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1Engerati Webinar Public Materials - Indigo Advisory Group 2017
Artificial Intelligence in Energy
and Utilities – Market Overview
How AI can make energy and the grid more dynamic
Wednesday September 27th2017 - Engerati Webinar
2Engerati Webinar Public Materials - Indigo Advisory Group 2017
Three Discussion Topics
1
2
Brief Definition of Artificial Intelligence
The Energy and Utilities Opportunity – 3 major Application Areas
3 In context, AI and Exponential Technologies
3Engerati Webinar Public Materials - Indigo Advisory Group 2017
Artificial Intelligence has been around for decades,
however, over the past 2-3 years the technology has
been finding applications across a series of sectors,
including energy and utilities. AI is among the
fastest-growing tech sectors, with investment in AI
startups growing to a record $5 billion across 550
deals, according to CB Insights.
Defining Artificial Intelligence
Artificial intelligence (AI) has been defined as "the ability of a machine to perform at the level
of a human expert". Rooted in science and engineering, the domain includes machine
learning, natural language processing, pattern recognition, search and inference and
planning. While the concept has been understood for some time we are increasingly seeing
the development of expert systems that solve complex problems in a particular domain, at a
level of extraordinary human intelligence and expertise. These systems combine factual
knowledge and heuristic knowledge relating to practice, accurate judgement, and the ability
to evaluate.
4Engerati Webinar Public Materials - Indigo Advisory Group 2017
“Combined with the ability to estimate energy production, AI would raise (wind
turbine) power output by around 5% and lower maintenance costs by 20%" -
GE 2017
Some 2017 “AI in Energy Developments” – Momentum is Gaining
“Two minutes after artificial intelligence took over control of the
combustion unit, nitrogen oxide levels dropped by 20 percent” – Siemens
2017
“Google’s DeepMind is in discussions with the UK’s National Grid to use
artificial intelligence to help balance energy supply and demand in Britain”
– FT 2017
“Smart algorithms were able to predict load on the data centers'
cooling systems and control equipment more efficiently, resulting in a
40 per cent reduction in the amount of energy used for cooling” –
Google 2017
5Engerati Webinar Public Materials - Indigo Advisory Group 2017
In combination with other emerging technologies such as distributed energy resources,
analytics and distributed ledgers (blockchain), AI has the potential to deliver the active
management that will be required for the grid of the future.
• Powerful intelligence will be able to balance grids, manage demand, negotiate actions,
enable self-healing and facilitate a host of new products and services.
• Indeed, AI, will not just lend itself to the energy transition, it will also enable more efficient
and effective utility operations by helping to analyze unstructured data which typically
makes up to 80% of data in an organization.
• Three broad categories of AI in energy and utilities include:
The Energy Opportunity
1. Renewables Management 2. Demand Management 3. Infrastructure Management
6Engerati Webinar Public Materials - Indigo Advisory Group 2017
Emerging Energy AI Applications -> 1. Renewables Management
Renewables Management - There are a
number of AI use cases in this area that
focus on enhancing short-term renewable
forecasting and improving equipment
maintenance.
• Across various pilots AI is being
deployed to wind turbine operation data
and solar panel sensor data that gauge
sunlight intensity. This is then combined
with atmospheric observations obtained
by radar, satellites, and ground-weather
stations.
• Also in this area we are seeing AI being applied to energy storage and helping
to estimate the useful lifetime of a battery pack or unit by applying prognostic
algorithms.
Figure: Distribution of Renewable Management
AI Use Cases in Energy and Utilities
7Engerati Webinar Public Materials - Indigo Advisory Group 2017
Emerging Energy AI Applications -> 2. Demand Management
Demand Management - Various
companies are working on demand
management AI backed solutions that
manage demand response of different
devices that are run in parallel.
• Equally, a series of AI platforms are in
development with a focus on energy
efficiency, enhanced feedback on energy
performance in buildings and solutions
that gauge, learn and anticipate user
behavior in order to optimize energy
consumption.
• Additionally, we are seeing AI and game theory applied to reward/penalty
mechanisms to ensure enough customers in a DR pool are willing to
participate, and actually respond when necessary.
Figure: Distribution of Demand Management AI
Use Cases in Energy and Utilities
8Engerati Webinar Public Materials - Indigo Advisory Group 2017
Emerging Energy AI Applications -> 3. Infrastructure Management
Infrastructure Management - AI and digital
asset management, where machine learning
algorithms collate, compare, analyze, and
highlight risks and opportunities across a
utilities’ infrastructure is providing
opportunity for power companies.
• In these cases, AI methods are used to
model possible scenarios, and advise on
actions and impacts. Also, we are seeing
AI being deployed for the operation and
maintenance of generation sources such
as gas turbines to minimize emission of
nitrogen oxides.
• Siemens for example is using a neural model that alters the distribution of fuel
in a turbine’s burners to increase efficiency.
Figure: Distribution of Infrastructure
Management AI Use Cases in Energy and
Utilities
9Engerati Webinar Public Materials - Indigo Advisory Group 2017
1. Remove bias from training data for AI algorithms - Not everyone can afford a Nest
smart thermostat or a learning device so consumption patterns an AI training data should
be based on the broadest datasets available to make it equitable.
2. Build Trust - Energy companies seeking to win consumer trust with AI-enabled energy
and customer services will also need to consider transparency. Some customers will
want to know how the algorithm arrived at a particular decision. Explanations of why
energy consumption may have changed year on year are better than automation at
building trust. You can’t just set it and forget it.
3. Design Thinking - Focus on the customer and end users to build the strongest business
cases. Over the past decade, the best smart grid business cases and deployment
successes included detailed information on how customers will be able to use the
technology e.g. obtain daily usage information, leverage bring your own device (BYOD)
programs etc. These deployments were also able to evolve quickly as technology
develops and leverage flexible infrastructure to adapt to changing customer and
operational needs.
Three Areas to Address as we Deploy AI Applications
10Engerati Webinar Public Materials - Indigo Advisory Group 2017
Convergence – AI is part of a suite of technologies that will transform the sector
11Engerati Webinar Public Materials - Indigo Advisory Group 2017
About Indigo and our Focus Areas
About Indigo Advisory Group
Indigo Advisory Group works with utilities and energy companies to deliver market leading
strategy, emerging technology and innovation services. Our capabilities span the entire energy
value chain and our approach is high value and outcome focused. #indigoinsights is our market
perspectives and intelligence center, providing analysis and market research for utilities.
© Indigo Advisory Group 2017 | New York, NY
See our insights at - https://www.indigoadvisorygroup.com/indigoinsights #indigoinsights
insights@indigoadvisorygroup.com
+212 203 6144
www.indigoadvisorygroup.com
@indigoadvisory
linkedin.com/company/indigo-advisory-group

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Artificial intelligence in Energy and Utilities – Market Overview

  • 1. 1Engerati Webinar Public Materials - Indigo Advisory Group 2017 Artificial Intelligence in Energy and Utilities – Market Overview How AI can make energy and the grid more dynamic Wednesday September 27th2017 - Engerati Webinar
  • 2. 2Engerati Webinar Public Materials - Indigo Advisory Group 2017 Three Discussion Topics 1 2 Brief Definition of Artificial Intelligence The Energy and Utilities Opportunity – 3 major Application Areas 3 In context, AI and Exponential Technologies
  • 3. 3Engerati Webinar Public Materials - Indigo Advisory Group 2017 Artificial Intelligence has been around for decades, however, over the past 2-3 years the technology has been finding applications across a series of sectors, including energy and utilities. AI is among the fastest-growing tech sectors, with investment in AI startups growing to a record $5 billion across 550 deals, according to CB Insights. Defining Artificial Intelligence Artificial intelligence (AI) has been defined as "the ability of a machine to perform at the level of a human expert". Rooted in science and engineering, the domain includes machine learning, natural language processing, pattern recognition, search and inference and planning. While the concept has been understood for some time we are increasingly seeing the development of expert systems that solve complex problems in a particular domain, at a level of extraordinary human intelligence and expertise. These systems combine factual knowledge and heuristic knowledge relating to practice, accurate judgement, and the ability to evaluate.
  • 4. 4Engerati Webinar Public Materials - Indigo Advisory Group 2017 “Combined with the ability to estimate energy production, AI would raise (wind turbine) power output by around 5% and lower maintenance costs by 20%" - GE 2017 Some 2017 “AI in Energy Developments” – Momentum is Gaining “Two minutes after artificial intelligence took over control of the combustion unit, nitrogen oxide levels dropped by 20 percent” – Siemens 2017 “Google’s DeepMind is in discussions with the UK’s National Grid to use artificial intelligence to help balance energy supply and demand in Britain” – FT 2017 “Smart algorithms were able to predict load on the data centers' cooling systems and control equipment more efficiently, resulting in a 40 per cent reduction in the amount of energy used for cooling” – Google 2017
  • 5. 5Engerati Webinar Public Materials - Indigo Advisory Group 2017 In combination with other emerging technologies such as distributed energy resources, analytics and distributed ledgers (blockchain), AI has the potential to deliver the active management that will be required for the grid of the future. • Powerful intelligence will be able to balance grids, manage demand, negotiate actions, enable self-healing and facilitate a host of new products and services. • Indeed, AI, will not just lend itself to the energy transition, it will also enable more efficient and effective utility operations by helping to analyze unstructured data which typically makes up to 80% of data in an organization. • Three broad categories of AI in energy and utilities include: The Energy Opportunity 1. Renewables Management 2. Demand Management 3. Infrastructure Management
  • 6. 6Engerati Webinar Public Materials - Indigo Advisory Group 2017 Emerging Energy AI Applications -> 1. Renewables Management Renewables Management - There are a number of AI use cases in this area that focus on enhancing short-term renewable forecasting and improving equipment maintenance. • Across various pilots AI is being deployed to wind turbine operation data and solar panel sensor data that gauge sunlight intensity. This is then combined with atmospheric observations obtained by radar, satellites, and ground-weather stations. • Also in this area we are seeing AI being applied to energy storage and helping to estimate the useful lifetime of a battery pack or unit by applying prognostic algorithms. Figure: Distribution of Renewable Management AI Use Cases in Energy and Utilities
  • 7. 7Engerati Webinar Public Materials - Indigo Advisory Group 2017 Emerging Energy AI Applications -> 2. Demand Management Demand Management - Various companies are working on demand management AI backed solutions that manage demand response of different devices that are run in parallel. • Equally, a series of AI platforms are in development with a focus on energy efficiency, enhanced feedback on energy performance in buildings and solutions that gauge, learn and anticipate user behavior in order to optimize energy consumption. • Additionally, we are seeing AI and game theory applied to reward/penalty mechanisms to ensure enough customers in a DR pool are willing to participate, and actually respond when necessary. Figure: Distribution of Demand Management AI Use Cases in Energy and Utilities
  • 8. 8Engerati Webinar Public Materials - Indigo Advisory Group 2017 Emerging Energy AI Applications -> 3. Infrastructure Management Infrastructure Management - AI and digital asset management, where machine learning algorithms collate, compare, analyze, and highlight risks and opportunities across a utilities’ infrastructure is providing opportunity for power companies. • In these cases, AI methods are used to model possible scenarios, and advise on actions and impacts. Also, we are seeing AI being deployed for the operation and maintenance of generation sources such as gas turbines to minimize emission of nitrogen oxides. • Siemens for example is using a neural model that alters the distribution of fuel in a turbine’s burners to increase efficiency. Figure: Distribution of Infrastructure Management AI Use Cases in Energy and Utilities
  • 9. 9Engerati Webinar Public Materials - Indigo Advisory Group 2017 1. Remove bias from training data for AI algorithms - Not everyone can afford a Nest smart thermostat or a learning device so consumption patterns an AI training data should be based on the broadest datasets available to make it equitable. 2. Build Trust - Energy companies seeking to win consumer trust with AI-enabled energy and customer services will also need to consider transparency. Some customers will want to know how the algorithm arrived at a particular decision. Explanations of why energy consumption may have changed year on year are better than automation at building trust. You can’t just set it and forget it. 3. Design Thinking - Focus on the customer and end users to build the strongest business cases. Over the past decade, the best smart grid business cases and deployment successes included detailed information on how customers will be able to use the technology e.g. obtain daily usage information, leverage bring your own device (BYOD) programs etc. These deployments were also able to evolve quickly as technology develops and leverage flexible infrastructure to adapt to changing customer and operational needs. Three Areas to Address as we Deploy AI Applications
  • 10. 10Engerati Webinar Public Materials - Indigo Advisory Group 2017 Convergence – AI is part of a suite of technologies that will transform the sector
  • 11. 11Engerati Webinar Public Materials - Indigo Advisory Group 2017 About Indigo and our Focus Areas About Indigo Advisory Group Indigo Advisory Group works with utilities and energy companies to deliver market leading strategy, emerging technology and innovation services. Our capabilities span the entire energy value chain and our approach is high value and outcome focused. #indigoinsights is our market perspectives and intelligence center, providing analysis and market research for utilities.
  • 12. © Indigo Advisory Group 2017 | New York, NY See our insights at - https://www.indigoadvisorygroup.com/indigoinsights #indigoinsights insights@indigoadvisorygroup.com +212 203 6144 www.indigoadvisorygroup.com @indigoadvisory linkedin.com/company/indigo-advisory-group