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Responsibly
Smashing Pandora’s
Box
Yanqing Cheng
QCon London
7 March 2018
InfoQ.com: News & Community Site
Watch the video with slide
synchronization on InfoQ.com!
https://www.infoq.com/presentations/
philosophy-personal-role
• Over 1,000,000 software developers, architects and CTOs read the site world-
wide every month
• 250,000 senior developers subscribe to our weekly newsletter
• Published in 4 languages (English, Chinese, Japanese and Brazilian
Portuguese)
• Post content from our QCon conferences
• 2 dedicated podcast channels: The InfoQ Podcast, with a focus on
Architecture and The Engineering Culture Podcast, with a focus on building
• 96 deep dives on innovative topics packed as downloadable emags and
minibooks
• Over 40 new content items per week
Purpose of QCon
- to empower software development by facilitating the spread of
knowledge and innovation
Strategy
- practitioner-driven conference designed for YOU: influencers of
change and innovation in your teams
- speakers and topics driving the evolution and innovation
- connecting and catalyzing the influencers and innovators
Highlights
- attended by more than 12,000 delegates since 2007
- held in 9 cities worldwide
Presented at QCon London
www.qconlondon.com
What are our ethical responsibilities as
tech innovators today?
Courage
What are our ethical responsibilities as
tech innovators today?
• History
• Psychology
• Prior Work
• Worked Examples
The Ethics of Tech Innovation
What can we learn from history
How do you measure
the ethical impact of
a technology?
“A full human genome sequence cost
$100 million in 2002. Today, it can be
done for $1,000.”
The world is better today
than it ever was.
The Limits of Intuition
Why psychology limits our ethical thinking
Thought
Experiment
Event costs £210. £20 early-bird discount for
registrations received before May 1st.
Event costs £190 for registrations received before
May 1st. £20 penalty fee for late registration.
Which pricing policy is more likely to make
you pay early?
Event costs £210. £20 early-bird discount for
registrations received before May 1st.
Event costs £190 for registrations received before
May 1st. £20 penalty fee for late registration.
Status Quo Bias
• Humans are inclined to make the “default” or status
quo choice, and consider it better than alternatives
• People feel greater regret for bad outcomes that
result from new actions, than for bad consequences
that are the result of inaction.
Scope Insensitivity
• Study asked participants: How much to save x
number of migrating birds from drowning in oil
ponds, by covering the ponds with protective nets?
• Average amount people were willing to donate:
• 2,000 birds:
• $80
• 20,000 birds:
• $78
• 200,000 birds
• $88
Our intuitions were
made for a smaller,
slower world.
What “Good” Feels Like
Prior work from another field
Effective Altruism
“How can we use our limited resources to best
help others?”
10 years x 70% = 7 QALYs
Quality
Time
100%
70 years
Quality
Time
100%
70 years
60 years x 20% = 12 QALYs
THE
QALY APPROACH
WHAT IS A QALY
WORTH?
THE NHS IS PREPARED
TO SPEND ABOUT £20,000PER
QALY
£2.30
PER
HOUR
WHAT DOES A QALY
COST?
CAN WE GAIN A QALY
FOR LESS THAN £20,000?
YES!
Case Study: HIV/AIDS
It is a major cause of death and disability in developing
countries. Let’s look at the many approaches we might choose.
Treatment of Kaposi’s
Sarcoma
Antiretroviral therapy
0 2 4 6 8 10
QALY / £1000
£20,000 per
QALY Barrier
Prevention of Transmission
During Pregnancy
WHAT DOES A QALY
COST?
Source: Disease Control
Priorities Project 2
Treatment of Kaposi’s
Sarcoma
Antiretroviral therapy
0 5 10 15 20 25
QALY / £1000
Prevention of Transmission
During Pregnancy
Distribution of Condoms
WHAT DOES A QALY
COST?
How do you
maximise the effect
of your donations?
Every day, nearly 300 people die from
malaria in Nigeria, the majority of these
deaths are children under the age of five.
Imagine a fully booked 747, where three-quarters of
the passengers are children. Every day, this plane
crashes into the Gulf of Guinea, killing everyone on
board. This is malaria – in one country.
We are making progress.
Ethical choices are
unintuitive.
It takes
analysis,
courage and
innovation to
do good
• The right thing can seem unintuitive
• The right thing can seem mundane
• The right thing can seem distasteful
The Obligations of Innovators
How do you measure
the ethical impact of
a technology?
1.3 million people die from road
traffic injuries ever year.
Delaying progress can be
enormously costly.
Technological advances will happen
Newton and Leibniz independently formulated calculus
Swan and Edison independently developed incandescent bulbs
RSA was described by GCHQ 4 years before publication by Rivest,
Shamir and Adleman
If you don’t do it,
someone else will do it
wrong.
Worked examples
The impact of Bitcoin
on the environment
Ethical risks of
automated decision
algorithms
Pandora’s Box
Courage
“Courage is not the absence
of fear, but rather the
judgement that something
else is more important than
fear.”
The world
needs you to
have courage
• Courage to face the problems in the world
• Courage to take responsibility
• Courage to innovate
Thank you
Watch the video with slide
synchronization on InfoQ.com!
https://www.infoq.com/presentations/
philosophy-personal-role

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Responsibly Smashing Pandora's Box

  • 2. InfoQ.com: News & Community Site Watch the video with slide synchronization on InfoQ.com! https://www.infoq.com/presentations/ philosophy-personal-role • Over 1,000,000 software developers, architects and CTOs read the site world- wide every month • 250,000 senior developers subscribe to our weekly newsletter • Published in 4 languages (English, Chinese, Japanese and Brazilian Portuguese) • Post content from our QCon conferences • 2 dedicated podcast channels: The InfoQ Podcast, with a focus on Architecture and The Engineering Culture Podcast, with a focus on building • 96 deep dives on innovative topics packed as downloadable emags and minibooks • Over 40 new content items per week
  • 3. Purpose of QCon - to empower software development by facilitating the spread of knowledge and innovation Strategy - practitioner-driven conference designed for YOU: influencers of change and innovation in your teams - speakers and topics driving the evolution and innovation - connecting and catalyzing the influencers and innovators Highlights - attended by more than 12,000 delegates since 2007 - held in 9 cities worldwide Presented at QCon London www.qconlondon.com
  • 4. What are our ethical responsibilities as tech innovators today?
  • 6.
  • 7. What are our ethical responsibilities as tech innovators today? • History • Psychology • Prior Work • Worked Examples
  • 8. The Ethics of Tech Innovation What can we learn from history
  • 9. How do you measure the ethical impact of a technology?
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. “A full human genome sequence cost $100 million in 2002. Today, it can be done for $1,000.”
  • 13. The world is better today than it ever was.
  • 14. The Limits of Intuition Why psychology limits our ethical thinking
  • 16. Event costs £210. £20 early-bird discount for registrations received before May 1st.
  • 17. Event costs £190 for registrations received before May 1st. £20 penalty fee for late registration.
  • 18. Which pricing policy is more likely to make you pay early? Event costs £210. £20 early-bird discount for registrations received before May 1st. Event costs £190 for registrations received before May 1st. £20 penalty fee for late registration.
  • 19. Status Quo Bias • Humans are inclined to make the “default” or status quo choice, and consider it better than alternatives • People feel greater regret for bad outcomes that result from new actions, than for bad consequences that are the result of inaction.
  • 20. Scope Insensitivity • Study asked participants: How much to save x number of migrating birds from drowning in oil ponds, by covering the ponds with protective nets? • Average amount people were willing to donate: • 2,000 birds: • $80 • 20,000 birds: • $78 • 200,000 birds • $88
  • 21.
  • 22. Our intuitions were made for a smaller, slower world.
  • 23. What “Good” Feels Like Prior work from another field
  • 24. Effective Altruism “How can we use our limited resources to best help others?”
  • 25. 10 years x 70% = 7 QALYs Quality Time 100% 70 years Quality Time 100% 70 years 60 years x 20% = 12 QALYs THE QALY APPROACH
  • 26. WHAT IS A QALY WORTH? THE NHS IS PREPARED TO SPEND ABOUT £20,000PER QALY £2.30 PER HOUR
  • 27. WHAT DOES A QALY COST? CAN WE GAIN A QALY FOR LESS THAN £20,000? YES! Case Study: HIV/AIDS It is a major cause of death and disability in developing countries. Let’s look at the many approaches we might choose.
  • 28. Treatment of Kaposi’s Sarcoma Antiretroviral therapy 0 2 4 6 8 10 QALY / £1000 £20,000 per QALY Barrier Prevention of Transmission During Pregnancy WHAT DOES A QALY COST? Source: Disease Control Priorities Project 2
  • 29. Treatment of Kaposi’s Sarcoma Antiretroviral therapy 0 5 10 15 20 25 QALY / £1000 Prevention of Transmission During Pregnancy Distribution of Condoms WHAT DOES A QALY COST?
  • 30. How do you maximise the effect of your donations?
  • 31.
  • 32. Every day, nearly 300 people die from malaria in Nigeria, the majority of these deaths are children under the age of five.
  • 33. Imagine a fully booked 747, where three-quarters of the passengers are children. Every day, this plane crashes into the Gulf of Guinea, killing everyone on board. This is malaria – in one country.
  • 34. We are making progress.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 39.
  • 40. It takes analysis, courage and innovation to do good • The right thing can seem unintuitive • The right thing can seem mundane • The right thing can seem distasteful
  • 41. The Obligations of Innovators
  • 42. How do you measure the ethical impact of a technology?
  • 43.
  • 44. 1.3 million people die from road traffic injuries ever year.
  • 45. Delaying progress can be enormously costly.
  • 46. Technological advances will happen Newton and Leibniz independently formulated calculus Swan and Edison independently developed incandescent bulbs RSA was described by GCHQ 4 years before publication by Rivest, Shamir and Adleman
  • 47. If you don’t do it, someone else will do it wrong.
  • 49. The impact of Bitcoin on the environment
  • 50. Ethical risks of automated decision algorithms
  • 53. “Courage is not the absence of fear, but rather the judgement that something else is more important than fear.”
  • 54. The world needs you to have courage • Courage to face the problems in the world • Courage to take responsibility • Courage to innovate
  • 56. Watch the video with slide synchronization on InfoQ.com! https://www.infoq.com/presentations/ philosophy-personal-role