t lead to savings Local politicians do not always know what is best for the local area It will cost money to implement Standards of service will decline in the local area I think taxes will increase Something else No reason Don’t know Q. Why do you say you oppose devolving more powers to local areas? Base: All stating they don’t support devolution (656)
  • 6. 6 Source: Ipsos MORIFieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015 Nearly two-thirds believe that public service standards should be equal no matter where they live Q. To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement…? Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831) 36% 35% 16% 6% 1%5% Strongly agree Tend to agree Neither/nor Tend to disagree Strongly disagree Don't know “Standards of public services should be the same everywhere in England”
  • 7. 7 Source: Ipsos MORIFieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015 Public is less likely to support devolution if it means creating a postcode lottery in service provision 16% 12% 26% 12% 7% 26% I am more likely to support devolution if it means local services could differ from other areas of the country I support devolution regardless of whether it means local services could differ from other areas of the country I am less likely to support devolution if it means local services could differ from other areas of the country I do not support devolution regardless of whether it means local services could differ from other areas of the country None of the above Don’t know Q. Which of these statements comes closest to your views about devolution and local services in your area? Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831)
  • 8. 8 Source: Ipsos MORI 25% 21% 51% 3 Yes, definitely Yes, think so No Don’t know Awareness of the ‘Northern Powerhouse’ is unsurprisingly greatest amongst those living in the North Q. Before today, had you heard of the term ‘Northern Powerhouse’? 46% 59% 41% 40% 40% Overall North Midlands South London % yes Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831) Fieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015
  • 9. 9 Source: Ipsos MORI 2 19% 37% 22% 9% 10% Very optimistic Fairly optimistic Neither/nor Fairly pessimistic Very pessimistic Don't know Only a fifth of the public are optimistic that the Northern Powerhouse will achieve its ambitions – another 37% ambivalent Q. To what extent are you optimistic or pessimistic that the ‘Northern Powerhouse’ will achieve these ambitions? Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831) Optimistic Net 22% Pessimistic Net 31% 3% 3% 2% 3% 4% 1% 1% 2% 3% 2% 24% 22% 23% 20% 17% 19% 18% 16% 14% 19% North West Greater London Yorkshire and The Humber East Midlands West Midlands East of England South East South West North East Overall Very optimistic Fairly optimistic -9 Fieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015
  • 10. 10 Source: Ipsos MORI Attracting investment and rebalancing the north/south economic divide are the two key aims for the Northern Powerhouse 53% 49% 31% 30% 28% 15% 1% 4% 14% Attracting investment to the North Closing the gap between the North and South- East economies (eg rebalancing) Improving skills of workers and those looking for work Improving transport connections in the North Services working together (for example, health and social care working in partnership) Increasing accountability for local public services Other None of these Don’t know Q. Which two or three of the following, if any, do you think is most important for the ‘Northern Powerhouse’ to deliver? Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831) Fieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015
  • 11. 11 Source: Ipsos MORIFieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015 Need to elect a mayor is more likely than not to make public support devolution, although over a quarter are undecided 17% 19% 15% 13% 9% 27% I support more devolution regardless of the need to elect a mayor I am more likely to support devolution if I have to elect a mayor I am less likely to support devolution if I have to elect a mayor I do not support devolution anyway regardless of whether it might involve electing a mayor None of the above Don’t know Q. Which of these statements comes closest to your views about devolution and the need for a mayor? Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831)
  • 12. 12 Source: Ipsos MORIFieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015 More people think the London mayor has had a positive than negative impact, and this opinion is not limited to Gtr London Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831) 9% 37% 31% 6% 3% 15% Very positive Fairly positive No impact Fairly negative Very negative Don't know Q. As you may know London has an independent elected mayor, currently Boris Johnson. Do you think that having an independently elected mayor has had a positive or negative impact on London? 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 8% 8% 6% 9% 40% 42% 36% 30% 37% 37% 36% 26% 36% 37% South East Greater London South West West Midlands Yorkshire and The Humber East of England East Midlands North East North West Overall Very positive impact Fairly positive impact 45%