U.S. Organic Oat Market. Analysis and Forecast To 2025

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Sample
U.S. Organic Oat Market.
Analysis and Forecast to 2025
2017 Edition

IndexBox © 2017 www.indexbox.co.uk
Sample Report U.S. Organic Oat Market. Analysis and Forecast to 2025
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. INTRODUCTION
1.1 REPORT DESCRIPTION
1.2 REPORT STRUCTURE
1.3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
1.3 GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS
2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2.1 KEY FINDINGS
2.3 ORGANIC MARKET TRENDS
3. ORGANIC OAT MARKET OVERVIEW
3.1 ORGANIC OAT MARKET: VOLUME AND VALUE
3.2 ORGANIC OAT SUPPLY
3.3 ORGANIC OAT MARKET FORECAST TO 2025
3.4 ORGANIC OAT PRODUCTION
3.4.1 ORGANIC OAT PRODUCTION: VOLUME AND VALUE
3.4.2 PRODUCTION: ORGANIC VS. CONVENTIONAL
3.4.3 ORGANIC OAT PRODUCTION BY STATE
3.5 REGULATION ON THE ORGANIC MARKET
3.5.1 ORGANIC OAT DISTRIBUTION
3.5.2 ORGANIC OAT CERTIFICATION
3.6 ORGANIC OAT RETAIL PRICES
3.6.1 RETAIL PRICES: ORGANIC VS. CONVENTIONAL
3.6.2 ORGANIC OAT RETAIL PRICES BY DISTRICT
3.7 ORGANIC OAT MARKET OUTLOOK
3.7.1 RETAIL SALES OF ORGANIC FOOD
3.7.2 ORGANIC OAT MARKET PROSPECTS
4. TOTAL OAT MARKET OVERVIEW
4.1 OAT MARKET: VOLUME AND VALUE
4.2 OAT MARKET SUPPLY
4.3 OAT TRADE BALANCE
4.4 OAT PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
4.5 OAT MARKET FORECAST TO 2025
4.6 TOTAL OAT PRODUCTION
4.6.1 OAT PRODUCTION: VOLUME AND VALUE
4.7 TOTAL OAT IMPORTS
4.7.1 OAT IMPORTS: VOLUME AND VALUE
4.7.2 OAT IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
4.7.3 OAT IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
4.8 TOTAL OAT EXPORTS
4.8.1 OAT EXPORTS: VOLUME AND VALUE
4.8.2 OAT EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
4.8.3 OAT EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
4.9 OAT PRICES AND PRICE DEVELOPMENT
4.9.1 NON-ORGANIC PRODUCERS PRICES
4.9.2 NON-ORGANIC RETAIL PRICES

LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Key Findings – The U.S. Organic Oat Market In 2015
Table 2: Market Segmentation: Organic vs. Conventional, In Physical Terms, 2011-2015
Table 3: Market Segmentation: Organic vs. Conventional, In Value Terms, 2011-2015
Table 4: Organic Oat: Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2011-2015
Table 5: Organic Oat: Market Value, In Value Terms, 2011-2015
Table 6: Market Forecast: Organic vs. Conventional, 2015-2025
Table 7: Oat Production: Organic vs. Conventional, In Physical Terms, 2011-2015
Table 8: Oat Production: Organic vs. Conventional, In Value Terms, 2011-2015
Table 9: Organic Oat Production By State, In Physical Terms, 2014-2015
Table 10: Retail Prices for Organic Oat, by District, 2011-2015
Table 12: Top-20 Countries by Organic Area of Oat, 2014
Table 13: Oat Per Capita Consumption, 2007-2015
Table 14: Oat Imports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2007-2015
Table 15: Oat Imports, in Value Terms, by Country, 2007-2015
Table 16: Oat Import Prices, by Country of Origin, 2007-2015
Table 17: Oat Exports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2007-2015
Table 18: Oat Exports, in Value Terms, by Country, 2007-2015
Table 19: Oat Export Prices, by Country of Destination, 2007-2015
Table 20: Oat Retail Prices, By Region, 2012-2016
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Organic Oat Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2007-2015
Figure 2: Organic Oat Market Value, In Value Terms, 2007-2015
Figure 3: Market Segmentation: Organic vs. Conventional, 2011-2015
Figure 4: Market Segmentation: Organic vs. Conventional, 2015
Figure 5: Organic Oat: Domestic Supply vs. Imports, 2011-2015
Figure 6: Organic Oat: Domestic Supply vs. Imports, 2015
Figure 7: Market Forecast: Organic vs. Conventional, 2015-2025
Figure 8: Market Structure: Organic vs. Conventional, 2011-2025
Figure 9: Organic Oat Production, In Physical Terms, 2007–2015
Figure 10: Organic Oat Production, In Value Terms, 2007–2015
Figure 11: Area Harvested for Organic Oat, 2007–2015
Figure 12: Organic Oat Yield, 2007–2015
Figure 13: Oat Production: Organic vs. Conventional, 2011-2015
Figure 14: Oat Production: Organic vs. Conventional, 2015
Figure 15: Organic Oat Production By State, 2015
Figure 16: Organic Market Supply Chains
Figure 17: Members of The Certification Process On The Organic Market
Figure 18: National Retail Prices: Organic vs. Conventional, 2012 - 2016
Figure 19: Retail Prices for Organic Oat, by District, 2011-2015
Figure 21: Retail Sales of Organic Food In The U.S., 2007-2015
Figure 22: Oat Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2007-2015
Figure 23: Oat Market Value, In Value Terms, 2007-2015
Figure 24: Oat Market: Domestic Supply vs. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2007-2015
Figure 25: Oat Market: Domestic Supply vs. Imports, In Value Terms, 2007-2015
Figure 26: Trade Balance, Oats, In Physical Terms, 2007-2015
Figure 27: Oat Trade Balance, In Value Terms, 2007-2015
Figure 28: Oat Per Capita Consumption, 2007-2015
Figure 29: Market Forecast To 2025
Figure 30: Oat Production, In Physical Terms, 2007–2015
Figure 31: Oat Production, In Value Terms, 2007–2015
Figure 32: Area Harvested for Oat, 2007–2015
Figure 33: Oat Yield, 2007–2015
Figure 34: Oat Imports, In Physical Terms, 2007-2015
Figure 35: Oat Imports, In Value Terms, 2007-2015

Figure 36: Oat Imports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2015
Figure 37: Oat Imports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2007-2015
Figure 38: Oat Imports, in Value Terms, by Country, 2007-2015
Figure 39: Oat Import Prices, by Country, 2007-2015
Figure 40: Oat Exports, In Physical Terms, 2007-2015
Figure 41: Oat Exports, In Value Terms, 2007-2015
Figure 42: Oat Exports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2015
Figure 43: Oat Exports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2007-2015
Figure 44: Oat Exports, in Value Terms, by Country, 2007-2015
Figure 45: Oat Export Prices, by Country of Destination, 2007-2015
Figure 46: Producer Prices For Oat, 2007-2015
Figure 47: Oat Retail Prices, By Region, 2012-2016

1. INTRODUCTION
1.1 REPORT DESCRIPTION
This report provides an in-depth analysis of the U.S. organic oat market. It represents
the latest data on the market size and consumption, domestic production, exports, and
imports. Forecasts illustrate how the market will be transformed in the medium term.
Data coverage:
 Market volume and value;
 Volume and dynamics of production;
 Production by state;
 Volume and dynamics of exports/imports;
 Import/export prices;
 Producer and retail prices;
 Factors influencing the market;
 Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term;
 Per capita consumption.
Product coverage:
 Organic oat;
 Conventional oat.
1.2 REPORT STRUCTURE
This report consists of 4 sections, further subdivided into chapters. The first section
serves as an introductory part of the report, providing a description of the research
involved and the methodology behind it.
The aim of the “Executive summary” section is to provide a succinct review of the
market. The chapters “Key Findings” and “Market Trends” briefly outline the main market
tendencies, enabling the reader to see the whole picture of current market dynamics.
The third section, “Organic Oat Market Overview”, provides data concerning organic
products in comparison with convertional products: market value and volume,
production, imports, and prices, along with market opportunities and a market forecast
to 2025.
The 4th section, “Total Oat Market Overview”, provides data regarding total Oat market
volume and value, production, imports and exports by type and by country, as well as
relevant data on prices.

1.3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
This report, “U.S. Organic Oat Market. Analysis And Forecast to 2025”, presents a variety
of tables and figures on a wide range of industry-related topics. The most recent data is
presented where possible, the latest reference year (for some data sets) being 2015.
1.3 GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS
This report uses the following abbreviations, as well as economics and specific market
terms:
Apparent
Consumption
estimated amount of goods and services available for consumption in the particular
market (country, region, or the world). It is calculated as Consumption = Production
+ Imports – Exports. In this report, the term “consumption” always means the
apparent consumption. It can be calculated both in physical and value terms. In
physical terms, it coincides with Market Volume, in value terms, it refers to Market
Value.
Market Volume apparent consumption in physical terms.
Market Value apparent consumption in value terms.
Per Capita
Consumption
average apparent consumption per person within a population.
Imports the volume or value of industry goods supplied from foreign countries to be sold on
the domestic market. Both physical and value terms can apply.
Exports Gross volume or value of goods sold to foreign customers. Both physical and value
terms can apply.
Original Exports the volume or value of goods originated from a domestic industry and sold to foreign
customers. Both physical and value terms can apply.
Re-Exports the volume or value of goods previously imported from abroad and then sold to
foreign customers. Both physical and value terms can apply.
Trade Balance
(net exports)
the difference between the value of a country's exports and imports over a certain
period of time. In this report, the trade balance is calculated for a particular industry.
Trade Surplus positive trade balance, when a country exports a greater value than it imports. A
country whose value of exported goods is higher than its value of imported goods over
a period of time is called a “net exporter”.
Trade Deficit negative trade balance, when a country imports a greater value than it exports. A
country whose value of imported goods is higher than its value of exported goods over
a period of time is called a “net importer”.
Trade Intensity the level of trade intensity is determined by ratios of exports to output and imports to
apparent consumption. It can be estimated both in physical and value terms. In this
report the trade intensity is graded as follows:
for exports/revenue ratio:
low is less than 5%, medium is 5% to 20%, and high is more than 20%.
For imports/apparent consumption ratio:
low is less than 5%, medium is 5% to 25%, and high is more than 25%.
Importer/Exporter
Prices
Export values are generally reported on an FOB price basis, while the basis of imports
values is the CIF price. Therefore, the exporter price in this report means the average
unit value of exported goods on an FOB basis. The importer price means the average
unit value of imported goods on a CIF basis.

Compound Annual
Growth Rate (CAGR)
average annual growth rate of an item over a specified period of two or more years.
In this report, it could be also mentioned as “annual average growth” and “per year
growth”.
Organic Organic is a labeling term that indicates that the food or other agricultural product has
been produced through approved methods. The organic standards describe the
specific requirements that must be verified by a USDA-accredited certifying agent,
before products can be labeled USDA organic.
Conventional Conventional farming refers to farming systems which include the use of synthetic
chemical fertilizers, pesticides, herbicides and other continual inputs, genetically
modified organisms, Concentrated Animal Feeding Operations, heavy irrigation,
intensive tillage, or concentrated monoculture production. Thus conventional
agriculture is typically highly resource and energy intensive, but also highly
productive.
Area harvested Data refers to the area from which a crop is gathered. The area harvested, therefore,
excludes the area from which, although sown or planted, there was no harvest due to
damage, failure, etc. It is usually net for temporary crops and some times gross for
permanent crops. The net area differs from the gross area insofar as the latter
includes uncultivated patches, footpaths, ditches, headlands, shoulders, shelterbelts,
etc. If the crop under consideration is harvested more than once during the year as a
consequence of successive cropping (i.e. the same crop is sown or planted more than
once in the same field during the year), the area is counted as many times as it is
harvested. On the contrary, the area harvested will be recorded only once in the case
of successive crop gathering during the year from the same standing crops. With
regard to mixed and associated crops, the area sown relating to each crop should be
reported separately. When the mixture refers to particular crops, generally grains, it is
recommended to treat the mixture as if it were a single crop; therefore, the area sown
is recorded only for the crop reported.
Production Production data refers to the actual harvested production from the field or orchard
and gardens, excluding harvesting and threshing losses, and the part of crop not
harvested for any reason. Production therefore includes the quantities of the
commodity sold in the market (marketed production) and the quantities consumed or
used by the producers (auto-consumption). When the production data available refers
to a production period falling into two successive calendar years, and it is not possible
to allocate the relative production to each of them, it is usual to refer to the
production data of that year into which the bulk of the production falls.
Yield Harvested production per unit of harvested area for crop products. In most cases,
yield data is not recorded, but instead obtained by dividing the production data by the
data on the area harvested.

2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2.1 KEY FINDINGS
Table 1: Key Findings – The U.S. Organic Oat Market In 2015
Organic Total
Market Volume thousand tonnes *** ***
% to 2014 *** ***
*** ***
Market Value million USD *** ***
% to 2014 *** ***
*** ***
Production thousand tonnes *** ***
% to 2014 *** ***
million USD *** ***
% to 2014 *** ***
*** ***
Area Harvested thousand Ha *** ***
% to 2014 *** ***
*** ***
Yield tonnes/Ha *** ***
% to 2014 *** ***
*** ***
Imports thousand tonnes *** ***
% to 2014 *** ***
million USD *** ***
% to 2014 *** ***
*** ***
Exports thousand tonnes *** ***
% to 2014 *** ***
million USD *** ***
% to 2014 *** ***
Source: ***

2.3 ORGANIC MARKET TRENDS
…
…
…
…
…
…

3. ORGANIC OAT MARKET
OVERVIEW
3.1 ORGANIC OAT MARKET: VOLUME AND VALUE
…
…
Figure 1: Organic Oat Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2007-2015
(thousand tonnes, % to previous year)
Source: ***
Figure 2: Organic Oat Market Value, In Value Terms, 2007-2015
(million USD, % to previous year)
Source: ***
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Market Volume (thousand tonnes) % to previous year
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
400%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Market Value (million USD) % to previous year

Table 2: Market Segmentation: Organic vs. Conventional, In Physical Terms, 2011-2015
(thousand tonnes)
Market
Segment
Unit 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CAGR,
2011-
2015
Conventional
Market
(thousand tonnes) *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous
year
*** *** *** *** *** ***
Organic Market (thousand tonnes) *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous
year
*** *** *** *** *** ***
Total
(thousand tonnes) *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous
year
*** *** *** *** *** ***
Source: ***
Table 3: Market Segmentation: Organic vs. Conventional, In Value Terms, 2011-2015
(in producer/importer/exporter prices)
Market
Segment
Unit 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CAGR,
2011-
2015
Conventional
Market
(million USD) *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous
year
*** *** *** *** *** ***
Organic Market (million USD) *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous
year
*** *** *** *** *** ***
Total
(million USD) *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous
year
*** *** *** *** *** ***
Source: ***
…
…
Figure 3: Market Segmentation: Organic vs. Conventional, 2011-2015
(%, based on tonnes)
Source: ***
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Organic Market
Conventional
Market

Figure 4: Market Segmentation: Organic vs. Conventional, 2015
(%, based on tonnes/USD)
Source: ***
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
in physical terms in value terms
Organic Market
Conventional
Market

3.2 ORGANIC OAT SUPPLY
…
…
Figure 5: Organic Oat: Domestic Supply vs. Imports, 2011-2015
Source: ***
Figure 6: Organic Oat: Domestic Supply vs. Imports, 2015
Source: ***
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Domestic Supply,
tonnes
Imports, tonnes
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Domestic Supply
Imports

Table 4: Organic Oat: Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2011-2015
(thousand tonnes)
Item Unit 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CAGR,
2007-2015
Production (thousand tonnes) *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous year *** *** *** *** *** ***
Imports (thousand tonnes) *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous year *** *** *** *** *** ***
Exports (thousand tonnes) *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous year *** *** *** *** *** ***
Market
Volume
(thousand tonnes) *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous year *** *** *** *** *** ***
Source: ***, USDA, IndexBox analysis
Table 5: Organic Oat: Market Value, In Value Terms, 2011-2015
(million USD), in producer/import/export prices
Item Unit 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CAGR,
2007-2015
Production (million USD) *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous year *** *** *** *** *** ***
Imports (million USD) *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous year *** *** *** *** *** ***
Exports (million USD) *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous year *** *** *** *** *** ***
Market Value (million USD) *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous year *** *** *** *** *** ***
Source: ***
3.3 ORGANIC OAT MARKET FORECAST TO 2025
…
Table 6: Market Forecast: Organic vs. Conventional, 2015-2025
(thousand tonnes)
Market Unit 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2025
CAGR,
2015-
2025
Conventional (thousand tonnes) *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous year *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Organic (thousand tonnes) *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous year *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Total (thousand tonnes) *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous year *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Source: ***

Figure 7: Market Forecast: Organic vs. Conventional, 2015-2025
(thousand tonnes)
Source: ***
…
Figure 8: Market Structure: Organic vs. Conventional, 2011-2025
(based on tonnes)
Source: ***
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2015 2025
Conventional Market Volume Organic Market Volume
conventional
CAGR
***%
organic
CAGR
***%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Organic
Market
Volume
Convention
al Market
Volume

3.4 ORGANIC OAT PRODUCTION
3.4.1 ORGANIC OAT PRODUCTION: VOLUME AND VALUE
…
…
Figure 9: Organic Oat Production, In Physical Terms, 2007–2015
(thousand tonnes)
Source: ***
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
400%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Production (thousand tonnes) % to previous year

Figure 10: Organic Oat Production, In Value Terms, 2007–2015
(million USD)
Source: ***
…
…
Figure 11: Area Harvested for Organic Oat, 2007–2015
(thousand Ha)
Source: ***
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
400%
450%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Production (million USD) % to previous year
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
400%
450%
500%
0
1
2
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Area harvested (thousand Ha) % to previous year

Figure 12: Organic Oat Yield, 2007–2015
(tonnes/Ha)
Source: ***
3.4.2 PRODUCTION: ORGANIC VS. CONVENTIONAL
…
…
Figure 13: Oat Production: Organic vs. Conventional, 2011-2015
Source: ***
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Yield (tonnes/Ha) % to previous year
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Organic Production
Conventional
Production

Figure 14: Oat Production: Organic vs. Conventional, 2015
Source: ***
Table 7: Oat Production: Organic vs. Conventional, In Physical Terms, 2011-2015
(thousand tonnes)
Production Unit 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CAGR,
2011-2015
Conventional
Production
(thousand tonnes) *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous year *** *** *** *** *** ***
Organic
Production
(thousand tonnes) *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous year *** *** *** *** *** ***
Total
Production
(thousand tonnes) *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous year *** *** *** *** *** ***
Source: ***
Table 8: Oat Production: Organic vs. Conventional, In Value Terms, 2011-2015
(million USD)
Production Unit 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CAGR,
2011-2015
Conventional
Production
(million USD) *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous year *** *** *** *** *** ***
Organic
Production
(million USD) *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous year *** *** *** *** *** ***
Total
Production
(million USD) *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous year *** *** *** *** *** ***
Source: ***
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Organic Production
Conventional
Production

3.4.3 ORGANIC OAT PRODUCTION BY STATE
…
…
Table 9: Organic Oat Production By State, In Physical Terms, 2014-2015
(thousand tonnes)
State 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CAGR,
2011-2015
State A *** *** *** *** *** ***
State B *** *** *** *** *** ***
State C *** *** *** *** *** ***
State D *** *** *** *** *** ***
State E *** *** *** *** *** ***
State F *** *** *** *** *** ***
State G *** *** *** *** *** ***
Others *** *** *** *** *** ***
Total *** *** *** *** *** ***
Source: ***
Figure 15: Organic Oat Production By State, 2015
Source: ***
3.5 REGULATION ON THE ORGANIC MARKET
3.5.1 ORGANIC OAT DISTRIBUTION
…
State A State B State C
State D State E Others

…
Figure 16: Organic Market Supply Chains
…
Source: ***
3.5.2 ORGANIC OAT CERTIFICATION
…
…
Figure 17: Members of The Certification Process On The Organic Market
…
Source: USDA
3.6 ORGANIC OAT RETAIL PRICES
3.6.1 RETAIL PRICES: ORGANIC VS. CONVENTIONAL
…
…
Figure 18: National Retail Prices: Organic vs. Conventional, 2012 - 2016
(USD per kg)
Source: ***
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan.-Dec.
2016
Non-organic
Organic

3.6.2 ORGANIC OAT RETAIL PRICES BY DISTRICT
…
…
(USD per kg)
Source: ***
(USD per kg)
District 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 CAGR, 2011-2015
District A *** *** *** *** *** ***
District B *** *** *** *** *** ***
District C *** *** *** *** *** ***
District D *** *** *** *** *** ***
District E *** *** *** *** *** ***
District F *** *** *** *** *** ***
National *** *** *** *** *** ***
Source: ***
1,10
1,20
1,30
1,40
1,50
1,60
1,70
1,80
1,90
2,00
2,10
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
District A
District B
District C
District D
District E
District G
National

(USD per kg)
Source: ***
(USD per kg)
District 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 CAGR, 2011-2015
District A *** *** *** *** *** ***
District B *** *** *** *** *** ***
District C *** *** *** *** *** ***
District D *** *** *** *** *** ***
District E *** *** *** *** *** ***
District F *** *** *** *** *** ***
National *** *** *** *** *** ***
Source: ***
1,10
1,20
1,30
1,40
1,50
1,60
1,70
1,80
1,90
2,00
2,10
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
District A
District B
District C
District D
District E
District G
National

U.S. Organic Oat Market. Analysis and Forecast to 2025Sample Report
3.7 ORGANIC OAT MARKET OUTLOOK
3.7.1 RETAIL SALES OF ORGANIC FOOD
…
…
Figure 21: Retail Sales of Organic Food In The U.S., 2007-2015
(billion USD, % to previous year)
Source: Organic Trade Associations, IndexBox analysis
…
…
3.7.2 ORGANIC OAT MARKET PROSPECTS
…
…
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Organic retail sales (billion USD) % to previous year

Table 12: Top-20 Countries by Organic Area of Oat, 2014
(Ha)
Country Organic Area, Ha Organic Share, % Area Under Conversion, Ha
Country A *** *** ***
Country B *** *** ***
Country C *** *** ***
Country D *** *** ***
Country E *** *** ***
Country F *** *** ***
Country G *** *** ***
Country H *** *** ***
Country I *** *** ***
Country J *** *** ***
Country K *** *** ***
Country L *** *** ***
Country M *** *** ***
Country N *** *** ***
Country O *** *** ***
Country P *** *** ***
Country Q *** *** ***
Country R *** *** ***
Country S *** *** ***
Country T *** *** ***
Country U *** *** ***
Others *** *** ***
Total *** *** ***
Source: ***

4. TOTAL OAT MARKET
OVERVIEW
4.1 OAT MARKET: VOLUME AND VALUE
…
…
Figure 22: Oat Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2007-2015
(thousand tonnes, % to previous year)
Source: ***
Figure 23: Oat Market Value, In Value Terms, 2007-2015
(million USD, % to previous year)
Source: ***
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Market Volume (thousand tonnes) % to previous year
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Market Value (million USD) % to previous year

4.2 OAT MARKET SUPPLY
…
…
Figure 24: Oat Market: Domestic Supply vs. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2007-2015
(% base on tonnes)
Source: ***
Figure 25: Oat Market: Domestic Supply vs. Imports, In Value Terms, 2007-2015
(% base on USD), in producer and importer prices
Source: ***
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Domestic
Supply, tonnes
Imports,
tonnes
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Domestic
Supply, USD
Imports, USD

4.3 OAT TRADE BALANCE
…
…
Figure 26: Trade Balance, Oats, In Physical Terms, 2007-2015
(thousand tonnes)
Source: ***
Figure 27: Oat Trade Balance, In Value Terms, 2007-2015
(million USD), in import/export prices
Source: ***
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Imports (thousand tonnes) Exports (thousand tonnes)
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Imports (million USD) Exports (million USD)

4.4 OAT PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
…
…
Figure 28: Oat Per Capita Consumption, 2007-2015
(kg/person, USD/person)
Source: ***
0,0
2,0
4,0
6,0
8,0
10,0
12,0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Per capita consumption (kg/persons) Per capita consumption (USD/persons)

Table 13: Oat Per Capita Consumption, 2007-2015
Item Unit 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 CAGR, 2007-2015
Consumption (thousand tonnes) *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous year *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Consumption (million USD) *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous year *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Population (thousand persons) *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
% to previous year *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Per capita consumption (kg/persons) *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Per capita consumption (USD/persons) *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Source: ***

4.5 OAT MARKET FORECAST TO 2025
…
…
Figure 29: Market Forecast To 2025
(thousand tonnes)
Source: ***
4.6 TOTAL OAT PRODUCTION
4.6.1 OAT PRODUCTION: VOLUME AND VALUE
…
…
…
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
CAGR
***
CAGR
***

Figure 30: Oat Production, In Physical Terms, 2007–2015
(thousand tonnes)
Source: ***
Figure 31: Oat Production, In Value Terms, 2007–2015
(million USD)
Source: ***
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Production (thousand tonnes) % to previous year
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Production (million USD) % to previous year

Figure 32: Area Harvested for Oat, 2007–2015
(thousand Ha)
Source: ***
Figure 33: Oat Yield, 2007–2015
(tonnes/Ha)
Source: ***
4.7 TOTAL OAT IMPORTS
4.7.1 OAT IMPORTS: VOLUME AND VALUE
…
…
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Area harvested (thousand Ha) % to previous year
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Yield (tonnes/Ha) % to previous year

Figure 34: Oat Imports, In Physical Terms, 2007-2015
(thousand tonnes)
Source: ***
Figure 35: Oat Imports, In Value Terms, 2007-2015
(million USD)
Source: ***
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Imports (thousand tonnes) % to previous year
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Imports (million USD) % to previous year

4.7.2 OAT IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
…
…
Figure 36: Oat Imports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2015
Source: ***
…
…
Table 14: Oat Imports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2007-2015
(thousand tonnes)
COUNTRY/PERIOD 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CAGR,
2007-
2015
Country A *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country B *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country C *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country D *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country E *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country F *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country G *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Others *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Total *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Source: ***
Country A Country B Country C
Country D Country E Country F
Country G

Table 15: Oat Imports, in Value Terms, by Country, 2007-2015
(million USD)
COUNTRY/PERIOD 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CAGR,
2007-
2015
Country A *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country B *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country C *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country D *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country E *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country F *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country G *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Others *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Total *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Source: ***
…
…
Figure 37: Oat Imports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2007-2015
(thousand tonnes)
Source: ***
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Country A
Country B
Country C
Country D
Country E
Country F
Country G

Figure 38: Oat Imports, in Value Terms, by Country, 2007-2015
(million USD)
Source: ***
4.7.3 OAT IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
…
…
Figure 39: Oat Import Prices, by Country, 2007-2015
(USD per tonne)
Source: ***
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Country A
Country B
Country C
Country D
Country E
Country F
Country G
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Country A
Country B
Country C
Country G
Country D
Country E
Country F
Average

Table 16: Oat Import Prices, by Country of Origin, 2007-2015
(USD per tonne)
COUNTRY/PERIOD 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CAGR
2007-
2015
Country A *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country B *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country C *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country D *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country E *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country F *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country G *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Average *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Source: ***

4.8 TOTAL OAT EXPORTS
4.8.1 OAT EXPORTS: VOLUME AND VALUE
…
…
Figure 40: Oat Exports, In Physical Terms, 2007-2015
(thousand tonnes)
Source: ***
Figure 41: Oat Exports, In Value Terms, 2007-2015
(million USD)
Source: ***
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Exports (thousand tonnes) % to previous year
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
0
50
100
150
200
250
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Exports (million USD) % to previous year

4.8.2 OAT EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
…
…
Figure 42: Oat Exports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2015
Source: ***
…
…
Table 17: Oat Exports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2007-2015
(thousand tonnes)
COUNTRY/PERIOD 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CAGR,
2007-
2015
Country A *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country B *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country C *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country D *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country E *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country F *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country G *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Others *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Total *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Source: ***
Country A Country B Country C
Country D Country E Country F
Country G

Table 18: Oat Exports, in Value Terms, by Country, 2007-2015
(million USD)
COUNTRY/PERIOD 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CAGR,
2007-
2015
Country A *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country B *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country C *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country D *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country E *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country F *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country G *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Others *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Total *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Source: ***
Figure 43: Oat Exports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2007-2015
(thousand tonnes)
Source: ***
.
.
.
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Country A
Country B
Country C
Country D
Country E
Country F
Country G

Figure 44: Oat Exports, in Value Terms, by Country, 2007-2015
(million USD)
Source: ***
4.8.3 OAT EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
…
…
Figure 45: Oat Export Prices, by Country of Destination, 2007-2015
(USD per tonne)
Source: ***
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Country A
Country B
Country C
Country D
Country E
Country F
Country G
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Country A
Country B
Country C
Country G
Country D
Country E
Country F
Average

Table 19: Oat Export Prices, by Country of Destination, 2007-2015
(USD per tonne)
COUNTRY/PERIOD 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CAGR,
2007-
2015
Country A *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country B *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country C *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country D *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country E *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country F *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Country G *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Average *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
Source: ***
4.9 OAT PRICES AND PRICE DEVELOPMENT
4.9.1 NON-ORGANIC PRODUCERS PRICES
…
…
Figure 46: Producer Prices For Oat, 2007-2015
(USD per tonne)
Source: ***
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Producer price (USD/tonne)

4.9.2 NON-ORGANIC RETAIL PRICES
…
Figure 47: Oat Retail Prices, By Region, 2012-2016
(USD per kg)
Source: ***
Table 20: Oat Retail Prices, By Region, 2012-2016
(USD per kg)
District 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 CAGR, 2011-2015
District A *** *** *** *** *** ***
District B *** *** *** *** *** ***
District C *** *** *** *** *** ***
District D *** *** *** *** *** ***
District E *** *** *** *** *** ***
District F *** *** *** *** *** ***
National *** *** *** *** *** ***
Source: ***
0,70
0,80
0,90
1,00
1,10
1,20
1,30
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
District A
District B
District C
District D
District E
District G
National

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